• 제목/요약/키워드: response prediction

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설계 민감도 해석을 활용한 피로 손상도 예측방법 (Fatigue Damage Prediction Using Design Sensitivity Analysis)

  • 김찬중;이봉현;전현철;조현호;강연준
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.123-129
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    • 2012
  • It was previously suggested the design sensitivity analysis based on transmissibility function to identify the most sensitive response location over a small design modification. On the other hand, energy isoclines were used to predict the fatigue damage with acceleration response only. Both of previous studies commonly tackle the engineering problem using the acceleration response alone such that it may be possible to investigate the relationship between sensitivity analysis and accumulated fatigue damage. In this paper, it is suggested the novel method of vibration fatigue prediction using design sensitivity analysis to enhance the accuracy of predicted accumulated fatigue. Uni-axial vibration testing is performed with a simple notched specimen and the prediction of fatigue damage is conducted using accelerations measured at different locations. It can be concluded that the accuracy of predicted fatigue damage is proportional to the sensitivity index of the responsible location.

Prediction of terminal density through a two-surface plasticity model

  • Won, Jongmuk;Kim, Jongchan;Park, Junghee
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.493-502
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    • 2020
  • The prediction of soil response under repetitive mechanical loadings remains challenging in geotechnical engineering applications. Modeling the cyclic soil response requires a robust model validation with an experimental dataset. This study proposes a unique method adopting linearity of model constant with the number of cycles. The model allows the prediction of the terminal density of sediments when subjected to repetitive changes in pore-fluid pressure based on the two-surface plasticity. Model simulations are analyzed in combination with an experimental dataset of sandy sediments when subjected to repetitive changes in pore fluid pressure under constant deviatoric stress conditions. The results show that the modified plastic moduli in the two-surface plasticity model appear to be critical for determining the terminal density. The methodology introduced in this study is expected to contribute to the prediction of the terminal density and the evolution of shear strain at given repetitive loading conditions.

다중 머신러닝 알고리즘을 이용한 악성 URL 예측 시스템 설계 및 구현 (Design and Implementation of Malicious URL Prediction System based on Multiple Machine Learning Algorithms)

  • 강홍구;신삼신;김대엽;박순태
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제23권11호
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    • pp.1396-1405
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    • 2020
  • Cyber threats such as forced personal information collection and distribution of malicious codes using malicious URLs continue to occur. In order to cope with such cyber threats, a security technologies that quickly detects malicious URLs and prevents damage are required. In a web environment, malicious URLs have various forms and are created and deleted from time to time, so there is a limit to the response as a method of detecting or filtering by signature matching. Recently, researches on detecting and predicting malicious URLs using machine learning techniques have been actively conducted. Existing studies have proposed various features and machine learning algorithms for predicting malicious URLs, but most of them are only suggesting specialized algorithms by supplementing features and preprocessing, so it is difficult to sufficiently reflect the strengths of various machine learning algorithms. In this paper, a system for predicting malicious URLs using multiple machine learning algorithms was proposed, and an experiment was performed to combine the prediction results of multiple machine learning models to increase the accuracy of predicting malicious URLs. Through experiments, it was proved that the combination of multiple models is useful in improving the prediction performance compared to a single model.

An Exploratory Study for Decreasing Error of Prediction Value of Recommended System on User Based

  • Lee, Hee-Choon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2006
  • This study is to investigate the error of prediction value with related variables from the recommended system and to examine the error of prediction value with related variables. To decrease the error on the collaborative recommended system on user based, this research explored the effects on the prediction related response pair between raters' demographic variables and Pearson's coefficient and sparsity. The result shows comparative analysis between existing error of prediction value and conditioned one.

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유출유 확산 예측 모델의 상시 운용 체계 개발에 관한 연구 (A Study on Development of Operational System for Oil Spill Prediction Model)

  • 김혜진;이문진;오세웅;강준묵
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.375-382
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    • 2011
  • 기초자료의 획득 체계 및 가공 체계의 부재와 복잡한 사용자 입력 체계로 인해서 유출유 확산 예측 모델의 활용에 제약이 따른다. 이러한 상황에서 유류오염사고에 신속하게 대응하기 위한 과학적 방제 전략 수립은 어렵다. 본 연구에서는 현재 실정을 고려하여 유출유 확산 예측 모델 구동을 위한 최선의 상시 활용 체계를 수립하였다. 모든 기초자료를 직접 구축하고 관리하는 것이 불가능하기 때문에 외부 기관의 실시간 동적 자료를 연계하고 최소한의 데이터베이스만을 직접 구축하여 실시간 유출유 확산 예측의 상시 활용이 가능함을 확인하였다. 또한 사용자와 모델간 인터페이스부분에서 발생하는 오류를 최소화하는 사용자 입력 인터페이스와 모델 연산 결과를 시공간 측면에서 다차원적으로 분석할 수 있는 결과 표출 인터페이스를 제안하였다. 본 연구 결과로 구축된 유출유 확산 예측 모델의 상시 운용 체계는 외부 자료에 의존하기 때문에 모델 결과의 불확실성이 존재하지만, 유류오염사고 발생시 신속하게 모델을 구동하여 유출유 확산 예측을 수행할 수 있다는 측면에서 실제 방제 현장에서 의미있게 활용될 수 있다.

A TSK fuzzy model optimization with meta-heuristic algorithms for seismic response prediction of nonlinear steel moment-resisting frames

  • Ebrahim Asadi;Reza Goli Ejlali;Seyyed Arash Mousavi Ghasemi;Siamak Talatahari
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제90권2호
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    • pp.189-208
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    • 2024
  • Artificial intelligence is one of the efficient methods that can be developed to simulate nonlinear behavior and predict the response of building structures. In this regard, an adaptive method based on optimization algorithms is used to train the TSK model of the fuzzy inference system to estimate the seismic behavior of building structures based on analytical data. The optimization algorithm is implemented to determine the parameters of the TSK model based on the minimization of prediction error for the training data set. The adaptive training is designed on the feedback of the results of previous time steps, in which three training cases of 2, 5, and 10 previous time steps were used. The training data is collected from the results of nonlinear time history analysis under 100 ground motion records with different seismic properties. Also, 10 records were used to test the inference system. The performance of the proposed inference system is evaluated on two 3 and 20-story models of nonlinear steel moment frame. The results show that the inference system of the TSK model by combining the optimization method is an efficient computational method for predicting the response of nonlinear structures. Meanwhile, the multi-vers optimization (MVO) algorithm is more accurate in determining the optimal parameters of the TSK model. Also, the accuracy of the results increases significantly with increasing the number of previous steps.

가속도 데이터를 활용한 선형 시스템의 변형률 예측 (Estimation of Strain at Elastic System Using Acceleration Response)

  • 김찬중;이봉현;전현철;조현호;강연준
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.9-14
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    • 2012
  • This paper investigates the prediction of the dynamic strain response using acceleration response only. Two methods are proposed for the strain prediction; one is based on beam theory and the other is calculated by the frequency response function between acceleration and strain. First, it is estimated the dynamics of the simple notched beam, including the non-linearity, through the uni-axial vibration testing. Then, the dynamic strain response is predicted under two different methods using acceleration response. The validation of proposed methods is conducted by the comparison between measured strain and predicted values. The comparison reveals that the proposed method based on the FRF between acceleration and strain is more reliable one than that stemmed from beam theory and the maximum relative error is less than 8 %.

Analysis of delay compensation in real-time dynamic hybrid testing with large integration time-step

  • Zhu, Fei;Wang, Jin-Ting;Jin, Feng;Gui, Yao;Zhou, Meng-Xia
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.1269-1289
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    • 2014
  • With the sub-stepping technique, the numerical analysis in real-time dynamic hybrid testing is split into the response analysis and signal generation tasks. Two target computers that operate in real-time may be assigned to implement these two tasks, respectively, for fully extending the simulation scale of the numerical substructure. In this case, the integration time-step of solving the dynamic response of the numerical substructure can be dozens of times bigger than the sampling time-step of the controller. The time delay between the real and desired feedback forces becomes more striking, which challenges the well-developed delay compensation methods in real-time dynamic hybrid testing. This paper focuses on displacement prediction and force correction for delay compensation in the real-time dynamic hybrid testing with a large integration time-step. A new displacement prediction scheme is proposed based on recently-developed explicit integration algorithms and compared with several commonly-used prediction procedures. The evaluation of its prediction accuracy is carried out theoretically, numerically and experimentally. Results indicate that the accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed prediction method are of significance.

해양정보기반 방제지원시스템 프로토타입 구축에 관한 연구 (Prototype Development of Marine Information based Supporting System for Oil Spill Response)

  • 김혜진;이문진
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.182-192
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    • 2008
  • 효율적인 방제전략 수립 지원시스템 개발의 일환으로 환경민감정보 기반의 유출유 확산예측 시스템과 피해위험도 예측시스템을 연계하여 인천-대산해역을 대상으로 해양오염 방제지원시스템의 프로토타입을 개발하였다. 유출유 확산예측시스템에서는 실시간 바람과 실시간 해수유동을 기반으로 유출유의 이동을 계산하고, 유출유 특성에 따라 해상 유출유의 풍화작용을 모델링하여 유출유의 잔류량 및 확산분포를 계산하였다. 유출유 확산예측의 실시간 바람은 국립환경과학원의 실시간 기상모델 결과를 ftp를 이용하여 실시간으로 연계하여 활용하며, 실시간 해수유동으로서 조류는 수치모델결과와 검조소 관측결과의 결합을 통해 실시간 조석을 예측하는 CHARRY(Current by Harmonic Response to the Reference Yardstick) 모델을 이용하여 예측하고, 실시간 취송류는 바람과 취송류간의 상관관계와 반응함수를 이용하여 예측하였다. 실시간 해수유동을 따라 이동하면서 풍화되는 유출유의 풍화작용은 유출유 특성에 따라 결정된 감소율을 적용하여 모델링하였다. 본 시스템은 GIS 기술을 이용하여 해양 정보를 ESI(Environmental Sensitivity Index) 및 방제자원 정보와 통합하고 종합적으로 제공함으로써 방제전략 수립을 지원할 수 있다.

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해석적 해법에 의한 흐름의 예측 (Flow Prediction by Analytical Response Function)

  • 윤태훈
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.93-99
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    • 1975
  • A linear and optimum linear systems have been reviewed in some detail. The procedure of the solution of the Wiener-Hopf equation analytically in time domain is given and the prediction of downstream outflow for given upstream inflow are made. The predicted results are fairly satisfaotory. The intended physical interpretation of the analytical solution could be descriptable but it was found that the evaluation of the parameters of the response function is rather difficult due to complicacy and a great deal of works.

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