• 제목/요약/키워드: probability trajectory

검색결과 86건 처리시간 0.023초

균일 난류 유동장내에서 연료입자의 퍼짐에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Dispersion of Fuel Particles in the Homogeneous Turbulent Flow Field)

  • 김덕줄;최연우
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제18권5호
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    • pp.1330-1337
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    • 1994
  • This study is to predict the lateral dispersion of the particles with time in a vertical pipe. Particle is released downward and located in the center of a pipe through which stationary, homogeneous turbulent air is flowing. We assume that gas turbulence velocities have a Gaussian probability density distribution and the presence of particle is not to alter turbulent structures. Particle trajectory is computed by numerically integrating the particle Lagrangian equation of motion, with a random sampling to determine the fluctuating air velocity experienced by each particle, which considered inertia effect and crossing-trajectories effect. The result shows characterestics of particle dispersion according to flow field condition and droplet size by using the parameters and scales, which expressed characterestics of flow field and particle. Predictions agree reasonably with experimental data.

Windborne debris risk analysis - Part I. Introduction and methodology

  • Lin, Ning;Vanmarcke, Erik
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.191-206
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    • 2010
  • Windborne debris is a major cause of structural damage during severe windstorms and hurricanes owing to its direct impact on building envelopes as well as to the 'chain reaction' failure mechanism it induces by interacting with wind pressure damage. Estimation of debris risk is an important component in evaluating wind damage risk to residential developments. A debris risk model developed by the authors enables one to analytically aggregate damage threats to a building from different types of debris originating from neighboring buildings. This model is extended herein to a general debris risk analysis methodology that is then incorporated into a vulnerability model accounting for the temporal evolution of the interaction between pressure damage and debris damage during storm passage. The current paper (Part I) introduces the debris risk analysis methodology, establishing the mathematical modeling framework. Stochastic models are proposed to estimate the probability distributions of debris trajectory parameters used in the method. It is shown that model statistics can be estimated from available information from wind-tunnel experiments and post-damage surveys. The incorporation of the methodology into vulnerability modeling is described in Part II.

최적 충돌각 제어법칙에 관한 연구 (A Study of Optimal Impact Angle Control Laws)

  • 송택렬;신상진
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.211-218
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    • 1998
  • As a part of trajectory modulation to increase system survivability and terminal effectiveness, impact angle control is required in the terminal phase of tactical missile systems. The missile systems are not allowed to have high altitude to reduce probability of detection by sensors of missile defense systems. In this paper, an analytic form of a time-optimal control law is suggested in the case of constrained missile maneuverability and impact angle under the assumption of a zero-lag autopilot. The control law is obtained by establishing optimal missile-target engagement geometry in the vertical plane. Extension of the law for missiles with autopilot response lags requiring a numerical solution is studied by introducing an iterative algorithm for optimal switching time determination of which the initial switching instants are obtained from the analytic solution. Also suggested is a closed-form impact angle control law derived by an energy-optimal approach. The performances of the proposed guidance laws are evaluated by a series of computer runs.

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Multi-Sensor Multi-Target Passive Locating and Tracking

  • Liu, Mei;Xu, Nuo;Li, Haihao
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.200-207
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    • 2007
  • The passive direction finding cross localization method is widely adopted in passive tracking, therefore there will exist masses of false intersection points. Eliminating these false intersection points correctly and quickly is a key technique in passive localization. A new method is proposed for passive locating and tracking multi-jammer target in this paper. It not only solves the difficulty of determining the number of targets when masses of false intersection points existing, but also solves the initialization problem of elastic network. Thus this method solves the problem of multi-jammer target correlation and the elimination of static false intersection points. The method which dynamically establishes multiple hypothesis trajectory trees solves the problem of eliminating the remaining false intersection points. Simulation results show that computational burden of the method is lower, the elastic network can more quickly find all or most of the targets and have a more probability of locking the real targets. This method can eliminate more false intersection points.

산란 및 투과된 수소 이온의 분자 전산 연구 II. 니켈 (100) 표면의 45° 입사 (Molecular Simulation Studies of Scattered and Penetrated Hydrogen Ions II. 45° Incident Angle to Ni (100) Surface)

  • 서승혁;민웅기
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.51-63
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    • 2001
  • In this paper molecular dynamics simulations were employed to investigate the structural and dynamic properties of hydrogen ions impacted on the Ni (100) surface with the $45^{\circ}$ incident angle. The initial kinetic energies of the hydrogen ion range from 100 to 1,600 eV. Together with the trajectory visualization of hydrogen ions, we computed scattering and penetration yields, mean energies and angles, and probability and energy distributions as a function of longitudinal and azimuthal directions. In the case of lower energy scattering ions, the multiple collision effects were found to be important to the third layers or lower. For higher energy penetrating ions, compared with the normal incident angle, it was significant the effective channeling effects through the Ni layers and the angle dependencies were indicated both in the longitudinal and the azimuthal angle directions.

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Clarifying Warhead Separation from the Reentry Vehicle Using a Novel Tracking Algorithm

  • Liu Cheng-Yu;Sung Yu-Ming
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • 제4권5호
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    • pp.529-538
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    • 2006
  • Separating a reentry vehicle into warhead and body is a conventional and efficient means of producing a huge decoy and increasing the kinetic energy of the warhead. This procedure causes the radar to track the body, whose radar cross section is larger, and ignore the warhead, which is the most important part of the reentry vehicle. However, the procedure is difficult to perform using standard tracking criteria. This study presents a novel tracking algorithm by integrating input estimation and modified probabilistic data association filter to solve this difficulty in a clear environment. The proposed algorithm with a new defined association probability in this filter provides a good tracking capability for the warhead ignoring the radar cross section. The simulation results indicate that the errors between the estimated and the warhead trajectories are reduced to a small interval in a short time. Therefore, the radar can produce a beam to illuminate to the right area and keep tracking the warhead all the way. In conclusion, this algorithm is worthy of further study and application.

등방성 난류에서 입자의 회전에 의한 분산 특성의 변화 (On the modification of particle dispersion in isotropic turbulence by free rotation of particle)

  • 박용남;이창훈
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2008년도 추계학술대회B
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    • pp.2554-2557
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    • 2008
  • Effect of a particle's spin is investigated numerically by considering the effect of lift occurring due to difference of rotations of a particle and of fluid such as the Saffman lift and Magnus force. These lift forces have been neglected in many previous works on particle-laden turbulence. The trajectory of particles can be changed by the lift forces, resulting in significant modification of the stochastic characteristics of heavy particles. Probability density functions and autocorrelations are examined of velocity, acceleration of solid particle and acceleration of fluid at the position of solid particle. Changes in velocity statistics are negligible but statistics related with acceleration are a little bit changed by particle's rotation. When a laden particle encounters with coherent structures during the motion, the particle's rotation might significantly affects the motion due to intermittently large fluid acceleration near coherent structures.

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Performance Evaluation of the WiMAX Network Based on Combining the 2D Markov Chain and MMPP Traffic Model

  • Saha, Tonmoy;Shufean, Md. Abu;Alam, Mahbubul;Islam, Md. Imdadul
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.653-678
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    • 2011
  • WiMAX is intended for fourth generation wireless mobile communications where a group of users are provided with a connection and a fixed length queue. In present literature traffic of such network is analyzed based on the generator matrix of the Markov Arrival Process (MAP). In this paper a simple analytical technique of the two dimensional Markov chain is used to obtain the trajectory of the congestion of the network as a function of a traffic parameter. Finally, a two state phase dependent arrival process is considered to evaluate probability states. The entire analysis is kept independent of modulation and coding schemes.

비선형 위상공간에서의 기포 분율 신호의 끌개밀도분식을 이용한 수직 상향 이상유동의 유동패턴분류 (Flow Pattern Identification of Vertical Upward Two-Phase Flow Using the Attractor-Density-Map Analysis of the Void Fraction Signal in the Nonlinear Phase Space)

  • 김남석;이재영
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제28권11호
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    • pp.1398-1406
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    • 2004
  • The nonlinear signals from an impedance meter for the area average void fraction in two-phase flow have been analyzed to construct a phase space trajectory. The pseudo phase space was constructed with the time delay and proper dimensions. The time delay and the embedding dimension were chosen by the average mutual information and by the false nearest neighborhood, respectively. The attractor-density-map of projected states was used to produce the two dimensional probability distribution functions (2D-PDF). Since the developed 2D-PDF showed clear distinction of the flow patterns, the flow regime identification was made with three rules and with the 2D-PDF. Also, the transition criteria of Mishima-Ishii agree well with the present results.

Reed - Frost 모형을 이용한 전염병 감염 확률 추정 (An estimation method of probability of infection using Reed - Frost model)

  • 엄은진;황진섭;최보승
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2017
  • 질병의 확산 과정을 설명하기 위한 모형으로 가장 대표적인 방법은 Kermack과 McKendrick (1927)에 의해 제안된 SIR (susceptible - infectious - recovered) 모형이다. SIR 모형을 구축하기 위해서는 질병의 감염률 (transition rate)과 회복률 (recovery rate)이 주어져 있거나 질병의 전체 확산 과정이 데이터로 주어진 경우 추정을 통하여 구할 수 있다. 하지만 데이터가 제한적으로 관찰된 경우 직접적인 감염률와 회복률의 계산이 불가능 하다. 본 연구에서는 관찰된 자료가 가지는 한계점을 고려하여 질병의 초기 확산과정에서 질병 감염 확률을 추정하기 위하여 리드-프로스트 (Reed-Frost) 모형 (Andersson과 Britton, 2000)을 적용하였다. 리드-프로스트 모형은 질병의 최초 감염자 수, 최종 감염자 수, 그리고 최초 감염대상자의 수가 주어졌을 때 이를 통하여 감염 확률을 추정하기 위한 모형이다. 본 연구에서는 서아프리카의 카메룬 공화국에서 조사된 역학 조사 자료를 이용하여 콜레라의 초기 감염 확률을 추정하였다. 그리고 추정된 결과를 이용하여 다시 SIR 모형에 적용하여 질병의 확산 경로에 대한 예측을 수행하였다. 예측 결과 조사 지역의 주민 가운데 50% 이상이 감염될 것으로 예측되었으며 질병의 전파는 약 한달 정도 지속될 것으로 예측 되었다.