• Title/Summary/Keyword: nonlinear prediction

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Quality prediction method by using ZnO thin film deposition process modeling (ZnO 박막 증착 공정 모델링에 의한 품질 예측 기법)

  • Lim, Keun-Young;Chung, Doo-Yeon;Lee, Sang-Keuk;Park, Choon-Bae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2006.06a
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    • pp.163-164
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    • 2006
  • ZnO deposition parameters are not independent and have a nonlinear and complex properties respectively. Therefore, finding optimal process conditions are very difficult and need to do many experiments. To predict ZnO deposition result, neural network was used. To gather training data, Si, GaAs, and Glass were used for substrates, and substrate temperature, work pressure, RF power were $50-500^{\circ}C$, 15 mTorr, and 180-210 W respectively, and the purity of target was ZnO 4N. For predicting the result of ZnO deposition process exactly, sensitivity analysis and drawing a response surface was added. The temperature of substrate was evaluated as a most important variable. As a result, neural network could verify the nonlinear and complex relations of variables and find the optimal process condition for good quality ZnO thin films.

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A Study on the Prediction of Residual Strength of Concrete Filled Steel Tube Column without Fire Protective Coating by Unstressed Heating (비재하 가열에 의한 무내화피복 CFT 기둥의 잔존내력 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Gyu-Yong;Lee, Hyoung-Jun;Lee, Tae-Gyu;Kim, Young-Sun;Kang, Sun-Jong
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 2009
  • Recently, fire resistance in high-rise building is becoming major problem socially. So it is need of hour to study on fire resistance in buildings. This study estimates fire resistance performance to utilized CFT (Concrete filled steel tube, below CFT) column in the high structure. But it is difficult quantitative evaluation about fire resistant performance of CFT. Therefore, this study made CFT specimen that determine the factor which is strength of concrete and then CFT column was exposed to heating controlled as closely as possible the ISO-834 standard fire curve. Also, tried to analyze internal temperature through nonlinear transient heat flow analysis. And, presumed extant compressive strength on the basis of this.

Prediction of ultimate load capacity of concrete-filled steel tube columns using multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS)

  • Avci-Karatas, Cigdem
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.583-594
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    • 2019
  • In the areas highly exposed to earthquakes, concrete-filled steel tube columns (CFSTCs) are known to provide superior structural aspects such as (i) high strength for good seismic performance (ii) high ductility (iii) enhanced energy absorption (iv) confining pressure to concrete, (v) high section modulus, etc. Numerous studies were reported on behavior of CFSTCs under axial compression loadings. This paper presents an analytical model to predict ultimate load capacity of CFSTCs with circular sections under axial load by using multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS). MARS is a nonlinear and non-parametric regression methodology. After careful study of literature, 150 comprehensive experimental data presented in the previous studies were examined to prepare a data set and the dependent variables such as geometrical and mechanical properties of circular CFST system have been identified. Basically, MARS model establishes a relation between predictors and dependent variables. Separate regression lines can be formed through the concept of divide and conquers strategy. About 70% of the consolidated data has been used for development of model and the rest of the data has been used for validation of the model. Proper care has been taken such that the input data consists of all ranges of variables. From the studies, it is noted that the predicted ultimate axial load capacity of CFSTCs is found to match with the corresponding experimental observations of literature.

Modified sigmoid based model and experimental analysis of shape memory alloy spring as variable stiffness actuator

  • Sul, Bhagoji B.;Dhanalakshmi, K.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.361-377
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    • 2019
  • The stiffness of shape memory alloy (SMA) spring while in actuation is represented by an empirical model that is derived from the logistic differential equation. This model correlates the stiffness to the alloy temperature and the functionality of SMA spring as active variable stiffness actuator (VSA) is analyzed based on factors that are the input conditions (activation current, duty cycle and excitation frequency) and operating conditions (pre-stress and mechanical connection). The model parameters are estimated by adopting the nonlinear least square method, henceforth, the model is validated experimentally. The average correlation factor of 0.95 between the model response and experimental results validates the proposed model. In furtherance, the justification is augmented from the comparison with existing stiffness models (logistic curve model and polynomial model). The important distinction from several observations regarding the comparison of the model prediction with the experimental states that it is more superior, flexible and adaptable than the existing. The nature of stiffness variation in the SMA spring is assessed also from the Dynamic Mechanical Thermal Analysis (DMTA), which as well proves the proposal. This model advances the ability to use SMA integrated mechanism for enhanced variable stiffness actuation. The investigation proves that the stiffness of SMA spring may be altered under controlled conditions.

An advanced technique to predict time-dependent corrosion damage of onshore, offshore, nearshore and ship structures: Part I = generalisation

  • Kim, Do Kyun;Wong, Eileen Wee Chin;Cho, Nak-Kyun
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.657-666
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    • 2020
  • A reliable and cost-effective technique for the development of corrosion damage model is introduced to predict nonlinear time-dependent corrosion wastage of steel structures. A detailed explanation on how to propose a generalised mathematical formulation of the corrosion model is investigated in this paper (Part I), and verification and application of the developed method are covered in the following paper (Part II) by adopting corrosion data of a ship's ballast tank structure. In this study, probabilistic approaches including statistical analysis were applied to select the best fit probability density function (PDF) for the measured corrosion data. The sub-parameters of selected PDF, e.g., the largest extreme value distribution consisting of scale, and shape parameters, can be formulated as a function of time using curve fitting method. The proposed technique to formulate the refined time-dependent corrosion wastage model (TDCWM) will be useful for engineers as it provides an easy and accurate prediction of the 1) starting time of corrosion, 2) remaining life of the structure, and 3) nonlinear corrosion damage amount over time. In addition, the obtained outcome can be utilised for the development of simplified engineering software shown in Appendix B.

A baseline free method for locating imperfect bolted joints

  • Soleimanpour, Reza;Soleimani, Sayed Mohamad;Salem, Mariam Naser Sulaiman
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.237-258
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    • 2022
  • This paper studies detecting and locating loose bolts using nonlinear guided waves. The 3D Finite Element (FE) simulation is used for the prediction of guided waves' interactions with loose bolted joints. The numerical results are verified by experimentally obtained data. The study considers bolted joints consisting of two bolts. It is shown that the guided waves' interaction with surfaces of a loose bolted joint generates Contact Acoustic Nonlinearity (CAN). The study uses CAN for detecting and locating loose bolts. The processed experimentally obtained data show that the CAN is able to successfully detect and locate loose bolted joints. A 3D FE simulation scheme is developed and validated by experimentally obtained data. It is shown that FE can predict the propagation of guided waves in loose bolts and is also able to detect and locate them. Several numerical case studies with various bolt sizes are created and studied using the validated 3D FE simulation approach. It is shown that the FE simulation modeling approach and the signal processing scheme used in the current study are able to detect and locate the loose bolts in imperfect bolted joints. The outcomes of this research can provide better insights into understanding the interaction of guided waves with loose bolts. The results can also enhance the maintenance and repair of imperfect joints using the nonlinear guided waves technique.

Prediction of nominal wake of a semi-displacement high-speed vessel at full scale

  • Can, Ugur;Bal, Sakir
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.143-157
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    • 2022
  • In this study, the nominal wake field of a semi-displacement type high-speed vessel was computed at full scale by using CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics) and GEOSIM-based approaches. A scale effect investigation on nominal wake field of benchmark Athena vessel was performed with two models which have different model lengths. The members of the model family have the same Fr number but different Re numbers. The spatial components of nominal wake field have been analyzed by considering the axial, radial and tangential velocities for models at different scales. A linear feature has been found for radial and tangential components while a nonlinear change has been obtained for axial velocity. Taylor wake fraction formulation was also computed by using the axial wake velocities and an extrapolation technique was carried out to get the nonlinear fit of nominal wake fraction. This provides not only to observe the change of nominal wake fraction versus scale ratios but also to estimate accurately the wake fraction at full-scale. Extrapolated full-scale nominal wake fractions by GEOSIM-based approach were compared with the full-scale CFD result, and a very good agreement was achieved. It can be noted that the GEOSIM-based extrapolation method can be applied for estimation of the nominal wake fraction of semi-displacement type high-speed vessels.

Development of new models to predict the compressibility parameters of alluvial soils

  • Alzabeebee, Saif;Al-Taie, Abbas
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.437-448
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    • 2022
  • Alluvial soil is challenging to work with due to its high compressibility. Thus, consolidation settlement of this type of soil should be accurately estimated. Accurate estimation of the consolidation settlement of alluvial soil requires accurate prediction of compressibility parameters. Geotechnical engineers usually use empirical correlations to estimate these compressibility parameters. However, no attempts have been made to develop correlations to estimate compressibility parameters of alluvial soil. Thus, this paper aims to develop new models to predict the compression and recompression indices (Cc and Cr) of alluvial soils. As part of the study, geotechnical laboratory tests have been conducted on large number of undisturbed samples of local alluvial soil. The obtained results from these tests in addition to available results from the literature from different parts in the world have been compiled to form the database of this study. This database is then employed to examine the accuracy of the available empirical correlations of the compressibility parameters and to develop the new models to estimate the compressibility parameters using the nonlinear regression analysis. The accuracy of the new models has been accessed using mean absolute error, root mean square error, mean, percentage of predictions with error range of ±20%, percentage of predictions with error range of ±30%, and coefficient of determination. It was found that the new models outperform the available correlations. Thus, these models can be used by geotechnical engineers with more confidence to predict Cc and Cr.

Seismic Performance Assessment of Circular Reinforced Concrete Bridge Piers with Confinement Steel: II. Performance Assessment (원형 철근콘크리트 교각의 횡방향 철근에 따른 내진성능평가 : II. 성능평가)

  • Kim, Tae-Hoon;Kim, Young-Jin;Kang, Hyeong-Taek;Shin, Hyun-Mock
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.2A
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    • pp.351-361
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    • 2006
  • In this study, nonlinear finite element analysis procedures are presented for the seismic performance assessment of circular reinforced concrete bridge piers with confinement steel. This paper defines a damage index based on the predicted hysteretic behavior of a circular reinforced concrete bridge pier. Damage indices aim to provide a means of quantifying numerically the damage in circular reinforced concrete bridge piers sustained under earthquake loading. The proposed numerical method is applied to circular reinforced concrete bridge piers with confinement steel tested by the authors. The proposed numerical method gives a realistic prediction of seismic performance throughout the loading cycles for several test specimens investigated.

Development of Rainfall-Flood Damage Estimation Function using Nonlinear Regression Equation (비선형 회귀식을 이용한 강우-홍수피해액 추정함수 개발)

  • Lee, Jongso;Eo, Gyu;Choi, Changhyun;Jung, Jaewon;Kim, Hungsoo
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.74-88
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    • 2016
  • Predicting and estimating the disaster characteristics are very important for disaster planning such as prevention, preparedness, response, and recovery. Especially, if we can predict the flood damage before flooding, the predicted or estimated damage will be a very good information to the decision maker for the response and recovery. However, most of the researches, have been performed for calculating disaster damages only after disasters had already happened and there are few studies that are related to the prediction of the damages before disaster. Therefore, the objective of this study was to predict and estimate the flood damages rapidly considering the damage scale and effect before the flood disaster, For this the relationship of rainfall and damage had been suggested using nonlinear regression equation so that it is able to predict the damages according to rainfall. We compared the estimated damages and the actual ones. As a result, the damages were underestimated in 14.16% for Suwon-city and 15.81% for Yangpyeong-town but the damage was overestimated in 37.33% for Icheon-city. The underestimated and overestimated results could be occurred due to the uncertainties involved in natural phenomenon and no considerations of the 4 disaster steps such as prevention, preparedness, response, and recovery which were already performed.. Therefore, we may need the continuous study in this area for reducing various uncertainties and considering various factors related to disasters.