• Title/Summary/Keyword: model based

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Effects of Aerosol Optical Properties on Upward Shortwave Flux in the Presence of Aerosol and Cloud layers (구름과 에어로솔의 혼재시 에어로솔의 광학특성이 상향 단파 복사에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Kwon-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.301-311
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    • 2017
  • Aerosol optical properties as well as vertical location of layer can alter the radiative balance of the Earth by reflecting and absorbing solar radiation. In this study, radiative transfer model (RTM) and satellite-based analysis have been used to quantify the top-of-atmosphere (TOA) radiative effect of aerosol layers in the cloudy atmosphere of the northeast Asia. RTM simulation results show that the atmospheric warming effect of aerosols increases with their height in the presence of underlying cloud layer. This relationship is higher for stronger absorbing aerosols and higher surface albedo condition. Over study region ($20-50^{\circ}N$, $110-140^{\circ}E$) and aerosol event cases, it is possible to qualitatively identify absorbing aerosol effects in the presence of clouds by combining the UV Absorbing Aerosol Index (AAI) derived from Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS), cloud parameters derived from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectro-radiometer (MODIS), with TOA Upward Shortwave Flux (USF) from the Clouds and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES). As the regional-mean radiative effect of aerosols, 6 - 26 % lower the USF between aerosols and cloud cover is taken into account. These results demonstrate the importance of estimation for the accurate quantification of aerosol's direct and indirect effect.

Variable Selection in Frailty Models using FrailtyHL R Package: Breast Cancer Survival Data (frailtyHL 통계패키지를 이용한 프레일티 모형의 변수선택: 유방암 생존자료)

  • Kim, Bohyeon;Ha, Il Do;Noh, Maengseok;Na, Myung Hwan;Song, Ho-Chun;Kim, Jahae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.965-976
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    • 2015
  • Determining relevant variables for a regression model is important in regression analysis. Recently, a variable selection methods using a penalized likelihood with various penalty functions (e.g. LASSO and SCAD) have been widely studied in simple statistical models such as linear models and generalized linear models. The advantage of these methods is that they select important variables and estimate regression coefficients, simultaneously; therefore, they delete insignificant variables by estimating their coefficients as zero. We study how to select proper variables based on penalized hierarchical likelihood (HL) in semi-parametric frailty models that allow three penalty functions, LASSO, SCAD and HL. For the variable selection we develop a new function in the "frailtyHL" R package. Our methods are illustrated with breast cancer survival data from the Medical Center at Chonnam National University in Korea. We compare the results from three variable-selection methods and discuss advantages and disadvantages.

Design Methods for Eccentrically Loaded Bolt Groups for the Single Plate Connections Considering Sloped Edge Distance (편심전단을 받는 단일판접합부의 경사연단거리를 고려한 볼트군의 설계법)

  • Choi, Sun Kyu;Yoo, Jung Han;Park, Jai Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.43-53
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    • 2014
  • A single plate connection(SPC) consists of a plate welded to the columns and bolts connected to the beam web. The SPC is widely used for a simple shear connection of steel structure because it is easy-to-fabricated, easy-to-installed and economical. The conventional SPC is used for 2 to 12 bolts in a single vertical row. It is designed to limit the plate thickness by bolt diameter to obtain flexible and ductile connections. The design strength for eccentric shear shall be the lesser of the shear strength of bolts or bearing strength of plate and when the design strength is decided by edge distance failure, the results can be very conservative. Although the research on special solution for 'weak-plate/strong-bolt' model with 2 to 4 bolts has been conducted by L. S. Muir, and W. A. Thonton, 2004, study on generalized design procedures did not conduct. This study proposed design procedure for evaluation of the design strength of eccentric shear bolt groups on a single plate connection based on the actual edge distance and the direction of bolt reaction forces by using elastic vector method(EVM) and instantaneous center of rotation method(ICM).

Reliability Assessment Based on an Improved Response Surface Method (개선된 응답면기법에 의한 신뢰성 평가)

  • Cho, Tae Jun;Kim, Lee Hyeon;Cho, Hyo Nam
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.21-31
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    • 2008
  • response surface method (RSM) is widely used to evaluate th e extremely smal probability of ocurence or toanalyze the reliability of very complicated structures. Althoug h Monte-Carlo Simulation (MCS) technique can evaluate any system, the procesing time of MCS dependson the reciprocal num ber of the probability of failure. The stochastic finite element method could solve thislimitation. However, it is limit ed to the specific program, in which the mean and coeficient o f random variables are programed by a perturbation or by a weigh ted integral method. Therefore, it is not aplicable when erequisite programing. In a few number of stage analyses, RSM can construct a regresion model from the response of the c omplicated structural system, thus, saving time and efort significantly. However, the acuracy of RSM depends on the dist ance of the axial points and on the linearity of the limit stat e functions. To improve the convergence in exact solution regardl es of the linearity limit of state functions, an improved adaptive response surface method is developed. The analyzed res ults have ben verified using linear and quadratic forms of response surface functions in two examples. As a result, the be st combination of the improved RSM techniques is determined and programed in a numerical code. The developed linear adapti ve weighted response surface method (LAW-RSM) shows the closest converged reliability indices, compared with quadratic form or non-adaptive or non-weighted RSMs.

Evaluation of Cable Impact Factor by Moving Vehicle Load Analysis in Steel Composite Cable-Stayed Bridges (차량 이동하중 해석에 의한 강합성 사장교 케이블의 충격계수 평가)

  • Park, Yong-Myung;Park, Jae-Bong;Kim, Dong-Hyun;Choi, Byung-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.199-210
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    • 2011
  • The cables in cable-stayed bridges are under high stress and are very sensitive to vibration due to their small section areas compared with other members. Therefore, it is reasonable to evaluate the cable impact factor by taking into account the dynamic effect due to moving-vehicle motion. In this study, the cable impact factors were evaluated via moving-vehicle-load analysis, considering the design parameters, i.e., vehicle weight, cable model, road surface roughness, vehicle speed, longitudinal distance between vehicles. For this purpose, two steel composite cable-stayed bridges with 230- and 540-m main spans were selected. The results of the analysis were then compared with those of the influence line method that is currently being used in design practice. The road surface roughness was randomly generated based on ISO 8608, and the convergence of impact factors according to the number of generated road surfaces was evaluated to improve the reliability of the results. A9-d.o.f. tractor-trailer vehicle was used, and the vehicle motion was derived from Lagrange's equation. 3D finite element models for the selected cable-stayed bridges were constructed with truss elements having equivalent moduli for the cables, and with beam elements for the girders and the pylons. The direct integration method was used for the analysis of the bridge-vehicle interaction, and the analysis was conducted iteratively until the displacement error rate of the bridge was within the specified tolerance. It was acknowledged that the influence line method, which cannot consider the dynamic effect due to moving-vehicle motion, could underestimate the impact factors of the end-cables at the side spans, unlike moving-vehicle-load analysis.

A study on the Regional Informatization Policy Implementation System in Korea (한국 지역정보화 추진체계 개선에 관한 연구: 지능정보사회의 지역균형발전을 중심으로)

  • Jin, Sang-Ki
    • Informatization Policy
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.67-90
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    • 2017
  • This study is conducted to find out problems in the implementation system of regional informatization policies in Korea and solutions to enhance the effectiveness in policy execution. The study uses research methodologies such as participant observation, interview and AHP for experts and employees of public organizations for regional informatization policies. Many implications were found in the analysis, including that policy relations, structure of the policy implementation system, and environment and contents of regional informatization policiesin Korea have to be innovated and re-organized. Especially, this paper emphasizes the horizontal and cooperative relationship between the central and local governments and redesigning of the legal system on the regional informatization. This paper also shows expectations on reshaping of the regional informatization policies with the paradigm shift of the government power toward decentralization. This paper also finds diverse views on the problems and solutions for the regional informatization policy implementation system based on different characteristics and interests of policy participants. This paper finds the possibility of applying the policy network model to regional informatization policy implementation, which can be supported by Rhodes & Marsh(1992)'s theory. Therefore, this paper shows the change of regional informatization policies can be expected through application of the policy network. Although the paper draws many academic and policy implications, they are limited to the implementation system of regional informatization policies only.

pH Solubility Properties and Improved Dissolution of Pranlukast as an Poorly Water-soluble Model Drug Prepared by Spray-drying with Plasdone S-630 (플라스돈 S-630과 함께 분무건조된 모델 난용성 약물로서 프란루카스트의 pH 용해도 특성 및 용출률 개선)

  • Cho, Won-Hyung;Lee, Young-Hyun;Song, Byung-Joo;Yoo, Seok-Cheol;Lim, Dong-Kyun;Khang, Gil-Son
    • Polymer(Korea)
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.277-283
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    • 2011
  • Solid dispersion is mainly used for improved dissolution of poorly water-soluble drugs. Solid dispersion of pranlukast was prepared by spray-drying with plasdone S-630. When pH of water was high, pranlukast was highly soluble in the solubility experiment of solid dispersions with varying pH. The particle size of pranlukast particles in solid dispersions was measured to be in nanometers scale based on particle size analysis. Zeta-potential analysis confirmed the negative charge of solid dispersion. SEM was used to observe the surface of solid dispersion, which confirmed spherical morphology, DSC and XRD confirmed the amorphous nature of solid dispersions. The in vitro test was carried out to find improved dissolution rate of pranlukast solid dispersion in simulated juice gastric and a controlled experiment was carried out to compare pranlukast solid dispersions with a conventional drug (Onon$^{(R)}$), These results showed the dissolution properties of pranlukast solid dispersions prepared by spray drying proper for the oral pharmaceutical formulation.

Population Aging and Wage Structure: An Empirical Study of Cohort Size Effect on Korean Male Worker since 1990 (인구 고령화와 임금구조: 1990년대 이후 한국 남성 근로자의 세대규모효과에 대한 실증분석)

  • Eom, Dong-Wook
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.75-97
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    • 2008
  • Recently Korea is expected with the decrease of population in working ages and also population structure, especially age structure, has changed as aging goes faster. This study focuses on the relationship between age structure and wage structure to analyzes the cohort size effect on the change of age-earnings profile. Our empirical analysis based on Wright(1991)'s model takes weighted OLS regression using the male worker's data of Ministry of Labor 'Wage Structure Survey'($1990{\sim}2006$). In pooled data, we take the conclusion that the cohort size effect was found in high school and college graduate workers, but the effect is different between them. The labor market entry effect of high school graduate workers is negative(-) and his persistent effect is positive(+). On the other hand, the cohort size effect of college graduate workers have appeared the opposite directions in contrary with the existing results of Welch(1979) and Wright(1991). This results are seen as the possibility that college graduate worker has the benefit of wage level by his relative cohort size in spite of high unemployment of young graduate. It will be the sign of need that we should interest in the change of age structure with balancing the labor supply side approach and the demand side study which the previous studies was mainly tended to focus on.

Using Balanced Scorecard to Explore Learning Performance of Enterprise Organization

  • Chiu, Chung-Ching;Tsai, Chih-Hung;Chung, Yi-Chan
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.40-75
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    • 2007
  • In the early industrial age which with high intensity of machine and labor, using financial measurement index was good enough to tie in company's mechanization and philosophy of management and been in efficiency. But being comply with "New Economic age," a new economic environment is full of knowledge and information, the enterprise competition had changed from tangible assets, plants to intangible innovation ability of knowledge. As recognizing the new tendency by enterprise, they value gradually the growth and influence from learning. Practice of organization learning not only needs firm structure and be in coordination with both hardware and software, but also needs an affect measurement model to offer enterprise to estimate learning performance. It's a good instrument of financial performance measure mold in the past years, But it's for measuring the past, couldn't formulate enterprise trend to future, hard to estimate investment for future, such as development of products, organization learning, knowledge management etc, as which intangible assets and knowledge ability just the key factors of being win around competition environment in the future. In 1992, Kaplan and Norton brought up Balance Scorecard (BSC) on Harvard Business Review, as an instrument helping enterprise to measure performance, which is being considered to be a most influence management instrument. It added non-financial index such as customer, internal process and learning growth besides traditional financial index, as offering enterprise an index to measure and manage intangible assets and intellectual property. As being aware of organization learning is hard to be ignored in the new economic age, this research is based on learning and growth of BSC, and citing one national material company try to let the most difficult measurement performance of organization learning, to be estimate through BSC, analyze of factor and individual case, to discuss the company how to make the related strategy and vision of organization learning to develop learning and growth of the structure of BSC, subject the matter of out put factors to be discussed, and measure the outcomes as a result of research. The research affect offers (1) the base implement procedure of carrying out BSC; (2) the reference of formulating measurement index while enterprise using BSC to estimate performance of organization learning; (3) the possibility bottleneck maybe forcing while carrying out BSC, to be an improvement or preventive for enterprise.

A Research on a Revised Application of Unit Hydrograph Variant According to Rainfall Intensity in a Rainstorm (호우사상의 강우강도에 변동하는 단위유량도의 보완적 적용에 관한 고찰)

  • Yoo, Ju-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2011
  • This study is a research based on an existing analysis that peak values of unit hydrograph are variant according to rainfall intensity in a watershed. Differently from the fundamental assumption that an unit hydrograph is time-invariant in a watershed a variant unit hydrograph to rainfall intensity by storms is defined and applied into rainfall events, which produces out runoff hydrograph for an examination. Peak flow and time to peak of unit hydrograph used for an application are obtained from the relation equation with rainfall intensity developed by a previous study reviewed, and its shape is made by Nash unit hydrograph which is determined by the peak values. For the purpose of a comparison an invariant unit hydrograph is defined as Nash model obtained from averaged peak values of unit hydrograph which is derived by 26 rainfall storms. Peak flow and time to peak of flood hydrograph developed respectively by variant unit hydrograph with rainfall intensity and an averaged unit hydrograph are compared to those of the observed hydrograph. With comparing both hydrographs calculated by averaged unit hydrograph and revised unit hydrograph to observed hydrograph it is shown the peak flow and time to peak of hydrograph calculated by time-invariant unit hydrograph revised in this study are closer to those of observed hydrograph than those calculated by averaged unit hydrograph.