• 한국수자원학회논문집
• /
• 제41권4호
• /
• pp.365-377
• /
• 2008

본 논문에서는 다기준 의사결정 방법의 하나인 PROMETHEE(Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluations)를 적용하여 도시유역내 소유역간의 상대적 침수위험도를 산정하였다. 이를 위해 도시유역의 침수에 영향을 미치는 인자를 선정하여 이를 PROMETHEE 적용을 위한 평가기준으로 활용하였다. 침수발생에 영향을 미치는 인자로는 유역의 평균고도, 평균경사, 관밀도, 인구수, 단위면적당 유사발생량으로 선정하였다. 선정된 인자를 바탕으로 PROMETHEE를 적용하여 산정된 소유역간 상대적 침수위험도를 '98년 침수실적 결과와 유사발생에 따른 상대적 침수위험도와 비교 분석하였다. 유사발생량만을 근거로 한 침수위험도에 비해 다양한 인자를 고려하여 산정된 소유역간 침수위험도가 '98년 침수실적 결과와 더 일치하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 논문에서 적용된 PROMETHEE에 의한 평가방법은 침수 예상지역의 사전 예방을 위한 정비 사업 계획 추진에 있어서 우선순위에 대한 방향을 결정하는데 있어서 기초자료가 될 수 있을 것이다.

• Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
• /
• 제4권1호
• /
• pp.29-36
• /
• 2014

Tunnelling has become a preferred method of construction for road and highway projects in countries with a lot of hilly slope geological conditions such as found in Malaysia. However the construction works of a tunnelling project are usually complicated and costly, which consequently impose great risks to the parties involved. This paper identifies the key significant risks and sub-risks for tunnelling construction projects in Malaysia through a case study. Interview has been used as the solitary means to determine the significant risks from contractor's eleven key project personnel who were directly involved in the tunnelling construction such as consultant, construction manager and tunnel engineers. The importance of the risks identified is then prioritised and ranked via the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)'s pairwise comparison approach to determine their criticality towards a successful delivery of project. As a result, three key risks have been identified as significant for the tunnelling case study project, namely health and safety, cost overrun in construction and time overrun in construction. Two sub-risks each of the latter categories, which are cost underestimation and unforeseen events (cost overrun in construction) as well as plant and machinery failure and delay in material delivery (time overrun in construction), have occupied the top five overall risk ranking.

• 국제학술발표논문집
• /
• The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
• /
• pp.1364-1369
• /
• 2009

The building construction projects include a variety of risk factors due to uncertainties. To succeed in the projects, it is important how risks are managed. Risk management is composed of identification, analysis and response. Especially, the risk analysis is important to objectively calculate significance of risk factors. This paper evaluates a method to find priorities of risks using the AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process). The method has some defects; (1) the consistency becomes weak as the number of pair-wise compared risks is large, and (2) the input and output procedures are complex when risks are added to or removed from a risk database. Thus the paper adopt the PROMETHEE(Preference Ranking Organization METHod Enrichment Evaluations) analysis process which is able to overcome the limitation of the AHP restricted to 9 risk factors. The PROMETHEE method makes the procedure of risk analysis simple, when the risk factors pull out and put in the risk database. The purpose of this study is to prove the possibility of the PROMETHEE analysis process by being compared with AHP.

• 환경영향평가
• /
• 제6권1호
• /
• pp.93-103
• /
• 1997

LHR(Landfill Site Hazard Ranking Model) was developed for ranking the relative hazard of landfill sites by using the method of value-structured approach. LHR consists of combining a multiattribute decision-making method with a Qualitative risk assessment approach. A pairwise com parisian method was applied to determine weights of landfill site factors related. To determine the hazard of landfill site, hydrogeological factors, waste characteristics factors and receptors factors were evaluated by LHR. LHR can help decision-makers prioritization of remediation of landfill sites through the relatively convenient and concise evaluation method of landfill site features related. LHR focuses mainly on pathways of groundwater and surfacewater for evaluating landfill hazard to receptors including humans. To validiate the applicability of LHR, Nanjido Landfill site, Metropolitan Landfill site, and Hwasung Landfill site were evaluated.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
• /
• 제10권4호
• /
• pp.93-104
• /
• 2008

A successful fire risk assessment is depends on identification of risk, the analytical process of potential risk, on estimation of likelihood and the width and depth of consequence. Take the influence on enterprise into consideration, Fire risk assessment could carry out along the evaluation of the risk importance, the risk level and the risk acceptance. A large part of the limitation of choosing the risk assessment techniques impose restrictions on expense and time. If it is unnecessary high level risk assessment or Probabilistic Risk Assessment of buildings, in compliance with the Relative Ranking Method, Fire risk indexing and assessing is possible. As working-level technique, AHP method is useful with practical technique.

• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
• /
• 제25권1호
• /
• pp.67-85
• /
• 2018

We propose a noise reduced risk aversion index for measuring risk aversion through a laboratory experiment to overcome disadvantages of the multiple pricing list format developed by Holt and Laury (2002). We use randomized multiple list choices with coarser classification and reward weighting, supplement the rank of risk aversion with extra individual characteristics of risk attitude, and construct an index of risk aversion by standardizing the risk aversion ranking with quantile normalization. Our method reduces multiple switching problems that noisy decision makers mistakenly commit in experimental approaches, so that it is free of the framing effect which severely occurred in the HL. Furthermore, the index doesn't utilize any specific utility function or probability weighting, which allows researcher to hold the independence axiom. Since our noise reduced index of risk aversion has many good traits, it is widely used and applied to reveal fundamental characteristics of risk-related behaviors in economics and finance regardless of experimental environment.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
• /
• 제58권3호
• /
• pp.438-449
• /
• 2020

본 연구는 화학 및 석유화학 플랜트 등의 장치산업에서 사업장 외부로 유해화학물질이 누출·확산되어 발생할 수 있는 배상책임 위험도에 대한 산정 방식을 개선하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 환경부 사고대비 물질(14종)에 대해 누출·확산 시뮬레이션, 화학물질 누출사고 사례 분석, 식물피해 영향 자료 분석 등을 통하여 화학물질 누출사고 배상책임 위험도와의 상관관계인자를 도출하였고, 도출된 결과를 바탕으로 화학물질 배상 책임 위험도 산정 방법을 수정·보완하였다. 14종의 화학물질의 Probit 값과 EURAM 배상책임 위험도의 상관계수는 -0.526로 나타났고, 수정된 화학물질 누출사고 배상책임 위험도와의 상관계수는 0.319로 상관성이 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 수정된 산정 방법론으로 97종에 대한 배상책임 위험도와 ERPG-2 값의 상관계수는 -0.494로 분석되었고, 이는 기존 배상책임 위험도와의 상관관계보다 약 19배 높은 상관관계를 보였고, 부식위험도 값과의 상관계수는 0.91로 분석되었다. 위험도의 증가와 감소에 영향을 미친 상관관계 인자의 표준화 회귀계수(β) 값은 Corrosion Index (0.713), ERPG-2 (0.400), NFPA_Health Index (0.068) 크기 순서로 도출되었다. 이러한 연구결과는 기존과 신규 화학물질의 합리적인 배상책임 위험도 산정이 가능하게 하고, 사업장에서 정량적인 배상책임 위험관리 지표로 활용하는데 도움이 되리라 판단된다.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
• /
• pp.115-118
• /
• 2008

In this study, PROMETHEE(Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluations) which is one of the multi criteria decision making methods is applied to estimate the relative inundation risk of the urban subcatchment. For this purpose, five factors which have an effect on the inundation risk are selected and used to perform PROMETHEE. Those are elevation average, slope average, density of conduit, population and sediment yields per unit area of each subcatchment. Based on them, PROMETHEE is performed and the relative inundation risk for each subcatchment is estimated. Sensitivity anlysis is conducted to evaluate each factor's effect on subcatchment and it is found that suggested method can be used to establish a practical guide to mitigate the inundation.

• 환경영향평가
• /
• 제6권2호
• /
• pp.113-121
• /
• 1997

LHR(Landfill Hazard Ranking Model) was developed for assessing the relative hazard of landfills by using the method of value-structured approach. LHR consists of combining a multiattribute decision-making method with a qualitative risk assessment approach. A pairwise comparision method was applied to determine weights of landfill factors related. To prove the validity of weights allocation of landfill hazard evaluation factors, sensitivity analysis was applied. Firstly, the impact on landfill hazard score according to variations of weights of landfill hazard factors was analyzed. Secondly, the impact on landfill hazard score according to conditions change of landfill hazard factors was analyzed. As a result of sensitivity analysis, LHR composite scores are largely influenced by some factors following sequential order such as waste volume, proximity to sensitive environments, containment facilities, distance from drinking water supplies, and waste toxicity. The relative order of landfill hazard evaluated by LHR is not influenced by the weights change of individual factors. Therefore, LHR seems to be a credible model to determine priorities of landfill remediation based on the vulnerability of water resources.

• 대한인간공학회지
• /
• 제31권1호
• /
• pp.143-149
• /
• 2012

Objective: The aim of this study is to gain an overview of the risk assessment and management system in the shipbuilding industry. Background: The use of risk assessment techniques has grown significantly in recent years. Method: Various references have been reviewed to evaluate risk assessment and management policy. Results: Adapting the risk assessment system has become an important approach not only to prevent industrial accidents but also to enhance the efficiency of works for shipbuilding workers. Conclusion: Risk assessment is an approved technology for operators to address larger hazards, and to ensure risks have been reduced to appropriate levels cost effectively. Application: These results can be used to provide baseline information for risk assessment and management policy.