• 제목/요약/키워드: reliability sensitivity

검색결과 730건 처리시간 0.921초

Effect of Boundary Conditions on Failure Probability of Buried Steel Pile (매설된 강 파일의 경계조건이 파손확률에 미치는 영향)

  • 이억섭;편장식;김의상
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.204-213
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    • 2003
  • A survey for finding corrosion examples was performed on the underground steel piles buried for 19 years in the area of iron and steel making factory near Young-il bay. A failure probability model, which can be used to check the reliability of the corrosive mechanical element, based on Von-Mises failure criterion and the standard normal probability function is proposed. The effects of varying boundary conditions such as temperature change, soil-friction, internal pressure, earthquake, loading of soil, traffic loads and corrosion on failure probability of the buried steel piles are systematically investigated. To allow for the uncertainties of the design variables, a reliability analysis technique has been adopted; this also allows calculation of the relative contribution of the random variables and the sensitivity of the failure probability.

An Approach To Alloctating Transmission System Reliabity Cost (송전계통의 신뢰도 비용 산정 방안에 대한 연구)

  • Chung, Koo-Hyung;Shin, Young-Kyun;Kim, Bal-Ho H.;Im, Sung-Hwang
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 대한전기학회 2001년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.515-517
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    • 2001
  • The efficient and rational transmission rate system is one of the crucial factors in creation of fair and competitive electricity market. Transmission charge can be largely categorized into the line usage charge, system reliability maintenance charge, access charge and others. Therefore, transmission rate structure should be able to reflect these cost components reasonably. This Paper suggests an approach that could be used for the reasonable calcuation of transmission reliability costs with reflection of line sensitivity and line outage rate.

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A Measurement and Diagnosis for Resistive Leakage Current of ZnO Arrester Element (ZnO 피뢰기 소자의 저항분 누설전류 측정 및 분석)

  • Lee, Bok-Hee;Kang, Sung-Man;Park, Jin-Woo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 대한전기학회 1999년도 하계학술대회 논문집 E
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    • pp.2155-2157
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    • 1999
  • This paper describes a new measurement method of resistive current and the technique of deterioration diagnosis for ZnO element. The consequence of current increasing (resistive current) with time is the eventual attainment of a state of thermal instability that may lead to arrester failure. So, it is very important to measure a leakage current of ZnO arrester installed at on-state. For the high-precision and more reliability, an iron core, which has a very high relative permeability, was used for increasing detection sensitivity, and we also used the personal computer for the data storage and program and analysis. And we have verified the reliability and performance of the sensing device through several laboratory tests.

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Optimum multi-objective modified step-stress accelerated life test plan for the Burr type-XII distribution

  • Srivastava, P.W.;Mittal, N.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.23-50
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    • 2014
  • This paper deals with formulation of optimum multi-objective modified step-stress accelerated life test (ALT) plan for Burr type-XII distribution under type-I censoring. Since it is impractical to estimate only one objective parameter after conducting costly ALT tests; also, it is not desirable to assume instantaneous changes in stress levels because of limited capacity of test equipments and the presence of undesirable failure modes, therefore, an optimum multi-objective modified step-stress ALT plan has been designed. The optimal test plan consists in determining the optimum low stress level and optimal time at which stress starts linearly increasing from low stress by minimizing the weighted sum of the asymptotic variances of the maximum likelihood estimator of quantile lifetimes at design constant stress. The method developed has been illustrated using an example. Sensitivity analysis has been carried out. Comparative study has also been done to highlight the merits of the proposed model.

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Optimal Burn-in Time under Cumulative Pro-Rata Replacement Warranty

  • Yun, Won-Young;Lee, Yang-Woo;Chung, Il-Han;Luis Ferreira
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제2권4호
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    • pp.241-251
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, optimal bum-in time to minimize the total mean cost, which is the sum of manufacturing cost with burn-in and cumulative warranty-related cost, is obtained. When the products with cumulative pro-rata warranty have high failure rate in the early period (infant mortality period), a burn-in procedure is adopted to eliminate early product failures. After burn-in, the posterior product life distribution and the warranty-related cost are dependent on burn-in time; long burn-in period may reduce the warranty-related cost, but it increases the manufacturing cost. The paper provides a methodology to obtain total mean cost under burn-in and cumulative pro-rata warranty. Property of the optimal burn-in time is analyzed, and numerical examples and sensitivity analysis are studied.

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Planning Practical Multiple-Stress Accelerated Life Tests (실용적 복합 가속수명시험 계획의 개발)

  • Bae, Bong-Soo;Seo, Sun-Keun
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.112-121
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The most previous works on designing accelerated life tests (ALTs) are focused on the application of a single stress. Because of the difficulty to obtain the sufficient information in a reasonable duration using single stress only, there is needed in practice to use multiple-stress ALTs frequently. This paper presents new practical plans with two stresses for Weibull distribution. Methods: The four-level practical plans based on rectangle test region are proposed and compared with the corresponding three-level statistically optimal plans. Sensitivity analyses for assumed design parameters and life-stress relationship are conducted. Results: A procedure to choose practical ALT plans is illustrated with a numerical example and guidelines for planning two-stress ALTs are provided. Conclusion: The proposed two-stress ALT plans on practical constraints to assess a quantile of Weibull lifetime distribution at the use condition are efficient and robust.

Design of ramp-stress accelerated life test plans for a parallel system with two independent components using masked data

  • Srivastava, P.W.;Savita, Savita
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.45-63
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we have formulated optimum Accelerated Life Test (ALT) plan for a parallel system with two independent components using masked data with ramp-stress loading scheme and Type-I censoring. Consider a system of two independent and non-identical components connected in parallel. Such a system fails whenever all of its components has failed. The exact component that causes the system to fail is often unknown due to cost and time constraint. For each parallel system at test, we observe its system's failure time and a set of component that includes the component actually causing the system to fail. The stress-life relationship is modelled using inverse power law, and cumulative exposure model is assumed to model the effect of changing stress. The optimal plan consists in finding out the optimum stress rate using D-optimality criterion. The method developed has been explained using a numerical example and sensitivity analysis carried out.

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Life Fatigue Prediction of an Accumulator Composed of Bladder and Housing (블래더와 하우징으로 구성된 축압기의 수명피로예측)

  • Kim, Daeyu;Lee, Geonhee;Hur, Jangwook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • 제17권5호
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    • pp.58-63
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    • 2018
  • Recently in weapon systems development, the importance of reliability has been emphasized due to the increase in complexity and the rapid development of key components and components. Accordingly, the importance of lifespan testing is increased. However, lifespan testing to verify the reliability of a system is costly and takes a lot of time. Therefore in this paper, it was demonstrated that the most critical item of a bladder type accumulator is the bladder. Fatigue life is sensitive to temperature and pressure, with temperature having more impact. The fatigue life of the bladder was estimated to be 18,140 hr through fatigue analysis, which satisfies the required life expectancy of 10,000 hr.

In-situ monitoring and reliability analysis of an embankment slope with soil variability

  • Bai, Tao;Yang, Han;Chen, Xiaobing;Zhang, Shoucheng;Jin, Yuanshang
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.261-273
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    • 2020
  • This paper presents an efficient method utilizing user-defined computer functional codes to determine the reliability of an embankment slope with spatially varying soil properties in real time. The soils' mechanical properties varied with the soil layers that had different degrees of compaction and moisture content levels. The Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) for the degree of compaction and Kriging simulation of moisture content variation were adopted and programmed to predict their spatial distributions, respectively, that were subsequently used to characterize the spatial distribution of the soil shear strengths. The shear strength parameters were then integrated into the Geostudio command file to determine the safety factor of the embankment slope. An explicit metamodal for the performance function, using the Kriging method, was established and coded to efficiently compute the failure probability of slope with varying moisture contents. Sensitivity analysis showed that the proposed method significantly reduced the computational time compared to Monte Carlo simulation. About 300 times LHS Geostudio computations were needed to optimize precision and efficiency in determining the failure probability. The results also revealed that an embankment slope is prone to high failure risk if the degree of compaction is low and the moisture content is high.

Probabilistic finite Element Analysis of Eigenvalue Problem- Buckling Reliability Analysis of Frame Structure- (고유치 문제의 확률 유한요소 해석)

  • 양영순;김지호
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.111-117
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    • 1991
  • The analysis method calculating the mean and standard deviation for the eigenvalue of complicated structures in which the limit state equation is implicitly expressed is formulated and applied to the buckling analysis by combining probabilistic finite element method with direct differential method which is a kind of sensitivity analysis technique. Also, the probability of buckling failure is calculated by combining classical reliability techniques such a MVFOSM and AFOSM. As random variables external load, elastic modulus, sectional moment of inertia and member length are chosen and Parkinson's iteration algorithm in AFOSM is used. The accuracy of the results by this study is verified by comparing the results with the crude Monte Carlo simulation and Importance Sampling Method. Through the case study of some structures the important aspects of buckling reliability analysis are discussed.

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