• Title/Summary/Keyword: optimal investment

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Efficiency of the Emission Trading Scheme in Imperfectly Competitive Markets (불완전경쟁시장에서의 배출권 거래제도의 효율성)

  • Yoon, Kyoung-soo
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.173-204
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    • 2012
  • This study examines the equilibrium investment on the pollution abatement when firms are facing Cournot competition in the output market while the pollution permit market is perfectly competitive. Unlike standard perfect competition scenario, the abatement investment delivers an indirect effect in which it reduces other firms' equilibrium output. Consequently, compared with the socially optimal level, overinvestment arises. I also overview the potential inefficiencies that imperfect market structure induces under the emission trading scheme, presenting policy implications.

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Asset Allocation Strategies for Long-Term Investments

  • Kim, Chang-Soo;Shin, Taek-Soo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.145-182
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    • 2008
  • As the life expectancy increases resulting in the aged society, the post-retirement life became one of the most important concerns of people. The long-term investment vehicles such as retirement savings and pension plans have been introduced to meet such demand of society. This paper examines the impact of asset allocation strategies on the long-term investment performance. Because of the unusually long investment horizon and the compounding effect, a suboptimal asset mix in a retirement plan can be a very costly and irreversible mistake. Instead of relying on anecdotal evidence to evaluate the merits of different allocation strategies, this paper performs various tests including stochastic dominance tests using both actual data and Monte Carlo simulated data that best fit the historical experience. The results indicate 1) the long-term investments perform better than the short-term investments, 2) the optimal asset allocation strategy for the long-term investments should be highly equity dominated.

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In Search of "Excess Competition" (과당경쟁(過當競爭)과 정부규제(政府規制))

  • Nam, II-chong;Kim, Jong-seok
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.31-57
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    • 1991
  • Korean firms of all sizes, from virtually every industry, have used and are using the term "excessive competition" to describe the state of their industry and to call for government interventions. Moreover, the Korean government has frequently responded to such calls in various ways favorable to the firms, such as controlling entry, curbing capacity investments, or allowing collusion. Despite such interventions' impact on the overall efficiency on the Korean economy as well as on the wealth distribution among diverse groups of economic agents, the term "excessive competition", the basis for the interventions, has so far escaped rigorous scrutiny. The objective of this paper is to clarify the notion of "excessive competition" and "over-investment" which usually accompanies "excessive competition", and to examine the circumstances under which they might occur. We first survey the cases where the terms are most widely used and proceed to examine those cases to determine if competition is indeed excessive, and if so, what causes "excessive competition". Our main concern deals with the case in which the firms must make investment decisions that involve large sunk costs while facing uncertain demand. In order to analyze this case, we developed a two period model of capacity precommitment and the ensuing competition. In the first period, oligopolistic firms make capacity investments that are irreversible. Demand is uncertain in period 1 and only the distribution is known. Thus, firms must make investment decisions under uncertainty. In the second period, demand is realized, and the firms compete with quantity under realized demand and capacity constraints. In the above setting, we find that there is "no over-investment," en ante, and there is "no excessive competition," ex post. As measured by the information available in period 1, expected return from investment of a firm is non-negative, overall industry capacity does not exceed the socially optimal level, and competition in the second period yields an outcome that gives each operating firm a non-negative second period profit. Thus, neither "excessive competition" nor "over-investment" is possible. This result will generally hold true if there is no externality and if the industry is not a natural monopoly. We also extend this result by examining a model in which the government is an active participant in the game with a well defined preference. Analysis of this model shows that over-investment arises if the government cannot credibly precommit itself to non-intervention when ex post idle capacity occurs, due to socio-political reasons. Firms invest in capacities that exceed socially optimal levels in this case because they correctly expect that the government will find it optimal for itself to intervene once over-investment and ensuing financial problems for the firms occur. Such planned over-investment and ensuing government intervention are the generic problems under the current system. These problems are expected to be repeated in many industries in years to come, causing a significant loss of welfare in the long run. As a remedy to this problem, we recommend a non-intervention policy by the government which creates and utilizes uncertainty. Based upon an argument which is essentially the same as that of Kreps and Wilson in the context of a chain-store game, we show that maintaining a consistent non-intervention policy will deter a planned over-investment by firms in the long run. We believe that the results obtained in this paper has a direct bearing on the public policies relating to many industries including the petrochemical industry that is currently in the center of heated debates.

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Development and Evaluation of an Investment Algorithm Based on Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Model : Case Studies of the U.S. and the Hong Kong Stock Markets (마코위츠 포트폴리오 선정 모형을 기반으로 한 투자 알고리즘 개발 및 성과평가 : 미국 및 홍콩 주식시장을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Jaeho;Jung, Jongbin;Kim, Seongmoon
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.73-89
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    • 2013
  • This paper develops an investment algorithm based on Markowitz's Portfolio Selection Theory, using historical stock return data, and empirically evaluates the performance of the proposed algorithm in the U.S. and the Hong Kong stock markets. The proposed investment algorithm is empirically tested with the 30 constituents of Dow Jones Industrial Average in the U.S. stock market, and the 30 constituents of Hang Seng Index in the Hong Kong stock market. During the 6-year investment period, starting on the first trading day of 2006 and ending on the last trading day of 2011, growth rates of 12.63% and 23.25% were observed for Dow Jones Industrial Average and Hang Seng Index, respectively, while the proposed investment algorithm achieved substantially higher cumulative returns of 35.7% in the U.S. stock market, and 150.62% in the Hong Kong stock market. When compared in terms of Sharpe ratio, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Hang Seng Index achieved 0.075 and 0.155 each, while the proposed investment algorithm showed superior performance, achieving 0.363 and 1.074 in the U.S. and Hong Kong stock markets, respectively. Further, performance in the U.S. stock market is shown to be less sensitive to an investor's risk preference, while aggressive performance goals are shown to achieve relatively higher performance in the Hong Kong stock market. In conclusion, this paper empirically demonstrates that an investment based on a mathematical model using objective historical stock return data for constructing optimal portfolios achieves outstanding performance, in terms of both cumulative returns and Sharpe ratios.

An Optimal Design of Automated Storage/Retrieval System

  • Lee, Seong-Beak;Hwang, Hark
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.34-46
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    • 1988
  • This paper deals with design problem of unit load automated storage/retrieval systems (AS/RS). We propose an optimal design model in which the investment and maintenance costs of AS/RS, operating under dual command model is minimized over a time horizon satisfying the warehouse dimensional constraints. The model is formulated as an integer nonlinear program and an algorithm is proposed to find an optimum solution. The valididty of the solution algorithm is illustrated through an example.

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On the Optimal Solution Transportation Problem by Analytic Hierarchy Process (계층화 분석 과정에 의한 최적운송 수단에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Soon-Suk
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.345-360
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    • 2008
  • The analytic hierarchy process is known as a useful tool for the group decision making methods. This tool has been area such as investment, R&D management, manufacturing, production and marketing. Typically, transportation problems have addressed by mathematical programming. In this paper, an optimal solution of transportation problem was determined by the analytic hierarchy process.

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A CONSUMPTION, PORTFOLIO AND RETIREMENT CHOICE PROBLEM WITH NEGATIVE WEALTH CONSTRAINTS

  • ROH, KUM-HWAN
    • Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.293-300
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    • 2020
  • In this paper we study an optimal consumption, investment and retirement time choice problem of an investor who receives labor income before her voluntary retirement. And we assume that there is a negative wealth constraint which is a general version of borrowing constraint. Using convex-duality method, we provide the closed-form solutions of the optimization problem.

Modern Capital Theory and Optimal Fisheries Management (현대자본이론과 최적어업관리)

  • 박장일
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.53-67
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    • 1992
  • It has been recognized, virtually from the time of its inception, that fisheries economics, like other aspects of resource economics, should ideally be cast in capital-theoretic terms. The fish population or biomass can be viewed as a capital stock in that, like conventional or man-made capital, it is capable of yielding a sustainable consumption flow through time. This study is to introduce the optimal control theory which was extended from the theory of calculus of variations into the study of former static theory of fisheries economics started by Gordon (1954). The optimal control theory eliminated the inadequacies of the classical techniques to a large extent. From this point of view, this study, on the base of Schaefer model, summerizes most of major results achieved so far, but does so in a manner such that the links with capital theory are made transparent. This study explores two sets of problems. The first concerns the optimal approach to the equilibrium stock, i.e. the optimal investment policy. The second set of problems arises from the relaxation of the highly restrictive assumption of autonomy (i.e. the assumption that the parameters are independent of time), then concludes the relaxation of linearity assumption together with the complexities caused by that.

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An Investment Model for OPEC Crude Oil Supply with Real Option Game (실물옵션 게임을 이용한 OPEC의 원유공급 투자모형)

  • Park, Hojeong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.753-773
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    • 2005
  • This paper is a study of the investment dynamics focusing on crude oil supply by OPEC and non-OPEC. Oil supply capacity is first determined by a leader, OPEC, and by an aggregate that represents non-OPEC producers. OPEC wants to increase a gain from oil price increase while keeping its market share relative to non-OPEC's share. An investment rule model is developed for OPEC crude oil supply capacity in response to non-OPEC's decision. In presence of oil price uncertainty, oil price threshold is derived above which it is optimal for OPEC to expand oil supply capacity since otherwise the increased supply of non-OPEC results in weakening of OPEC market share in the world oil market. In addition, a lower threshold price is derived below which OPEC triggers a capacity reduction to regain its otherwise forgone profits. A simulation is provided for calculating the capacity expansion and reduction thresholds.

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Economic Strategy: Correlation between Macro and Microeconomics on Income Inequality in Indonesia

  • SALIM, Agus;RUSTAM, Andi;HAERUDDIN, Haeruddin;ASRIATI, Asriati;PUTRA, Aditya Halim Perdana Kusuma
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.8
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    • pp.681-693
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    • 2020
  • This study sees a critical gap in the previous body of research, which it seeks to fill; the disclosure of the unemployment ratio correlation has only been measured by the level of economic growth. This study is to add investment variables and government expenditure variables that objectively aim to measure the level of effectiveness in handling the unemployment ratio, which is then a measurement of the effectiveness of unemployment. Economic growth is measured by its impact on income inequality through empirical, conceptual relationships as a critical review and economic strategy for the future. The research uses secondary data on Indonesian macro and microeconomics since 2003-2018, then testing uses a quantitative approach to correlation, regression, and scatterplot. The results of this study show correlations between variables, and volatiles on the graphs show a similar trend. In other words, variables are bound together and support each other. The strategy of prioritizing the scale of government expenditure and investment to reach the target is the primary concern, so that the economic cycle can be optimal and equipped to face the possibility of an economic recession in the future. Many factors cause complex income inequality, though investment does not show a correlation to income inequality.