• 한국자동차공학회논문집
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• 제16권6호
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• pp.1-9
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• 2008

The current test methods are insufficient to evaluate and ensure the safety and reliability of vehicle system for all possible dynamic situation including the worst case such as rollover, spin-out and so on. Although the known NHTSA J-turn and Fish-hook steering maneuvers are applied for the vehicle performance assessment, they aren't enough to estimate other possible worst case scenarios. Therefore, it is crucial for us to verify the various worst cases including the existing severe steering maneuvers. This paper includes the procedure to search for other useful worst case based upon the existing worst case scenarios mentioned above and its application in simulation basis. The only human steering angle is selected as a design parameter here and optimized to maximize the index function to be expressed in terms of either roll angle or yaw rate. The obtained scenarios were enough to generate the worst case to meet NHTSA worst case definition (ex.2-inch wheel lift). Additionally, as an application, the worst case steering maneuver is acquired for the vehicle to operate with a simple ESP system. It has been concluded that the new procedure in this paper is adequate to create other feasible worst case scenarios for a vehicle system both with an intelligent safety control system and without it.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• 제12권9호
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• pp.4122-4143
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• 2018

Because of the increment in network scale and test expenditure, simulators gradually become main tools for research on key problems of wireless networking, such as radio resource management (RRM) techniques. However, existing simulators are generally event-driven, causing unacceptably large simulation time owing to the tremendous number of events handled during a simulation. In this article, a mass-processing framework for RRM simulations is proposed for the scenarios with a massive amount of terminals of Internet of Things accessing 5G communication systems, which divides the time axis into RRM periods and each period into a number of mini-slots. Transmissions within the coverage of each access point are arranged into mini-slots based on the simulated RRM schemes, and mini-slots are almost fully occupied in dense scenarios. Because the sizes of matrices during this process are only decided by the fixed number of mini-slots in a period, the time expended for performance calculation is not affected by the number of terminals or packets. Therefore, by avoiding the event-driven process, the proposal can simulate dense scenarios in a quite limited time. By comparing with a classical event-driven simulator, NS2, we show the significant merits of our proposal on low time and memory costs.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.81-90
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• 2014

Modern systems can be characterized by ever-increasing complexity of both the functionality and system scale. Thus, due to the complexity the chances of accidents resulting from systems failure can then be growing. Even worse is that those accidents could result in disastrous damage to the human being and properties as well. Therefore, the need for the developed systems to be assured with systems safety is apparent in a variety of industries such as rail, automobiles, airplanes, ships, oil refinery, chemical production plants, and so on. To this end, in the industry an appropriate safety standard has been published for its own safety-assured products. One of the core activities included in the most safety standards is hazard analysis. A conventional approach to hazard analysis seems to depend upon the scenarios derived from the ones used previously in similar systems or based on former experience. The objective of this paper is to study an improved process for scenario-based hazard analysis. To achieve the goal, the top-level safety requirements have first been reflected in the scenarios. By analyzing and using them, the result has then lead to the development of safety-assured systems. The method of modeling and simulation has been adopted in the generation and verification of scenarios to check whether the safety requirements are reflected properly in the scenarios. Application of the study result in the case of rail safety assurance has also been discussed.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제30권2호
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• pp.212-219
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• 2014

In this study, a land pollutant load calculation method in TMDLs was improved to consider climate change scenarios. In order to evaluate the new method, future change in rainfall patterns was predicted by using SRES A1B climate change scenarios and then post-processing methods such as change factor (CF) and quantile mapping (QM) were applied to correct the bias between the predicted and the observed rainfall patterns. Also, future land pollutant loads were estimated by using both the bias corrected rainfall patterns and the enhanced method. For the results of bias correction, both methods (CF and QM) predicted the temporal trend of the past rainfall patterns and QM method showed future daily average precipitation in the range of 1.1~7.5 mm and CF showed it in the range of 1.3~6.8 mm from 2014 to 2100. Also, in the result of the estimation of future land pollutant loads using the enhanced method (2020, 2040, 2100), TN loads were in the range of 4316.6~6138.6 kg/day and TP loads were in the range of 457.0~716.5 kg/day. However, each result of TN and TP loads in 2020, 2040, 2100 was the same with the original method. The enhanced method in this study will be useful to predict land pollutant loads under the influence of climate change because it can reflect future change in rainfall patterns. Also, it is expected that the results of this study are used as a base data of TMDLs in case of applying for climate change scenarios.

• 한국습지학회지
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.383-392
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• 2014

본 연구의 목적은 LISFLOOD 모형을 이용하여 범람해석을 수행하고, 그 결과를 FLUMEN 모형에 의해 작성된 홍수범람도와 비교함으로써 국내하천에 대한 LISFLOOD 모형의 적용성을 평가하는 것이다. 이를 위해서 파제 시나리오를 작성하여 LISFLOOD 모형을 이용한 범람해석에 적용하였으며, 파제 시나리오별 범람해석 결과를 평가하였다. LISFLOOD 모형을 이용한 파제 시나리오별 범람해석 결과, FLUMEN 모형에 의해 작성된 홍수범람도와의 각 파제 구간별 범람면적의 상대오차가 0.2% ~ 42% 정도로 파제 지점에 따라서 다소 상이한 결과를 나타내었다. 그러나 홍수위험지도 제작방법과 같이 파제 시나리오의 범람해석 결과를 중첩하여 작성된 두 모형의 최대 범람면적에서는 약 1.2%의 상대오차를 보임으로써 서로 유사한 결과를 나타내었다. 한편 LISFLOOD 모형은 입력자료의 구축이 용이한 격자형태의 DEM과 상류단 경계조건인 수문곡선만을 활용하여 범람해석을 할 수 있으며, 범람해석에 소요되는 시간이 FLUMEN 모형보다 짧은 것으로 나타났다. 그러므로 신속한 범람해석이 필요한 지역에 대해서는 LISFLOOD 모형의 활용이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제48권10호
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• pp.817-830
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• 2015

본 연구에서는 기후변화 시나리오의 미래 전망 불확실성 요소를 감안한 근 미래(2011~2040년) 극치 강수전망과 빈도분석을 CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5) 9개 GCMs (General Circulation Models)를 사용하여 수행하였다. 또한, 기후자료의 유역규모 비모수적 상세화 및 편이보정 기법을 적용하여, 다중 모델 앙상블(MME)을 통한 불확실성 분석을 수행하였다. 분석결과, RCP4.5와 RCP8.5 시나리오 모두 한반도 근 미래 극치 강수특성인자의 연간 변동성과 불확실성이 커지는 것으로 분석되었으며, 강우빈도해석 결과 2040년까지 50년과 100년 빈도 확률강수량이 최대 4.2~10.9% 증가할 것으로 분석되었다. 본 연구 결과는 다중모델 앙상블 GCMs의 불확실성을 고려한 국가수자원 장기종합개발계획과 기후변화 적응대책 마련 등 기후변화 방재관련 정책결정 및 의사결정 지원 자료로 활용이 가능할 것이다.

• 대기
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• 제29권5호
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• pp.585-597
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• 2019

This study evaluates the performance of Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in simulating temperature over the COordinated Regional climate Downscaling EXperiment-East Asia (CORDEX-EA) Phase 2 domain for the reference period (1981~2005), and assesses the changes in temperature and its extremes in the mid-21st century (2026~2050) under global warming based on Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios. MPI-ESM-LR forced by two RCP scenarios (RCP2.6 and RCP8.5) is used as initial and lateral boundary conditions. Overall, WRF can capture the observed features of temperature distribution reflecting local topographic characteristic, despite some disagreement between the observed and simulated patterns. Basically, WRF shows a systematic cold bias in daily mean, minimum and maximum temperature over the entire domain. According to the future projections, summer and winter mean temperatures over East Asia will significantly increase in the mid-21st century. The mean temperature rise is expected to be greater in winter than in summer. In accordance with these results, summer (winter) is projected to begin earlier (later) in the future compared to the historical period. Furthermore, a rise in extreme temperatures shows a tendency to be greater in the future. The averages of daily minimum and maximum temperatures above 90 percentiles are likely to be intensified in the high-latitude, while hot days and hot nights tend to be more frequent in the low-latitude in the mid-21st century. Especially, East Asia would be suffered from strong increases in nocturnal temperature under future global warming.

• 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.15-23
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• 2013

공학설계분야에서 시뮬레이션 모델을 이용한 실험은 매우 중요한 역할을 한다. 그러나 최적의 설계 파라미터를 구하기 위한 시뮬레이션 실험은 많은 실행시간과 자원의 소요를 필요로 한다. 이를 극복하는 방안으로 입력 변수와 성능척도 간의 관계를 표현한 메타모형이 효과적으로 이용된다. 메타모형을 수립하기 위해서는 샘플 시나리오들을 입력으로 하는 시뮬레이션 실행이 요구된다. 이때 샘플 시나리의 수와 질이 메타 모형을 수립하는데 걸리는 시간과 메타모형의 정확성을 결정한다. 공간채움 특성은 샘플 시나리오들의 질을 결정하는 중요한 조건이 된다. 이 논문은 maxmin, Audze-Eglais, centered L2-discrepancy의 3가지 공간채움 척도에 기초한 샘플 시나리오 생성 방법을 제안하고, 실험을 통해 이들 생성방법에 대한 성능을 분석한 결과를 논의한다.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• 제53권4호
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• pp.431-439
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• 2015

본 연구에서는 LPG(Liquefied Petroleum Gas) 인수기지에 대해 HAZOP(Hazard and Operability), LOPA(Layer of Protection Analysis) 및 SIL(Safety Integrity Level) 위험성 평가기법을 적용하여, 국내 LPG 인수기지 중 사고발생시 피해영향이 가장 큰 부탄 및 프로판 저장탱크를 중심으로, 사고위험성을 감소시킬 수 있는 방안을 고찰하였다. HAZOP 기법을 통해 잠재위험성을 분석하여 사고시나리오를 도출하고, 사고피해영향이 큰 시나리오를 선정하여 LOPA를 분석하였다. LOPA 분석시에는 해당시나리오에 대한 IPL(Independent Protection Layer)을 분석하여 완화된 결과의 빈도를 도출한 후, 설정된 위험성 허용기준($1.0{\times}10^{-05}$/년)에 대한 충족여부를 판단하였다. LOPA의 독립방호계층으로서 SIF(Safety Instrumented Functions)의 경제성을 분석하여 SIF가 현장의 특성에 맞는 IPL이 되도록 개선안을 제시하였다. 또한, 독립방호계층으로서 해당공정에 사용된 SIF의 수준을 분석해보고, SIF의 수준에 따라 공정의 사고발생빈도가 어느 정도 변화하는지를 당해 공정에서 도출된 사고시나리오를 중심으로 연구하였다.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.213-240
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• 2012

Safety critical systems, real time systems, and event-based systems have a complex set of events and their own interdependency, which makes them difficult to test ma Safety critic Safety critical systems, real time systems, and event-based systems have a complex set of events and their own interdependency, which makes them difficult to test manually. In order to cut down on costs, save time, and increase reliability, the model based testing approach is the best solution. Such an approach does not require applications or codes prior to generating test cases, so it leads to the early detection of faults, which helps in reducing the development time. Several model-based testing approaches have used different UML models but very few works have been reported to show the generation of test cases that use events. Test cases that use events are an apt choice for these types of systems. However, these works have considered events that happen at a user interface level in a system while other events that happen in a system are not considered. Such works have limited applications in testing the GUI of a system. In this paper, a novel model-based testing approach is presented using business events, state events, and control events that have been captured directly from requirement specifications. The proposed approach documents events in event templates and then builds an event-flow model and a fault model for a system. Test coverage criterion and an algorithm are designed using these models to generate event sequence based test scenarios and test cases. Unlike other event based approaches, our approach is able to detect the proposed faults in a system. A prototype tool is developed to automate and evaluate the applicability of the entire process. Results have shown that the proposed approach and supportive tool is able to successfully derive test scenarios and test cases from the requirement specifications of safety critical systems, real time systems, and event based systems.