• Title/Summary/Keyword: optimal investment

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Stock Investment of Agriculture Companies in the Vietnam Stock Exchange Market: An AHP Integrated with GRA-TOPSIS-MOORA Approaches

  • NGUYEN, Phi-Hung;TSAI, Jung-Fa;KUMAR G, Venkata Ajay;HU, Yi-Chung
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2020
  • Multi-criteria stock selection is a critical issue for effective investment since the improper stock investment might cause many problems affecting investors negatively. Investors need a range of financial indicators while they are choosing the optimal set of stocks to invest. This study aims to rank the stock of agriculture companies indexed on the Vietnam Stock Exchange Market. The data of 13 agriculture companies during the 2016-2019 periods was analyzed by analytical hierarchy process (AHP) integrated with grey relational analysis (GRA), multi-objective optimization ratio analysis (MOORA), and technique for order performance by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS). The AHP method is employed to determine the weights of the proposed financial ratios, and GRA, TOPSIS, and MOORA approaches are used to obtain final ranking. The results indicated that HSL is the top stock with the highest rank and GRA, MOORA, and TOPSIS rankings have strong correlation values between 0.78-1. The findings suggest that the integrated model could be implemented effectively to specific analysis of industries such as oil and gas, textiles, food, and electronics in future research. Further, other techniques like COPRAS, KEMIRA, and EDAS could be employed to evaluate the financial performance of other companies to solve investment problems.

An optimal management policy for the surplus process with investments (재투자가 있는 잉여금 과정의 최적 운용정책)

  • Lim, Se-Jin;Choi, Seungkyoung;Lee, Eui-Yong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.1165-1172
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, a surplus process with investments is introduced. Whenever the level of the surplus reaches a target value V > 0, amount S($0{\leq}S{\leq}V$) is invested into other business. After assigning three costs to the surplus process, a reward per unit amount of the investment, a penalty of the surplus being empty and the keeping (opportunity) cost per unit amount of the surplus per unit time, we obtain the long-run average cost per unit time to manage the surplus. We prove that there exists a unique value of S minimizing the long-run average cost per unit time for a given value of V, and also that there exists a unique value of V minimizing the long-run average cost per unit time for a given value of S. These two facts show that an optimal investment policy of the surplus exists when we manage the surplus in the long-run.

An Analysis on the Optimal Level of Primary CER Price Regard as Economic Feasibility (경제성을 고려한 CER 적정 발행가격 분석)

  • Lim, Sung Soo;Yang, Seung Ryong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.829-852
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    • 2010
  • The investment in Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) projects is increasing rapidly as the first implementation period began in 2008. This paper examines on the optimal level of primary Certified Emission Reduction (CER) price, subsidiary original projects investment cost and expected issues CER per year, using UNFCCC CDM Project Design Document (PDD) data. Real option model is developed to incorporate a case where the investment is irreversible and underlying asset price is uncertainty. This study employs Real option approach which allow the optimal level regard as economic feasibility of CER price has analyzed with NPV (Net Present Value) and Black-Scholes call option(Real option) value. Finally, CER supply curve and price elasticity of supply are estimated.

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Echelon Base Stock Policy with Outside Competition in a Two-Stage Supply Chain (외부 경쟁을 고려한 두 단계 공급체인에서의 단계기본재고수준의 결정)

  • Kim, Nam-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.71-81
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    • 2005
  • This Paper focuses on the effects of outside competition on an optimal echelon base stock level in a two stage supply chain. This is new in that we have been studying the effects of inside competition within a supply chain up to now. It is known that the optimal echelon base stock level with inside competition within a supply chain is less than the global optimal echelon base stock level without inside competition. This is due to the ' public goods ' nature of inventory. That is, more inventory is better, but one wants the other to invest more, thus resulting in under-investment. However, this phenomenon becomes weaker as outside competition increases. We show that as outside competition becomes stronger, the ' public goods ' effects decrease and the optimal echelon base stock level increases. If the level of competition is sufficiently high, the optimal echelon base stock level goes even higher than the global optimal echelon base stock level. We develop a theoretical model for the analysis and conduct a numerical analysis.

Real Option Study on Cookstove Offset Project under Emission Allowance Price Uncertainty (배출권 가격 불확실성을 고려한 고효율 쿡스토브 보급사업 실물옵션 연구)

  • Lee, Jaehyung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.219-246
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    • 2020
  • From the Phase II (2018~2020) of K-ETS, the offset credit from 'CDM projects that domestic companies and others have carried out in foreign countries' can be used in the K-ETS. As a result, stakeholders in the K-ETS market are actively developing overseas CDM projects, such as the 'high-efficiency cook stove project'. which can secure a large amount of credits while marginal cost is relatively low. This paper develops the investment decision-making model of offset project for the 'high-efficiency cook stove project' using the real option approach. Under the uncertainty of the emission allowance price, the optimal investment threshold (p) is derived and sensitivity analysis is conducted. As a result, in the standard scenario (PoA-S), the optimal investment threshold is 29,054won/ton, which is lower than the stock price (pspot). However, allocation entities are not only economics in the CDM project, but also CDM risk factors such as non-renewable biomass ratio, cook stove replacement ratio, equity ratio with host country, investment period and submission limitation of emission allowance. In addition, offset project developers will be able to derive the optimal investment threshold for each business stage and use it for economic feasibility checks.

Cost Structure of Korean Manufacturing Industries connected with the Central Government's Environmental Investment (중앙정부의 환경투자 관련 제조업의 비용분석)

  • Min, Seung-Ki
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.3-27
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we have analyzed the cost structure of the Korean manufacturing industry in relation to the central government's environmental investment(CGEI below) by applying translog variable cost function. Important findings are as follows. First, sufficiency degree of CGEI of 0.7230, less than optimal level of 1, causes production inefficiency. Therefore, central government should forward a strategy to raise CGEI to meet appropriate standards. In addition, inspite of the deficiency of CGEI, shadow priceis lower than market price due to q-value of 0.9572, yielding unfavorable conditions for CGEI. However, CGEI brings about increase in output, variable cost saving, and economies of scale of firms. Second, by comparing this study with an existing study(2010), we have discovered the following facts. In both studies, we find that there are deficiency of investment, unfavorable conditions in investment, economies of scale, and output increase due to investment. However, the current study has found that, CGEI, which shows efficiency by positive(+) shadow price, saves variable cost. Therefore, firms suffer from production inefficiency due to variable cost caused by a shortage of efficient CGEI. Moreover, the previous study conducted in 2010 found that investment in prevention of environmental pollution(IPEP below), which indicates inefficiency by negative(-) shadow price, cannot reduce variable cost. In such circumstances, firms yield abnormal production efficiency based on variable cost savings caused by inefficient IPEP. For this reason, firms should raise IPEP to optimal level to reduce IPEP inefficiency to achieve production efficiency by reducing variable cost.

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Diversified Investment of Commercial Real Estate Assets - Focused on Office Building and Retail Real Estate Markets in Seoul - (상업용 부동산 시장의 분산투자에 관한 연구 - 서울지역의 오피스 빌딩 및 소매용 부동산 시장을 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Jongkwon;Jun, Jaebum
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.144-155
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    • 2015
  • This paper is to understand investment's efficiency and performance of commercial real estate assets diversified by use and district. To do so, this paper divides two different commercial real estate markets(office build market and retail real estate market) in Seoul city by district into "GBD(Gangnam Business District), YBD(Yeouido Business District), and CBD(Central Business District)" and "GBD(Gangnam Business District), SBD(Shinchon Business District), and CBD(Central Business District)" respectively, configures these districts each other to structure portfolios as its portion varies based on Markowitz's Mean-Variance principle, and looks at risk-return relationship of portfolios to find out efficiency, performance, and optimal investment chosen based upon Sharpe's Performance Index. As a result, the portfolio configured by "10 to 30% of office building asset at CBD" and "70 to 90% of retail real estate asset at CBD" is shown to be the most optimal, suggesting the highest quarterly Sharpe's performance index of 2.7118~2.7776 with quarterly rate of return of 1.826%~1.838% and quarterly standard deviation of 0.573~0.589. Furthermore, it is obvious that diversified portfolio configured by use(office-retail) shows better investment performance than that by district with same type of asset(office-office or retail-retail). Finally, results driven from this research will play an important role to stimulate real estate and construction markets through enlarging ideas as to diversified investment by use and district on real estate indirect investment products.

The Analysis of Carbon Emission Costs under Milk Run Logistics Strategy (순회배송 물류전략에서 탄소배출 비용의 효과 분석)

  • Min, Daiki
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.21-33
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    • 2015
  • This paper develops an analytic model for minimizing the cost of distributing items by truck from one supplier to many customers under Milk run logistics strategy. The model derives formulas for not only inventory and transportation costs but also costs associated with carbon emission trading scheme. In addition, monetary investment for reducing carbon emissions is considered. We analyze how to determine optimal shipment size and carbon emission reduction investment. The purpose of this work is to evaluate the effects of carbon emission trading scheme on the Milk run logistics strategy in terms of how much to reduce carbon emissions and/or inventory and transportation costs. We analytically show that it is possible to reduce carbon emissions while reducing inventory and transportation costs by introducing cap-and-trade carbon emission trading scheme under certain conditions.

Stochastic value index for seismic risk management of existing lifelines

  • Koike, Takeshi;Imai, Toshio
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.147-165
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    • 2009
  • This study proposes a certain measure or investment strategy for decision making associated with seismic retrofitting. This strategy reduces the risk of a large-scale malfunction such as water supply loss under seismic risks. The authors developed a stochastic value index that will be used in the overall evaluation of social benefit, income gain, life cycle costs and failure compensation associated with existing lifeline systems damaged by an earthquake during the remaining service period. Optimal seismic disaster prevention investment of deteriorated lifeline systems is discussed. Finally, the present study provides a performance-based design method for seismic retrofitting strategies of existing lifelines which are carried out using the target probabilities of value loss and structural failure.

Process Reliability Improvement and Setup Cost Reduction in Imperfect Production System

  • Lee, Chang-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.93-113
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    • 1997
  • In studying an EOQ-like inventory model for a manufacturing process, a number of findings were made. The system can "go out of control" resulting in a relatively minor problem state or "break-down". When the production system is in the minor problem statei produces a number of defective items. It is assumed that each defective piece requires rework cost and related operations. Once the machine breakdown takes place, the production system produces severely defective items that are completely unusable. Each completely unusuable item is immediately discarded and incurs handling cost, scrapped raw material cost and related operations. Two investment options in improving the production process are introduced : (1) reducing the probability of machine breakdown, breakdowns, and (2) simultaneously reducing the probability of machine breakdowns and setup costs. By assuming specific forms of investment cost function, the optimal investment policies are obtained explicitly. Finally, to better understand the model in this paper, the sensitivity of these solutions to changes in parameter values and numerical examples are provided.amples are provided.

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