• Title/Summary/Keyword: model input uncertainty

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MANUFACTURER′S PROCUREMENT DECISION ANALYSIS IN A SUPPLY CHAIN WITH MULTIPLE SUPPLIERS

  • Kim, Bowon;Park, Kwang Tae;Lee, Seungchul
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.1-28
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    • 2000
  • Supply chain management issues faced by a manufacturing company are considered in this paper. The supply chain consists of a manufacturing company and its suppliers. The manufacturer produces multiple products with inputs (e.g., raw materials) from the suppliers, but each product needs a different mix of these inputs. The market demand for the products is uncertain. We develop a mathematical model and algorithm, which can help the manufacturer to solve its procurement decision problem: how much of raw material to order from which supplier. The model incorporates such factors as market demand uncertainty, product's input requirement, supplier's as well as manufacturer's capacity, plus other costs comparable with those in a typical newsboy problem. Numerical examples are presented to see the interacting effects among critical parameters and variables.

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A Robust Bending Frequency Estimator for SAM Application (지대공 유도탄 기체진동 제거를 위한 강인 벤딩 주파수 추정필터)

  • Na, Won-Sang;Song, Chan-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.07d
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    • pp.2152-2154
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    • 2004
  • A robust bending frequency tracker is proposed to design the adaptive notch filter which removes the time-varying missile structural mode from the sensor measurements. To design the bending frequency tracker, firstly, the signal model is derived from the input-output relationship of Nehorai notch filter structure. Also, the time-varying nature of the bending frequency is modelled as the norm-bounded uncertainty. Based on the uncertain signal model, it is shown that the design problem of robust bending frequency tracker can be casted into that of adaptive robust $H_{\infty}$ filter or equivalently robust LMS filter.

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An anti-filtering compensator design for a stable implementation of time delay controller (시간지연제어기를 안정하게 구현하기 위한 대향 필터링 보상기의 설계)

  • 문의준;이상열;이영철;이정훈
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1992.10a
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    • pp.1034-1039
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    • 1992
  • Time Delay Controller(TDC) is a model following controller which uses input and output values and state variables to estimate additional quantity of dynamics due to external disturbances and/or model parameters variation at some past instant. TDC is very robust against parametric uncertainty whil it is not robust against unmodeled dynamics even showing instability. To solve this problem a stability anlysis is performed and a compensation technique using reduced order observer, Anti-Filtering Compensator(AFC), is proposed for a case in which the high order kinown dynamics is deliberately ignored. If the ignored dynamics causes instability of the TDC control system, AFC is shown to be indispensible fot a stable implementation of TDC.

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Robust Hcontrol applied on a fixed wing unmanned aerial vehicle

  • Uyulan, Caglar;Yavuz, Mustafa Tolga
    • Advances in aircraft and spacecraft science
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    • v.6 no.5
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    • pp.371-389
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    • 2019
  • The implementation of a robust $H_{\infty}$ Control, which is numerically efficient for uncertain nonlinear dynamics, on longitudinal and lateral autopilots is realised for a quarter scale Piper J3-Cub model accepted as an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) under the condition of sensor noise and disturbance effects. The stability and control coefficients of the UAV are evaluated through XFLR5 software, which utilises a vortex lattice method at a predefined flight condition. After that, the longitudinal trim point is computed, and the linearization process is performed at this trim point. The "${\mu}$-Synthesis"-based robust $H_{\infty}$ control algorithm for roll, pitch and yaw displacement autopilots are developed for both longitudinal and lateral linearised nonlinear dynamics. Controller performances, closed-loop frequency responses, nominal and perturbed system responses are obtained under the conditions of disturbance and sensor noise. The simulation results indicate that the proposed control scheme achieves robust performance and guarantees stability under exogenous disturbance and measurement noise effects and model uncertainty.

Development of an Automatic Steering-Control Algorithm based on the MPC with a Disturbance Observer for All-Terrain Cranes (외란 관측기를 이용한 모델 예견 기반의 전지형 크레인 자동조향 제어알고리즘 개발)

  • Oh, Kwangseok;Seo, Jaho
    • Journal of Drive and Control
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 2017
  • The steering systems of all-terrain cranes have been developed with various control strategies for the stability and drivability. To optimally control the input steering angle, an accurate mathematical model that represents the actual crane dynamics is required. The derivation of an accurate mathematical model to optimally control the steering angle, however, is difficult since the steering-control strategy generally varies with the magnitude of the crane's longitudinal velocity, and the postures of the crane's working parts vary while it is being driven. To address this problem, this paper proposes an automatic steering-control algorithm that is based on the MPC (model predictive control) with a disturbance observer for all-terrain cranes. The designed disturbance observer of this study was used to estimate the error between the base steering model and the actual crane. A model predictive controller was used for the computation of the optimal steering angle, along with the use of the base steering model with an estimated uncertainty. Performance evaluations of the designed control algorithms were conducted based on a curved-path scenario in the Matlab/Simulink environment. The performance-evaluation results show a sound reference-path-tracking performance despite the large uncertainties.

A Suppression of Residual Vibration on the Flexible Structures by Input Shaping (입력설계기법에 의한 유연구조물의 잔류진동제어)

  • Park, Myoungho;Han, Myoungseok;Park, Sungjong
    • 대한공업교육학회지
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.364-380
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents a procedure for designing command to maneuver flexible structure with very little residual vibration, even in the presence of modeling errors. For the open loop maneuver, the various shaped profiles using multiple step inputs delayed in time are considered for robustness and compared with the responses of rigid body and flexible body in virtue of simulations and experiments. Input shaping generates vibration-reducing shaped commands through convolution of an impulse sequence with the desired command. A flexible model with a cylindrical hub and four symmetric appendages is considered to examine the responses to real plant, and to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed shapers. The appendages are long and flexible, leading to low frequency vibration under any control action. It is shown by a series of simulation that a properly designed feedback controller with input shaper performs well, as compared with open loop controller with input shaper. The control objective is to achieve a fast settling time of residual vibration to flexible structure and robustness (insensitivity)to plant uncertainty, to eliminate residual vibration.

Estimating Human Exposure to Benzo(a)pyrene through Multimedia/Multiroute Exposure Scenario (다매체/다경로 노출을 고려한 benzo(a)pyrene의 총 인체 노출량 예측)

  • Moon Ji Young;Yang Ji Yeon;Lim Young Wook;Park Seong Eun;Shin Dong Chun
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.255-269
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    • 2003
  • The objective of this study was to estimate human exposure to benzo (a)pyrene through multimedia/multi-pathway exposure scenario. The human exposure scenario for benzo(a)pyrene was consisted of 12 multiple exposure pathways, and the multipathway human exposure model based on this scenario constituted. In this study, the multipathway human exposure model was used to estimate the concentrations in the exposure contact media, human intake factors and lifetime average daily dose (LAD $D_{model}$) of benzo(a)pyrene in the environment. Sensitivity analysis was performed to identify the important parameters and Monte-Carlo simulation was undertaken to examine the uncertainty of the model. The total LAD $D_{model}$ was estimated to be 5.52${\times}$10$^{-7}$ mg/kg-day (2.06${\times}$10$^{-7}$ -8.65${\times}$10$^{-7}$ mg/kg-day) using the multipathway human exposure model. The inhalation dose accounted for 78% of the total LADD, whereas ingestion and dermal contact intake accounted for 20.2% and 1.8% of the total exposure, respectively. Based on the sensitivity analysis, the most significant contributing input parameter was benzo (a)pyrene concentration of ambient air. Consequently, exposure via inhalation in outdoor/indoor air was the highest compared with the exposure via other medium/pathways.

A PROCEDURE FOR GENERATING IN-CABINET RESPONSE SPECTRA BASED ON STATE-SPACE MODEL IDENTIFICATION BY IMPACT TESTING

  • Cho, Sung-Gook;Cui, Jintao;Kim, Doo-Kie
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.573-582
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    • 2011
  • The in-cabinet response spectrum is used to define the input motion in the seismic qualification of instruments and devices mounted inside an electrical cabinet. This paper presents a procedure for generating the in-cabinet response spectrum for electrical equipment based on in-situ testing by an impact hammer. The proposed procedure includes an algorithm to build the relationship between the impact forces and the measured acceleration responses of cabinet structures by estimating the state-space model. This model is used to predict seismic responses to the equivalent earthquake forces. Three types of structural model are analyzed for numerical verification of the proposed method. A comparison of predicted and simulated response spectra shows good convergence, demonstrating the potential of the proposed method to predict the response spectra for real cabinet structures using vibration tests. The presented procedure eliminates the uncertainty associated with constructing an analytical model of the electrical cabinet, which has complex mass distribution and stiffness.

A Development of SCM Model in Chemical Industry Including Batch Mode Operations (회분식 공정이 포함된 화학산업에서의 공급사슬 관리 모델 개발)

  • Park, Jeung Min;Ha, Jin-Kuk;Lee, Euy Soo
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.316-329
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    • 2008
  • Recently the increased attention pays on the processing of multiple, relatively low quantity, high value-added products resulted in adoption of batch process in the chemical process industry such as pharmaceuticals, polymers, bio-chemicals and foods. As there are more possibilities of the improvement of operations in batch process than continuous processes, a lot of effort has been made to enhance the productivity and operability of batch processes. But the chemical process industry faces a range of uncertainties factors such as demands for products, prices of product, lead time for the supply of raw materials and in the production, and the distribution of product. And global competition has made it imperative for the process industries to manage their supply chains optimally. Supply chain management aims to integrate plants with their supplier and customers so that they can be managed as a single entity and coordinate all input/output flows (of materials, information) so that products are produced and distributed in the right quantities, to the right locations, and at the right time.The objective of this study is to solve the purchase, distribution, production planning and scheduling problem, which minimizes the total costs of production, inventory, and transportation under uncertainty. And development of SCM model in chemical industry including batch mode operations. Through that, the enterprise can respond to uncertainty. Also integrated process optimal planning and scheduling model for manufacturing supply chain. The result shows that, the advantage of supply chain integration are quality matters seen by customers and suppliers, order schedules, flexibility, cost reduction, and increase in sales and profits. Also, an integration of supply chain (production and distribution system) generates significant savings by trading off the costs associated with the whole, rather than minimizing supply chain costs separately.

A stochastic flood analysis using weather forecasts and a simple catchment dynamics (기상예보와 단순 강우-유출 모형을 이용한 확률적 홍수해석)

  • Kim, Daehaa;Jang, Sangmin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.11
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    • pp.735-743
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    • 2017
  • With growing concerns about ever-increasing anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, it is crucial to enhance preparedness for unprecedented extreme weathers that can bring catastrophic consequences. In this study, we proposed a stochastic framework that considers uncertainty in weather forecasts for flood analyses. First, we calibrated a simple rainfall-runoff model against observed hourly hydrographs. Then, using probability density functions of rainfall depths conditioned by 6-hourly weather forecasts, we generated many stochastic rainfall depths for upcoming 48 hours. We disaggregated the stochastic 6-hour rainfalls into an hourly scale, and input them into the runoff model to quantify a probabilistic range of runoff during upcoming 48 hours. Under this framework, we assessed two rainfall events occurred in Bocheong River Basin, South Korea in 2017. It is indicated actual flood events could be greater than expectations from weather forecasts in some cases; however, the probabilistic runoff range could be intuitive information for managing flood risks before events. This study suggests combining deterministic and stochastic methods for forecast-based flood analyses to consider uncertainty in weather forecasts.