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Selection framework of representative general circulation models using the selected best bias correction method (최적 편이보정 기법의 선택을 통한 대표 전지구모형의 선정)

  • Song, Young Hoon;Chung, Eun-Sung;Sung, Jang Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.5
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    • pp.337-347
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    • 2019
  • This study proposes the framework to select the representative general circulation model (GCM) for climate change projection. The grid-based results of GCMs were transformed to all considered meteorological stations using inverse distance weighted (IDW) method and its results were compared to the observed precipitation. Six quantile mapping methods and random forest method were used to correct the bias between GCM's and the observation data. Thus, the empirical quantile which belongs to non-parameteric transformation method was selected as a best bias correction method by comparing the measures of performance indicators. Then, one of the multi-criteria decision techniques, TOPSIS (Technique for Order of Preference by Ideal Solution), was used to find the representative GCM using the performances of four GCMs after the bias correction using empirical quantile method. As a result, GISS-E2-R was the best and followed by MIROC5, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0, and CCSM4. Because these results are limited several GCMs, different results will be expected if more GCM data considered.

Meteorological drought outlook with satellite precipitation data using Bayesian networks and decision-making model (베이지안 네트워크 및 의사결정 모형을 이용한 위성 강수자료 기반 기상학적 가뭄 전망)

  • Shin, Ji Yae;Kim, Ji-Eun;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.4
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    • pp.279-289
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    • 2019
  • Unlike other natural disasters, drought is a reoccurring and region-wide phenomenon after being triggered by a prolonged precipitation deficiency. Considering that remote sensing products provide consistent temporal and spatial measurements of precipitation, this study developed a remote sensing data-based drought outlook model. The meteorological drought was defined by the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) achieved from PERSIANN_CDR, TRMM 3B42 and GPM IMERG images. Bayesian networks were employed in this study to combine the historical drought information and dynamical prediction products in advance of drought outlook. Drought outlook was determined through a decision-making model considering the current drought condition and forecasted condition from the Bayesian networks. Drought outlook condition was classified by four states such as no drought, drought occurrence, drought persistence, and drought removal. The receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis were employed to measure the relative outlook performance with the dynamical prediction production, Multi-Model Ensemble (MME). The ROC analysis indicated that the proposed outlook model showed better performance than the MME, especially for drought occurrence and persistence of 2- and 3-month outlook.

Introduction to Tasks in the International Cooperation Project, DECOVALEX-2023 for the Simulation of Coupled Thermohydro-mechanical-chemical Behavior in a Deep Geological Disposal of High-level Radioactive Waste (고준위방사성폐기물 처분장 내 열-수리-역학-화학적 복합거동 해석을 위한 국제공동연구 DECOVALEX-2023에서 수행 중인 연구 과제 소개)

  • Kim, Taehyun;Lee, Changsoo;Kim, Jung-Woo;Kang, Sinhang;Kwon, Saeha;Kim, Kwang-Il;Park, Jung-Wook;Park, Chan-Hee;Kim, Jin-Seop
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.167-183
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    • 2021
  • It is essential to understand the complex thermo-hydro-mechanical-chemical (THMC) coupled behavior in the engineered barrier system and natural barrier system to secure the high-level radioactive waste repository's long-term safety. The heat from the high-level radioactive waste induces thermal pressurization and vaporization of groundwater in the repository system. Groundwater inflow affects the saturation variation in the engineered barrier system, and the saturation change influences the heat transfer and multi-phase flow characteristics in the buffer. Due to the complexity of the coupled behavior, a numerical simulation is a valuable tool to predict and evaluate the THMC interaction effect on the disposal system and safety assessment. To enhance the knowledge of THMC coupled interaction and validate modeling techniques in geological systems. DECOVALEX, an international cooperation project, was initiated in 1992, and KAERI has participated in the projects since 2008 in Korea. In this study, we introduced the main contents of all tasks in the DECOVALEX-2023, the current DECOVALEX phase, to the rock mechanics and geotechnical researchers in Korea.

Analysis of the Individual Tree Growth for Urban Forest using Multi-temporal airborne LiDAR dataset (다중시기 항공 LiDAR를 활용한 도시림 개체목 수고생장분석)

  • Kim, Seoung-Yeal;Kim, Whee-Moon;Song, Won-Kyong;Choi, Young-Eun;Choi, Jae-Yong;Moon, Guen-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2019
  • It is important to measure the height of trees as an essential element for assessing the forest health in urban areas. Therefore, an automated method that can measure the height of individual tree as a three-dimensional forest information is needed in an extensive and dense forest. Since airborne LiDAR dataset is easy to analyze the tree height(z-coordinate) of forests, studies on individual tree height measurement could be performed as an assessment forest health. Especially in urban forests, that adversely affected by habitat fragmentation and isolation. So this study was analyzed to measure the height of individual trees for assessing the urban forests health, Furthermore to identify environmental factors that affect forest growth. The survey was conducted in the Mt. Bongseo located in Seobuk-gu. Cheonan-si(Middle Chungcheong Province). We segment the individual trees on coniferous by automatic method using the airborne LiDAR dataset of the two periods (year of 2016 and 2017) and to find out individual tree growth. Segmentation of individual trees was performed by using the watershed algorithm and the local maximum, and the tree growth was determined by the difference of the tree height according to the two periods. After we clarify the relationship between the environmental factors affecting the tree growth. The tree growth of Mt. Bongseo was about 20cm for a year, and it was analyzed to be lower than 23.9cm/year of the growth of the dominant species, Pinus rigida. This may have an adverse effect on the growth of isolated urban forests. It also determined different trees growth according to age, diameter and density class in the stock map, effective soil depth and drainage grade in the soil map. There was a statistically significant positive correlation between the distance to the road and the solar radiation as an environmental factor affecting the tree growth. Since there is less correlation, it is necessary to determine other influencing factors affecting tree growth in urban forests besides anthropogenic influences. This study is the first data for the analysis of segmentation and the growth of the individual tree, and it can be used as a scientific data of the urban forest health assessment and management.

Systematic Literature Review for HRD in Korea Franchise Business (국내 프랜차이즈 사업에서의 인적자원개발에 관한 체계적 문헌 고찰)

  • KIM, Eunsung;LEE, Sang-Seub
    • The Korean Journal of Franchise Management
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.33-47
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to classify and analyze existing studies from various angles through systematic literature review of how human resources development has been researched in the domestic franchise business. These studies are intended to suggest the direction in which human resource development research should be conducted in the future in the franchise business. Research design, data, and methodology - This study is based on systematic literature review methodology. It has gone through the process of subject language setting, literature search routing, search term selection, literature selection, literature classification and literature analysis. The systematic literature review identified 59 peer-reviewed dissertations and scientific journal publications on the subject of HRD in Korea franchise business. Result - This study analyzed by research methods, research industries, research population and dependent variable using the systematic review process. The literature studied in the 2000s mainly led to research on education and training of franchise employees in beauty franchise business. In the literature studied since 2010, human resources development was mainly studied in the supervisor in the restaurant franchise business, and in the study of competence rather than education and training. According to the research methods, statistical methods were mostly relatively simple, such as t-test or one-way distribution analysis until the 2000s, and after 2010, in-depth and structural studies using multiple return analysis, structural method analysis, path analysis, multi-dimensional scale analysis, AHP, etc were conducted. When classified by study dependant, early research until the 2000s focused on the study of education and training, which is an independent variable, on the satisfaction of education programs, job satisfaction, and immersion. On the other hand, studies conducted since 2010 have produced more complex results using various medium variants, and those related to management performance and relationship performance have been mainly studied, rather than the satisfaction of the education itself. Conclusions - While the domestic franchise business is expanding in terms of quantity, such as the number of franchises and franchises, the development in terms of quality for the joint growth of franchises and franchisees is still lacking. In order for the franchisee to continue to grow with each other, the franchisee must identify and develop their current performance or expected capabilities through capacity modeling at various targets and levels.

Analysis and comparison of the water supply adjustment guide and a hedging rule of reservoir operation derived from mixed-integer programming for water supply operation of a multi-purpose reservoir (다목적댐의 가뭄 대비 용수공급 조정기준과 혼합 정수계획법에 의한 용수 감량 공급 기준의 비교 및 분석)

  • Jin, Youngkyu;Jeong, Taekmun;Lee, Sangho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.443-452
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    • 2021
  • The authors obtained the discrete hedging rule for a reservoir's water supply operation by applying mixed-integer programming to save more water by earlier rationing of water supply for a drought period. The 'water supply adjustment guide' is the current operational method applied to the multipurpose reservoirs, and it was derived by a simulation method. Applying the two rules to the Hapcheon multipurpose dam's reservoir simulations with the inflow record from 2003 to 2018, the water supply deficit occurred for the long drought from 2015 to 2018. Especially, the no water supply or intermittent water supply persisted for the second half of 2017. The water supply adjustment guide had the 'normal water supply recovery threshold on storage,' which resulted in the water supply being unavailable in July 2017; then, the water supply suspension occurred until January 2018, when the reservoir storage was greater than the normal water supply recovery threshold. Despite the storage increasing due to the inflow of water into the reservoir, the suspension occurrence needs to be improved in practice. The current water supply adjustment guide and the discrete hedging rule for a reservoir's water supply operation are useful and realistic as the reservoir operation guide, which shows the concept of reducing water supply during the drought phase as scientific figures. However, to improve the reservoir simulation results, which do not provide any or intermittent water for several months, it is necessary to increase the current water supply reduction for drought phases.

Heat Performance of Rapid Hardening Nano-Cementitious Composite for Repairing of Concrete Structures (콘크리트 구조물 보수를 위한 초속경 나노-시멘트 복합체의 발열성능)

  • Cho, Sanghyeon;Lee, Heeyoung;Yu, Wonjun;Kim, Donghwi;Chung, Wonseok
    • Journal of the Korean Recycled Construction Resources Institute
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.421-428
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    • 2020
  • Recently, excellent thermal and electrical performance of cementitious composites by mixing nano materials are being studied. The purpose of this study is to research the heat generation and power consumption of rapid hardening nano-cementitious composites. The experiment was carried out after setting the rapid hardening cementitious material, curing day, and supply voltage as parameters. Rapid hardening nano-cementitious materials were classified into cement paste, mortar, and concrete The heat performance of all rapid hardening nano-cementitious composites in curing 1 day has increased over 10℃. The rapid hardening nano-cementitious composites can exhibit heat performance within 1 day. The heat performance of the rapid hardening nano-cementitious composites is maintained after 28 days.

Study on the ICT Device Safety System Application Examples in Mines (광산에서의 ICT 장비 활용 및 안전시스템 운용 사례 연구)

  • Kim, Seung-Jun;Ko, Young-Hun;Kim, Jung-Gyu;Seo, Man-Keun;Kim, Jong-Gwan
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.194-202
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    • 2022
  • An increased number of cases have occurred in applying ICT technology in the resource development field due to factors such as safety, eco-friendliness, and low cost since the 2000s. In Korea, the 2nd mining master plan specified the significance of converging the full cycle of mining and ICT, while the 3rd mining master plan highlighted ICT and smart mining such as supporting the supply of an ICT mining device and introducing demonstrational smart mining. This study introduces the application of an ICT device and safety system operation in the Jangseong underground mine of Korea Cement Co., Ltd. Currently, Jangseong mine combines two different kinds of 3D equipment including the handheld 3D scanner and multi-station that provides both the measurement and 3D scanning to perform a 3D measurement of the mine. Taken from the 3D measurement of the mine, it is now possible to identify any hazardous areas and abnormalities in different directions and analyze the safety of the crown pillar between two stopes in different level. Besides, the real-time location tracking and communications system have established highly efficient rescue and evacuation plans to effectively deal with any accidents in the mine.

Prioritizing the target watersheds for permeable pavement to reduce flood damage in urban watersheds considering future climate scenarios (미래 기후 시나리오를 고려한 도시 유역 홍수 피해 저감을 위한 투수성 포장 시설 대상 유역 우선순위 선정)

  • Chae, Seung Taek;Song, Young Hoon;Lee, Joowon;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.2
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    • pp.159-170
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    • 2022
  • As the severity of water-related disasters increases in urban watersheds due to climate change, reducing flood damage in urban watersheds is one of the important issues. This study focuses on prioritizing the optimal site for permeable pavement to maximize the efficiency of reducing flood damage in urban watersheds in the future climate environment using multi-criteria decision making techniques. The Mokgamcheon watershed which is considerably urbanized than in the past was selected for the study area and its 27 sub-watersheds were considered as candidate sites. Six General Circulation Model (GCM) of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6(CMIP6) according to two Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios were used to estimate future monthly precipitation for the study area. The Driving force-Pressure-State-Impact-Response (DPSIR) framework was used to select the water quantity evaluation criteria for prioritizing permeable pavement, and the study area was modeled using ArcGIS and Storm Water Management Model (SWMM). For the values corresponding to the evaluation criteria based on the DPSIR framework, data from national statistics and long-term runoff simulation value of SWMM according to future monthly precipitation were used. Finally, the priority for permeable pavement was determined using the Fuzzy TOPSIS and Minimax regret method. The high priorities were concentrated in the downstream sub-watersheds where urbanization was more progressed and densely populated than the upstream watersheds.

Assessment of ECMWF's seasonal weather forecasting skill and Its applicability across South Korean catchments (ECMWF 계절 기상 전망 기술의 정확성 및 국내 유역단위 적용성 평가)

  • Lee, Yong Shin;Kang, Shin Uk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.9
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    • pp.529-541
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    • 2023
  • Due to the growing concern over forecasting extreme weather events such as droughts caused by climate change, there has been a rising interest in seasonal meteorological forecasts that offer ensemble predictions for the upcoming seven months. Nonetheless, limited research has been conducted in South Korea, particularly in assessing their effectiveness at the catchment-scale. In this study, we assessed the accuracy of ECMWF's seasonal forecasts (including precipitation, temperature, and evapotranspiration) for the period of 2011 to 2020. We focused on 12 multi-purpose reservoir catchments and compared the forecasts to climatology data. Continuous Ranked Probability Skill Score method is adopted to assess the forecast skill, and the linear scaling method was applied to evaluate its impact. The results showed that while the seasonal meteorological forecasts have similar skill to climatology for one month ahead, the skill decreased significantly as the forecast lead time increased. Compared to the climatology, better results were obtained in the Wet season than the Dry season. In particular, during the Wet seasons of the dry years (2015, 2017), the seasonal meteorological forecasts showed the highest skill for all lead times.