• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.669-677
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• 2013

본 연구에서는 다중자산 옵션 가격의 추정에 있어 자산의 수, 상관계수, 자산의 값들과 표준편차의 여러 조합에 대한 시뮬레이션을 통하여 저불일치 수열에 따르는 준난수 몬테칼로 방법들을 비교하였다. 결과적으로 준난수와 모로 역변환을 이용하는 것이 기본적인 몬테칼로 방법보다 정확하였으며 자산의 수와 관계없이 준난수 방법들 중 혼합법들이 더욱 효과적임을 알 수 있었다.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.541-562
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• 2000

일반화된 선형 혼합 모형(GLMM)은 자료가 계수의 형태로 나타나는 범주형 자료의 경우, 혹은 집락의 형태나 과산포된 비정규 자료, 또는 비선형 모형에 따르는 자료를 다루기 위한 모형 설정에 사용된다. 본 연구에서는 이에 대한 개요와 더불어, 이 모형의 적합을 위해 제시된 통계적 기법들중 의사가능도(quasi-likelihood: QL)를 이용한 추정 방법 및 Monte-Carlo 기법을 이용한 추정 방법들에 대해 조사하였다. 또한 GLMM에 대한 현재의 연구 방향 및 앞으로의 연구 가능 주제들에 대해서도 언급하였다.

• 한국공작기계학회논문집
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.71-76
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• 2008

Nonlinear dynamic system under random excitation was analyzed by using stochastic method. A linearization method was used in order to linearize non-linear structural characteristics but the parametric excitation was used as it was given. An equivalent energy method which equalizes the expectation value of energy of the original nonlinear system and that of quasi-linearized system was proposed. Ito's differential rule was applied to obtain steady state moments. Quasi-linearization coefficients can be obtained the iterative calculation of linearization scheme and steady state moments. Monte Carlo simulation was used to verify the results of the proposed method. Nonlinear vibration of a slender beam was analyzed in this research. The analysis results were compared with Monte Carlo simulation result and showed good agreement. As the spectral density of the given excitation increased, the analysis results showed the better agreement with Monte Carlo simulation.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.193-198
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• 1999

The estimation of parameters in regression models with multiplicative errors is usually based on the gamma or log-normal likelihoods. Under reciprocal misspecification, we compare the small sample efficiencies of two sets of estimators via a Monte Carlo study. We further consider the case where the errors are a random sample from a Weibull distribution. We compute the asymptotic relative efficiency of quasi-likelihood estimators on the original scale to least squares estimators on the log-transformed scale and perform a Monte Carlo study to compare the small sample performances of quasi-likelihood and least squares estimators.

• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한기계학회 2008년도 추계학술대회A
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• pp.785-790
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• 2008

Vibration of a non-linear system under random parametric excitations was evaluated by probablistic methods. The non-linear characteristic terms of a system were quasi-linearized and excitation terms were remained as they were given. An analytical method where the square mean of error was minimized was ysed. An alternative method was an energy method where the damping energy and rstoring energy of the linearized system were equalized to those of the original non-linear system. The numerical results were compared with those obtained by Monte Carlo simulation. The comparison showed the results obtained by Monte Carlo simulation located between those by the analytical method and those by the energy method.

• International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.115-125
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• 2021

Simulation-based hull form optimization is a typical HEB (high-dimensional, expensive computationally, black-box) problem. Conventional optimization algorithms easily fall into the "curse of dimensionality" when dealing with HEB problems. A recently proposed Cross-Entropy (CE) optimization algorithm is an advanced stochastic optimization algorithm based on a probability model, which has the potential to deal with high-dimensional optimization problems. Currently, the CE algorithm is still in the theoretical research stage and rarely applied to actual engineering optimization. One reason is that the Monte Carlo (MC) method is used to estimate the high-dimensional integrals in parameter update, leading to a large sample size. This paper proposes an improved CE algorithm based on quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) estimation using high-dimensional truncated Sobol subsequence, referred to as the QMC-CE algorithm. The optimization performance of the proposed algorithm is better than that of the original CE algorithm. With a set of identical control parameters, the tests on six standard test functions and a hull form optimization problem show that the proposed algorithm not only has faster convergence but can also apply to complex simulation optimization problems.

• 천문학논총
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.23-32
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• 1999

We have developed a Monte Carlo code, which solves the problem of radiative transfer in anisotropically scattering atmosphere. The radiative code is flexible in handlings of the system geometry, the distribution of scattering particles, and the source-particle geometry. This code treats the case of highly forward throwing scattering. As performance tests, we have compared the result of Monte Carlo calculations with that of Quasi-Diffusion method for a spherically symmetric cloud model.

• 한국공작기계학회논문집
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• 제15권5호
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• pp.21-28
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• 2006

Vibration of a non-linear system with multiple degrees of freedom under random parametric excitations was evaluated by probabilistic method. The non-linear characteristic terms of system structure were quasi-linearized and excitation terms were remained as they were. An analytical method where the expectation values of square mean of error was minimized was used. The numerical results were compared with those obtained by Monte Carlo simulation. A linear congruential generator and Box-Muller method were used in Monte Carlo simulation. The comparison showed the results by probabilistic method agreed well with those by Monte Carlo simulation.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제32권3호
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• pp.54-59
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• 2017

This paper presents an efficient finite analysis model and a simulation-based reliability analysis method for stowage device system failure of a container crane with respect to lateral load. A quasi-static analysis model is introduced to simulate the nonlinear resistance characteristics and failure of tie-down and stowage pin, which are the main structural stowage devices of a crane. As a reliability analysis method, a subset simulation method is applied considering the uncertainties of later load and mechanical characteristic parameters of stowage devices. An efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is applied to sample random variables. Analysis result shows that the proposed model is able to estimate the probability of failure of crane system effectively which cannot be calculated practically by crude Monte Carlo simulation method.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제4권1호
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• pp.13-24
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• 1991

절산된 선형의 단일방정식 회귀모형의 추정은 Tobin(1958)에 의하여 처음으로 조사된 후 Amemiya(1973)를 기점으로 활발한 연구가 진행되었으나, 절삭된 비선형의 연립방정식 모형에 대하여는 연구결과가 거의 전무한 상태이다. 본 논문에서는 단순한 형태의 절삭된 비선형 연립방정식 모형을 가정하고 이 모형을 대상으로 몇가지 가능한 추정방법들 즉, 구조방정식에 대한 최우추정량(MLE)과 Lee and Hurd(1989)에서 소개된 2단계 준최우추정량(2QMLE) 및 또 다른 대안이 될 수 있는 추정량을 서로 몬테칼로 방법으로 비교 검토하였다. 그 결과 MLE의 적용이 실제적으로 불가능한 상황에서는 2QMLE가 MLE의 대안으로 충분히 사용될 수 있음을 보여 주었다.