• 제목/요약/키워드: posterior performance

검색결과 200건 처리시간 0.025초

확률론적 베이지언 모델링에 의한 케이블 교량의 복합열화 리스크 평가 및 예측시스템 (The Risk Assessment and Prediction for the Mixed Deterioration in Cable Bridges Using a Stochastic Bayesian Modeling)

  • 조태준;이정배;김성수
    • 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
    • /
    • 제16권5호
    • /
    • pp.29-39
    • /
    • 2012
  • 상관관계가 높은 복합열화의 완벽한 개별예측모델의 개발은 매우 어려운 문제로, 본 논문에서는 현수교 시스템의 미래열화와 유지 예산을 예측하기 위하여, 10년간의 유지 데이터가 주어진 매개변수(파손지표와 사용성)의 사후 확률 밀도함수를 찾기 위해 베이지언 추론을 적용하였다. 마르코프 연쇄 몬테카를로법을 이용하여 매개변수의 사후 분포를 조사하였다. 감소한 사용성의 모의위험예측은 사전분포와 연간유지 업무에서 업데이트한 데이터의 가능성에 따라 작성한 사후 분포이다. 기존의 선형 예측 모델과 비교하면, 제안된 2차 모델은 교량부품의 사용성, 위험요소, 그리고 유지 예산의 측정 데이터에 대하여 매우 개선된 수렴성과 근접성을 제공한다. 따라서 제안된 2차 추계학적 회귀 모델을 기반으로 복잡한 사회간접설비의 미래 성능과 유지관리예산을 예측하고 제어할 수 있는 기회를 제공할 것으로 기대한다.

Phonetic Posterior Grams에 의해 조건화된 적대적 생성 신경망을 사용한 음성 변환 시스템 (Voice Conversion using Generative Adversarial Nets conditioned by Phonetic Posterior Grams)

  • 임진수;강천성;김동하;김경섭
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국정보통신학회 2018년도 추계학술대회
    • /
    • pp.369-372
    • /
    • 2018
  • 본 논문은 매핑 되지 않은 입력 음성과 목표음성 사이에 음성 변환하는 비 병렬 음성 변환 네트워크를 제안한다. 기존 음성 변환 연구에서는 변환 전후 스펙트로그램의 거리 오차를 최소화하는 방법을 주로 학습 한다. 이러한 방법은 MSE의 이미지를 평균 내는 특징으로 인하여 생성된 스펙트로그램의 해상도가 저하되는 문제점이 있었다. 또한, 병렬 데이터를 사용해 연구를 진행했기 때문에 데이터를 수집하는 것에도 어려움이 많았다. 본 논문에서는 입력 음성의 발음 PPGs를 사용하여 비 병렬 데이터 간 학습을 진행 하며, GAN 학습을 통해 더욱 선명한 음성을 생성하는 방법을 사용하였다. 제안한 방법의 유효성을 검증하기 위해서 기존 음성 변환 시스템에서 많이 사용하는 GMM 기반 모델과 MOS 테스트를 진행하였으며 기존 모델에 비하여 성능이 향상되는 결과를 얻었다.

  • PDF

균일 선형 배열 안테나에서 선형구속최소분산 방법과 사후 추정 확률을 결합한 도래 방향 추정 알고리즘 연구 (A Study on Combined DoA Estimation Algorithm using LCMV and Maximum Posterior on Uniform Linear Array Antenna)

  • 이관형;박성곤;정연서
    • 한국정보전자통신기술학회논문지
    • /
    • 제9권3호
    • /
    • pp.291-297
    • /
    • 2016
  • 본 논문에서는 상관성 신호 시스템에서 원하는 목표물의 도래방향을 추정하기 위한 기존 MUSIC알고리즘과 제안 알고리즘에 대한 성능을 비교 분석한다. 본 논문에서 제안한 알고리즘은 가중치 갱신을 위해서 선형 구속 최소 분산 방법과 도래 방향 오차 확률을 최적으로 감소시키기 위해서 베이스 방법과 최대 사후 확률에 MUSIC알고리즘 적용하여 목표물 도래 방향 추정 오차 확률을 감소하고자 한다. 모의실험을 이용하여 본 연구에서 제안한 알고리즘과 기존의 MUSIC알고리즘의 성능을 비교 분석하였다. 신호대 잡음비가 10dB이고 안테나 배열 개수가 9개와 12일 때, 본 논문에서 제안한 알고리즘이 기존의 MUSIC알고리즘보다 각각 약 11%와 13%의 도래 방향 추정 오차를 감소시켜 본 연구에서 제안한 알고리즘이 우수함을 확인하였다.

Dynamic study를 이용한 선조체에서의 18F-DOPA의 분포에 대한 평가 (Evaluation about Distribution of 18F-DOPA at Striatum by Using Dynamic Study)

  • 김재일;이홍재;김진의
    • 핵의학기술
    • /
    • 제19권1호
    • /
    • pp.67-71
    • /
    • 2015
  • Purpose At recently, we enter into the aging society and a age-related disease is increasing. Among that, prevalence of degenerative brain disease like Parkin's disease will be increased. So, many radiopharmaceuticals is developed to diagnosis early and to evaluate the performance of therapeutic drugs. Especially $^{18}F-DOPA$ which involved at dopamine synthesis and function of storage is widely used to the diagnosis of Parkinson's disease as well as brain tumors. in the study, we will evaluate the distribution pattern of $^{18}F-DOPA$ at the striatum by using dynamic study. Materials and Methods We used Biograph Truepoint(Siemens, Germany) as PET/CT scanner, injected a $^{18}F-DOPA$ ($600{\pm}30MBq$) to patient (4men, 6women. $67{\pm}11age$) who visited our hospital from June to September, started 95min dynamic study at same time. after finishing acquisition, we reconstructed PET data with 19 frame every 5 minutes, analysed a average counts at ROI's where set at both striatums, anterior putamen, posterior putamen Results Counts in the cerebellum as the background formed a plateau after 90 minutes from the highest out rapidly reduced to 15 minutes. Counts of anterior putamen and posterior gradually increased but formed a plateau after 60min. A count ratio of Striatum to cerebellum was continuously increased up to more than 95 minutes, A count ratios of an anterior putamen to posterior one formed a plateau after 85 minutes. Conclusion The dynamic acquisition can be possible to evaluate a distribution of the $^{18}F-DOPA$ in the striatum and the VOI analysis through a dynamic acquisition and a variety of patterns. Futhermore, to make a uniformed distribution and count ratio of striatum to cerebellum, a static acquisition will have to start 90minutes later after injection.

  • PDF

Anatomical Correlates of Neuropsychological Deficits Among Patients With the Cerebellar Stroke

  • Shin, Min A;Park, Oak Tae;Shin, Joon-Ho
    • Annals of Rehabilitation Medicine
    • /
    • 제41권6호
    • /
    • pp.924-934
    • /
    • 2017
  • Objective To investigate the anatomical correlates of the neuropsychological deficits in patients with the cerebellar stroke. Methods We screened patients who were admitted to the National Rehabilitation Center with the cerebellar stroke between October 2012 and November 2016. The patients with the cerebellar stroke who underwent neuropsychological testing for which the Seoul Neuropsychological Screening Battery (SNSB) or the SNSB-II were enrolled. The neuropsychological function capacities were compared in accordance with the stroke type (hemorrhagic vs. ischemic) and the location (right/left anterior, right/left posterior intermediate, right/left posterior lateral lobe, and vermis). Mean z-scores were computed to compare the patient performances with the population averages. Results Twenty-six patients (15 with ischemic stroke and 11 with hemorrhagic stroke) with a mean age of $54.8{\pm}16.6$ years were assessed $8.8{\pm}9.2$ months after the stroke. Differences in the neuropsychological functioning according to the stroke type were not observed. All of the numerical subtests of the stroke patients showed significantly poorer performances compared with the population averages (mean z-score <0), and some of the subtests revealed abnormal performances in attention-, visuospatial function-, memory-, and frontal/executive function-related tasks (mean z-score <-1). The patients with the presence of a lesion in the right posterior intermediate lobe of the cerebellum showed a poorer performance in the subtests evaluating the executive function including the Korean-version Stroop Test (p=0.04), the Digit Symbol Coding Test (p=0.01), and the Korean-version Trail Making Test (p=0.02) compared with the patients without that lesion. Conclusion The present study confirms that the cerebellar stroke affects the neuropsychological functioning which is associated with the anatomical site of stroke.

An Extended Version of the CPT-based Estimation for Missing Values in Nominal Attributes

  • Ko, Song;Kim, Dae-Won
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • 제10권4호
    • /
    • pp.253-258
    • /
    • 2010
  • The causal network represents the knowledge related to the dependency relationship between all attributes. If the causal network is available, the dependency relationship can be employed to estimate the missing values for improving the estimation performance. However, the previous method had a limitation in that it did not consider the bidirectional characteristic of the causal network. The proposed method considers the bidirectional characteristic by applying prior and posterior conditions, so that it outperforms the previous method.

요통을 가진 대상자에 있어 전방으로 굴곡된 자세 및 갑작스런 부하가 균형 수행력에 미치는 영향 (The Effects of Balance Performance to Forward Bending Posture and Sudden Load in Subjects with Low Back Pain)

  • 채윤원;이해정;박지원
    • The Journal of Korean Physical Therapy
    • /
    • 제17권3호
    • /
    • pp.413-420
    • /
    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study was to determine differences of balance performance to upright standing, forward bending posture, and sudden load during forward bending posture in subjects with and without a history of low back pain. A study was conducted on 8 subjects with low back pain and 13 healthy subjects. Dynamic Balance System was used to measure the postural sway index, left-right sway index, and anterior-posterior sway index on balance performance. There were no differences between subject groups on balance performance during upright standing. Balance performance was increased in forward bending posture and decreased in sudden load during forward bending posture in subjects with low back pain. These results suggest that subjects with low back pain demonstrated increased activity and decreased reaction times of trunk muscles.

  • PDF

Unscented Filtering Approach to Magnetometer-Only Orbit Determination

  • Cheon, Yee-Jin
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2003년도 ICCAS
    • /
    • pp.2331-2334
    • /
    • 2003
  • The basic difference between the EKF(Extended Kalman Filter) and UKF(Unscented Kalman Filter) stems from the manner in which Gaussian random variables(GRV) are represented for propagating through system dynamics. In the EKF, the state distribution is approximated by a GRV, which is then propagated analytically through the first-order linearization of the nonlinear system. This can possibly introduce large errors in the true posterior mean and covariance of the transformed GRV, which may lead to sub-optimal performance and sometimes divergence of the filter. However, the UKF addresses this problem by using a deterministic sampling approach. The state distribution is also approximated by a GRV, but is now represented using a minimal set of carefully chosen sample points. These sample points completely capture the true mean and covariance of the GRV, and UKF captures the posterior mean and covariance accurately up to the 2nd order(Taylor series expansion) for any nonlinearity. This paper utilizes the UKF to determine spacecraft orbit when only magnetometer is available. Several catastrophic failures of spacecraft in orbit have been attributed to failures of the spacecraft mission. Recently studies on contingency-major sensor failure cases- have been performed. For mission success, contingency design or plan should be implemented in case of a major sensor failure. Therefore the algorithm presented in this paper can be used for a spacecraft without GPS or contingency design in case of GPS failure.

  • PDF

MLLR 화자적응 기법을 이용한 새로운 화자확인 디코딩 알고리듬 (A Noble Decoding Algorithm Using MLLR Adaptation for Speaker Verification)

  • 김강열;김지운;정재호
    • 한국음향학회지
    • /
    • 제21권2호
    • /
    • pp.190-198
    • /
    • 2002
  • 화자확인에서 사용되는 디코딩 방법에는 음성인식에서 주로 사용되는 비터비 알고리듬을 사용하여 왔다. 그러나 화자확인에서는 화자의 특성을 최대한 발휘하여 같은 음소라도 화자마다 다르게 인식해야 하는 어려움이 있다. 본 논문에서는 기존 화자확인 디코딩에서 사용하는 비터비 알고리듬을 대신하는 새로운 알고리듬을 제안하였다. 제안된 알고리듬은 음성인식에서 사용되고 있는화자 적응 알고리듬을 화자의 특성에 따라 모델 파라미터로 변환하는 것을 응용한 방법이다. 본 논문에서는 여러 적응 알고리듬중 MLLR(Maximum Likelihood Linear Regression)과 MAP (Maximum A-Posterior) 적응 알고리듬을 사용하였고 제안된 알고리듬이 기존의 비터비 알고리듬을 사용하였을 때보다 평균 30%의 EER (Equal Error Rate) 향상을 이루었다.

Bayesian estimation of kinematic parameters of disk galaxies in large HI galaxy surveys

  • Oh, Se-Heon;Staveley-Smith, Lister
    • 천문학회보
    • /
    • 제41권2호
    • /
    • pp.62.2-62.2
    • /
    • 2016
  • We present a newly developed algorithm based on a Bayesian method for 2D tilted-ring analysis of disk galaxies which operates on velocity fields. Compared to the conventional ones based on a chi-squared minimisation procedure, this new Bayesian-based algorithm less suffers from local minima of the model parameters even with high multi-modality of their posterior distributions. Moreover, the Bayesian analysis implemented via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling only requires broad ranges of posterior distributions of the parameters, which makes the fitting procedure fully automated. This feature is essential for performing kinematic analysis of an unprecedented number of resolved galaxies from the upcoming Square Kilometre Array (SKA) pathfinders' galaxy surveys. A standalone code, the so-called '2D Bayesian Automated Tilted-ring fitter' (2DBAT) that implements the Bayesian fits of 2D tilted-ring models is developed for deriving rotation curves of galaxies that are at least marginally resolved (> 3 beams across the semi-major axis) and moderately inclined (20 < i < 70 degree). The main layout of 2DBAT and its performance test are discussed using sample galaxies from Australia Telescope Compact Array (ATCA) observations as well as artificial data cubes built based on representative rotation curves of intermediate-mass and massive spiral galaxies.

  • PDF