• 제목/요약/키워드: risk process

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위해성평가와 관리를 고려한 유전자변형작물 개발의 필요성 (Development of genetically modified crops based on considerations of risk assessment and management)

  • 김창기;정순천;윤원기;박기웅;최경화;김환묵
    • Journal of Plant Biotechnology
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.360-365
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    • 2009
  • Over the last five years, we have conducted research on risk assessment of domestically developed genetically modified (GM) crops and found a number of factors which could delay risk assessment process. In this review, we described such cases and discussed the problem of transgene cassette integration, the lack of information on vectors, the poor quality control in seed production and absence of bioinformatic analysis on amino acid sequence homology before GM crop development. To solve these problems, we have suggested the introduction of the screening system of elite event before risk assessment process and quality control strategies for GM seed production. In addition, we suggested that the developers of GM crops should understand the importance of risk assessment and management for the commercialization of those crops and consider the biological and ecological characteristics of host plants. Consistent communications may need to be established between GM crop developers, risk assessors and risk managers at the initial stages of GM crop development to reduce trial-and-errors.

CONSTRUCTION SCHEDULE DELAY RISK ASSESSMENT BY USING COMBINED AHP-RII METHODOLOGY FOR AN INTERNATIONAL NPP PROJECT

  • HOSSEN, MUHAMMED MUFAZZAL;KANG, SUNKOO;KIM, JONGHYUN
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제47권3호
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    • pp.362-379
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    • 2015
  • In this study, Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) construction schedule delay risk assessment methodology is developed and the construction delay risk is assessed for turnkey international NPP projects. Three levels of delay factors were selected through literature review and discussions with nuclear industry experts. A questionnaire survey was conducted on the basis of an analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and Relative Importance Index (RII) methods and the schedule delay risk is assessed qualitatively and quantitatively by severity and frequency of occurrence of delay factors. This study assigns four main delay factors to the first level: main contractor, utility, regulatory authority, and financial and country factor. The second and the third levels are designed with 12 sub-factors and 32 sub-sub-factors, respectively. This study finds the top five most important sub-sub-factors, which are as follows: policy changes, political instability and public intervention; uncompromising regulatory criteria and licensing documents conflicting with existing regulations; robust design document review procedures; redesign due to errors in design and design changes; and worldwide shortage of qualified and experienced nuclear specific equipment manufacturers. The proposed combined AHP-RII methodology is capable of assessing delay risk effectively and efficiently. Decision makers can apply risk informed decision making to avoid unexpected construction delays of NPPs.

건설안전감리제도가 위험제어 및 절감에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Construction Safety Supervision System on Risk Control and Reduction)

  • 임진상;강경식
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2018
  • This study is intended to look into the effect of construction safety supervision system on risk control and reduction. To achieve this, a survey was carried out to 114 companies in construction, ordering, contract and management. The overall findings were as follows. The effect of construction safety supervision system on risk control and reduction showed that factors of supervision system, supervision cost and supervision method had a positive effect on risk control and reduction. And their perception of the introduction of safety supervision system in construction sites according to process showed that there was a difference between them according to the field of ordering, contract and supervision. There was the biggest difference between owner and contractor in double supervision system, but no difference between them in the perception of risk reduction. These results show that all ordering, contract and supervision are positively needed for the introduction of construction safety supervision. This means that there is a difference between owner and contractor in the perception of process according to system operation. All companies agree to system improvement by the settlement of safety supervision system for the prevention of safety accidents and safe construction, but the systematic complement of safety supervision is the burden of contractor. And there is a big difference between owner and contractor in the perception of responsibility and concern for cost burden.

RUIN PROBABILITIES IN THE RISK MODEL WITH TWO COMPOUND BINOMIAL PROCESSES

  • Zhang, Mao-Jun;Nan, Jiang-Xia;Wang, Sen
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제26권1_2호
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    • pp.191-201
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we consider an insurance risk model governed by a compound Binomial arrival claim process and by a compound Binomial arrival premium process. Some formulas for the probabilities of ruin and the distribution of ruin time are given, we also prove the integral equation of the ultimate ruin probability and obtain the Lundberg inequality by the discrete martingale approach.

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하악 과두 골절과 측두하악관절과의 관계 (Correlation Between Mandibular Condylar Process Fracture and Temporomandibular Joint)

  • 문철웅;김수관;오지수
    • Maxillofacial Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery
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    • 제32권5호
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    • pp.488-492
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    • 2010
  • This review evaluates the literature on the relationship between mandibular condylar process fracture and temporomadibular joint (TMJ). The topic of condylar fracture generated more discussion and controversy than any other field of maxillofacial trauma associated with TMJ. Disturbance of occlusal function, devia-tion of mandible, internal derangements of TMJ, and ankylosis of the joint with resultant inability to move the jaw are sequelae of condylar process fracture. Thus it is necessary to understand how the masticatory system adapts to the structural alterations that accompany fractures of the mandibular condyle. Treatment of condylar process fracture include two methods ; closed treatment and open treatment. If one chooses totreat closed, one must understand that adaptations in the musculature, skeleton, and dentition will be necessary. Open treatment of condylar process fractures probably requires fewer adaptations within the masticatory system to provide a favorable functional outcome. However, one must weigh the risk of open surgery against the possible improvement in outcome. The risks are not just surgical risk, but biological risk as well, such as disruption of the blood supply to the condyle. This review presents relevant aspects of change of TMJ associated with condylar process fracture.

Two-Dimensional Qualitative Asset Analysis Method based on Business Process-Oriented Asset Evaluation

  • Eom, Jung-Ho;Park, Seon-Ho;Kim, Tae-Kyung;Chung, Tai-Myoung
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.79-85
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we dealt with substantial asset analysis methodology applied to two-dimensional asset classification and qualitative evaluation method according to the business process. Most of the existent risk analysis methodology and tools presented classification by asset type and physical evaluation by a quantitative method. We focused our research on qualitative evaluation with 2-dimensional asset classification. It converts from quantitative asset value with purchase cost, recovery and exchange cost, etc. to qualitative evaluation considering specific factors related to the business process. In the first phase, we classified the IT assets into tangible and intangible assets, including human and information data asset, and evaluated their value. Then, we converted the quantitative asset value to the qualitative asset value using a conversion standard table. In the second phase, we reclassified the assets using 2-dimensional classification factors reflecting the business process, and applied weight to the first evaluation results. This method is to consider the organization characteristics, IT asset structure scheme and business process. Therefore, we can evaluate the concrete and substantial asset value corresponding to the organization business process, even if they are the same asset type.

고무제품제조공장의 가류공정에 설치된 유도전동기의 설치환경 및 화재위험성 분석 (Analysis of Installation Environment and Fire Risk of Induction Motors Installed in the Curing Process of a Rubber Product Manufacturing Plant)

  • 이종찬;김두현;김성철
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzed the fire status of a rubber product manufacturing factory based on 19 years of fire data. Through the analysis of the current state of fire, electrical fires accounted for 58.19%, and among electrical fires, motor fires were the highest at 26.21%. For the motor fire occurrence process, the curing process accounted for the highest rate of 51.9%. Therefore, the installation environment was investigated for the motor in the curing process, and it was confirmed that the motor's maximum ambient temperature exceeded 40℃. In particular, in the case of the motor for curing operation, the motor was installed in a separate motor room, so the average indoor temperature was 48.10℃ and the motor frame's maximum temperature was 72.80℃. In this study, the risk of motor fire was confirmed through a field survey, and a safety management plan was derived by finding a process with high fire risk and conducting an experiment on the motor's installation environment and electrical characteristics in that process.

A decision support system (DSS) for construction risk efficiency in Taiwan

  • Tsai, Tsung-Chieh;Li, Hsiang-Wen
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.249-255
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    • 2018
  • Many studies in risk management have been focused on management process, contract relation, and risk analysis in the past decade, but very few studies have addressed project risks from the perspective of risk efficiency. This study started with using Fault Tree Analysis to develop a framework for the decision-making support system of risk management from the perspective of risk efficiency, in order for the support system to find risk strategies of optimal combination for the project manager by the trade-off between project risk and cost of project strategies. Comprehensive and realistic risk strategies must strive for optimal decisions that minimize project risks and risk strategies cost while addressing important data such as risk causes, risk probability, risk impact and risk strategies cost. The risk management in the construction phase of building projects in Taiwan upon important data has been analyzed, that provided the data for support system to include 247 risk causes. Then, 17 risk causes were extracted to demonstrates the decision-making support system of risk management from the perspective of risk efficiency in building project of Taiwan which could reach better combination type of risk strategies for the project manager by the trade-off between risk cost and project risk.

지속적 제품관여도와 소비자 요구신뢰수준 간의 영향관계: 인지된 위험의 매개 역할에 대한 실증분석을 중심으로 (The Mediating Role of Perceived Risk in the Relationships Between Enduring Product Involvement and Trust Expectation)

  • 홍일유;김태하;차훈상
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.103-128
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    • 2013
  • When a consumer needs a product or service and multiple sellers are available online, the process of selecting a seller to buy online from is complex since the process involves many behavioral dimensions that have to be taken into account. As a part of this selection process, consumers may set minimum trust expectation that can be used to screen out less trustworthy sellers. In the previous research, the level of consumers' trust expectation has been anchored on two important factors: product involvement and perceived risk. Product involvement refers to the extent to which a consumer perceives a specific product important. Thus, the higher product involvement may result in the higher trust expectation in sellers. On the other hand, other related studies found that when consumers perceived a higher level of risk (e.g., credit card fraud risk), they set higher trust expectation as well. While abundant research exists addressing the relationship between product involvement and perceived risk, little attention has been paid to the integrative view of the link between the two constructs and their impacts on the trust expectation. The present paper is a step toward filling this research gap. The purpose of this paper is to understand the process by which a consumer chooses an online merchant by examining the relationships among product involvement, perceived risk, trust expectation, and intention to buy from an e-tailer. We specifically focus on the mediating role of perceived risk in the relationships between enduring product involvement and the trust expectation. That is, we question whether product involvement affects the trust expectation directly without mediation or indirectly mediated by perceived risk. The research model with four hypotheses was initially tested using data gathered from 635 respondents through an online survey method. The structural equation modeling technique with partial least square was used to validate the instrument and the proposed model. The results showed that three out of the four hypotheses formulated were supported. First, we found that the intention to buy from a digital storefront is positively and significantly influenced by the trust expectation, providing support for H4 (trust expectation ${\rightarrow}$ purchase intention). Second, perceived risk was found to be a strong predictor of trust expectation, supporting H2 as well (perceived risk ${\rightarrow}$ trust expectation). Third, we did not find any evidence of direct influence of product involvement, which caused H3 to be rejected (product involvement ${\rightarrow}$ trust expectation). Finally, we found significant positive relationship between product involvement and perceived risk (H1: product involvement ${\rightarrow}$ perceived risk), which suggests that the possibility of complete mediation of perceived risk in the relationship between enduring product involvement and the trust expectation. As a result, we conducted an additional test for the mediation effect by comparing the original model with the revised model without the mediator variable of perceived risk. Indeed, we found that there exists a strong influence of product involvement on the trust expectation (by intentionally eliminating the variable of perceived risk) that was suppressed (i.e., mediated) by the perceived risk in the original model. The Sobel test statistically confirmed the complete mediation effect. Results of this study offer the following key findings. First, enduring product involvement is positively related to perceived risk, implying that the higher a consumer is enduringly involved with a given product, the greater risk he or she is likely to perceive with regards to the online purchase of the product. Second, perceived risk is positively related to trust expectation. A consumer with great risk perceptions concerning the online purchase is likely to buy from a highly trustworthy online merchant, thereby mitigating potential risks. Finally, product involvement was found to have no direct influence on trust expectation, but the relationship between the two constructs was indirect and mediated by the perceived risk. This is perhaps an important theoretical integration of two separate streams of literature on product involvement and perceived risk. The present research also provides useful implications for practitioners as well as academicians. First, one implication for practicing managers in online retail stores is that they should invest in reducing the perceived risk of consumers in order to lower down the trust expectation and thus increasing the consumer's intention to purchase products or services. Second, an academic implication is that perceived risk mediates the relationship between enduring product involvement and trust expectation. Further research is needed to elaborate the theoretical relationships among the constructs under consideration.

공동주택 리모델링 초기 단계 의사결정을 위한 확률론적 리스크 기반 비용 예측 모델 개발 (A Probabilistic Risk-based Cost Estimation Model for Initial-Stage Decision Making on Apartment Remolding Projects)

  • 이동건;차희성
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.70-79
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    • 2016
  • 건축 리모델링 공사비는 신축과 달리 기존 건축물이 지니는 설계제약여건과 공사환경에 따른 다양한 영향인자들(내구연한, 지반상태, 대지여건 등)에 의해 영향을 받기 마련이다. 이러한 리모델링 사업의 성공적 수행을 위해서는 의사결정과정에서 다양한 불확실성 인자들에 대한 명확한 진단이 필수적이다. 현행 리모델링 비용 견적 프로세스를 살펴보면, 과거 신축 건물의 경험치에 전적으로 의존하고 있을 뿐만 아니라, 불확실성에 입각한 체계적인 평가 방법론이 구축되어 있지 않아서 공사비 증가 등에 따른 사업 리스크가 상존해 있다. 이를 위해서는 리모델링 공사비 견적 시 리스크를 반영한 확률론적 산출 방안의 개발이 요구되고, 이를 위해 리모델링 의사결정 대안별 영향요인의 체계적인 파악을 통해 경험과 직관에 의존하는 기존 방식에서 탈피해야 할 필요가 있다. 본 연구는 공동주택 리모델링 사업의 성공적인 수행에 장애요인으로 작용하고 있는 확정적(deterministic) 견적 산출 방식을 프로젝트의 불확실성을 반영한 확률론적(probabilistic) 견적 방식으로의 전환을 위한 방법론을 구축하였다. 이를 통해 리모델링 사업 초기 개산 견적 시 프로젝트의 특성에 따른 불확실성을 반영한 예상 공사비를 산출함으로써, 발주자의 합리적인 리모델링 투자 의사결정을 지원할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.