• Journal of Ship and Ocean Technology
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• v.5 no.1
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• pp.30-37
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• 2001

Ship optimal design is a multi-objective decision-making process and its optimal solution does not exit in general. It is a problem in which the decision-maker is very interested that an effective solution is how to be found which has good characteristic and is substituted for optimal solution in a sense. In the previous methods of multi-objective decision-making, the weighting coefficients are decided from the point of view of individuals which have a bit sub-jective an unilateral behavior. in order to fairly and objectively decide the weighting coeffi-cients, which are considered to be optimal in all system of multi-objective decision-making and satisfactory solution to the decision-maker, the pater presents a method of applying the Technology of the Biggest Entropy. It is proved that the method described in the paper is very feasible and effective be means of a practical example of ship optimal design.

• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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• v.26 no.4
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• pp.83-97
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• 2001

Net Present Value (NPV) criterion has been the most widely used criterion to evaluate investment opportunities. However, the analysis based on the NPV criterion falls to consider the managerial flexibility of deferring decisions until major uncertainty is resolved. Recently, real options method attracted a lot of attention as a Powerful approach to address the problem. If investment decision is deferred, the value of the investment opportunity increases but opportunity cost increases at the same time. Therefore, it is important to decide the optimal timing how long the decision can be deferred. In this paper, we developed a model deciding the optimal decision timing. Using the real options approach, the model derived the optimal deferring time until a decision is made. Then, the model was applied to a Korean mobile telecommunications company who wants to invest on the wireless resale business. We believe that this model would be very useful to overcome the problem of NPV decision criterion. With this approach, we can make contingent decisions based on the observation of uncertainly resolutions.

• MALSORI
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• no.45
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• pp.117-126
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• 2003

Decision tree-based state tying has been proposed in recent years as the most popular approach for clustering the states of context-dependent hidden Markov model-based speech recognition. The aims of state tying is to reduce the number of free parameters and predict state probability distributions of unseen models. But, when doing state tying, the size of a decision tree is very important for word independent recognition. In this paper, we try to construct optimized decision tree based on the average of feature vectors in state pool and the number of seen modes. We observed that the proposed optimal decision tree is effective in predicting the state probability distribution of unseen models.

• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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• v.20 no.2
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• pp.61-76
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• 1995

The "optimal" solution for a decision making problem should be the one that best reflects the decision-maker's preference. For MADM (Multi-Attribute Decision-Making) problems, however, finding an optimal solution is difficult, especially when the number of alternatives, or that of attributes is relatively large. Most of the existing mathematical approaches arrive at a final solution on the basis of many unrealistic assumptions, without reflecting the decision-maker's preference structure exactly. To remedy this, some interactive methods have been proposed, but most of them require a large amount of information growing exponentially as the number of alternatives, or that of attributes increases. Therefore it is difficult for the decision-maker to maintain consistency throughout the decision making process. In this paper, an interactive method which finds optimal solutions for deterministic MADM problems with many attributes and alternatives is proposed. Instead of considering all the attributes simultaneously, this method partitions all the attributes into several mutually independent subgroups and considers one of them at each of preordered steps, where the alternatives are eliminated until the optimal one is obtained. The efficiency of the method lies in the fact that the amount of neccessary information is reduced significantly, and even further if a suboptimal solution is acceptable to the decision-maker.ion-maker.

• Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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• v.8 no.4
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• pp.205-218
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• 2006

Multi-criteria decision making is deducing the relative importance in the criterion of decision making and each alternative which is able to making a variety of choices measures the preferred degree in the series of town ranking criterions. Moreover, this is possible by synthesizing them systematically. In general, a fundamental problem decision maker solve for multi-criteria decision making is evaluating a set of activities which an considered as the target logically, and this kind of work is evaluated and synthesized by various criterions of the value which a chain of activities usually hold in common. In this paper, we use the compensatory models for the optimal decision making. For the purpose of optimal decision making, the data of five different car models are used in Europe.

• Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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• 2010.11a
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• pp.199-207
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• 2010

Decision analysis has becomes an important technique for decision making in the face of uncertainty. It is characterized by enumerating all the available courses of action, identifying the payoffs for all possible outcomes, and quantifying the subjective probabilities for the all possible random events. When the data are available, decision analysis becomes a powerful tool for determining an optimal course of action. In this paper, we use the analytic hierarchy process in weights calculating. For the purpose of making optimal decision, the data of three different smart phones models are used.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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• 2003.09a
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• pp.380-383
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• 2003

In this paper, we propose a fuzzy group decision making method for multiple decision maker-multiple objective programming problems to obtain the agreeable solution. In the proposed method, considering the vague nature of human subjective judgement it is assumed that each of multiple decision makers has a fuzzy goal for each of his/her own objective functions. After eliciting the membership functions from the decision makers for their fuzzy goals, total M-Pareto optimal solution concept is defined in membership spaces in order to deal with multiple decision maker-multiple objective programming problems. For generating a candidate of the agreeable solution which is total M-Pareto optimal, the extended weighted minimax problem is formulated and solved for some weighting vector which is specified by the decision makers in their subjective manner, Given the total M-Pareto optimal solution, each of the derision makers must either be satisfied with the current values of the membership functions, or update his/her weighting vector, However, in general, it seems to be very difficult to find the agreeable solution with which all of the decision makers are satisfied perfectly because of the conflicts between their membership functions. In the proposed method, each of the decision makers is requested to estimate the degree of satisfaction for the candidate of the agreeable solution. Using the estimated values or satisfaction of each of the decision makers, the core concept is desnfied, which is a set of undominated candidates. The interactive algorithm is developed to obtain the agreeable solution which satisfies core conditions.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.416-422
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• 2011

In this paper, we use hard decision method for cooperative spectrum sensing. Sensing performance adopting hard decision is lower than soft decision but system load is low and the process is relatively simple when the combining scheme is hard decision compared to soft decision. In order to improve sensing performance, we propose optimal hard decision method applying weight that is based on a probability of individual sensing. Unlike conventional hard decision, we try to improve sensing performance applying weight and show the performance of the proposed method from the simulation results and performance analysis. The signal of licensed user is OFDM signal and the wireless channel between a licensed user and CR systems is modeled as Gaussian channel.

• Korean Management Science Review
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• v.27 no.1
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• pp.33-43
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• 2010

This paper presents a method for the estimation and analysis of the economic value of weather forecasts for CRM decision-making problems in the leisure industry. Value is calculated in terms of the customer's satisfaction returned from the user's decision under the specific payoff structure, which is itself represented by a customer's satisfaction ratio model. The decision is assessed by a modified cost-loss model to consider the customer's satisfaction instead of the loss or cost. Site-specific probability and deterministic forecasts, each of which is provided in Korea and China, are applied to generate and analyze the optimal decisions. The application results demonstrate that probability forecasts have greater value than deterministic forecasts, provided that the users can locate the optimal decision threshold. This paper also presents the optimal decision strategy for specific customers with a variety of satisfaction patterns.

• Honam Mathematical Journal
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• v.25 no.1
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• pp.95-115
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• 2003

Consider the problem of estimating a $p{\times}1$ mean vector ${\theta}(p{\geq}4)$ under the quadratic loss, based on a sample $X_1,\;{\cdots}X_n$. We find an optimal decision rule within the class of Lindley type decision rules which shrink the usual one toward the mean of observations when the underlying distribution is that of a variance mixture of normals and when the norm $||{\theta}-{\bar{\theta}}1||$ is known, where ${\bar{\theta}}=(1/p)\sum_{i=1}^p{\theta}_i$ and 1 is the column vector of ones. When the norm is restricted to a known interval, typically no optimal Lindley type rule exists but we characterize a minimal complete class within the class of Lindley type decision rules. We also characterize the subclass of Lindley type decision rules that dominate the sample mean.