• 제목/요약/키워드: probit analysis

검색결과 209건 처리시간 0.028초

농작물재해보험 가입 결정요인에 관한 분석 -수도작 농가를 중심으로- (Factors Influencing Purchase of the Crop Insurance : The Case of Rice Farms)

  • 이지혜;송경환
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.31-42
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    • 2015
  • This thesis has analyzed the determination factor for the crop insurance of rice focused on paddy rice. The analysis on each farmer has been used with integrated probit model & random effects probit model. It has shown in the analysis result of determination factor for buying the crop insurance of paddy rice farmer through integrated probit model & random effects probit model that the higher age, degree of education, cultivated area, and amount of received insurance money and the lower in a number of family member have revealed the higher possibility to buy the crop insurance in the integrated probit model. While the random effects probit model has shown a higher possibility to buy the crop insurance as the higher age, cultivated area, and amount of received insurance money.

빈곤과 실업의 원인과 복지정책의 효과 (Interdependence of Poverty and Unemployment and the Welfare Policy Effectiveness)

  • 안종범;김철희;전승훈
    • 노동경제논집
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.75-95
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    • 2002
  • 본 연구는 빈곤과 실업의 결정요인과 상호관계를 살펴보고, 복지정책의 효과를 분석해 본다. 특히, 빈곤가구와 가구주의 특성, 가구주의 경제활동상태 변화 및 이들 변수에 영향을 미치는 결정요인을 분석해 본다. probit 모형과 bivariate probit 모형을 이용한 실증분석 결과, 빈곤의 주된 원인으로 실업이 작용했고, 가구월수, 가구주의 연령 및 저학력 등도 원인으로 작용했음이 밝혀졌다. 사회보험 수급 등을 포함하는 복지정책은 이러한 실업이 빈곤에 미치는 영향을 축소시키는 요인으로 역할하고 있음이 추정 결과 나타났다.

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Development of a Recursive Multinomial Probit Model and its Possible Application for Innovation Studies

  • Jeong, Gicheol
    • STI Policy Review
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2011
  • This paper develops a recursive multinomial probit model and describes its estimation method. The recursive multinomial probit model is an extension of a recursive bivariate probit model. The main difference between the two models is that a single decision among two or more alternatives can be considered in each choice equation in the proposed model. The recursive multinomial probit model is developed based on a standard framework of the multinomial probit model and a Bayesian approach with a Gibbs sampling is adopted for the estimation. The simulation exercise with artificial data sets is showed that the model performed well. Since the recursive multinomial probit model can be applied to analyze the causal relationship between discrete dependent variables with more than two outcomes, the model can play an important role in extending the methodology of the causal relationship analysis in innovation research.

Probit 모델에 의한 증기운폭발 충격파의 인체피해예측 (A Study on Estimation of Human Damage for Shock Wave by Vapor Cloud Explosion using Probit Model)

  • 임사환;허용정;이종락
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제31권11호
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    • pp.936-941
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    • 2007
  • This paper is on the influence of gas explosion caused by Vapor Cloud Explosion(VCE). Also, it is to understand the influence of the booth for explosion experiment which is installed to let the trainees for legal education which is managed by IGTT(Institute or Gas Technology Training) know the riskiness of explosion. In this study, the influence of explosion shock wave caused by VCE in enclosure was calculated by using the Hopkinson's scaling law and the accident damage was estimated by applying the influence on the adjacent human into the probit model. As a result of the damage estimation conducted by using the probit model, both the damage possibility of explosion overpressure to human 8 meters away and that of shock wave to hurt 15 meters away showed nothing.

A Study on the Estimation of Human Damage Caused by the LP Gas Flame in Enclosure using Probit Model

  • Leem, Sa-Hwan;Huh, Yong-Jeong
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2009
  • The energetic and environmental problems have been getting serious after the revolution of modern industry. Therefore, demand of gas as an eco-friendly energy source is increasing. With the demand of gas, the use of gas is also increased, so injury and loss of life by the fire have been increasing every year. Hence the influence on flame caused by Vapor Cloud Explosion in enclosure of experimental booth was calculated by using the API regulations. And the accident damage was estimated by applying the influence on the adjacent structures and people into the PROBIT model. According to the probit analysis, the spot which is 5meter away from the flame has nearly 100% of the damage probability by the first-degree burn, 27.8% of the damage probability by the second-degree burn and 14.5% of the death probability by the fire.

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The Effect of Bribery on Firm Innovation: An Analysis of Small and Medium Firms in Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Toan Ngoc
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권5호
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    • pp.259-268
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to provide empirical evidence on the causal relationship between bribery and firm innovation. To this end, we use a micro-dataset of small and medium firms in Vietnam surveyed in 2015. Given the binary nature of the dependent variable, a simple probit regression model is employed. However, as bribery variable is potentially endogenous, a simple probit regression may give biased estimates. We deal with the potential endogeneity by making use of the bivariate probit model. A property of the bivariate probit model is that it can produce efficient estimates of a typical probit model with endogenous binary explanatory variable. A Hausman-like likelihood ratio test is implemented following the estimation to test the existence of endogeneity. We find that bribery significantly undermines firm innovation. Also, firms run by household appear less innovative. The probability of innovation diminishes significantly if firm owners or managers have previous experience in firm products. As expected, larger firms seem to be more innovative. Exporters tend to be more innovative compared to non-exporters. Our findings provide support to the hypothesis that bribery is detrimental to firm innovation and, thus, innovation may be a mediating channel, through which, bribery impedes firm long-term performance.

CH-6를 적용한 격벽 착화모듈 설계 및 신뢰도 분석 (Design and Reliability Analysis of the Through-Bulkhead Initiation Module Using CH-6)

  • 장승교;차홍석;강원규
    • 한국추진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국추진공학회 2009년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.327-330
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    • 2009
  • CH-6를 이용한 격벽 착화모듈을 설계하였다. 격벽 착화모듈은 도우너 화약에 의해 발생한 충격파가 격벽을 통해 도우너 화약에 전달되었을 때 동작한다. 격벽 착화모듈의 구조적 안전성은 구조해석을 통해 확인하였고 점화 성능은 10cc 밀폐용기 시험을 통하여 검증하였다. 동작시험 결과를 토대로 통계적처리방법인 Probit Method를 이용하여 신뢰도 분석을 하였다. 신뢰도 분석 결과를 통하여 격벽 착화모듈의 중요한 설계변수인 격벽두께를 결정하였다.

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Probit 분석을 이용한 ◯◯유도탄 신뢰도 분석 및 활용방안 (A Study of Reliability of Guided Missile(◯◯) using Probit Analysis)

  • 홍석진;정상훈
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제44권3호
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    • pp.553-564
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to propose useful suggestions by analyzing reliability of guided missile using field data in Military industry. Methods: The collected data from Defense industry company and the military were analyzed using probit analysis which is non-linear model because field data contain binary variable. Results: The results of this study are as follows; It was found that the effect of time was significant. It takes about 12.4 years when 10st percentile of guided missiles are not working and it takes about 18.6 years when 50st percentile of guided missiles are not working. It was found that period between 10years to 15years comes less than reliability 0.0. Conclusion: Periodical check needs to extend from 4 year to 10 year partially. Early LOT need to check per 4 year and follow-up LOT extend the period of check to 10 year by reflecting the result of reliability.

Analysis of Consumers' Choices and Time-Consumption Behaviors for Various Broadcasting and Telecommunication Convergence Services

  • Koh, Dae-Young;Lee, Jong-Su
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.302-311
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    • 2010
  • In this study, we analyzed consumers' choices of various broadcasting and telecommunication convergence services and time consumption for chosen services by using survey data. A multivariate probit model was used to model consumers' choices of various broadcasting and telecommunication convergence services, and an ordered probit model was used to model consumers' time consumption for chosen services. Factors affecting consumers' choices and time-consumption behavior were identified, and simulation results of market competition and substitution were obtained. Based on these results, it was found that for the time being, consumers are highly locked into existing broadcasting services and are likely to become more price-sensitive to the new broadcasting and telecommunication convergence services. Also, the ways in which individual characteristics affect choices and time consumption were found to be very diverse service by service.