• Title/Summary/Keyword: prediction method

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A Study on the Improvement of Bearing Capacity Prediction Equation for Auger-drilled Piling (매입말뚝공법의 지지력 예측식 개선에 관한 연구)

  • 최도웅;한병권;서영화;조성한
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.382-389
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    • 2002
  • Recently, auger-drilled piling has been widely used in urban area to reduce the air pollution and noise. But this construction method that its basic theory was introduced from Japan may be changed depending on the each piling company and construction field condition. Therefore, the design code and management method for auger-drilled piling is not defined yet. Especially, the lack of research on the bearing capacity of auger-drilled piling leads to the absence of rational bearing capacity prediction equation. This paper presents the optimum design code and economical construction method of the auger-drilled piling by proposing the new bearing capacity prediction equation based on the site specific soil types and construction conditions. In this paper, existing bearing capacity prediction equations and current pile load tests were compared. And the end bearing capacity and skin friction characteristics were also analyzed by comparing the results of CAPWAP. From the results of analysis, a reliable bearing capacity prediction equation considered soil types is proposed.

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A Flashover Prediction Method by the Leakage Current Monitoring in the Contaminated Polymer Insulator (누설 전류 모니터링에 의한 오손된 고분자 애자에서의 섬락 예지 방법)

  • 박재준;송영철
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers C
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    • v.53 no.7
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    • pp.364-369
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    • 2004
  • In this Paper, a flashover prediction method using the leakage current in the contaminated EPDM distribution polymer insulator is proposed. The leakage currents on the insulator were measured simultaneously with the different salt fog application such as 25g, 50g, and 75g per liter of deionized water. Then, the measured leakage currents were enveloped and transformed as the CDFS using the Hilbert transform and the level crossing rate, respectively. The obtained CDFS having different gradients(angles) were used as a important factor for the flashover prediction of the contaminated polymer insulator. Thus, the average angle change with an identical salt fog concentration was within a range of 20 degrees, and the average angle change among the different salt fog concentrations was 5 degrees. However, it is hard to be distinguished each other because the gradient differences among the CDFS were very small. So, the new weighting value was defined and used to solve this problem. Through simulation, it Is verified that the proposed method has the capability of the flashover prediction.

Prediction of network security based on DS evidence theory

  • Liu, Dan
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.799-804
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    • 2020
  • Network security situation prediction is difficult due to its strong uncertainty, but DS evidence theory performs well in solving the problem of uncertainty. Based on DS evidence theory, this study analyzed the prediction of the network security situation, designed a prediction model based on the improved DS evidence theory, and carried out a simulation experiment. The experimental results showed that the improved method could predict accurately in the case of a large conflict, and had strong anti-jamming abilities as compared with the original method. The experimental results prove the effectiveness of the improved method in the prediction of the network security situation and provide some theoretical basis for the further application of DS evidence theory.

Design of HCBKA-Based IT2TSK Fuzzy Prediction System (HCBKA 기반 IT2TSK 퍼지 예측시스템 설계)

  • Bang, Young-Keun;Lee, Chul-Heui
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.60 no.7
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    • pp.1396-1403
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    • 2011
  • It is not easy to analyze the strong nonlinear time series and effectively design a good prediction system especially due to the difficulties in handling the potential uncertainty included in data and prediction method. To solve this problem, a new design method for fuzzy prediction system is suggested in this paper. The proposed method contains the followings as major parts ; the first-order difference detection to extract the stable information from the nonlinear characteristics of time series, the fuzzy rule generation based on the hierarchically classifying clustering technique to reduce incorrectness of the system parameter identification, and the IT2TSK fuzzy logic system to reasonably handle the potential uncertainty of the series. In addition, the design of the multiple predictors is considered to reflect sufficiently the diverse characteristics concealed in the series. Finally, computer simulations are performed to verify the performance and the effectiveness of the proposed prediction system.

Application Method of Logistic Regression Analysis for Annoyance Prediction Model Based on Predicted Noise Level (예측소음도를 이용한 어노이언스 예측모델을 위한 로지스틱 회귀분석의 적용방법)

  • Son, Jin-Hee;Lee, Kun;Choung, Tae-Ryang;Chang, Seo-Il
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.555-561
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    • 2010
  • Predicted noise level has been used to assess the annoyance response since noise map was generalized and being the normal method to assess the environmental noise. Unfortunately using predicted noise level to derive the annoyance prediction curve caused some problems. The data have to be grouped manually to use the annoyance prediction curve. The aim of this paper is to propose the method to handle the predicted noise level and the survey data for annoyance prediction curve. This paper used the percentage of persons annoyed(%A) and the percentage of persons highly annoyed as the descriptor of noise annoyance in a population. The logistic regression method was used for deriving annoyance prediction curve. It is concluded that the method of dichotomizing data and logistic regression was suitable to handle the predicted noise level and survey data.

Protein Tertiary Structure Prediction Method based on Fragment Assembly

  • Lee, Julian;Kim, Seung-Yeon;Joo, Kee-Hyoung;Kim, Il-Soo;Lee, Joo-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Bioinformatics Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.250-261
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    • 2004
  • A novel method for ab initio prediction of protein tertiary structures, PROFESY (PROFile Enumerating SYstem), is introduced. This method utilizes secondary structure prediction information and fragment assembly. The secondary structure prediction of proteins is performed with the PREDICT method which uses PSI-BLAST to generate profiles and a distance measure in the pattern space. In order to predict the tertiary structure of a protein sequence, we assemble fragments in the fragment library constructed as a byproduct of PREDICT. The tertiary structure is obtained by minimizing the potential energy using the conformational space annealing method which enables one to sample diverse low lying minima of the energy function. We apply PROFESY for prediction of some proteins with known structures, which shows good performances. We also participated in CASP5 and applied PROFESY to new fold targets for blind predictions. The results were quite promising, despite the fact that PROFESY was in its early stage of development. In particular, the PROFESY result is the best for the hardest target T0161.

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A New Method for Measurement and Prediction of Memorability from Logo Images using Characteristics of Color and Shape (색상 및 형태 특성을 이용한 로고 영상의 기억용이성 측정 및 예측)

  • Oh, Sang-Il;Kang, Hang-Bong
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.18 no.12
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    • pp.1509-1518
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    • 2015
  • Because a logo is a medium that connects between consumers and corporations or brands, designing memorable logo images is vital. Although predicting logo's memorability for brand marketing is essential, there have been only few researches that deal with memorability of logo images. In this paper, we analyze the memorability characteristics in logo images by performing experiments based upon our proposed prediction method for logo image's memorability. Our proposed research consists of three phases: crowdsourcing for memorability computing, computational phase for logo image's memorability, and development of a prediction model. Using computed memorability of logo images by "Visual Memory Game," we analyze the different characteristics of logo's memorability. We first developed a novel computational method that reflects logo image's color and shape. Each computational method on color and shape are selected by comparing the correlations between result values and ground truth memorability. Selected computational value is then converged with generic image feature descriptors such as SIFT and HoG to make a prediction model of logo's memorability. Using our method, we obtain reasonable performances in predicting logo image's memorability.

Prediction Method for Trailing-edge Serrated Wind Turbine Noise (풍력발전기 톱니형 뒷전 블레이드 소음 예측 기법)

  • Han, Dongyeon;Choi, Jihoon;Lee, Soogab
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2020
  • The reduction of noise from wind turbines has been studied using various methods. Some examples include controlling wind turbine blades, designing low-noise-emitting wind turbine blades, and using trailing-edge serrations. Among these methods, serration is considered an effective noise reduction method. Various studies have aimed to understand the effects of trailing-edge serration parameters. Most studies, however, have focused on fixed-wing concepts, and few have analyzed noise reduction or developed a prediction method for rotor-type blades. Herein, a noise prediction method, composed of two noise prediction methods for a wind turbine with trailing-edge serrations, is proposed. From the flow information obtained by an in-house program (WINFAS), the noise from non-serrated blades is calculated by turbulent ingestion noise and airfoil self-noise prediction methods. The degree of noise reduction caused by the trailing-edge serrations is predicted in the frequency domain by Lyu's method. The amount of noise reduction is subtracted from the predicted result of the non-serrated blade and the total reduction of the noise from the rotor blades is calculated.

A New Resonance Prediction Method of Fabry-Perot Cavity (FPC) Antennas Enclosed with Metallic Side Walls

  • Kim, Dong-Ho;Yeo, Jun-Ho
    • Journal of electromagnetic engineering and science
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.220-226
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    • 2011
  • We have proposed a new method to accurately predict the resonance of Fabry-Perot Cavity (FPC) antennas enclosed with conducting side walls. When lateral directions of an FPC antenna are not blocked with metallic walls, the conventional technique is accurate enough to predict the resonance of the FPC antenna. However, when the FPC antenna has side walls, especially for case with only a short distance between the walls, the conventional prediction method yields an inaccurate result, inevitably requiring a tedious, time-consuming tuning process to determine the correct resonant height to provide the maximum antenna gain in a target frequency band using three-dimensional full-wave computer simulations. To solve that problem, we have proposed a new resonance prediction method to provide a more accurate resonant height calculation of FPC antennas by using the well-known resonance behavior of a rectangular resonant cavity. For a more physically insightful explanation of the new prediction formula, we have reinvestigated our proposal using a wave propagation characteristic in a hollow rectangular waveguide, which clearly confirms our approach. By applying the proposed technique to an FPC antenna covered with a partially reflecting superstrate consisting of continuously tapered meander loops, we have proved that our method is very accurate and readily applicable to various types of FPC antennas with lateral walls. Experimental result confirms the validness of our approach.

Proposals for flexural capacity prediction method of externally prestressed concrete beam

  • Yan, Wu-Tong;Chen, Liang-Jiang;Han, Bing;Wei, Feng;Xie, Hui-Bing;Yu, Jia-Ping
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.83 no.3
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    • pp.363-375
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    • 2022
  • Flexural capacity prediction is a challenging problem for externally prestressed concrete beams (EPCBs) due to the unbonded phenomenon between the concrete beam and external tendons. Many prediction equations have been provided in previous research but typically ignored the differences in deformation mode between internal and external unbonded tendons. The availability of these equations for EPCBs is controversial due to the inconsistent deformation modes and ignored second-order effects. In this study, the deformation characteristics and collapse mechanism of EPCB are carefully considered, and the ultimate deflected shape curves are derived based on the simplified curvature distribution. With the compatible relation between external tendons and the concrete beam, the equations of tendon elongation and eccentricity loss at ultimate states are derived, and the geometric interpretation is clearly presented. Combined with the sectional equilibrium equations, a rational and simplified flexural capacity prediction method for EPCBs is proposed. The key parameter, plastic hinge length, is emphatically discussed and determined by the sensitivity analysis of 324 FE analysis results. With 94 collected laboratory-tested results, the effectiveness of the proposed method is confirmed, and comparisons with the previous formulas are made. The results show the better prediction accuracy of the proposed method for both stress increments and flexural capacity of EPCBs and the main reasons are discussed.