• Title/Summary/Keyword: probability functions

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Deformation and Failure Analysis of Heterogeneous Microstructures of Ti-6Al-4V Alloy using Probability Functions (확률함수를 이용한 비균질 Ti-6Al-4V 합금의 변형 및 파손해석)

  • Kim, Tae-Won;Ko, Eun-Young
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.685-692
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    • 2004
  • A stochastic approach has been presented for superplastic deformation of Ti-6Al-4V alloy, and probability functions are used to model the heterogeneous phase distributions. The experimentally observed spatial correlation functions are developed, and microstructural evolutions together with superplastic deformation behavior have been investigated by means of the two-point and three-point probability functions. The results have shown that the probability varies approximately linearly with separation distance, and deformation enhanced probability changes during the process. The stress-strain behavior with the evolutions of probability function can be correctly predicted by the model. The finite element implementation using Monte Carlo simulation associated with reconstructed microstructures shows that better agreement with experimental data of failure strain on the test specimen.

A Study of Probability Functions of Best Fit to Distribution of Annual Runoff -on the Nakdong River Basin- (년유출량의 적정확률 분포형에 관한 연구 -낙동강 유역을 중심으로-)

  • 조규상;이순탁
    • Water for future
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.107-111
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    • 1974
  • Annual runoff in the Nakdong river basin has been analyzed to find the probability functions of best fit to distribution of historical annual runoff. The results obtained are as follows; (1) Log-normal 3-parameter disrtibution is believed as the probability function of best fit to historical distribution (2) Log-normal 3-parameter disrtibution is believed as the best fit probability function among Log-normal dist-ributions. (3) In the test of goodness of fit, $x^2-test$ shows that probability of $x^2-valus$ in Log-normal 3-parameter distribution is nearly more than 90%. But in the Simirnov-Kolmogorov test, hypotheses for the probability distributions cannot be rejected at significance level 5% & 1%. (4) Among 7 gauging stations, Dongchon & Koryung-Bridge's records show lower fitness to the theoretical probability functions than other 5 gauging station's

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Two-Dimensional Probability Functions of Morphological Dilation and Erosion of a Memoryless Source

  • Sangsin Na;Park, Tae-Young
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and information Science
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.151-155
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    • 1996
  • This paper derives the two-dimensional probability distribution and density functions of morphological dilation and erosion of a one-dimensional memoryless source and reports numerical results for a uniform source, thus providing methodology for joint distributions for other morphological operations. The joint density functions expressed in closed forms contain the Dirac delta functions due to the joint discontinuity within the dilation and erosion. They also exhibit symmetry between these two morphological density functions of dilated and/or eroded sources, in the computation of other higher moments thereof, and in multidimensional quantization.

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On Tail Probabilities of Continuous Probability Distributions with Heavy Tails (두꺼운 꼬리를 갖는 연속 확률분포들의 꼬리 확률에 관하여)

  • Yun, Seokhoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.759-766
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    • 2013
  • The paper examines several classes of probability distributions with heavy tails. An (asymptotic) expression for tail probability needs to be known to understand which class a given probability distribution belongs to. It is usually not easy to get expressions for tail probabilities since most absolutely continuous probability distributions are specified by probability density functions and not by distribution functions. The paper proposes a method to obtain asymptotic expressions for tail probabilities using only probability density functions. Some examples are given to illustrate the proposed method.

Estimating Suitable Probability Distribution Function for Multimodal Traffic Distribution Function

  • Yoo, Sang-Lok;Jeong, Jae-Yong;Yim, Jeong-Bin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.253-258
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to find suitable probability distribution function of complex distribution data like multimodal. Normal distribution is broadly used to assume probability distribution function. However, complex distribution data like multimodal are very hard to be estimated by using normal distribution function only, and there might be errors when other distribution functions including normal distribution function are used. In this study, we experimented to find fit probability distribution function in multimodal area, by using AIS(Automatic Identification System) observation data gathered in Mokpo port for a year of 2013. By using chi-squared statistic, gaussian mixture model(GMM) is the fittest model rather than other distribution functions, such as extreme value, generalized extreme value, logistic, and normal distribution. GMM was found to the fit model regard to multimodal data of maritime traffic flow distribution. Probability density function for collision probability and traffic flow distribution will be calculated much precisely in the future.

Comparison of Probability Density Functions for Caculation of Capacity Factors of Wind Turbine Generator (풍력발전기의 설비이용률 계산을 위한 확률밀도함수의 비교)

  • Kang, Taeg-Geun;Huh, Jong-Chul;Jwa, Chong-Keun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2002.07b
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    • pp.1338-1341
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    • 2002
  • The Weibull probability density function and the Rayleigh function are compared by analyzing the relations of the capacity factors which are compared the actual wind speed frequency curve with which are modelled using the probability density functions with different mean wind speeds. For this analysis, the wind speed means of arithmetic, root mean square, cubic mean cuberoot, and standard deviations are computed from the measured wind speed data of a specific site and the coefficients of probability density functions are calculated. The capacity factors for Vestas 850[kW] wind turbine are calculated and analyzed. The results shows that the wind speed frequency curve by Rayleigh function is more close to the actual curve than by Weibull function. The more the wind speed frequency curve is close to the actual one, the more the capacity factors become large values.

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Dynamic Reliability Model for Stability Analysis of Armor Units on Rubble-Mound Breakwater (경사제 피복재의 안정성 해석을 위한 동력학적 신뢰성 모형)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.21 no.B
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    • pp.163-174
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    • 2001
  • A dynamic reliability model for analyzing the stability of armor units on rubble-mound breakwater is mathematically developed by using Hudson's formula and definition of single-failure mode. The probability density functions of resistance and loading functions are defined properly, the related parameters to those probability density functions are also estimated straightforwardly by the first-order analysis. It is found that probabilities of failure for the stability of armor units on rubble-mound breakwater are continuously increased as the service periods are elapsed, because of the occurrence of repeated loading of random magnitude by which the resistance may be deteriorated. In particular, the factor of safety is incorporated into the dynamic reliability model in order to evaluate the probability of failure as a function of factor of safety. It may thus be possible to take some informations for optimal design as well as managements and repairs of armor units on rubble-mound breakwater from the dynamic reliability analyses.

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Teaching and Learning of Continuous Functions and Continuous Random Variables (함수의 연속과 연속확률변수 개념에 대한 교수·학습적 고찰)

  • Yun, Yongsik;Lee, Kwangsang
    • Journal for History of Mathematics
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.135-155
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    • 2019
  • One of the reasons students have difficulty in studying probability is that they do not understand the meaning of mathematical terms precisely. One such term is a continuous random variable. Students tend not to think of the accurate definition of continuous random variables but to understand the definition of continuity of functions and the meaning of continuity in probability as equal. In this study, we try to explore the degree of pre-service teachers' understanding on the concept of continuation of functions and continuous random variables. To do this, the questionnaire items related to continuous random variables and continuity of functions were developed by experts and examined by pre-service teachers. Based on this, we make suggestions on implications for teaching and learning about continuous random variables.

A Study on a Hit Probability Model for Polygonal Target (다각형 표적의 명중확률 산정모델의 연구)

  • 황흥석
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.160-168
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    • 1999
  • This research focussed on developing a hit probability model for polygonal target to increase the survivability of weapon systems by its shape design. First, we defined the delivery errors and derived functions for these errors based on the assumption of bivariate normal distribution, and the derived functions for probability of shot hitting of various shapes of polygonal target. Also, we developed computer program for computation of the probability of hitting a general n-sided polygon and we have shown a sample run output. The model could be used to improve the survivability from design phase by designing optimal polygonal shape of weapon system.

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