• 제목/요약/키워드: null hypothesis

검색결과 197건 처리시간 0.025초

한국어 서사 텍스트 처리의 다중 표상과 구성 통합 이론: 주제어 연속성에 대한 양태 어미의 형태 통사적, 담화 화용적 기능 (A Multi-level Representation of the Korean Narrative Text Processing and Construction-Integration Theory: Morpho- syntactic and Discourse-Pragmatic Effects of Verb Modality on Topic Continuity)

  • 조숙환;김세영
    • 인지과학
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.103-118
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    • 2006
  • 본 논문은 구성 통합 이론(Kintsch, 1988, Singer & Kintsch 2001, Graesser, Gernsbacher, & Goldman, 2003)을 토대로 주제어 연속성의 강도와 양태 어미 단서가 이야기 서사 텍스트에 쓰인 공주어 해석에 어떻게 이용되는지 검토했다. 실험 연구에는 명시적 조건과 중립적 조건 등 두 조건이 생성되었는데, 명시적 조건에는, 중립적 조건과는 달리, 주제어가 일관성 있게 유지되었고 또한 동사 어미의 형태 통사적 특징이 인칭과 일치되었다. 이 실험에는 59명의 대학생들이 다음 세 가지 과제에 참여했다. 실험은 첫째, 주어가 생략된 경우 피험자가 시험 문장(target sentence)을 읽는데 소요되는 시간을 측정했고, 둘째, 공주어의 해석, 즉, 선행사 (참조대상) 선택에 소요되는 반응 시간을 측정했으며, 셋째, 선행사 선정의 정답율을 분석했다. 실험 결과, 텍스트 처리과정에서 인칭과 같은 형태 통사적 조건이 유의미한 결과를 낳았으며, 또한, 주제어 연속성 조건의 효과가 형태 통사 조건에 따라 선택적인 양상을 보였다. 즉, 주제어가 지속적으로 연결되는 동안 화용적 맥락, 담화자의 사전 정보, 추론 등과 같은 총체적 정보와 주어, 동사 어미의 인칭과 같은 어휘적, 지엽적인 형태 통사적인 정보가 선행사 해석에 핵심적인 역할을 했다. 따라서, 이 실험 결과는 최소주의 가설 보다 공명 기반 모델을 지지한다.

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국내 컨테이너항만의 대중국 수출행태 분석 (An Analysis on Export Behavior to China of Container Port)

  • 손용정
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.115-128
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구는 2001년 1월부터 2007년 10월까지의 기간에 환율과 국내경기가 국내 컨테이너항만(부산항, 인천항, 광양항, 평택항)을 통한 대중국 수출에 어떠한 영향을 미치는가를 밝히는 데 연구의 목적을 둔다. 본 연구의 분석결과는 변수에 대한 단위근검정을 실시한 결과 수준변수는 1%수준에서 단위근을 갖는다는 귀무가설을 기각하는 데 실패하고 있는 반면에, 1차차분하여 다시 단위근검정을 실시한 결과 단위근이 존재한다는 귀무가설의 1%수준에서 모두 기각에 성공하였다. 또한 공적분 검정을 실시한 결과 모형이 안정적임을 알 수 있었다. 국내 컨테이너항만(부산항, 인천항, 광양항, 평택항)의 수출에 대한 예측오차의 분산 분해결과는, 광양항은 89%, 인천항 83%, 광양항 86%, 평택항 84%가 설명됨으로써 이러한 변수들이 국내 컨테이너항만의 수출을 설명하는 주요 변수 중의 하나인 것을 보여주고 있다. 충격반응은 부산항의 경우 환율은 2단계에서 부(-)의 효과를 보이고, 3단계에서 정(+)의 효과로 전환되고 극심한 변화를 보인다. 국내경기는 2단계에서 7단계까지 극심한 변화를 보이나 그 이후 정(+)의 효과가 지속되면서 안정화된 추세를 보이고 있다. 인천항, 광양항, 평택항도 부산항의 경우와 비슷한 양상을 보이며 7단계이후 안정화 추세로 전환되는 것으로 보인다.

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Impact of piezocision on orthodontic tooth movement

  • Papadopoulos, Nikolaos;Beindorff, Nicola;Hoffmann, Stefan;Jost-Brinkmann, Paul-Georg;Prager, Thomas Michael
    • 대한치과교정학회지
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    • 제51권6호
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    • pp.366-374
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    • 2021
  • Objective: This study investigated the impact of a single piezocision in the maxillary alveolar process on the speed of tooth movement. The null hypothesis was that the speed of tooth movement will be equal with and without piezocision. Methods: All maxillary molars on one side were moved against the combined incisors in 10 ten-week-old male Wistar rats. Under general anesthesia, a force of 25 cN was applied on either side using a Sentalloy closed coil spring. After placing the orthodontic appliance, vertical corticision was performed using a piezotome under local anesthesia, 2 mm mesial from the mesial root of the first molar on a randomly selected side; the other side served as the control. At the beginning of the treatment, and 2 and 4 weeks later, skull micro-computed tomography was performed. After image reconstruction, the distance between the mesial root of the first molar and the incisive canal, and the length of the mesial root of the first maxillary molar were measured. Moreover, the root resorption score was determined as described by Lu et al. Results: Significantly higher speed of tooth movement was observed on the corticision side; thus, the null hypothesis was rejected. The loss of root length and root resorption score were significantly more pronounced after piezocision than before. A strong correlation was observed between the speed of tooth movement and root resorption on the surgical side, but the control side only showed a weak correlation. Conclusions: Piezocision accelerates orthodontic tooth movement and causes increased root resorption.

Memory Organization for a Fuzzy Controller.

  • Jee, K.D.S.;Poluzzi, R.;Russo, B.
    • 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 1993년도 Fifth International Fuzzy Systems Association World Congress 93
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    • pp.1041-1043
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    • 1993
  • Fuzzy logic based Control Theory has gained much interest in the industrial world, thanks to its ability to formalize and solve in a very natural way many problems that are very difficult to quantify at an analytical level. This paper shows a solution for treating membership function inside hardware circuits. The proposed hardware structure optimizes the memoried size by using particular form of the vectorial representation. The process of memorizing fuzzy sets, i.e. their membership function, has always been one of the more problematic issues for the hardware implementation, due to the quite large memory space that is needed. To simplify such an implementation, it is commonly [1,2,8,9,10,11] used to limit the membership functions either to those having triangular or trapezoidal shape, or pre-definite shape. These kinds of functions are able to cover a large spectrum of applications with a limited usage of memory, since they can be memorized by specifying very few parameters ( ight, base, critical points, etc.). This however results in a loss of computational power due to computation on the medium points. A solution to this problem is obtained by discretizing the universe of discourse U, i.e. by fixing a finite number of points and memorizing the value of the membership functions on such points [3,10,14,15]. Such a solution provides a satisfying computational speed, a very high precision of definitions and gives the users the opportunity to choose membership functions of any shape. However, a significant memory waste can as well be registered. It is indeed possible that for each of the given fuzzy sets many elements of the universe of discourse have a membership value equal to zero. It has also been noticed that almost in all cases common points among fuzzy sets, i.e. points with non null membership values are very few. More specifically, in many applications, for each element u of U, there exists at most three fuzzy sets for which the membership value is ot null [3,5,6,7,12,13]. Our proposal is based on such hypotheses. Moreover, we use a technique that even though it does not restrict the shapes of membership functions, it reduces strongly the computational time for the membership values and optimizes the function memorization. In figure 1 it is represented a term set whose characteristics are common for fuzzy controllers and to which we will refer in the following. The above term set has a universe of discourse with 128 elements (so to have a good resolution), 8 fuzzy sets that describe the term set, 32 levels of discretization for the membership values. Clearly, the number of bits necessary for the given specifications are 5 for 32 truth levels, 3 for 8 membership functions and 7 for 128 levels of resolution. The memory depth is given by the dimension of the universe of the discourse (128 in our case) and it will be represented by the memory rows. The length of a world of memory is defined by: Length = nem (dm(m)+dm(fm) Where: fm is the maximum number of non null values in every element of the universe of the discourse, dm(m) is the dimension of the values of the membership function m, dm(fm) is the dimension of the word to represent the index of the highest membership function. In our case then Length=24. The memory dimension is therefore 128*24 bits. If we had chosen to memorize all values of the membership functions we would have needed to memorize on each memory row the membership value of each element. Fuzzy sets word dimension is 8*5 bits. Therefore, the dimension of the memory would have been 128*40 bits. Coherently with our hypothesis, in fig. 1 each element of universe of the discourse has a non null membership value on at most three fuzzy sets. Focusing on the elements 32,64,96 of the universe of discourse, they will be memorized as follows: The computation of the rule weights is done by comparing those bits that represent the index of the membership function, with the word of the program memor . The output bus of the Program Memory (μCOD), is given as input a comparator (Combinatory Net). If the index is equal to the bus value then one of the non null weight derives from the rule and it is produced as output, otherwise the output is zero (fig. 2). It is clear, that the memory dimension of the antecedent is in this way reduced since only non null values are memorized. Moreover, the time performance of the system is equivalent to the performance of a system using vectorial memorization of all weights. The dimensioning of the word is influenced by some parameters of the input variable. The most important parameter is the maximum number membership functions (nfm) having a non null value in each element of the universe of discourse. From our study in the field of fuzzy system, we see that typically nfm 3 and there are at most 16 membership function. At any rate, such a value can be increased up to the physical dimensional limit of the antecedent memory. A less important role n the optimization process of the word dimension is played by the number of membership functions defined for each linguistic term. The table below shows the request word dimension as a function of such parameters and compares our proposed method with the method of vectorial memorization[10]. Summing up, the characteristics of our method are: Users are not restricted to membership functions with specific shapes. The number of the fuzzy sets and the resolution of the vertical axis have a very small influence in increasing memory space. Weight computations are done by combinatorial network and therefore the time performance of the system is equivalent to the one of the vectorial method. The number of non null membership values on any element of the universe of discourse is limited. Such a constraint is usually non very restrictive since many controllers obtain a good precision with only three non null weights. The method here briefly described has been adopted by our group in the design of an optimized version of the coprocessor described in [10].

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의료이용의 형평성에 관한 실증적 연구 -공.교 의료보험 피부양자를 대상으로- (Equity in the Delivery of Health care in the Republic of Korea)

  • 명지영;문옥륜
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.155-172
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    • 1995
  • This study is an empirical analysis on the equity in the delivery of heatlh care under the Korean Medical Insurance Corporation System. The purposes of this study are to find out effects of income on the health care utiliztion and measure the income-related inequity in the distribution of health care. This study was carried out based on the fact that the health insurance program has been organized to achieve the equity objective, "equal treatment for equal needs". Of 41, 828 insured persons who had been diagnosed in the 1993 Health Screening Test and utilifzation data from 1, January 1993 through 31, December 1993 were derived from the Benefit Managment File. Inequity was measured by means of I) share approach, ii) standardization concentration curve approach, iii) inequity index, iv) test for inequity. The major findings were as follows : 1. The expenditure shares of the top two quintile groups exceeded their morbidity shares, whereas the opposite was true of the bottom three quintile groups, Which showed a positive HI$_{LG}$ inequity index, suggesting the presence of some inequity favoring the rich group. 2. Compared with other residential areas, the rural area showed the highest positive HI$_{LG}$ irrespective of need indicatior applied. 3. Standardized expenditure concentration indices adjusted by age, gender and need structure were also found to be positive, and therefore still indicated that there has been inequity favoring the rich after the standardization. 4. The Loglikelihood Ratio (LR) test for the statistical significance of income-related inequity of medical care utilization was carried out using the logistic regression model. The resulting loglikelihood ratio test statistic value was 176, which did exceed the 0.5 percent critical value of the chi-square distribution with 28 degrees of freedom, which is 50.993. Therefore, the null hypothesis of no income-related inequity of medical care utilization was rejected at the 99.5 percent confidence level. 5. The Regression based F-test has been carried out for analyzing the income-related inequity of medical expenditure in terms of age, gender, morbidity indicators as explanary variables. The hypothesis of the absence of income-relate inequity was rejected for all need indicators at the 95% confidence level.nce level.

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숙련된 게임유저에게 발생되는 VR 게임 조작 지연에 관한 연구 (A Study on Delay of VR Game Operation for Experienced Game Users)

  • 정원조;이창조
    • 한국게임학회 논문지
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 하드코어 게임유저는 기(旣)경험된 게임 조작처리 훈련으로 사용자 조작에 차이를 가지는 VR게임 플레이 시 조작 딜레이 검증하였다. HCI 기반 실험적 연구접근으로 사용자 조작 주기 가설이 적용된 2D 3D VR 형식 프로토타입 게임을 제작하였다. 이를 바탕으로 총 121명을 대상 2D 3D VR 형식 인터페이스 사용자 조작 실험 실시하였다. 실험으로 추출된 평균 사용자 조작 주기는 비교 검증하기 위하여 독립표본 T검정을 실시하였다. 검정 결과 2D VR 형식에 따른 사용자조작 주기 평균시간의 차이는 검증되었다. 3D VR 형식에 따른 사용자 조작주기 평균시간의 차이는 유의미의 귀무가설이 채택되어 차이가 없다 판명 되었다.

An Empirical Study on the Comparison of LSTM and ARIMA Forecasts using Stock Closing Prices

  • Gui Yeol Ryu
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.18-30
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    • 2023
  • We compared empirically the forecast accuracies of the LSTM model, and the ARIMA model. ARIMA model used auto.arima function. Data used in the model is 100 days. We compared with the forecast results for 50 days. We collected the stock closing prices of the top 4 companies by market capitalization in Korea such as "Samsung Electronics", and "LG Energy", "SK Hynix", "Samsung Bio". The collection period is from June 17, 2022, to January 20, 2023. The paired t-test is used to compare the accuracy of forecasts by the two methods because conditions are same. The null hypothesis that the accuracy of the two methods for the four stock closing prices were the same were rejected at the significance level of 5%. Graphs and boxplots confirmed the results of the hypothesis tests. The accuracies of ARIMA are higher than those of LSTM for four cases. For closing stock price of Samsung Electronics, the mean difference of error between ARIMA and LSTM is -370.11, which is 0.618% of the average of the closing stock price. For closing stock price of LG Energy, the mean difference is -4143.298 which is 0.809% of the average of the closing stock price. For closing stock price of SK Hynix, the mean difference is -830.7269 which is 1.00% of the average of the closing stock price. For closing stock price of Samsung Bio, the mean difference is -4143.298 which is 0.809% of the average of the closing stock price. The auto.arima function was used to find the ARIMA model, but other methods are worth considering in future studies. And more efforts are needed to find parameters that provide an optimal model in LSTM.

외국인지분율과 투자자들 간의 상이한 믿음 (Foreign Equity Ownership and Investors' Heterogeneous Beliefs)

  • 변선영;정현욱
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제42권2호
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    • pp.227-249
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구는 외국인지분율이 투자자들 간의 상이한 믿음에 어떠한 영향을 주는지에 관한 실증분석을 실시하였다. 한국은 외국인 직접투자도 활발하지만 외국인 간접투자 또한 활발하다. 따라서 외국인지분율과 관련된 투자 의사결정에 관한 논의는 한국경제를 위해 간과할 수 없는 분야라 할 수 있다. 이에 본 연구는 2001-2011년 기간 동안 유가증권시장 상장법인(금융업 제외)을 대상으로 실증분석을 실시하였다. 그 결과 외국인지분율의 회귀계수는 유의한 음(-)의 값을 가지는 것으로 나타났으며, 최소자승법(ordinary least squares)과 토빗(tobit)분석을 사용하여도 일관된 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 본 연구에서는 외국인투자자의 투자성향(장기 투자성향과 단기 투자성향)을 고려한 후, 각각의 집단에서 외국인지분율이 투자자들 간의 상이한 믿음에 미치는 영향을 추가 분석을 실시했다. 본 연구는 외국인지분율이 일반 투자자의 투자의사결정에 어떠한 영향을 미치는 지를 분석함으로서 외국인 간접투자에 대한 분석을 했다는 점에서 의의를 갖으며, 일반 투자자들이 투자의사결정시 외국인투자자를 고려하고 있다는 실증결과를 제시한다는 점에서 함의점이 있다.

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Statistical Inference in Non-Identifiable and Singular Statistical Models

  • Amari, Shun-ichi;Amari, Shun-ichi;Tomoko Ozeki
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.179-192
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    • 2001
  • When a statistical model has a hierarchical structure such as multilayer perceptrons in neural networks or Gaussian mixture density representation, the model includes distribution with unidentifiable parameters when the structure becomes redundant. Since the exact structure is unknown, we need to carry out statistical estimation or learning of parameters in such a model. From the geometrical point of view, distributions specified by unidentifiable parameters become a singular point in the parameter space. The problem has been remarked in many statistical models, and strange behaviors of the likelihood ratio statistics, when the null hypothesis is at a singular point, have been analyzed so far. The present paper studies asymptotic behaviors of the maximum likelihood estimator and the Bayesian predictive estimator, by using a simple cone model, and show that they are completely different from regular statistical models where the Cramer-Rao paradigm holds. At singularities, the Fisher information metric degenerates, implying that the cramer-Rao paradigm does no more hold, and that he classical model selection theory such as AIC and MDL cannot be applied. This paper is a first step to establish a new theory for analyzing the accuracy of estimation or learning at around singularities.

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임의로 관측중단된 두 표본 자료에 대한 카이제곱 검정방법 (Two-sample chi-square test for randomly censored data)

  • 김주한;김정란
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.109-119
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    • 1995
  • 두 모집단에서 임의로 관측중단도니 두 표본을 얻었을 때, 두 모집단의 분포가 같다는 가설을 검정하기 위한 카이제곱 검정방법이 제안되었다. 여기서 제안된 통계량은 대립가설이 두 모집단의 분포가 같지 않다는 양측가설일 때 쓰일 수 있다. 귀무가설이 사실일 때 제안된 통계량의 극한분포는 카이제곱 분포가 된다. 두 가지 형태의 카이제곱 검정통계량이 제안되었는데, 하나는 product-limit 추정치로부터 얻은 관측된 칸(cell) 확률의 차이들의 벡터의 이차형식으로 표현된 것이고, 다른 하나는 간단한 합의 모양으로 표현된 것이다. 두 형태의 검정통계량을 사용하여 암치료를 위한 화학요법 실험으로부터 얻은 자료를 분석하여 보았다.

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