• Title/Summary/Keyword: model factor

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A Basic Study on the Flood-Flow Forecasting System Model with Integrated Optimal Operation of Multipurpose Dams (댐저수지군의 최적연계운영을 고려한 유출예측시스템모형 구축을 위한 기초적 연구)

  • 안승섭
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.37 no.3_4
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    • pp.48-60
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    • 1995
  • A flood - flow forecasting system model of river basins has been developed in this study. The system model consists of the data management system(the observation and telemetering system, the rainfall forecasting and data-bank system), the flood runoff simulation system, the reservoir operation simulation system, the flood forecasting simulation system, the flood warning system and the user's menu system. The Multivariate Rainfall Forecasting model, Meteorological factor regression model and Zone expected rainfall model for rainfall forecasting and the Streamflow synthesis and reservoir regulation(SSARR) model for flood runoff simulation have been adopted for the development of a new system model for flood - flow forecasting. These models are calibrated to determine the optimal parameters on the basis of observed rainfall, 7 streamfiow and other hydrological data during the past flood periods.

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Forecasting Total Marine Production through Multiple Time Series Model

  • Cho, Yong-Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.63-76
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    • 2006
  • Marine production forecasting in fisheries is a crucial factor for managing and maintaining fishery resources. Thus this paper aims to generate a forecasting model of total marine production. The most generally method of time series model is to generate the most optimal single forecasting model. But the method could induce a different forecasting results when it does not properly infer a model To overcome the defect, I am trying to propose a single forecasting through multiple time series model. In other word, by comparing and integrating the output resulted from ARIMA and VAR model (which are typical method in a forecasting methodology), I tried to draw a forecasting. It is expected to produce more stable and delicate forecasting prospect than a single model. Through this, I generated 3 models on a yearly and monthly data basis and then here I present a forecasting from 2006 to 2010 through comparing and integrating 3 models. In conclusion, marine production is expected to show a decreasing tendency for the coming years.

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Performance Evaluation of Multi-AGV using Stochastic Model in Automatic Manufacturing System (자동생산시스템에서 추계적 모델을 이용한 Multi-AGV의 수행도 평가에 관한 연구)

  • 조동원;이영해
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.23 no.54
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    • pp.87-95
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    • 2000
  • To constuct the stochastic model for performance evaluation of Multi-AGV, two aspects must be considered. The first is stochastic situation for moving jobs. The second is the dispatching rule of AGV. In this paper, the stochastic model for performance evaluation of Multi-AGV is developed. The case of stochastic model with two AGV is developed. But it difficult to solve in the case of stochastic model with more than three AGV because the model have three-ordered equations. The evaluation factor of the model is utilization and empty travel time of AGV. Using these factors, one can easily evaluate a wide range of handling and layout alternatives from given flow data. Hence, the model would be most effective when used in the early stage of designing to narrow down the number of alternative prior to simuation.

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Measuring the Factors Influencing Customers' Value Perceptions of Foodservice in Namhaean Tourist Area's Restaurant (남해안 관광지 식당의 음식서비스에 대한 내국인 관광객들의 가치 지각에 영향을 주는 요인 분석)

  • Kang, Jong-Heon;Ko, Beom-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Culture
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.48-54
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study was to measure the factors influencing customers’ value perception of foodservice in tourist area’s restaurant. A total of 273 questionnaires were completed. Structural equation model was used to measure the causal effects. Results of the study demonstrated that the confirmatory factor analysis model also indicated excellent model fit. The proposed model yielded a significantly better fit to the data than the parsimonious model and extended model. In proposed model, the effects of perceived sacrifice, overall service quality and customer satisfaction on perceived value were statistically significant. The effects of perceived value on loyalty intention were statistically significant. As expected, the overall service quality had a significant effect on customer satisfaction. Moreover, the customer satisfaction played a mediating role in the relationship between overall service quality and loyalty intention.

Development of Neuropsychological Model for Spatial Ability and Application to Light & Shadow Problem Solving Process (공간능력에 대한 신경과학적 모델 개발 및 빛과 그림자 문제 해결 과정에의 적용)

  • Shin, Jung-Yun;Yang, Il-Ho;Park, Sang-woo
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.371-390
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a neuropsychological model for the spatial ability factor and to divide the brain active area involved in the light & shadow problem solving process into the domain-general ability and the domain-specific ability based on the neuropsychological model. Twenty-four male college students participated in the study to measure the synchronized eye movement and electroencephalograms (EEG) while they performed the spatial ability test and the light & shadow tasks. Neuropsychological model for the spatial ability factor and light & shadow problem solving process was developed by integrating the measurements of the participants' eye movements, brain activity areas, and the interview findings regarding their thoughts and strategies. The results of this study are as follows; first, the spatial visualization and mental rotation factors mainly required activation of the parietal lobe, and the spatial orientation factor required activation of the frontal lobe. Second, in the light & shadow problem solving process, participants use both their spatial ability as a domain-general thought, and the application of scientific principles as a domain-specific thought. The brain activity patterns resulting from a participants' inferring the shadow by parallel light source and inferring the shadow when the direction of the light changed were similar to the neuropsychological model for the spatial visualization factor. The brain activity pattern from inferring an object from its shadow by light from multiple directions was similar to the neuropsychological model for the spatial orientation factor. The brain activity pattern from inferring a shadow with a point source of light was similar to the neuropsychological model for the spatial visualization factor. In addition, when solving the light & shadow tasks, the brain's middle temporal gyrus, precentral gyrus, inferior frontal gyrus, middle frontal gyrus were additionally activated, which are responsible for deductive reasoning, working memory, and planning for action.

Validation and Factor Structure of Korean Version of the Beck Depression Inventory Second Edition (BDI-II) : In a University Student Sample (한국어판 벡 우울 설문지 2판의 신뢰도 및 요인분석 : 대학생을 대상으로)

  • Yu, Byeong-Kwan;Lee, Hye-Kyung;Lee, Koun-Seok
    • Korean Journal of Biological Psychiatry
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.126-133
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    • 2011
  • Objectives The Beck Depression Inventory (BDI) is one of the most widely used self-report measures of depression in both research and clinical practice. The Beck Depression Inventory Second Edition (BDI-II) is the most recent version of the BDI. Validity of the BDI-II has been documented in other countries. This study examined the factor structure of the Korean version of BDI-II in a large sample of university students. Method Data were obtained from 2,529 students of Kongju National University. The factor structures of the Korean version of BDI-II were assessed using exploratory and confirmatory factor analysis. Results A high level of internal consistency and reliability (Cronbach's ${\alpha}$ = 0.91) and item homogeneity was confirmed. Exploratory factor analysis showed a two-factor structure (cognitive and somatic-affective), which was almost identical to the original model demonstrated by Beck et al. The following confirmatory factor analysis also supported the two-factor structure (cognitive and somatic-affective) is a better fit than the other two-factor structure (cognitive-affective and somatic). The higher mean score for women compared to men is consistent with the results of previous reports. Conclusion These data support the reliability and concurrent validity of the Korean version of BDI-II as a measure of depressive symptoms in nonclinical samples.

Analysis of the load distribution and contact safety factor of PTO gears of a 71 kW class agricultural tractor

  • Baek, Seung-Min;Kim, Wan-Soo;Kim, Yeon-Soo;Lee, Nam-Gyu;Kim, Nam-Hyeok;Kim, Yong-Joo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.327-335
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the load distribution and contact safety factor for the power take off (PTO) gear of a 71 kW class agricultural tractor. In this study, a simulation model of the PTO gear-train was developed using Romax DESGINER. The face load factor and contact safety factor were calculated using ISO 6336:2006. The simulation time was set at 2,736 hours considering the lifetime of the tractor, and the simulation was performed for each PTO gear stage at the engine rated power conditions. As a result of the simulation, the face load factors for the driving gear at the PTO 1st, 2nd and 3rd stages were 1.644, 1.632, and 1.341, respectively. The contact safety factors for the driving gear at the PTO 1st, 2nd and 3rd stages were 1.185, 1.216, and 1.458, respectively. As the PTO gear stage was increased, the face load factor decreased, and the contact safety factor increased. The load distributions for all the PTO gears were concentrated to the right of the tooth width. This causes stress concentrations and shortens the lifespan of the gears. Therefore, it is necessary to improve the face load factor and the contact safety factor with macro-geometry and micro-geometry.

Quantifying the Bullwhip Effect in a Supply Chain Considering Seasonal Demand (공급사슬에서 계절적 수요를 고려한 채찍효과 측도의 개발)

  • Cho, Dong-Won;Lee, Young-Hae
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.203-212
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    • 2009
  • The bullwhip effect refers to the phenomenon where demand variability is amplified when one moves upward a supply chain. In this paper, we exactly quantify the bullwhip effect for cases of seasonal demand processes in a two-echelon supply chain with a single retailer and a single supplier. In most of the previous research, some measures of performance for the bullwhip effect are developed for cases of non-seasonal demand processes. The retailer performs demand forecast with a multiplicative seasonal mixed model by using the minimum mean square error forecasting technique and employs a base stock policy. With the developed bullwhip effect measure, we investigate the impact of seasonal factor on the bullwhip effect. Then, we prove that seasonal factor plays an important role on the occurrence of the bullwhip effect.

Bayesian Test of Quasi-Independence in a Sparse Two-Way Contingency Table

  • Kwak, Sang-Gyu;Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.495-500
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    • 2012
  • We consider a Bayesian test of independence in a two-way contingency table that has some zero cells. To do this, we take a three-stage hierarchical Bayesian model under each hypothesis. For prior, we use Dirichlet density to model the marginal cell and each cell probabilities. Our method does not require complicated computation such as a Metropolis-Hastings algorithm to draw samples from each posterior density of parameters. We draw samples using a Gibbs sampler with a grid method. For complicated posterior formulas, we apply the Monte-Carlo integration and the sampling important resampling algorithm. We compare the values of the Bayes factor with the results of a chi-square test and the likelihood ratio test.

Multipath Channel Modeling for UWB (UWB 다중경로 전송환경 모델)

  • Bae Bag-Geun;Park Jin-Hwan;Ko Young-Eun;Choi Min-Sung;Bang Sung-Il
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2004.06a
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    • pp.23-26
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    • 2004
  • This paper analyzed time delay and phase distortion that generates in multipath and the degree of distortion due to power attenuation factor when UWB system is applied at indoor environment and the effects of indoor structure and material on distortion factors. Based on these distortion factors, channel model similar to actual environment is mathematically described and multipath and the degree of signal distortion generated when UWB system is applied to random environment is tested through channel model simulation and varies distortion factor that UWB system needs to consider in different indoor environment is analyzed.

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