• 제목/요약/키워드: probability correlation

Search Result 677, Processing Time 0.033 seconds

The Spatial Correlation of Mode Choice Behavior based on Smart Card Transit Data in Seoul (교통카드 자료를 이용한 서울시 지역별 대중교통 수단 선택 공간상관성 분석)

  • Park, Man Sik;Eom, JinKi;Heo, Tae-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.26 no.4
    • /
    • pp.623-634
    • /
    • 2013
  • In this study, we provide empirical evidence of whether a spatial correlation among mode choices at the TAZ(Traffic Analysis Zone) level exists based on transit smart card data observed in Seoul, Korea. The results show that the areas with a higher probability that passengers choose to take a bus are clustered and that those regions have fewer metro stations than bus stations. We also found that the spatial correlation turned out to be statistically meaningful and provided an opportunity for the potential use of the spatial correlation in modeling mode choices. A reliable spatial interaction would constitute valuable information for transportation agencies in terms of their route planning and scheduling based on the transit smart card data.

System Reliability Analysis Considering Correlation of Performances (성능의 상관관계를 고려한 시스템 신뢰성 해석)

  • Kim, Saekyeol;Lim, Woochul;Lee, Tae Hee
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.41 no.4
    • /
    • pp.291-297
    • /
    • 2017
  • Reliability analysis of a mechanical system has been developed in order to consider the uncertainties in the product design that may occur from the tolerance of design variables, uncertainties of noise, environmental factors, and material properties. In most of the previous studies, the reliability was calculated independently for each performance of the system. However, the conventional methods cannot consider the correlation between the performances of the system that may lead to a difference between the reliability of the entire system and the reliability of the individual performance. In this paper, the joint probability density function (PDF) of the performances is modeled using a copula which takes into account the correlation between performances of the system. The system reliability is proposed as the integral of joint PDF of performances and is compared with the individual reliability of each performance by mathematical examples and two-bar truss example.

Improved Fast Correlation Attack on the Shrinking and Self-Shrinking generators (Shrinking 생성기와 Self-Shrinking 생성기에 대한 향상된 고속 상관 공격)

  • Jeong Ki-Tae;Sung Jae-Chul;Lee Sang-Jin;Kim Jae-Heon;Park Sang-Woo;Hong Seok-Hie
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.25-32
    • /
    • 2006
  • In this paper, we propose a fast correlation attack on the shrinking and self-shrinking generator. This attack is an improved algorithm or the fast correlation attack by Zhang et al. at CT-RSA 2005. For the shrinking generator, we recover the initial state of generating LFSR whose length is 61 with $2^{15.43}$ keystream bits, the computational complexity of $2^{56.3314}$ and success probability 99.9%. We also recover the initial state of generating LFSR whose length is $2^{40}$ of the self-shrinking generator with $2^{45.89}$ keystream bits, the computational complexity of $2^{112.424}$ and success probability 99.9%.

Inverse Estimation Method for Spatial Randomness of Material Properties and Its Application to Topology Optimization on Shape of Geotechnical Structures (재료 물성치의 공간적 임의성에 대한 역추정 방법 및 지반구조 형상의 위상 최적화 적용)

  • Kim, Dae-Young;Song, Myung Kwan
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
    • /
    • v.21 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-10
    • /
    • 2022
  • In this paper, the spatial randomness and probability characteristics of material properties are inversely estimated by using a set of the stochastic fields for the material properties of geotechnical structures. By using the probability distribution and probability characteristics of these estimated material properties, topology optimization is performed on structure shape, and the results are compared with the existing deterministic topology optimization results. A set of stochastic fields for material properties is generated, and the spatial randomness of material properties in each field is simulated. The probability distribution and probability characteristics of actual material properties are estimated using the partial values of material properties in each stochastic field. The probability characteristics of the estimated actual material properties are compared with those of the stochastic field set. Also, response variability of the ground structure having a modulus of elasticity with randomness is compared with response variability of the ground structure having a modulus of elasticity without randomness. Therefore, the quantified stochastic topology optimization result can be obtained with considering the spatial randomness of actual material properties.

The Effects of the Probability Activities in Thinking Science Program on the Development of the Probabilistic Thinking of Middle School Students (Thinking Science 프로그램의 확률 활동이 중학생의 확률적 사고 형성에 미치는 효과)

  • Kyung-In Shin;Sang-Kwon Lee;Ae-Kyung Shin;Byung-Soon Choi
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
    • /
    • v.47 no.2
    • /
    • pp.165-174
    • /
    • 2003
  • The purposes of this study were to investigate the correlation between the cognitive level and the probabilistic thinking level and to analyze the effects of the probability activities in Thinking Science (TS) program on the development of probabilistic thinking. The 219 7th grade students were sampled in the middle school and were divided into an experimental group and a control group. The probability activities in TS program were implemented to the experimental group, while only normal curriculum was conducted in the control group. The results of this study showed that most of 7th grade students were in the concrete operational stage and used both subjective and quantitative strategy simultaneously in probability problem solving. It was also found that the higher the cognitive level of the students, the higher the probabilistic thinking level of them. The sample space and the probability of an event in the constructs of probability were first developed as compared to the probability comparisons and the conditional probability. The probability activities encouraged the students to use quantitative strategy in probability problem solving and to recognize probability of an event. Especially, the effectiveness was relatively higher for the students in the mid concrete operational stage than those in any other stage.

Study of Design Flood Estimation by Watershed Characteristics (유역특성인자를 이용한 설계홍수량 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Ki-Bum
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
    • /
    • v.15 no.9
    • /
    • pp.887-895
    • /
    • 2006
  • Through this research of the analysis on the frequency flood discharges regarding basin property factors, a linear regression system was introduced, and as a result, the item with the highest correlation with the frequency flood discharges from Nakdong river basin is the basin area, and the second highest is the average width of basin and the river length. The following results were obtained after looking at the multi correlation between the flood discharge and the collected basin property factors using the data from the established river maintenance master plan of the one hundred twenty-five rivers in the Nakdong river basin. The result of analysis on multivariate correlation between the flood discharges and the most basic data in determining the flood discharges as basin area, river length, basin slope, river slope, average width of basin, shape factor and probability precipitation showed more than 0.9 of correlation in terms of the multi correlation coefficient and more than 0.85 for the determination coefficient. The model which induced a regression system through multi correlation analysis using basin property factors is concluded to be a good reference in estimating the design flood discharge of unmeasured basin.

Highly Reliable Watermark Detection Algorithm using Statistical Decision Method in Wavelet Domain (웨이블릿 영역에서 통계적 판정법을 이용한 고신뢰 워터마크 검출 알고리즘)

  • 권성근;김병주;이석환;권기구;김영춘;권기룡;이건일
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
    • /
    • v.6 no.1
    • /
    • pp.67-77
    • /
    • 2003
  • Watermark detection has a crucial role in copyright protection and authentication for multimedia Because be the correlation -based algorithm which has widely been used in the watermark detection doesn't utilize the distributional characteristics of cover image to be marked, its performance is not optimum. So a new detection algorithm is proposed which is optimum for multiplicative watermark embedding. By relying on statistical decision method, the proposed method is derived according to the Bayes decision theory. Neyman Pearson criterion, and distribution of wavelet coefficients, thus Permitting to minimize the missed detection probability subject to a given false detection probability The superiority of the proposed method has been tested from a robustness perspective. The results confirm the superiority of the proposed technique over classical correlation -based method.

  • PDF

A Study on Spectrum Sensing for WRAN (WRAN을 위한 스펙트럼 센싱에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Sang-Min;Lim, Jong-Tae
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.132-138
    • /
    • 2008
  • Recently, many frequency sharing technology including CR (Cognitive Radio) technology have been studied actively because of frequency scarcity. For implementing CR systems, spectrum sensing technology plays key role. In IEEE 802.22 WRAN, the first standard aimed at Internet service in a TV channel with CR technology. This paper explained the various spectrum sensing schemes detecting narrowband ATSC signal in the IEEE 802.22 such as Energy detector, Spectral Correlation Sensing scheme, Covariance based Sensing algorithm and analyzed in terms of the probability of misdetection when the probability of false alarm is 10%. Based on simulation results, this paper proposed a duplex sensing scheme based on Energy detector and analyzed the capability of the proposed sensing scheme comparing with each sensing scheme.

  • PDF

Approximate Analytical Expression of the Laser Wavelength Distribution Incurred by the Grating Period Fluctuation in QWS-DFB Lasers (QWS-DFB 레이저에서 회절격자 주기의 랜덤 변이에 따른 주모드 파장 분포의 해석적 근사식)

  • Ha, Seon-Yong;Kim, Sang-Bae;Na, Sang-Sin
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SD
    • /
    • v.38 no.9
    • /
    • pp.616-623
    • /
    • 2001
  • Effects of the grating period fluctuation on the wavelength distribution have been studied by an effective index transfer matrix method in quarter wavelength shifted (QWS) DFB lasers. The wavelength distribution is expressed by a probability density that is an analytical function of the correlation coefficient and normalized standard deviation of the grating period fluctuation. The probability density function of wavelength distribution is shown to be nearly Gaussian, and its standard deviation increases with normalized standard deviation of the grating period fluctuation, and decreases with the negative correlation between adjacent half-periods.

  • PDF

Stereo Image Quality Assessment Using Visual Attention and Distortion Predictors

  • Hwang, Jae-Jeong;Wu, Hong Ren
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
    • /
    • v.5 no.9
    • /
    • pp.1613-1631
    • /
    • 2011
  • Several metrics have been reported in the literature to assess stereo image quality, mostly based on visual attention or human visual sensitivity based distortion prediction with the help of disparity information, which do not consider the combined aspects of human visual processing. In this paper, visual attention and depth assisted stereo image quality assessment model (VAD-SIQAM) is devised that consists of three main components, i.e., stereo attention predictor (SAP), depth variation (DV), and stereo distortion predictor (SDP). Visual attention is modeled based on entropy and inverse contrast to detect regions or objects of interest/attention. Depth variation is fused into the attention probability to account for the amount of changed depth in distorted stereo images. Finally, the stereo distortion predictor is designed by integrating distortion probability, which is based on low-level human visual system (HVS), responses into actual attention probabilities. The results show that regions of attention are detected among the visually significant distortions in the stereo image pair. Drawbacks of human visual sensitivity based picture quality metrics are alleviated by integrating visual attention and depth information. We also show that positive correlation with ground-truth attention and depth maps are increased by up to 0.949 and 0.936 in terms of the Pearson and the Spearman correlation coefficients, respectively.