• Title/Summary/Keyword: model factor

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DEFAULT BAYESIAN INFERENCE OF REGRESSION MODELS WITH ARMA ERRORS UNDER EXACT FULL LIKELIHOODS

  • Son, Young-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.169-189
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    • 2004
  • Under the assumption of default priors, such as noninformative priors, Bayesian model determination and parameter estimation of regression models with stationary and invertible ARMA errors are developed under exact full likelihoods. The default Bayes factors, the fractional Bayes factor (FBF) of O'Hagan (1995) and the arithmetic intrinsic Bayes factors (AIBF) of Berger and Pericchi (1996a), are used as tools for the selection of the Bayesian model. Bayesian estimates are obtained by running the Metropolis-Hastings subchain in the Gibbs sampler. Finally, the results of numerical studies, designed to check the performance of the theoretical results discussed here, are presented.

Effects of Elastic Modulus Ratio on Internal Stresses in Short Fiber Composites (단섬유 복합체에서 탄성계수비가 내부응력에 미치는 영향)

  • 김홍건;노홍길
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.73-78
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    • 2004
  • The conventional SLT(Shear Lag Theory) which has been proven that it can not provide sufficiently accurate strengthening predictions in elastic regime when the fiber aspect ratio is small. This paper is an extented work to improve it by modifying the load transfer mechanism called NSLT(New Shear Lag Theory), which takes into account the stress transfer across the fiber ends and the SCF(Stress Concentration Factor) that exists in the matrix regions near the fiber ends. The key point of the model development is to determine the major controlling factor among the material and geometrical coefficients. It is found that the most affecting factor is the fiber/matrix elastic modulus ratio. It is also found that the proposed model gives a good result that has the capability to correctly predict the elastic properties such as interfacial shear stresses and local stress variations in the small fiber aspect ratio regime.

A Case Study of the Commom Cause Failure Analysis of Digital Reactor Protection System (디지털 원자로 보호시스템의 공통원인고장 분석에 관한 사례연구)

  • Kong, Myung-Bock;Lee, Sang-Yong
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.382-392
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    • 2012
  • Reactor protection system to keep nuclear safety and operational economy of plants requires high reliability. Such a high reliability of the system can be achieved through the redundant design of components. However, common cause failures of components reduce the benefits of redundant design. Thus, the common cause failure analysis, to accurately calculate the reliability of the reactor protection system, is carried out using alpha-factor model. Analysis results to 24 operating months are that 1) the system reliability satisfies the reliability goal of EPRI-URD and 2) the common cause failure contributes 90% of the system unreliability. The uncertainty analysis using alpha factor parameters of 0.05 and 0.95 quantile values shows significantly large difference in the system unreliability.

A Study on the Generator Capability Curve (발전기(發電機)의 가능출력곡선(可能出力曲線)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Park, Seong-Jin;Nam, Si-Bok
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1999.11a
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 1999
  • As our power system has changed the past undeveloped model causing the lacked supply of power to the civilized model that the remained one makes the voltage and the frequency rise at the middle of the night, the leading power factor operation of generators, that is, the under-exited operation is essentially to be needed, so, at a viewpoint of the stability of the power system, it is a very important factor. In this investigation. the equation of curves for each area on the capability curve has been studied at the above-mentioned viewpoint. Also, each capability curve for the operating power stations (Nuclear P/S, Thermal P/S, Hydrolic & pumping-up P/S Gas turbine P/S) has, been presented, and studied whether the leading power factor operational area is able to be expanded or not.

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Bayesian Inference for Switching Mean Models with ARMA Errors

  • Son, Young Sook;Kim, Seong W.;Cho, Sinsup
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.981-996
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    • 2003
  • Bayesian inference is considered for switching mean models with the ARMA errors. We use noninformative improper priors or uniform priors. The fractional Bayes factor of O'Hagan (1995) is used as the Bayesian tool for detecting the existence of a single change or multiple changes and the usual Bayes factor is used for identifying the orders of the ARMA error. Once the model is fully identified, the Gibbs sampler with the Metropolis-Hastings subchains is constructed to estimate parameters. Finally, we perform a simulation study to support theoretical results.

Classification of Head Shape and 3-dimensional Analysis for Korean Women (한국 성인 여성 머리 유형분류와 입체적 분석)

  • Choi, Young-Lim;Kim, Jae-Seung;Nam, Yun-Ja
    • Fashion & Textile Research Journal
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.779-787
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study was to classify the head shape for the apparel industry and to suggest standard head model for korean women. The 23 measurement items of 891 females, aged more than 18 years were used to analysis by statistical methods. Factor analysis, cluster analysis and duncan test were performed using these data. Through factor analysis, 5 factors were extracted upon factor scores and those factors comprised 68.76% for the total variances. 5 clusters as their head and face shape were categorized. We decided for the type 3 to standard head shape. 24 participants were measured using computed tomography(CT). The measured data of skin and skeleton and the standard head shapes were illustrated.

Effects of Tumor Necrosis Factor Alpha on Growth and Tube Formation of Bovine Vascular Endothelial Cells in vitro

  • Yoon, Duc-;Hwa-Joong
    • Toxicological Research
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.169-173
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    • 1995
  • The effects of tumor necrosis factor alpha $(TNF-{\alpha})$ on growth and tubular formation of bovine aortic endothelial cells were examined using an in vitro angiogenesis model system. The growth of endothelial cells was enhanced in a dose-dependent manner when the cells were cultured with $TNF-{\alpha}$ for 3 days, but $TNF-{\alpha}$, at the concentration of 1 nM or higher, produced a growth inhibition of endothelial cells when the cells were cultured for 8 days. The endothelial cells incubated with $TNF-{\alpha}$ for 48-h exhibited a typical morphologic change. Then, they showed a fibroblastoid organization of overlapping, elongated, and spindle-shaped cells. $TNF-{\alpha}$, at the concentration of O. 1 nM or higher, inhibited the tubular formation of vascular endothelial cells in an in vitro anglogenesis model using a 3-dimensional culture system.

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Lateral Vibration of Beams with a Bonded Lap Joint and Partial Layered Dampers (겹침이음부 및 국부적 층댐퍼를 갖는 보의 횡진동 특성)

  • 박정일;최낙삼
    • Journal of KSNVE
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.174-183
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    • 1999
  • An analytical model for the lateral vibration of beams with a bonded lap joint and partial layered dampers has been proposed in this paper. Both shear and normal forces acting along the interface between the elastic and viscoelastic layers were considered in the vibration analysis. Analytical results were compared with those obtained by a finite element method. Effects of the size and location of layers in partial dampers on system loss factor($\eta_s$) and resonant frequency($\omega_r$) were studied. which showed that partial dampers adhered to the site exhibiting the maximum amplitude of vibration were most influential in the increase of $\eta_s$ and the decrease of $\omega_r$. Specific system loss factor( $\eta_s$ divided by total mass of system) was also evaluated in the analysis.

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Prediction of Shear Strength in High-Strength Concrete Beams Considering Size Effect (크기효과를 고려한 고강도 콘크리트 보의 전단강도 예측식 제안)

  • 배영훈;윤영수
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.878-883
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    • 2003
  • To modify some problems of ACI shear provisions, ultimate shear strength equation considering size effect and arch action to compute shear strength in high-strength concrete beams without stirrups is presented in this research. Three basic equations, namely size reduction factor, rho factor, and arch action factor, are derived from crack band model of fracture mechanics, analysis of previous some shear equations for longitudinal reinforcement ratio, and concrete strut described as linear function in deep beams. Constants of basic equations are determined using statistical analysis of previous shear testing data. To verify proposed shear equation for each variable, namely d, , ρ, f/sub c/' and aid, about 250 experimental data are used and proposed shear equation is compared with ACI 318-99 code, CEB-FIP Model code, Kim & Park's equation and Zsutty's equation. While proposed shear equation is simpler than other shear equations, it is shown to be economical predictions and reasonable safety margin. Hence proposed shear strength equation is expected to be applied to practice shear design.

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The Oscillation Frequency of CML-based Multipath Ring Oscillators

  • Song, Sanquan;Kim, Byungsub;Xiong, Wei
    • JSTS:Journal of Semiconductor Technology and Science
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.671-677
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    • 2015
  • A novel phase interpolator (PI) based linear model of multipath ring oscillator (MPRO) is described in this paper. By modeling each delay cell as an ideal summer followed by a single pole RC filter, the oscillation frequency is derived for a 4-stage differential MPRO. It is analytically proved that the oscillation frequency increases with the growth of the forwarding factor ${\alpha}$, which is also confirmed quantitatively through simulation. Based on the proposed model, it is shown that the power to frequency ratio keeps constant as the speed increases. Running at the same speed, a 4-stage MPRO can outperform the corresponding single-stage ring oscillator (SPRO) with 27% power saving, making MPRO with a large forwarding factor ${\alpha}$ an attractive option for lower power applications.