• Title/Summary/Keyword: series model

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Sensitivity of Parameters for Elasto-plastic Constitutive Model (탄.소성 구성 모델의 초질매개변수 예민성)

  • Jeong, Jin-Seop;Kim, Chan-Gi;Lee, Mun-Su
    • Geotechnical Engineering
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.81-96
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    • 1992
  • This paper dealt with the influence of experimental error generated inevitably during performing experiments on the granular soil behaviour analysis selecting Lade's Single Work-Hardening constitutive model. Several isotropic compression-expansion tests and a series of drained conventional triaxial tests with various confining pressures for Baekma river sands were performed and the values of parameters for the above model were determined using computer program developed for this study based on regression analysis. By finding the range of the upper and lower bound for deviator stress and volumetric strain versus axial strain dependant on the increase and decrease of the standard deviation from mean value of parameters, sensitivities of all the parameters were examined. Practical use of program to determine the parameters and capability to predict the behaviour of granular soil by Lade's Single Work -Hardening model verified.

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Human Activity Recognition Using Body Joint-Angle Features and Hidden Markov Model

  • Uddin, Md. Zia;Thang, Nguyen Duc;Kim, Jeong-Tai;Kim, Tae-Seong
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.569-579
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents a novel approach for human activity recognition (HAR) using the joint angles from a 3D model of a human body. Unlike conventional approaches in which the joint angles are computed from inverse kinematic analysis of the optical marker positions captured with multiple cameras, our approach utilizes the body joint angles estimated directly from time-series activity images acquired with a single stereo camera by co-registering a 3D body model to the stereo information. The estimated joint-angle features are then mapped into codewords to generate discrete symbols for a hidden Markov model (HMM) of each activity. With these symbols, each activity is trained through the HMM, and later, all the trained HMMs are used for activity recognition. The performance of our joint-angle-based HAR has been compared to that of a conventional binary and depth silhouette-based HAR, producing significantly better results in the recognition rate, especially for the activities that are not discernible with the conventional approaches.

Experimental Study of the Interaction Characteristics for a Marine CRP in LCT (LCT에서 선박용 상호반전 프로펠러 상호작용 특성의 시험적 연구)

  • Ahn, Jong-Woo;Kim, Ki-Sup;Park, Young-Ha;Lee, Chang-Hun
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.125-131
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    • 2017
  • In order to develop test and performance analysis techniques for a CRP propulsion, a CRP dynamometer which can be installed inside the model ship was designed and manufactured. The object ship was the 16000TEU container carrier, which has test results for the single propeller. The design concept of the present CRP is that forward & after propellers have the same power ratio and their RPM ratio is 0.75:1. To begin with, we checked the performance of the CRP dynamometer through the calibration and then installed it inside the model ship. After the model ship setup including the design CRP and the rudder in the Large Cavitation Tunnel(LCT), a series of model tests composed of power ratio check, propeller behind wake(PBW) test, cavitation observation and pressure fluctuation tests was conducted. Through the model test and data analysis for CRP, the experimental technique was established and the improved method for CRP design was suggested.

Space Time Autoregressive Model for Small Area Estimation (공간 시계열 모형을 이용한 소지역 추정)

  • Kim Jae Doo;Shin Key-Il;Lee Sang Eun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.627-637
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    • 2005
  • Small area estimation has been studied using various methods such as direct, indirect, synthetic and based on regression or time series model . In this paper we investigate a motel-based small area estimation which takes into account the spare time autoregressive model. The Economic Active Population Surveys in 2001 are used for analysis and the results from space-time autoregressive(STAR) and simultaneous autoregressive(SAR) model are compared with using MSE, MAE and MB.

Bayesian inference for an ordered multiple linear regression with skew normal errors

  • Jeong, Jeongmun;Chung, Younshik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.189-199
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    • 2020
  • This paper studies a Bayesian ordered multiple linear regression model with skew normal error. It is reasonable that the kind of inherent information available in an applied regression requires some constraints on the coefficients to be estimated. In addition, the assumption of normality of the errors is sometimes not appropriate in the real data. Therefore, to explain such situations more flexibly, we use the skew-normal distribution given by Sahu et al. (The Canadian Journal of Statistics, 31, 129-150, 2003) for error-terms including normal distribution. For Bayesian methodology, the Markov chain Monte Carlo method is employed to resolve complicated integration problems. Also, under the improper priors, the propriety of the associated posterior density is shown. Our Bayesian proposed model is applied to NZAPB's apple data. For model comparison between the skew normal error model and the normal error model, we use the Bayes factor and deviance information criterion given by Spiegelhalter et al. (Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B (Statistical Methodology), 64, 583-639, 2002). We also consider the problem of detecting an influential point concerning skewness using Bayes factors. Finally, concluding remarks are discussed.

Store-Release based Distributed Hydrologic Model with GIS (GIS를 이용한 기저-유출 바탕의 수문모델)

  • Kang, Kwang-Min;Yoon, Se-Eui
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.35-35
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    • 2012
  • Most grid-based distributed hydrologic models are complex in terms of data requirements, parameter estimation and computational demand. To address these issues, a simple grid-based hydrologic model is developed in a geographic information system (GIS) environment using storage-release concept. The model is named GIS Storage Release Model (GIS-StoRM). The storage-release concept uses the travel time within each cell to compute howmuch water is stored or released to the watershed outlet at each time step. The travel time within each cell is computed by combining the kinematic wave equation with Manning's equation. The input to GIS-StoRM includes geospatial datasets such as radar rainfall data (NEXRAD), land use and digital elevation model (DEM). The structural framework for GIS-StoRM is developed by exploiting geographic features in GIS as hydrologic modeling objects, which store and process geospatial and temporal information for hydrologic modeling. Hydrologic modeling objects developed in this study handle time series, raster and vector data within GIS to: (i) exchange input-output between modeling objects, (ii) extract parameters from GIS data; and (iii) simulate hydrologic processes. Conceptual and structural framework of GIS StoRM including its application to Pleasant Creek watershed in Indiana will be presented.

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Analysis and Forecast of Non-Stationary Monthly Steam Flow (비정상 월유량 시계열의 해석과 예측)

  • 이재형;선우중호
    • Water for future
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.54-61
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    • 1978
  • An attemption of synthesizing and forecasting of monthly river flow has been made by employing a linear stochastic difference equation model. As one of the linear stochestic difference equation model, an ARIMA Type is tested to find the suitability of the model to the monthly river flows. On the assumption of the stationary covariacne of differenced monthly river flows the model is identrfield and is evaluated so that the residuale have the minimum variance. Finally a test is performed to finld the residerals beings White noise. Monthly river flows at six stations in Han River Basin are applied for case studies. It was found that the difference operator is a good measure of forecasting the monthly river flow.

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A Study on the Demand Forecasting and Efficient Operation of Jeju National Airport using seasonal ARIMA model (계절 ARIMA 모형을 이용한 제주공항 여객 수요예측 및 효율적 운영에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyung-Bum;Hwang, Kyung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.8
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    • pp.3381-3388
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    • 2012
  • This research is to find out the method appropriate for the forecasting of passennger demand using seasonal ARIMA model and efficient operation in Jeju National Airport. Time series monthly data for the investigation were collected ranging from January 2003 to December 2011. A total of 108 observations were used for data analysis. Research findings showed that the multiplicative seasonal ARIMA(0.1.2)(0.1.1)12 model is appropriate model. The number of passengers in Jeju National Airport will continue to rise, it was expected to surpass 20 million people.

Implementing Linear Models in Genetic Programming to Utilize Accumulated Data in Shipbuilding (조선분야의 축적된 데이터 활용을 위한 유전적프로그래밍에서의 선형(Linear) 모델 개발)

  • Lee, Kyung-Ho;Yeun, Yun-Seog;Yang, Young-Soon
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.42 no.5 s.143
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    • pp.534-541
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    • 2005
  • Until now, Korean shipyards have accumulated a great amount of data. But they do not have appropriate tools to utilize the data in practical works. Engineering data contains experts' experience and know-how in its own. It is very useful to extract knowledge or information from the accumulated existing data by using data mining technique This paper treats an evolutionary computation based on genetic programming (GP), which can be one of the components to realize data mining. The paper deals with linear models of GP for the regression or approximation problem when given learning samples are not sufficient. The linear model, which is a function of unknown parameters, is built through extracting all possible base functions from the standard GP tree by utilizing the symbolic processing algorithm. In addition to a standard linear model consisting of mathematic functions, one variant form of a linear model, which can be built using low order Taylor series and can be converted into the standard form of a polynomial, is considered in this paper. The suggested model can be utilized as a designing tool to predict design parameters with small accumulated data.

NUCLIDE SEPARATION MODELING THROUGH REVERSE OSMOSIS MEMBRANES IN RADIOACTIVE LIQUID WASTE

  • LEE, BYUNG-SIK
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.47 no.7
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    • pp.859-866
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    • 2015
  • The aim of this work is to investigate the transport mechanism of radioactive nuclides through the reverse osmosis (RO) membrane and to estimate its effectiveness for nuclide separation from radioactive liquid waste. An analytical model is developed to simulate the RO separation, and a series of experiments are set up to confirm its estimated separation behavior. The model is based on the extended Nernst-Plank equation, which handles the convective flux, diffusive flux, and electromigration flux under electroneutrality and zero electric current conditions. The distribution coefficient which arises due to ion interactions with the membrane material and the electric potential jump at the membrane interface are included as boundary conditions in solving the equation. A high Peclet approximation is adopted to simplify the calculation, but the effect of concentration polarization is included for a more accurate prediction of separation. Cobalt and cesium are specifically selected for the experiments in order to check the separation mechanism from liquid waste composed of various radioactive nuclides and nonradioactive substances, and the results are compared with the estimated cobalt and cesium rejections of the RO membrane using the model. Experimental and calculated results are shown to be in excellent agreement. The proposed model will be very useful for the prediction of separation behavior of various radioactive nuclides by the RO membrane.