• Title/Summary/Keyword: probabilistic study

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Design and Application of a Winning Forecast Model of the AOS Genre Game (AOS 장르 게임의 승패 예측 모형의 설계와 활용)

  • Ku, Ji-Min;Yu, Kyeonah
    • KIISE Transactions on Computing Practices
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2017
  • Games of the AOS genre are classified as an e-sport rather than a recreational computer game. The involved statistical analyses such as game playing patterns and the season's characters gain importance due to the expertise-requiring nature of sports. In this study, the strategic analysis of computer games was conducted by using data mining techniques on League of Legend, a representative AOS game. We designed and tested a winning forecast model using winning percentage prediction techniques such as logistic regression analysis, discriminant analysis, and artificial neural networks. The game data analysis results were represented by a probabilistic graph and used in the visualization tool for game play. Experimental results of the winning forecast model showed a high classification rate of 95% on average with potential for use in establishing various strategies for game play with the visualization tool.

Analysis of Interference Effect on FS System from ESIM with Motion Characteristics (이동 특성에 기반한 ESIM이 FS 시스템에 미치는 간섭영향 분석)

  • Kang, Young-Houng;Oh, Dae-Sub
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.428-434
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    • 2017
  • In recent years, owing to the growing user demand for the two-way internet service based on the mobile global broadband communications, a new type of satellite terminal has been developed, known as ESIM(Earth Station in Motion). This service was required by Resolution 158(WRC-15) to study on the coexistence with the co-primary FS(Fixed Service) in 27.5-29.5 GHz as a FSS(Fixed Satellite Service) uplink. In this paper, the average received power on ESIM within -10 dB of beam width of FS and its outage probability was analyzed theoretically and also simulated to account for the azimuth angle with uniform distribution. From the results, it can be concluded that this theoretical analysis is very useful to analyze the interference from ESIM into FS based on the statistical and probabilistic method. Therefore, it is necessary to control the azimuth angle due to a moving terminal as well as the inclination angle of moving path, the operation hours, and the speed of ESIM to protect the co-primary FS.

A Study of Energy Efficient Clustering in Wireless Sensor Networks (무선 센서네트워크의 에너지 효율적 집단화에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Sang Hak;Chung Tae Choong
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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    • v.11C no.7 s.96
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    • pp.923-930
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    • 2004
  • Wireless sensor networks is a core technology of ubiquitous computing which enables the network to aware the different kind of context by integrating exiting wired/wireless infranet with various sensor devices and connecting collected environmental data with applications. However it needs an energy-efficient approach in network layer to maintain the dynamic ad hoc network and to maximize the network lifetime by using energy constrained node. Cluster-based data aggregation and routing are energy-efficient solution judging from architecture of sensor networks and characteristics of data. In this paper. we propose a new distributed clustering algorithm in using distance from the sink. This algorithm shows that it can balance energy dissipation among nodes while minimizing the overhead. We verify that our clustering is more en-ergy-efficient and thus prolongs the network lifetime in comparing our proposed clustering to existing probabilistic clustering for sensor network via simulation.

Critical Management Factors of Fluid-Applied Membrane Waterproofing Work for building basements (지하층 도막방수공사의 중점관리요인)

  • Kwon, Hae-Rim;Yu, Jung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2009
  • One role of waterproofing work is to block external moisture and water. Defects in waterproofing work in building construction brings on huge repair costs for related construction work as well as for the waterproofing layer itself. However, we don't have a quantitative probabilistic management method for waterproofing work to successfully anticipate and prevent defects. From an analysis of the literature and prior research, defects in the waterproofing work in the underground parts of buildings occur frequently. We selected Fluid-Applied Membrane waterproofing work as representing waterproofing work in the underground parts of a building, and researched the general types and causes of defects. In this study, we developed the Relative-FMEA (Failure Mode and Effect Analysis) approach that merges the Matrix method and FMEA. From a survey of experts, we deduced the most important management factors for Fluid-Applied Membrane waterproofing work for the underground parts of buildings.

A Probabilistic Study on the Engineering Characteristics of Soil in Korea by the Unified Soil Classification (통일분류(統一分類)에 의한 우리나라 토질(土質) 공학적(工學的) 특성(特性)에 관한 확률론적(確率論的) 연구(硏究))

  • Chung, Chul Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.115-123
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    • 1989
  • This paper probabilisticly analyses the variance of the soil parameters on kinds of soil by conducting statistical analysis through the Unified Soil Classification System. Data used are the result of soil test which the Korea National Housing Corporation conducted in 176 sites of 74 cities throughout the country during the past 13 years from 1974 to 1986. In this paper, soil parameters such as natural water contents, specific gravity of soil particle, Atterberg limits, N-values, unconfined compression strength, compression index and shear strength parameter etc., is analysed. The result of the analysis is as follows. 1) The variance in physical properties of the soil is, when compared with coefficient of variation which is statistical variable, comparatively small. 2) The shear strength parameter is proved to be about 40% and compression index is about 32%. 3) The variance in specific gravity is 0.87-2.49% in granular soil and 0.91~5.03% in cohesive soil respectively. So, the degree of the variance is very small.

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Study on the Improvement of Extraction Performance for Domain Knowledge based Wrapper Generation (도메인 지식 기반 랩퍼 생성의 추출 성능 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong Chang-Hoo;Choi Yun-Soo;Seo Jeong-Hyeon;Yoon Hwa-Mook
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.67-77
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    • 2006
  • Wrappers play an important role in extracting specified information from various sources. Wrapper rules by which information is extracted are often created from the domain-specific knowledge. Domain-specific knowledge helps recognizing the meaning the text representing various entities and values and detecting their formats However, such domain knowledge becomes powerless when value-representing data are not labeled with appropriate textual descriptions or there is nothing but a hyper link when certain text labels or values are expected. In order to alleviate these problems, we propose a probabilistic method for recognizing the entity type, i.e. generating wrapper rules, when there is no label associated with value-representing text. In addition, we have devised a method for using the information reachable by following hyperlinks when textual data are not immediately available on the target web page. Our experimental work shows that the proposed methods help increasing precision of the resulting wrapper, particularly extracting the title information, the most important entity on a web page. The proposed methods can be useful in making a more efficient and correct information extraction system for various sources of information without user intervention.

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Students' Mathematical Reasoning Emerging through Dragging Activities in Open-Ended Geometry Problems (개방형 기하 문제에서 학생의 드래깅 활동을 통해 나타난 수학적 추론 분석)

  • Yang, Eun Kyung;Shin, Jaehong
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.1-27
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    • 2014
  • In the present study, we analyze the four participating 9th grade students' mathematical reasoning processes in their dragging activities while solving open-ended geometry problems in terms of abduction, induction and deduction. The results of the analysis are as follows. First, the students utilized 'abduction' to adopt their hypotheses, 'induction' to generalize them by examining various cases and 'deduction' to provide warrants for the hypotheses. Secondly, in the abduction process, 'wandering dragging' and 'guided dragging' seemed to help the students formulate their hypotheses, and in the induction process, 'dragging test' was mainly used to confirm the hypotheses. Despite of the emerging mathematical reasoning via their dragging activities, several difficulties were identified in their solving processes such as misunderstanding shapes as fixed figures, not easily recognizing the concept of dependency or path, not smoothly proceeding from probabilistic reasoning to deduction, and trapping into circular logic.

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Drought Frequency Analysis Using Hidden Markov Chain Model and Bivariate Copula Function (Hidden Markov Chain 모형과 이변량 코플라함수를 이용한 가뭄빈도분석)

  • Chun, Si-Young;Kim, Yong-Tak;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.12
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    • pp.969-979
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    • 2015
  • This study applied a probabilistic-based hidden Markov model (HMM) to better characterize drought patterns. In addition, a copula-based bivariate drought frequency analysis was employed to further investigate return periods of the current drought condition in year 2015. The obtained results revealed that western Kangwon area was generally more vulnerable to drought risk than eastern Kangwon area using the 40-year data. Imjin-river watershed including Cheorwon area was the most vulnerable area in terms of severe drought events. Four stations in Han-river watershed showed a joint return period exceeding 1,000 years associated with the drought duration and severity in 2014-2015. Especially, current drought status in Northern Han-river and Imjin-river watershed is most severe drought exceeding 100-year return period.

Post Closure Long Term Safety of an Initial Container Failure Scenario for a Potential HLW Repository (고준위 방사성폐기물 처분장에서 초기 용기 파손 시나리오의 장기 방사선적 안전성 평가)

  • 황용수;서은진;이연명;강철형
    • Proceedings of the Korean Radioactive Waste Society Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.229-232
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    • 2003
  • A waste container, one of the key compartments in a multi-barrier system for a potential high level radioactive waste (HLW) repository in Korea ensures the mechanical stability against the lithostatic pressure of a deep geologic strata and the swelling pressure of the bentonite buffer. Also, it prohibits potential release of radionuclides for a certain period of time. before it is corroded by impurities. Even though the materials of a waste container is carefully chosen and all manufacturing processes are under heavy quality assurance, there might be a slight chance of intial defects in a waste container. Also, during the deposition of a waste container in a repository, there might be a chance of an incident affecting the integrity of a waste container. In this study, the FEP's and the scenarios over radiological impact of a potential initial waste container defect was developed. Then the total system performance assessment on this initial waste container failure (ICF) scenario was carried out by the MASCOT-K, one of the probabilistic safety assessment tools KAERI has developed. Results show that for the data set studied in this paper, the annual individual dose by the ICF scenario well meets the KINS regulation.

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Reliability Based Design Optimization for the Pressure Recovery of Supersonic Double-Wedge Inlet (이중 쐐기형 초음속 흡입구의 압력회복률에 대한 신뢰성 기반 최적설계)

  • Lee, Chang-Hyuck;Ahn, Joong-Ki;Bae, Hyo-Gil;Kwon, Jang-Hyuk
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.38 no.11
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    • pp.1067-1074
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    • 2010
  • In this study, RBDO(Reliability Based Design Optimization) was performed for a supersonic double-wedge inlet. By considering uncertainty of design with given design space, the pressure recovery was transformed into the probabilistic constraint while the inlet drag was considered as a deterministic objective function. To save computational analysis cost and to search good design space, Latin-Hypercube design of experiment and the Kriging model were incorporated and then RBDO was performed. Monte-Carlo simulation was performed to verify the accuracy of AFORM(Advanced First Order Reliability Method). It was found that AFORM result agreed very well with the Monte-Carlo simulation result. The system reliability was guaranteed by considering uncertainty of the design variables. In case of considering diverse uncertainty of system design, RBDO was found to be useful.