• 제목/요약/키워드: probability-based

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A response surface method based on sub-region of interest for structural reliability analysis

  • Zhao, Weitao;Shi, Xueyan;Tang, Kai
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제57권4호
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    • pp.587-602
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    • 2016
  • In structural reliability analysis, the response surface method is widely adopted because of its numerical efficiency. It should be understood that the response function must approximate the actual limit state function accurately in the main region influencing failure probability where it is evaluated. However, the size of main region influencing failure probability was not defined clearly in current response surface methods. In this study, the concept of sub-region of interest is constructed, and an improved response surface method is proposed based on the sub-region of interest. The sub-region of interest can clearly define the size of main region influencing failure probability, so that the accuracy of the evaluation of failure probability is increased. Some examples are introduced to demonstrate the efficiency and the accuracy of the proposed method for both numerical and implicit limit state functions.

온라인 확률추정기법을 이용한 모델기반 유도전동기의 고장진단 알고리즘 연구 (Model based Fault Detection and Diagnosis of Induction Motors using Online Probability Density Estimation)

  • 김광수;이영진;이권순
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2008년도 제39회 하계학술대회
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    • pp.1503-1504
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents stochastic methodology based fault diction and diagnosis algorithm for induction motor systems. First, we construct probability distribution model from healthy motors and then probability distribution for faulty motors is recursively calculated by means of the proposed probability estimation. We measure motor current with hall sensors as system state. The estimated probability is compared to the model to generate a residue signal which is utilized for fault detection and diagnosis, that is, where a fault is occurred. We carry out real-time induction motor experiment to evaluate efficiency and reliability of the proposed approach.

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Transmission Probability Control Scheme in FSA-based RFID Systems

  • Lim, In-Taek
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • 제8권6호
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    • pp.677-681
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    • 2010
  • This paper proposes a transmission probability control scheme for enhancing the performances of FSA-based RFID system. In order to maximize the system performance, the number of tags attempting to transmit their identifiers in a frame should be kept at a proper level. The reader calculates the transmission probability according to the number of tags within the identification range of reader and then broadcasts it to tags. Tags, in which their slot counter values reach to zero, attempt to transmit their identifiers with the received probability. Simulation results show that the proposed scheme can offer better throughput and delay performance than the conventional one regardless of the number of tags.

Structural dynamic optimization with probability constraints of frequency and mode

  • Chen, Jian-Jun;Che, Jian-Wen;Sun, Huai-An;Ma, Hong-Bo;Cui, Ming-Tao
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.479-490
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    • 2002
  • The structural dynamic optimization problem based on probability is studied. Considering the randomness of structural physical parameters and the given constraint values, we develop a dynamic optimization mathematical model of engineering structures with the probability constraints of frequency, forbidden frequency domain and the vibration mode. The sensitivity of structural dynamic characteristics based on probability is derived. Two examples illustrate that the optimization model and the method applied are rational and efficient.

조건부확률 개념의 교수학적 분석과 이해 분석 (A Didactic Analysis of Conditional Probability)

  • 이정연;우정호
    • 대한수학교육학회지:수학교육학연구
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.233-256
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    • 2009
  • 이 연구는 조건부확률 개념에 대한 교수학적 분석을 시도하고, 학생들의 조건부확률 개념의 이해에 관하여 분석하였다. 수학적, 역사 발생적, 심리학적, 인식론적 관점의 분석을 통하여, 조건사건을 표본공간으로 하는 확률이라는 대상 개념, 사전확률이 사후확률로 변화하는 확률 수정의 과정 개념, 조건사건의 확인, 사건의 시간 순서와 조건관계의 구분, 인과관계와 조건관계의 구분, 가추적 사고의 이해가 조건부확률 이해의 핵심적인 요소임을 확인하였다. 또한, 고등학생과 대학생의 지필 검사와 면담을 통하여 학생들의 이해와 오개념에 대해 분식하였다. 이를 토대로 교육과정에의 시사점을 도출하였다.

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매설배관의 파손 확률 모델 (Failure Probability Model of Buried Pipeline)

  • 이억섭;편장식
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제18권11호
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    • pp.116-123
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    • 2001
  • A failure probability model based on Von-Mises failure criterion and the standard normal probability function is proposed. The effects of varying boundary conditions such as nearby cavity, backfill, load cycle and corrosion on failure probability of the buried pipes are systematically investigated. The location of cavity is found to affect failure probability of buried pipeline within a certain limit. It is noted that the flexibility of backfill plays a great role to change the failure probability of buried pipeline. Furthermore, the corrosion gives less effects than other boundary conditions such as cavity, load as cavity, load cycle, and backfill to the failure probability of buried pipeline.

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채널 길이와 전송 전력을 고려한 시변 환경 옥내 단일 사용자 전력선 통신의 outage 확률 분석 (Outage Probability Analysis under Time-varying characteristic of Indoor Single User PLC Considering Channel Length and Transmit Power)

  • 신재영;정지채
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제59권2호
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    • pp.285-290
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    • 2010
  • We investigate the outage probability in terms of QoS (quality of service) in indoor PLC network. We consider various kinds of appliances for realistic indoor PLC network. For estimation of the outage probability, we calculate the time-varying channel responses considering the loading conditions based on regular human activities and include the additive noise. We calculate the outage probability for each terminal and investigate relationship between the outage probability and the channel length, and transmit powers. Our results suggest that the outage probability is increased when the channel length becomes longer because more appliances affect the amount of reduced channel capacity and is not improved distinctly for very high and low outage threshold by increasing the transmit power. However, we can see outage probability improvement for 30% outage threshold case by increasing the transmit power.

Probability-based design charts for stone column-improved ground

  • Deb, Kousik;Majee, Anjan
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제7권5호
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    • pp.539-552
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    • 2014
  • A simplified probability-based design charts for stone column-improved ground have been presented based on the unit cell approach. The undrained cohesion ($c_u$) and coefficient of radial consolidation ($c_r$) of the soft soil are taken as the most predominant random variables. The design charts are developed to estimate the diameter of the stone column or the spacing between the stone columns by employing a factored design value of $c_r$ and $c_u$ so as to satisfy a specific probability level of the target degree of consolidation and/or a target safe load that needs to be achieved in a specified timeframe. The design charts can be used by the practicing engineers to design the stone column-improved ground by considering consolidation and /or bearing capacity of the improved ground.

골조 파이프 구조물의 최적신뢰성 설계 (Reliability-Based Optimum Design for Tubular Frame Structures)

  • 백점기
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 1988
  • This paper describes the development of a reliability-based optimum design technique for such three dimensional tubular frames as off shore structures. The objective function is formulated for the structural weight. Constraints that probability of failure for the critical sections does not exceed the allowable probability of failure are set up. In the evaluation of the probability of failure, fatigue as well as buckling and plasticity failure are taken into account and the mean-value first-order second-moment method(MVFOSM) is applied for its calculation. In order to reduce the computing time required for the repeated structural analysis in the optimization process, reanalysis method is also applied. Application to two and three dimensional simple frame structures is performed. The influence of material properties, external forces, allowable failure probabilities and interaction between external forces on the optimum design is investigated.

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원전 배관의 파손확률평가를 위한 P-PIE 프로그램의 개발 (Development of P-PIE Program for Evaluating Failure Probability of Pipes in Nuclear Power Plants)

  • 박재학;이재봉;최영환
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2010
  • P-PIE program is developed for evaluating failure probability of pipes in nuclear power plants based on the existing PRAISE program. In the program, crack growth due to fatigue loading and stress corrosion can be considered and the probability of fracture or leakage of pipes can be calculated. Crack growth simulation is performed based on stress intensity factor and a damage parameter and failure of a pipe is determined based on J integral or net section yielding. Using the developed program the failure probabilities of tubes in a domestic nuclear power is obtained and discussed.