• Title/Summary/Keyword: sequential regression

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Multiple imputation and synthetic data (다중대체와 재현자료 작성)

  • Kim, Joungyoun;Park, Min-Jeong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.83-97
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    • 2019
  • As society develops, the dissemination of microdata has increased to respond to diverse analytical needs of users. Analysis of microdata for policy making, academic purposes, etc. is highly desirable in terms of value creation. However, the provision of microdata, whose usefulness is guaranteed, has a risk of exposure of personal information. Several methods have been considered to ensure the protection of personal information while ensuring the usefulness of the data. One of these methods has been studied to generate and utilize synthetic data. This paper aims to understand the synthetic data by exploring methodologies and precautions related to synthetic data. To this end, we first explain muptiple imputation, Bayesian predictive model, and Bayesian bootstrap, which are basic foundations for synthetic data. And then, we link these concepts to the construction of fully/partially synthetic data. To understand the creation of synthetic data, we review a real longitudinal synthetic data example which is based on sequential regression multivariate imputation.

DEVELOPMENT OF A RECONFIGURABLE CONTROL FOR AN SP-100 SPACE REACTOR

  • Na Man-Gyun;Upadhyaya Belle R.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.63-74
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, a reconfigurable controller consisting of a normal controller and a standby controller is designed to control the thermoelectric (TE) power in the SP-100 space reactor. The normal controller uses a model predictive control (MPC) method where the future TE power is predicted by using support vector regression. A genetic algorithm that can effectively accomplish multiple objectives is used to optimize the normal controller. The performance of the normal controller depends on the capability of predicting the future TE power. Therefore, if the prediction performance is degraded, the proportional-integral (PI) controller of the standby controller begins to work instead of the normal controller. Performance deterioration is detected by a sequential probability ratio test (SPRT). A lumped parameter simulation model of the SP-100 nuclear space reactor is used to verify the proposed reconfigurable controller. The results of numerical simulations to assess the performance of the proposed controller show that the TE generator power level controlled by the proposed reconfigurable controller could track the target power level effectively, satisfying all control constraints. Furthermore, the normal controller is automatically switched to the standby controller when the performance of the normal controller degrades.

Development of Sequential Sampling Plan for Bacterial Leaf Blight of Garlic by Cluster Sampling (클러스터 조사에 의한 마늘 세균점무늬병의 축차표본조사법 개발)

  • Song, Jeong Heub;Yang, Cheol Joon;Yang, Young Taek;Shim, Hong Sik;Jwa, Chang Sook
    • Research in Plant Disease
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.268-272
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    • 2015
  • Bacterial leaf blight caused by Pseudomonas syringae pv. porri is one of the major bacterial diseases of garlic (Allium sativum). In South Korea, the disease has only been observed in garlic-growing regions of Jeju island. The spatial distribution pattern of the disease was analyzed by binary power law, in which the natural logarithm of the observed variance is regressed on the natural logarithm of the binomial variance. The estimated slope (b=1.361) of the regression was greater than 1 which meant that the diseased plants were aggregated. The sequential sampling plans were developed for estimating the mean incidence rate ($p_m$) and classifying the mean incidence as being below or above the critical incidence rate ($p_t$). These results could be used on more efficient and higher precisive sampling for bacterial blight of garlic compared to fixed sample sized sampling.

The Relationship between Children's Information Processing and Basic Learning Abilities (유아의 정보처리능력과 기초학습능력 간 관계)

  • Kim, Nam Hee
    • Korean Journal of Childcare and Education
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.173-189
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship between children's information processing ability and basic learning abilities. To collect the data, two tests were given to 99 children. The Korean K-ABC(Moon & Byun, 1997) and Pictorial Basic Learning Abilities for Children(Kim, 2011) were used to examine the relationship between children's information processing and basic learning abilities. The collected data were analyzed by correlation analysis and multiple regression analysis. According to the results of this study, there was a significant positive correlation between information processing(sequential processing, simultaneous processing) and basic learning abilities including reading, writing, and basic mathematics. And information processing significantly affected basic learning abilities. Namely, simultaneous processing explained 22% of basic learning abilities and by adding sequential processing, the explanation was increased to 25%. In conclusion, the results of this study suggest various implications about children's basic learning abilities. These implications will help teachers and parents to understand their children's learning.

Comparative Study of Approximate Optimization Techniques in CAE-Based Structural Design (구조 최적설계를 위한 다양한 근사 최적화기법의 적용 및 비교에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Chang-Yong;Lee, Jong-Soo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.34 no.11
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    • pp.1603-1611
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    • 2010
  • The comparative study of regression-model-based approximate optimization techniques used in the strength design of an automotive knuckle component that will be under bump and brake loading conditions is carried out. The design problem is formulated such that the cross-sectional sizing variables are determined by minimizing the weight of the knuckle component that is subjected to stresses, deformations, and vibration frequency constraints. The techniques used in the comparative study are sequential approximate optimization (SAO), sequential two-point diagonal quadratic approximate optimization (STDQAO), and approximate optimization based on enhanced moving least squares method (MLSM), such as CF (constraint feasible)-MLSM and Post-MLSM. Commercial process integration and design optimization (PIDO) tools are utilized for the application of SAO and STDQAO. The enhanced MLSM-based approximate optimization techniques are newly developed to ensure constraint feasibility. The results of the approximate optimization techniques are compared with those of actual non-approximate optimization to evaluate their numerical performances.

Development of a Short-term Rainfall Forecast Model Using Sequential CAPPI Data (연속 CAPPI 자료를 이용한 단기강우예측모형 개발)

  • Kim, Gwangseob;Kim, Jong Pil
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.6B
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    • pp.543-550
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    • 2009
  • The traditional simple extrapolation type short term quantitative rainfall forecast can not realize the evolution of rainfall generating weather system. To overcome the drawback of the linear extrapolation type rainfall forecasting model, the history of a weather system from sequential weather radar information and a polynomial regression technique were used to generate forecast fileds of x-directional, y-directional velocities and radar reflectivity which considered the nonlinear behavior related to the evolution of weather systems. Results demonstrated that test statistics of forecasts using the developed model is better than that of 2-CAPPI forecast. However there is still a large room to improve the forecast of spatial and temporal evolution of local storms since the model is not based on a fully physical approach but a statistical approach.

Design of Contact Scheduling System(CSS) for Customer Retention (고객유지를 위한 접촉스케줄링시스템의 설계)

  • Lee, Jee-Sik;Cho, You-Jung
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.83-101
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    • 2005
  • Customer retention is one of the major issues in life insurance industry, in which competition is increasingly fierce. There are many things for the life insurers to do many things to retain the customers. One of those things is to make sure to keep in touch with all customers. When an insurance-planner resigned, his/her customers must be taken care of by some planner-assistants. This article outlines the design of Contact Scheduling System (CSS) that supports planner-assistants for contacting the customers. Planner-assistants are unable to share the resigned insurance-planner's experience and knowledge regarding the customer relationship management. The CSS developed by employing both Classification And Regression Tree (CART) technique and Sequential Pattern Mining (SPM) technique has a two-stage process. In the first stage, it segments the customers into eight groups by CART model. Then it generates contact scheduling information consisting of contact-purpose, contact-interval and contact-channel, according to the segment's typical contact pattern. Contact-purpose is derived by schedule-driven, event-driven, or business-rule-driven. Schedule-driven contact is determined by SPM model. In the operation of CSS in a realistic situation, it shows a practicality in supporting planner-assistants to keep in touch with the customers efficiently and effectively.

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Prognostic Accuracy of the Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment for Outcomes Among Patients with Trauma in the Emergency Department: A Comparison with the Modified Early Warning Score, Revised Trauma Score, and Injury Severity Score

  • Kang, Min Woo;Ko, Seo Young;Song, Sung Wook;Kim, Woo Jeong;Kang, Young Joon;Kang, Kyeong Won;Park, Hyun Soo;Park, Chang Bae;Kang, Jeong Ho;Bu, Ji Hwan;Lee, Sung Kgun
    • Journal of Trauma and Injury
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: To evaluate the severity of trauma, many scoring systems and predictive models have been presented. The quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) is a simple scoring system based on vital signs, and we expect it to be easier to apply to trauma patients than other trauma assessment tools. Methods: This study was a cross-sectional study of trauma patients who visited the emergency department of Jeju National University Hospital. We excluded patients under the age of 18 years and unknown outcomes. We calculated the qSOFA, the Modified Early Warning Score (mEWS), Revised Trauma Score (RTS), and Injury Severity Score (ISS) based on patients' initial vital signs and assessments performed in the emergency department (ED). The primary outcome was mortality within 14 days of trauma. We analyzed qSOFA scores using multivariate logistic regression analysis and compared the predictive accuracy of these scoring systems using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Results: In total, 27,764 patients were analyzed. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis of the qSOFA, the adjusted odds ratios with 95% confidence interval (CI) for mortality relative to a qSOFA score of 0 were 27.82 (13.63-56.79) for a qSOFA score of 1, 373.31 (183.47-759.57) for a qSOFA score of 2, and 494.07 (143.75-1698.15) for a qSOFA score of 3. In the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis for the qSOFA, mEWS, ISS, and RTS in predicting the outcomes, for mortality, the AUROC for the qSOFA (AUROC [95% CI]; 0.912 [0.871-0.952]) was significantly greater than those for the ISS (0.700 [0.608-0.793]) and RTS (0.160 [0.108-0.211]). Conclusions: The qSOFA was useful for predicting the prognosis of trauma patients evaluated in the ED.

A Ppoisson Regression Aanlysis of Physician Visits (외래이용빈도 분석의 모형과 기법)

  • 이영조;한달선;배상수
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.159-176
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    • 1993
  • The utilization of outpatient care services involves two steps of sequential decisions. The first step decision is about whether to initiate the utilization and the second one is about how many more visits to make after the initiation. Presumably, the initiation decision is largely made by the patient and his or her family, while the number of additional visits is decided under a strong influence of the physician. Implication is that the analysis of the outpatient care utilization requires to specify each of the two decisions underlying the utilization as a distinct stochastic process. This paper is concerned with the number of physician visits, which is, by definition, a discrete variable that can take only non-negative integer values. Since the initial visit is considered in the analysis of whether or not having made any physician visit, the focus on the number of visits made in addition to the initial one must be enough. The number of additional visits, being a kind of count data, could be assumed to exhibit a Poisson distribution. However, it is likely that the distribution is over dispersed since the number of physician visits tends to cluster around a few values but still vary widely. A recently reported study of outpatient care utilization employed an analysis based upon the assumption of a negative binomial distribution which is a type of overdispersed Poisson distribution. But there is an indication that the use of Poisson distribution making adjustments for over-dispersion results in less loss of efficiency in parameter estimation compared to the use of a certain type of distribution like a negative binomial distribution. An analysis of the data for outpatient care utilization was performed focusing on an assessment of appropriateness of available techniques. The data used in the analysis were collected by a community survey in Hwachon Gun, Kangwon Do in 1990. It was observed that a Poisson regression with adjustments for over-dispersion is superior to either an ordinary regression or a Poisson regression without adjustments oor over-dispersion. In conclusion, it seems the most approprite to assume that the number of physician visits made in addition to the initial visist exhibits an overdispersed Poisson distribution when outpatient care utilization is studied based upon a model which embodies the two-part character of the decision process uderlying the utilization.

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Sequential Extraction of Cd, Zn, Cu, and Pb from the Polluted Paddy Soils and Their Behavior (중금속 오염지 논토양의 Cd, Zn, Cu, Pb의 연속 침출 방법 비교와 연차적 오염도 변화)

  • Yoo, Sun-Ho;Lee, Jong-Ryul;Kim, Key-Hoon
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.207-217
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    • 1995
  • Extracting efficiencies of seven extracting solutions currently employed in extracting heavy metals from soils were compared and the functional relationships among them were calculated by regression analysis for Cd, Zn, Cu, and Pb. Extracting solutions employed were 0.1M HCl, 0.1M $HNO_3$, 0.05M EDTA, 0.001M DTPA(pH 7.3), 1M $NH_4OAc$ (pH 7.0), 0.1M $NH_4Ox$, and 4M $HNO_3$ respectively. Soil samples were collected from rice paddy fields near old zinc mining sites and from rice paddy fields near agro-industry complexes. Soils sampled from old zinc mining sites were also extracted using a sequential extraction method. Extraction by 4M $HNO_3$ and sequential extraction were performed on the samples collected both in 1979 and in 1991 to investigate the change in content and in chemical form of heavy metals. Functional relationships among the extracting solutions were highly correlated for Cd and Zn, whereas those for Cu and Pb were not. The predominant chemical form of Cd. Zn, Cu, and Pb in soils from old zinc mining sites was found to be of sulfide/residue form. The exchangeable form of Cd, the organically bound form of Cu, and the carbonate form of Pb were relatively high, while the sulfide/residue form of Zn was very high(> 79%). Although transformation among the extracted forms was not clear during those 12 years, a decrease in total content of Cd, Zn, Cu, and Pb was clearly observed.

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