• Title/Summary/Keyword: properties prediction

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Sums-of-Products Models for Korean Segment Duration Prediction

  • Chung, Hyun-Song
    • Speech Sciences
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.7-21
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    • 2003
  • Sums-of-Products models were built for segment duration prediction of spoken Korean. An experiment for the modelling was carried out to apply the results to Korean text-to-speech synthesis systems. 670 read sentences were analyzed. trained and tested for the construction of the duration models. Traditional sequential rule systems were extended to simple additive, multiplicative and additive-multiplicative models based on Sums-of-Products modelling. The parameters used in the modelling include the properties of the target segment and its neighbors and the target segment's position in the prosodic structure. Two optimisation strategies were used: the downhill simplex method and the simulated annealing method. The performance of the models was measured by the correlation coefficient and the root mean squared prediction error (RMSE) between actual and predicted duration in the test data. The best performance was obtained when the data was trained and tested by ' additive-multiplicative models. ' The correlation for the vowel duration prediction was 0.69 and the RMSE. 31.80 ms. while the correlation for the consonant duration prediction was 0.54 and the RMSE. 29.02 ms. The results were not good enough to be applied to the real-time text-to-speech systems. Further investigation of feature interactions is required for the better performance of the Sums-of-Products models.

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Artificial Neural Network Supported Prediction of Magnetic Properties of Bulk Metallic Glasses (인공신경망을 이용한 벌크 비정질 합금 소재의 포화자속밀도 예측 성능평가)

  • Chunghee Nam
    • Korean Journal of Materials Research
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    • v.33 no.7
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    • pp.273-278
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    • 2023
  • In this study, based on the saturation magnetic flux density experimental values (Bs) of 622 Fe-based bulk metallic glasses (BMGs), regression models were applied to predict Bs using artificial neural networks (ANN), and prediction performance was evaluated. Model performance evaluation was investigated by using the F1 score together with the coefficient of determination (R2 score), which is mainly used in regression models. The coefficient of determination can be used as a performance indicator, since it shows the predicted results of the saturation magnetic flux density of full material datasets in a balanced way. However, the BMG alloy contains iron and requires a high saturation magnetic flux density to have excellent applicability as a soft magnetic material, and in this study F1 score was used as a performance indicator to better predict Bs above the threshold value of Bs (1.4 T). After obtaining two ANN models optimized for the R2 and F1 score conditions, respectively, their prediction performance was compared for the test data. As a case study to evaluate the prediction performance, new Fe-based BMG datasets that were not included in the training and test datasets were predicted using the two ANN models. The results showed that the model with an excellent F1 score achieved a more accurate prediction for a material with a high saturation magnetic flux density.

Context Prediction Using Right and Wrong Patterns to Improve Sequential Matching Performance for More Accurate Dynamic Context-Aware Recommendation (보다 정확한 동적 상황인식 추천을 위해 정확 및 오류 패턴을 활용하여 순차적 매칭 성능이 개선된 상황 예측 방법)

  • Kwon, Oh-Byung
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.51-67
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    • 2009
  • Developing an agile recommender system for nomadic users has been regarded as a promising application in mobile and ubiquitous settings. To increase the quality of personalized recommendation in terms of accuracy and elapsed time, estimating future context of the user in a correct way is highly crucial. Traditionally, time series analysis and Makovian process have been adopted for such forecasting. However, these methods are not adequate in predicting context data, only because most of context data are represented as nominal scale. To resolve these limitations, the alignment-prediction algorithm has been suggested for context prediction, especially for future context from the low-level context. Recently, an ontological approach has been proposed for guided context prediction without context history. However, due to variety of context information, acquiring sufficient context prediction knowledge a priori is not easy in most of service domains. Hence, the purpose of this paper is to propose a novel context prediction methodology, which does not require a priori knowledge, and to increase accuracy and decrease elapsed time for service response. To do so, we have newly developed pattern-based context prediction approach. First of ail, a set of individual rules is derived from each context attribute using context history. Then a pattern consisted of results from reasoning individual rules, is developed for pattern learning. If at least one context property matches, say R, then regard the pattern as right. If the pattern is new, add right pattern, set the value of mismatched properties = 0, freq = 1 and w(R, 1). Otherwise, increase the frequency of the matched right pattern by 1 and then set w(R,freq). After finishing training, if the frequency is greater than a threshold value, then save the right pattern in knowledge base. On the other hand, if at least one context property matches, say W, then regard the pattern as wrong. If the pattern is new, modify the result into wrong answer, add right pattern, and set frequency to 1 and w(W, 1). Or, increase the matched wrong pattern's frequency by 1 and then set w(W, freq). After finishing training, if the frequency value is greater than a threshold level, then save the wrong pattern on the knowledge basis. Then, context prediction is performed with combinatorial rules as follows: first, identify current context. Second, find matched patterns from right patterns. If there is no pattern matched, then find a matching pattern from wrong patterns. If a matching pattern is not found, then choose one context property whose predictability is higher than that of any other properties. To show the feasibility of the methodology proposed in this paper, we collected actual context history from the travelers who had visited the largest amusement park in Korea. As a result, 400 context records were collected in 2009. Then we randomly selected 70% of the records as training data. The rest were selected as testing data. To examine the performance of the methodology, prediction accuracy and elapsed time were chosen as measures. We compared the performance with case-based reasoning and voting methods. Through a simulation test, we conclude that our methodology is clearly better than CBR and voting methods in terms of accuracy and elapsed time. This shows that the methodology is relatively valid and scalable. As a second round of the experiment, we compared a full model to a partial model. A full model indicates that right and wrong patterns are used for reasoning the future context. On the other hand, a partial model means that the reasoning is performed only with right patterns, which is generally adopted in the legacy alignment-prediction method. It turned out that a full model is better than a partial model in terms of the accuracy while partial model is better when considering elapsed time. As a last experiment, we took into our consideration potential privacy problems that might arise among the users. To mediate such concern, we excluded such context properties as date of tour and user profiles such as gender and age. The outcome shows that preserving privacy is endurable. Contributions of this paper are as follows: First, academically, we have improved sequential matching methods to predict accuracy and service time by considering individual rules of each context property and learning from wrong patterns. Second, the proposed method is found to be quite effective for privacy preserving applications, which are frequently required by B2C context-aware services; the privacy preserving system applying the proposed method successfully can also decrease elapsed time. Hence, the method is very practical in establishing privacy preserving context-aware services. Our future research issues taking into account some limitations in this paper can be summarized as follows. First, user acceptance or usability will be tested with actual users in order to prove the value of the prototype system. Second, we will apply the proposed method to more general application domains as this paper focused on tourism in amusement park.

Dynamic model updating of the laminated composite plate using natural frequencies measured from modal test (고유진동수의 실험값을 사용한 복합재 적층판의 동적 모델링 개선)

  • 홍단비;유정규;박성호;김승조
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 1998.04a
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    • pp.340-346
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    • 1998
  • In order to improve the prediction of dynamic behavior in structures, several lower vibration modes from FFT analysis through experiments are used to update the mechanical properties followed by the updated frequencies from numerical analysis. Performance index consists of the sum of error norms between the chosen frequencies and corresponding frequencies from numerical analysis. As an updating process of the natural frequencies, the optimization algorithm based on conjugate gradient method is adopted. The gradient of performance index is calculated using the sensitivity of selected eigenvalues with respect to each design parameter. The mechanical properties of lamina, E$\_$l/, E$\_$2/, .nu.$\_$12/ and G$\_$12/, are design parameters for the updating process. The proposed method is applied to predict the dynamic behavior of composite laminated plates of [0]$\_$8T/ and [.+-.45]$\_$2S/ separately or interchangeably. Also, the mixed case for [0]$\_$8T/ and [.+-.45]$\_$2S/ is exarm'ned to check the possibility for the improved prediction generally. The good agreement is obtained between the measured frequencies and the numerical ones. Based on the results for all the cases studied, the proposed approach has a clear potential in characterizing the mechanical properties of composite lamina.

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Assessment of Rock Mass Properties Ahead of Tunnel Face Using Drill Performance Parameters (천공데이터를 활용한 터널 막장 전방 암반특성 평가)

  • Kim, Kwang-Yeom;Kim, Chang-Yong;Chang, Soo-Ho;Seo, Kyeong-Won;Lee, Seung-Do
    • Explosives and Blasting
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2007
  • The drill monitoring data are useful for the detection of abrupt and unexpected changes in ground renditions. This paper introduces a new approach to how drill performance parameters can be used for the prediction of quantitative rock mass properties ahead of tunnel face and the blasting design. The drill monitoring parameters available for the predictions include the instantaneous advance speed, thrust force, torque, tool pressure and penetration rate. The assessment of the drill monitoring parameters will be able to build a database provided that in-situ drill monitoring informations are accumulated and enable us to make a reasonable blast design based on quantitative assessment of rock mass.

Predicting concrete properties using neural networks (NN) with principal component analysis (PCA) technique

  • Boukhatem, B.;Kenai, S.;Hamou, A.T.;Ziou, Dj.;Ghrici, M.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.557-573
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    • 2012
  • This paper discusses the combined application of two different techniques, Neural Networks (NN) and Principal Component Analysis (PCA), for improved prediction of concrete properties. The combination of these approaches allowed the development of six neural networks models for predicting slump and compressive strength of concrete with mineral additives such as blast furnace slag, fly ash and silica fume. The Back-Propagation Multi-Layer Perceptron (BPMLP) with Bayesian regularization was used in all these models. They are produced to implement the complex nonlinear relationship between the inputs and the output of the network. They are also established through the incorporation of a huge experimental database on concrete organized in the form Mix-Property. Thus, the data comprising the concrete mixtures are much correlated to each others. The PCA is proposed for the compression and the elimination of the correlation between these data. After applying the PCA, the uncorrelated data were used to train the six models. The predictive results of these models were compared with the actual experimental trials. The results showed that the elimination of the correlation between the input parameters using PCA improved the predictive generalisation performance models with smaller architectures and dimensionality reduction. This study showed also that using the developed models for numerical investigations on the parameters affecting the properties of concrete is promising.

Equivalent Dynamic Modeling of Coil Bundle for Prediction of Dynamic Properties of Stator in Small Motors (소형 전동기의 고정자 동특성 예측을 위한 코일 다발의 등가 동적 모형화)

  • 은희광;고홍석;김광준
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.540-545
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    • 2001
  • In case of small motors, coil bundle occupies a large portion of stator in view of mass and volume as well as dynamics. It is observed through modal test on the stator of an IPM BLDC (interior permanent magnet brushless direct current) motor that coil bundle wound on the stator core causes the first and second natural frequencies to decrease by about 20-30% compared with those of bare stator. Especially the third natural frequency is newly observed below 3 KHz, which is not observed on the bare stator. It is found that at the third mode the end-coil and the core vibrate out of phase in radial direction. In this paper, the stator is dynamically modeled in terms of the core and the coil bundle consisting of the end-coil and the slot coil based on the above observations for the prediction of dynamic properties. The core can easily be modeled using finite element method with its actual material properties and geometric shape. The concept of equivalent bending stiffness is used for modeling of the end-coil so that predictions may match with the measured natural frequencies for the end-coil cut out of the stator. Although the same concept can be applied to the slot coil, separation of the slot coil from the stator is impractical. Therefore, equivalent bending stiffness of the slot coil is determined through iterative comparisons with the measurements of natural frequencies of the stator with the slot coil in it.

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Prediction of ECC tensile stress-strain curves based on modified fiber bridging relations considering fiber distribution characteristics

  • Lee, Bang Yeon;Kim, Jin-Keun;Kim, Yun Yong
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.455-468
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents a prediction and simulation method of tensile stress-strain curves of Engineered Cementitious Composites (ECC). For this purpose, the bridging stress and crack opening relations were obtained by the fiber bridging constitutive law which is quantitatively able to consider the fiber distribution characteristics. And then, a multi-linear model is employed for a simplification of the bridging stress and crack opening relation. In addition, to account the variability of material properties, randomly distributed properties drawn from a normal distribution with 95% confidence are assigned to each element which is determined on the basis of crack spacing. To consider the variation of crack spacing, randomly distributed crack spacing is drawn from the probability density function of fiber inclined angle calculated based on sectional image analysis. An equation for calculation of the crack spacing that takes into quantitative consideration the dimensions and fiber distribution was also derived. Subsequently, a series of simulations of ECC tensile stress-strain curves was performed. The simulation results exhibit obvious strain hardening behavior associated with multiple cracking, which correspond well with test results.

Physical Properties of the Factors Affecting the Evaporation Process of Fruit Juices (과일쥬스의 농축공정에 영향을 미치는 인자의 물리적 특성)

  • Eun, Duc-Woo;Choi, Yong-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.605-609
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    • 1991
  • The physical properties which must be considered as engineering factors affecting on the evaporation process of fruit juices are boiling point rise, density, viscosity, thermal conductivity and specific heat. These factors are varied with food ingredients, soluble solids, pressure and temperature. In the reserch, it has been worked to obtain the data and to develop prediction model for the boiling point rise as a faction of soluble solid and pressure by the regression of SPSS package program. For the prediction model of density, it was developed as a fuction of soluble solid content on apple and pear juices. For the viscosity model, it was establised by the factors of temperature and content of soluble solid through the optimization program.

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Ultrasonic velocity as a tool for mechanical and physical parameters prediction within carbonate rocks

  • Abdelhedi, Mohamed;Aloui, Monia;Mnif, Thameur;Abbes, Chedly
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.371-384
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    • 2017
  • Physical and mechanical properties of rocks are of interest in many fields, including materials science, petrophysics, geophysics and geotechnical engineering. Uniaxial compressive strength UCS is one of the key mechanical properties, while density and porosity are important physical parameters for the characterization of rocks. The economic interest of carbonate rocks is very important in chemical or biological procedures and in the field of construction. Carbonate rocks exploitation depends on their quality and their physical, chemical and geotechnical characteristics. A fast, economic and reliable technique would be an evolutionary advance in the exploration of carbonate rocks. This paper discusses the ability of ultrasonic wave velocity to evaluate some mechanical and physical parameters within carbonate rocks (collected from different regions within Tunisia). The ultrasonic technique was used to establish empirical correlations allowing the estimation of UCS values, the density and the porosity of carbonate rocks. The results illustrated the behavior of ultrasonic pulse velocity as a function of the applied stress. The main output of the work is the confirmation that ultrasonic velocity can be effectively used as a simple and economical non-destructive method for a preliminary prediction of mechanical behavior and physical properties of rocks.