• Title/Summary/Keyword: series model

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Measurement of Turbulent Wake behind a SUBOFF Model and Derivation of Experimental Equations (SUBOFF 모형 후방 난류항적 계측 및 실험식 유도)

  • Shin, Myung-Soo;Moon, Il-Sung;Nah, Young-In;Park, Jong-Chun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.198-204
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents the experimental result to investigate the characteristics of turbulent wake generated by submarine. A SUBOFF nude model which was assumed as an axial -symmetric body was used to create wake, and a thin strut was mounted on the top of the model. The experiments were conducted in a circulating water channel(CWC), and a hot-film was used to measure the turbulence in wake cross-section at the distance range of 0.0~2.0L from the model. The hot film anemometer measured turbulent velocity fluctuations, and the timeaveraged mean velocity and turbulent intensity are obtained from the acquired time-series data. Measured results show well the general characteristics of turbulent intensity, kinetic energy and mean velocity distribution. Also, experimental equations are derived. These experimental equations show well the general characteristics of the turbulent wake behind the submerged body with simple configuration.

Stochastic Simulation of Monthly Streamflow by Gamma Distribution Model (Gamma 분포모델에 의한 하천유량의 Simulation에 관한 연구)

  • 이중석;이순택
    • Water for future
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 1980
  • The prupose of this study are the theoretical examination of Gamma distribution function and its application to hydraulic engineering, that is studying the simulation of monthly streamflow by the Gamma distribtution function model(Gamma Model) based on Monte Carlo technique. In the analysis, monthly streamflow data in the Nak Dong River, the Han River, and the Keum River were used and the data were changed to modular coefficient in order to make the analysis convenient. At first, the fitness of monthly streamflow to 2-Parameter Gamma distribution was tested by Chi-square and Kolmogrov-Smironov test, by which it was found the monthly streamflow were fit well to this Gamma distribution function. Then, the Gamma Model based on the Gamma distribution and Monte Carlo Method was used in the simulation of monthly streamflow, and simulateddata showed that all their stastical characteristics were preserved well in the simulation. Consequently, it can be concluded that the Gamma Model is suitable for the simulation of monthly streamflow series directly by using the Mote Carlo technique.

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Development of Learning Model for Knowledge Management in Construction Area (건설분야의 지식관리 적용을 위한 학습모델 개발)

  • Jung In-Su;Kim Byung-Kon;Na Hei-Suk
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.3 no.1 s.9
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2002
  • By its nature, software part of the construction industry such as engineering and so forth has been kept secret to outside, as it determines a company$^{\circ}{\phi}s$ competitiveness. As a result, construction field knowledge usually disappears with the end of a project. The objective of this study is to develop the knowledge management (BM) learning model tuned in to construction area in order to manage project-related knowledge and promote the knowledge management. This study presented a learning model for knowledge management in the construction field, with the aim to integrate a series of processes. The model is composed of EIP, EDMS, knowledge and failure cases management, CoP and e-Learning.

A Study on Prediction of Attendance in Korean Baseball League Using Artificial Neural Network (인경신경망을 이용한 한국프로야구 관중 수요 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jinuk;Park, Sanghyun
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.6 no.12
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    • pp.565-572
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    • 2017
  • Traditional method for time series analysis, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) allows to mine significant patterns from the past observations using autocorrelation and to forecast future sequences. However, Korean baseball games do not have regular intervals to analyze relationship among the past attendance observations. To address this issue, we propose artificial neural network (ANN) based attendance prediction model using various measures including performance, team characteristics and social influences. We optimized ANNs using grid search to construct optimal model for regression problem. The evaluation shows that the optimal and ensemble model outperform the baseline model, linear regression model.

Optimal Inflation Threshold and Economic Growth: Ordinal Regression Model Analysis

  • DINH, Doan Van
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.91-102
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    • 2020
  • The study investigates the relationship between the inflation rate and economic growth to find out the optimal inflation threshold for economic growth. Therefore, this study applied an ordinary least square model (OLS) and the ordinal regression model, and collected the time-series data from 1996 to 2017 to test the relationship between inflation and economic growth in the short-term and long-term. The sample fits the model and is statistically significant. The study showed that 96.6% of correlation between inflation rate and economic growth are close and 4.5% of optimal inflation threshold is appropriate for economic growth. It finds that the optimal inflation threshold is base to perform economic growth, besides the inflation rate is positively related to economic growth. The results support the monetary policy appropriately. This study identifies issues for Government to consider: have a comprehensive solution among macroeconomic policies, monetary policy, fiscal policy and other policies to control and maintain the inflation and stimulate growth; have appropriate policies to regulate inflation to stimulate economic growth over the long term; set a priority goal for sustainable economic growth; not pursue economic growth by maintaining the inflation rate in the long term, but take appropriate measures to stabilize the inflation at the optimal inflation threshold.

Prediction of Sales on Some Large-Scale Retailing Types in South Korea

  • Jeong, Dong-Bin
    • Asian Journal of Business Environment
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2017
  • Purpose - This paper aims to examine several time series models to predict sales of department stores and discount store markets in South Korea, while other previous trial has performed sales of convenience stores and supermarkets. In addition, optimal predicted values on the underlying model can be got and be applied to distribution industry. Research design, data, and methodology - Two retailing types, under investigation, are homogeneous and comparable in size based on 86 realizations sampled from January 2010 to February in 2017. To accomplish the purpose of this research, both ARIMA model and exponential smoothing methods are, simultaneously, utilized. Furthermore, model-fit measures may be exploited as important tools of the optimal model-building. Results - By applying Holt-Winters' additive seasonality method to sales of two large-scale retailing types, persisting increasing trend and fluctuation around the constant level with seasonal pattern, respectively, will be predicted from May in 2017 to February in 2018. Conclusions - Considering 2017-2018 forecasts for sales of two large-scale retailing types, it is important to predict future sales magnitude and to produce the useful information for reforming financial conditions and related policies, so that the impacts of any marketing or management scheme can be compared against the do-nothing scenario.

A Streamflow Network Model for Daily Water Supply and Demands on Small Watershed (1) -Simulating Daily Streamflow from Small Watersheds- (중소유역의 일별 용수수급해석을 위한 하천망모형의 개발(I) - 중소유역의 일유출량 추정 -)

  • 허유만;박창헌;박승우
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.40-49
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    • 1993
  • The Objectives of this paper were to develop a modified tank model that is capable of simulating daily streamflow from a small watershed using daily watershed evapotranspiration and to test the applicability of the model to different watersheds. Tank model was restructured to consist of three series of tanks, each of which may mathematically reflect watershed runoff mechanisms from different components of surface runoff, interflow, and baseflow. And pan evaporation was correlated to potential evapotranspiration estimated from a combination method, and was multiplied by monthly crop and landuse coefficients, and watershed storage coefficient to estimate the watershed evapotranspiration losses. Ten watersheds were selected to calibrate model parameters that were defined using an optimization scheme, and the results were correlated with watershed parameters. Simulated daily runoff was compared to the observed ones from the tested watersheds. The simulating results were in good agreement with the observed values when optimal and calibrated parameters were used. Ungaged conditions were also applied to compare simulated values to the observed. And the results were in fair conditions for all the tested watersheds which differ considerably in their sizes, landuse types, and physiological features.

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Availability Model For The Remanufacturing System and Performance Index (재 제조시스템의 가용도 분석모델과 평가척도)

  • Baik, Jae-Won;Kang, Hae-Woon;Kang, Chang-Wook;Hong, Eui-Pyo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.78-85
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    • 2010
  • The remanufacturing system is a series of industrial process in which worn-out products are restored to like-new condition. The remanufacturing system is differ from the repair system not only process characteristics but also product characteristics. So, it is required to design another model for the remanufacturing system which is distinct from the repair system and also performance index is required for the remanufacturing system. Therefore, in this paper we suggest the availability model for remanufacturing system by using Markov Process. This model represents each of the states of the remanufacturing system. Also performance indexes of remanufacturing system are introduced. Performance indexes are consisting of part reuse frequency and time, part disposal frequency and time. As a result, we can have a choice and control the proper part and offer useful information during the remanufacturing by using these availability model and performance indexes.

Statistical Modeling for Forecasting Maximum Electricity Demand in Korea (한국 최대 전력량 예측을 위한 통계모형)

  • Yoon, Sang-Hoo;Lee, Young-Saeng;Park, Jeong-Soo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.127-135
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    • 2009
  • It is necessary to forecast the amount of the maximum electricity demand for stabilizing the flow of electricity. The time series data was collected from the Korea Energy Research between January 2000 and December 2006. The data showed that they had a strong linear trend and seasonal change. Winters seasonal model, ARMA model were used to examine it. Root mean squared prediction error and mean absolute percentage prediction error were a criteria to select the best model. In addition, a nonstationary generalized extreme value distribution with explanatory variables was fitted to forecast the maximum electricity.

Interactive Information Retrieval: An Introduction

  • Borlund, Pia
    • Journal of Information Science Theory and Practice
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.12-32
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    • 2013
  • The paper introduces the research area of interactive information retrieval (IIR) from a historical point of view. Further, the focus here is on evaluation, because much research in IR deals with IR evaluation methodology due to the core research interest in IR performance, system interaction and satisfaction with retrieved information. In order to position IIR evaluation, the Cranfield model and the series of tests that led to the Cranfield model are outlined. Three iconic user-oriented studies and projects that all have contributed to how IIR is perceived and understood today are presented: The MEDLARS test, the Book House fiction retrieval system, and the OKAPI project. On this basis the call for alternative IIR evaluation approaches motivated by the three revolutions (the cognitive, the relevance, and the interactive revolutions) put forward by Robertson & Hancock-Beaulieu (1992) is presented. As a response to this call the 'IIR evaluation model' by Borlund (e.g., 2003a) is introduced. The objective of the IIR evaluation model is to facilitate IIR evaluation as close as possible to actual information searching and IR processes, though still in a relatively controlled evaluation environment, in which the test instrument of a simulated work task situation plays a central part.