• Title/Summary/Keyword: market rate

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Analysis about relation of Long-term & Short-term Financial Market, Stock Market and Foreign Exchange Market of Korea (한국 장단기 금융시장, 주식 및 외환시장 연관성)

  • 김종권
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.22 no.50
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    • pp.105-125
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    • 1999
  • The results of analysis on foreign exchange market, stock and financial market after January of 1997 are that foreign exchange market will be affected by stock and financial market volatility about 1999. This means that stock and financial market are more stable than foreign exchange market. This also is supported by ‘financial market forecast of 1999 in Daewoo Economic Research Institute’. After won/dollar (end of period) will be increasing in 1,430 at second quarter of 1999, this is to downward 1,200 fourth quarter of 1999. This is somewhat based on government's higher exchange rate policy. But, after yield of corporate bond is to 11.0% at first quarter of 1999, this will be stable to 10.2% at fourth quarter. During the first quarter of 1999, yield of corporate bond is to somewhat increasing through sovereign debt and public bonds, technical adjustment of interest rate. After this, yield of corporate bond will be stable according to stability of price, magnification of money supply, restucturing of firms. So, stock market is favorably affected by stability of financial market. But, the pension and fund of USA, i.e., long-term portfolio investment fund, are injected through international firm's management. It is included by openness of audit, fair market about foreign investors. Finally, Moody's strong rating on the won-denominated bonds suggest that Korea's sovereign debt ratings could be restored to an investment grade in the near future. It sequentially includes inflow of foreign portfolio investment fund, fall of won/dollar foreign exchange rate (appreciation of won) and stability of yield of corporate bond.

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An Empirical Study on Asia Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency (아시아 외환시장의 효율성 분석)

  • 장맹렬;송봉윤
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.111-139
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, the unbiasedness hypothesis cannot be rejected for JPY. It means that Japanese forward exchange market is efficient. This implies that there would not be an unusual profit from speculation. However, the unbiasedness hypothesis can be rejected for THB, HKD, IDR. It means that Asian forward exchange market is inefficient. This implies that there would be an unusual profit from all available information. This suggests that forward exchange rates cannot be an unbiased estimator of future spot exchange rate. This result explains that the actual pricing for forward rate is not based on the international financial market's pricing mechanism of interest rate parity theory, but rather depends upon that simple market expectations and aspirations.

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Incorporated Multi-State Nash Equilibriums For The Generation Allocation Considered Ramp Rate In the Competitive Power Market (경쟁적 전력시장에서 Ramp-rate를 고려한 발전량배분의 다중시간 통합 내쉬균형)

  • Park, Yong-Gi;Song, Hyoung-Yong;Lee, Joo-Won;Park, Jong-Bae;Shin, Joong-Rin
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2009.07a
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    • pp.569_570
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents a methodology to find the profit maximized Nash Equilibriums of each generator(or GenCo), which considers the Ramp-rate of each generator under a competitive market environment. The ramp-rate of a generator is one of the physical or technical constraints of a generator and means the ability to increase or decrease the output instantaneously. In this paper, we found several Nash Equilibriums of the generation allocation problem through Dynamic Programming in a competitive market. Individual generators participate in a game to maximize its profit through competitions and play a game with bidding strategies of its generation quantities in a spot market.

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Stock Returns and Market Making with Inventory

  • Park, Seyoung;Jang, Bong-Gyu
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.1-4
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    • 2012
  • We study optimal trading strategy of a market maker with stock inventory. Following Avellaneda and Stoikov (2008), we assume the stock price follows a normal distribution. However, we take a constant expected rate of the stock return and assume that the stock volatility is an inverse function of the stock price level. We show that the optimal bid-ask spread of the market maker is wider for a higher expected rate of stock returns.

Interest Rate Caps in Microfinance: Issues and Challenges

  • Mia, Md Aslam
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.19-22
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    • 2017
  • Purpose - To control exorbitant interest rates, implementation of an interest rate ceiling is a standard practice in microfinance. However, there are pros and cons of such market intervention. Hence, the aim of this short note is to highlight issues and challenges regarding the interest rate cap in microfinance, both from the perspective of clients and institutions. Research design, data, and methodology - While the nature of this short note is explanatory and descriptive, the research methodology used relevant data from the MixMarket and Microcredit Regulatory Authority (MRA) annual reports in Bangladesh. Results - We argue that an interest rate ceiling is detrimental both for the clients and microfinance institutions (MFIs). This market intervention substantially reduces the outreach of MFIs and clients are most likely to pay a higher price in the long-run. Additionally, an interest rate cap also puts severe pressure on new-born and high-cost MFIs to cope with the interest rate ceiling. Conclusions - Although market intervention may be necessary in the short-run, it should not be the ultimate solution to abate high interest in microfinance. Understanding the operational dynamics of MFIs, as well as promoting productivity, efficiency and competition could help to lower the interest rates.

A Study on Furniture Market of South Korea in New Normal - Focus on Economic Perspectives - (뉴 노멀시대 한국의 가구 시장 연구 - 경제적 관점을 중심으로 -)

  • Jung, Jaenah
    • Journal of the Korea Furniture Society
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.8-17
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    • 2018
  • Economic crisis in 2008 has changed South Korean market including furniture related field. Owing to Subprime Mortgage Crisis, new economic order, in other words, New Normal was established. Low growth rate, low interest, high unemployment rate, high risks, regulation strengthening, and all that sort of negative things have became generalized. South Korean economy has developed drastically since the Korean War, however recent economic crisis and Internet and smart phone have leading roles in shaping new consumption market. In a way, furniture market has expanded despite economic recession. Total service for housing is suited to South Korean consumers and shortened Product Life Cycle induces consumers to buy more furniture. In addition, Internet and smart phone allow people to show off their private spaces to unspecified masses. As a result, consumer prefers inexpensive and expendable furniture. It is certain that furniture market makes quantitative growth, but qualitative sides are questionable. Even though the study is focused on the existent circumstances, It will help to find out the proper ways of future furniture market in South Korea.

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A Study on the Sudden Stop in Capital Flows and Foreign Exchange and Distribution Market Stability (자본유출입 급변동과 외환 및 유통시장 안정성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yoon-Chul;Yi, Myung-Hoon
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.14 no.12
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    • pp.79-87
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - Since 1990, the sudden stop in capital flows has caused the economic crisis. The purpose of this research is to suggest the policy measures to mitigate the risk of the sudden stop in capital flows. To this end, we examine the theoretical framework and analyze the case study for countries which are faced with the sudden stop. Also we examine the structural problems of the foreign exchange market in Korea and derive the policy implications to prevent the sudden stop. Research design, data, and methodology - The criteria of whether the sudden stop in capital flows occurs are based upon Calvo et al. (2008). In case the proxy variable for the balance of capital account decreases from the average by over twice standard deviation, we determine that the sudden stop occurs for that country. The sample period is from January 1990 to December 2008, as in Calvo (2014). The sample countries are 17 developed countries and 19 emerging market countries, which are different from those of the previous papers as Agosin and Huaita (2012), and Calvo (2014). When the exchange market pressure index(EMPI) is deviated from the average by over three times standard deviation, we determine that the foreign exchange market is unstable for that country. Results - We find that the characteristics of the sudden stop in capital flows are the bunching or contagion among countries, the rapid drop in real effective exchange rate, and the huge decrease in foreign exchange reserves. Many countries tried to increase foreign exchange reserves and regulate capital flows. Also the foreign exchange market in Korea are found to be the volatile exchange rate, the vulnerable external debt and careless management of the foreign exchange derivatives transaction risk. Conclusions - To lessen the risk in the sudden stop of capital flows, this research suggests the some useful policy measures. To enhance the foreign exchange and distribution market stability, we should improve the price mechanism of exchange rate, hold the appropriate level of foreign exchange reserves, prevent excessive inflows of foreign exchange and promote sound transactions of foreign exchange derivatives.

The Estimation of Compensation for Revoking a License for Fishery Business and Appropriate Discount Rate (어업권 취소에 대한 손실보상액 추정과 이자율)

  • Jung, Hyung-Chan;Chung, Man-Hwa
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2013
  • We investigate the appropriateness of the fixed 12% discount rate to be used in estimating the amount of compensation for revoking a license for fishery business by the Enforcement Decree of Fisheries Act in Korea. We also suggest the appropriate discount rate fully reflecting the change of market interest rate in the Korean financial market. The capital asset pricing model, or, CAPM is the best known model of risk and return, and is widely used to estimate the expected rate of return for the risky projects. Even though the CAPM implies that the discount rate or the expected rate of return should change as the related market factors do, the discount rate used to estimate compensation for revoking a license for fishery business remains to be the same 12% rate for the last 15 years by law. During this period, however, the yield to maturity for the 5-year government bonds in Korea has dramatically changed from about 12% to less than 3%. In order to provide the fair compensation for the damages against the coastal fisheries and evaluate the intrinsic value of fishery resources in the coastal areas, we suggest that the appropriate discount rate should be determined by the yield to maturity of the government bonds with 5-year maturity, instead of the current fixed 12% interest rate.

Causal Links among Stock Market Development Determinants: Evidence from Jordan

  • MUGABLEH, Mohamed Ibrahim
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.543-549
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    • 2021
  • The stock market plays a crucial role in the growth of industry and trade, which eventually affects the economy. This paper studies the determinants of stock market development in Jordan using yearly time-series data (1978-2019). The autoregressive distributed lag approach is applied to examine co-integration, while the vector error correction model is employed to estimate (long-run and short-run) causal relationships. The results show that macroeconomic determinants such as gross domestic product, gross domestic savings, investment rate, credit to the private sector, broadest money supply, stock market liquidity, and inflation rate are important determinants of stock market development. These findings provide vital implications for policymakers in developed and emerging stock markets. First, economic development plays an imperative role in stock market development. Second, developing the banking sector is mandatory because it can significantly promote stock market development. Third, domestic investment is a significant determinant of stock market development, especially in emerging countries. However, it is vital to launch policies that lead to encourage investment and promote stock market development, and this could be done through (1) encouraging competition, (2) improving the institutional framework, and (3) removing trade blocks by establishing a mutual connection between foreign private investment entities and government authorities.

Analysis of Market Share using Brand Switching Matrix in the Korean Mobile Market (상표전환행렬을 이용한 이동통신 시장점유율 분석)

  • Seong, Gi Seong;Kang, Man Su;Suk, Yeung Ki
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.385-396
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    • 2014
  • In the Korean mobile market, the mobile phone has reach the stage of maturity in terms of demand. Since the long-term evolution(LTE) service was introduced in 2011, there have been drastic changes in the market structure. The purpose of this paper is to examine the user intension of brand switching, to analyse the market share among 3 major mobile service companies using the brand switching matrix and to provide some insights. The results show that the smartphone subscriber rate provided by Ministry of Science, lCT and Future Planning agrees with the market share by brand switching matrix of this study. The potential rate of costumer retention would be arranges in order of SKT>KT>LGU+. The preference of mobile service company on switch be in order of SKT>KT>LGU+. The future market share be SKT 63.55%, KT 21.99%, LGU+ 14.36%. The potential rate of costumer retention fell sharply over the past year, suggesting the drastic fluctuations in market share for a while.