• Title/Summary/Keyword: lognormal

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Use of water retention curves predicted from particle-size distribution data for simulation of transport of Benzo[a]pyrene in soil

  • Cho Young-A;Hwang Sang-Il;Jang Yong-Chul;Lee Dong-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Soil and Groundwater Environment Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.216-219
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    • 2006
  • Water retention curve (WRC), one of soil hydraulic properties, is often approximated by property-transfer models (PTMs). Using the PTMs, we can estimate the WRCs from other physical properties such as particle-size distribution (PSD). The objective of this work was to investigate the performance of two PTMs with different origins for numerical simulations on transport of Benzo[a]pyrene in a soil. To do this, we chose both PTMs with different origins, i.e., (1) the lognormal distribution model (L anti NL models), and (2) the modified $Kov\'{a}cs$ model (MK model). The MK model showed tile worse performance in estimation of the WRCs. When transport of B[a]P was simulated, the MK model predicted to move farther than the L and NL models did, indicating that transport of B[a]P in a soil can be greatly influenced by the choice of PTMs.

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Mesh selectivity of the bottom trammel net for spinyhead sculpin Dasycottus setiger in the eastern coastal sea of Korea (저층 삼중자망에 대한 동해안산 고무꺽정이 (Dasycottus setiger)의 망목 선택성)

  • PARK, Chang-Doo;BAE, Jae-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.53 no.4
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    • pp.317-326
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    • 2017
  • Comparative fishing experiments were conducted in the eastern coastal waters near Uljin, Korea from 2002 to 2004, using the experimental trammel nets to estimate the selectivity for spinyhead sculpin Dasycottus setiger. The inner panels of the nets were made of nylon monofilament with four mesh sizes (82.2, 89.4, 104.8, and 120.2 mm) while its two outer panels were made of twisted nylon multifilament with a mesh size of 510 mm. The SELECT (Share Each Length's Catch Total) procedure with maximum likelihood method was applied to obtain a master selection curve. The different functional models (normal, lognormal, bi-normal, and logistic model) were fitted to the catch data. The lognormal model with the fixed relative fishing intensity was chosen as the best-fitted selection curve through comparison of model deviance and AIC (Akaike's Information Criterion). The optimum relative length (the ratio of fish total length to mesh size) with the maximum relative efficiency was obtained as 2.492.

Monte Calro Analysis of Cancer Risk from Airborne Trace Metals (대기중 미량금속의 발암 위해도에 대한 몬테 카를로 분석)

  • 장미숙;이진홍
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.465-474
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    • 2002
  • In order to reflect variability due to exposure factors as well as to assess uncertainty associated with cancer risk posed by airborne trace metals, a Monte Calro analysis has been made in this study. Input parameters for Monte Carlo analysis were developed or adjusted using body weight, lifetime, and exposure frequency of Koreans. Ambient distributions of toxic metals were founded to be lognormal distributions for most of them using goodness-of-fit tests. Thus, the 95% UCL and 95% LCL of carcinogenic metals were estimated by H-statistic method for lognormal distribution, respectively. The results of Monte Carlo analysis of 95% UCL showed that the 95th percentile risks for men and women were 1.2 and 1.1 times higher than an acceptable risk of 10$^{-5}$ , respectively. The probabilities which those risks exceed the acceptable risk were estimated to be 8% and 6%, respectively, while to be 95% and 94%, respectively on the basis of the minimum acceptable risk of 10$^{-6}$ , respectively. Approximately 90% of total cancer risk came from human carcinogens such as arsenic and hexavalent chromium. Therefore, it is necessary to properly manage both arsenic and hexavalent chromium emissions in the study area.

Deposition of Polydisperse Particles in a Falkner-Skan Wedge Flow (포크너-스캔 경계층유동에서의 다분산 입자부착에 대한 연구)

  • 조장호;황정호;최만수
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.19 no.9
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    • pp.2342-2352
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    • 1995
  • Deposition of flame-synthesized silica particles onto a target is utilized in optical fiber preform fabrication processes. The particles are convected and deposited onto the target. Falkner-Skan wedge flow was chosen as the particle laden flow. Typically the particles are polydisperse in size and follow a lognormal size distribution. Brownian diffusion, thermophoresis, and coagulation of the particles were considered and effects of these phenomena on particle deposition were studied. A moment model was developed in order to predict the particle number density and the particle size distribution simultaneously. Particle deposition with various wedge configurations was examined for conditions selected for a typical VAD process. When coagulation was considered, mean particle size and its standard deviation increased and particle number density decreased, compared to the case without coagulation. These results proved the fact that coagulation effect expands particle size distribution. The results were discussed with characteristics of thermal and diffusion boundary layers. As the boundary layers grow in thickness, overall temperature and concentration gradients decrease, resulting in decrease of deposition rate and increase of particle residence time in the flow and thus coagulation effect.

Reliability Estimation of Buried Gas Pipelines in terms of Various Types of Random Variable Distribution

  • Lee Ouk Sub;Kim Dong Hyeok
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.1280-1289
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents the effects of corrosion environments of failure pressure model for buried pipelines on failure prediction by using a failure probability. The FORM (first order reliability method) is used in order to estimate the failure probability in the buried pipelines with corrosion defects. The effects of varying distribution types of random variables such as normal, lognormal and Weibull distributions on the failure probability of buried pipelines are systematically investigated. It is found that the failure probability for the MB31G model is larger than that for the B31G model. And the failure probability is estimated as the largest for the Weibull distribution and the smallest for the normal distribution. The effect of data scattering in corrosion environments on failure probability is also investigated and it is recognized that the scattering of wall thickness and yield strength of pipeline affects the failure probability significantly. The normalized margin is defined and estimated. Furthermore, the normalized margin is used to predict the failure probability using the fitting lines between failure probability and normalized margin.

Development of Fragility Curves of Concrete Bridges (콘크리트 교량의 손상도 곡선 개발)

  • 김상훈;김두희;서형렬;김종인
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2003.09a
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    • pp.319-325
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    • 2003
  • The fragility curves of seismic retrofitted bridges by steel jacketing of bridge columns and restrainers at expansion joints after the 1994 Northridge earthquake are developed. Fragility curves are represented by lognormal distribution functions with two parameters(fragility parameters consisting of median and log-standard deviation) and developed as a function of peak ground acceleration (PGA). Two parameters in the lognormal distribution are estimated by the maximum likelihood method. The sixty ground acceleration time histories for Los Angeles area developed for FEMA SAC project are used for the dynamic analysis of the bridges and a computer code is developed to calculate hysterestic parameters of bridge columns before and after steel jacketing. The effect of retrofit is expressed in terms of the increase of the median value of the fragility curve for the retrofitted bridge from that of the bridge before retrofit. The comparison of fragility curves of the bridges before and after column retrofit demonstrates that the improvement of the bridges with steel jacketing on the seismic performance is excellent for the damage states defined in this study. The comparison of fragility curves of the bridges before and after restrainers at expansion joints also shows the improvement in the seismic performance of restrained bridges for the severe damage states.

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Characterizing the Tail Distribution of Android IO Workload (안드로이드 입출력 부하의 꼬리분포 특성분석)

  • Park, Changhyun;Won, Youjip;Park, Yongjun
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.8 no.10
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    • pp.245-250
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    • 2019
  • The use of NAND flash memory has increased rapidly due to the development of mobile fields. However, NAND flash memory has a limited lifespan, so studies are underway to predict its lifespan. Workload is one of the factors that significantly affect the life of NAND flash memory, and workload analysis studies in mobile environments are insufficient. In this paper, we analyze the distribution of workload in the mobile environment by collecting traces generated by using Android-based smartphones. The collected traces can be divided into three groups of hotness. Also they are distributed in the form of heavy tails. We fit this to the Pareto, Lognormal, and Weibull distributions, and Traces are closest to the Pareto distribution.

Fragility assessment for electric cabinet in nuclear power plant using response surface methodology

  • Tran, Thanh-Tuan;Cao, Anh-Tuan;Nguyen, Thi-Hong-Xuyen;Kim, Dookie
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.894-903
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    • 2019
  • An approach for collapse risk assessment is proposed to evaluate the vulnerability of electric cabinet in nuclear power plants. The lognormal approaches, namely maximum likelihood estimation and linear regression, are introduced to establish the fragility curves. These two fragility analyses are applied for the numerical models of cabinets considering various boundary conditions, which are expressed by representing restrained and anchored models at the base. The models have been built and verified using the system identification (SI) technique. The fundamental frequency of the electric cabinet is sensitive because of many attached devices. To bypass this complex problem, the average spectral acceleration $S_{\bar{a}}$ in the range of period that cover the first mode period is chosen as an intensity measure on the fragility function. The nonlinear time history analyses for cabinet are conducted using a suite of 40 ground motions. The obtained curves with different approaches are compared, and the variability of risk assessment is evaluated for restrained and anchored models. The fragility curves obtained for anchored model are found to be closer each other, compared to the fragility curves for restrained model. It is also found that the support boundary conditions played a significant role in acceleration response of cabinet.

Application of Finite Mixture to Characterise Degraded Gmelina arborea Roxb Plantation in Omo Forest Reserve, Nigeria

  • Ogana, Friday Nwabueze
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.451-456
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    • 2018
  • The use of single component distribution to describe the irregular stand structure of degraded forest often lead to bias. Such biasness can be overcome by the application of finite mixture distribution. Therefore, in this study, finite mixture distribution was used to characterise the irregular stand structure of the Gmelina arborea plantation in Omo forest reserve. Thirty plots, ten each from the three stands established in 1984, 1990 and 2005 were used. The data were pooled per stand and fitted. Four finite mixture distributions including normal mixture, lognormal mixture, gamma mixture and Weibull mixture were considered. The method of maximum likelihood was used to fit the finite mixture distributions to the data. Model assessment was based on negative loglikelihood value ($-{\Lambda}{\Lambda}$), Akaike information criterion (AIC), Bayesian information criterion (BIC) and root mean square error (RMSE). The results showed that the mixture distributions provide accurate and precise characterisation of the irregular diameter distribution of the degraded Gmelina arborea stands. The $-{\Lambda}{\Lambda}$, AIC, BIC and RMSE values ranged from -715.233 to -348.375, 703.926 to 1433.588, 718.598 to 1451.334 and 3.003 to 7.492, respectively. Their performances were relatively the same. This approach can be used to describe other irregular forest stand structures, especially the multi-species forest.

Time uncertainty analysis method for level 2 human reliability analysis of severe accident management strategies

  • Suh, Young A;Kim, Jaewhan;Park, Soo Yong
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.484-497
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    • 2021
  • This paper proposes an extended time uncertainty analysis approach in Level 2 human reliability analysis (HRA) considering severe accident management (SAM) strategies. The method is a time-based model that classifies two time distribution functions-time required and time available-to calculate human failure probabilities from delayed action when implementing SAM strategies. The time required function can be obtained by the combination of four time factors: 1) time for diagnosis and decision by the technical support center (TSC) for a given strategy, 2) time for strategy implementation mainly by the local emergency response organization (ERO), 3) time to verify the effectiveness of the strategy and 4) time for portable equipment transport and installation. This function can vary depending on the given scenario and includes a summation of lognormal distributions and a choice regarding shifting the distribution. The time available function can be obtained via thermal-hydraulic code simulation (MAAP 5.03). The proposed approach was applied to assess SAM strategies that use portable equipment and safety depressurization system valves in a total loss of component cooling water event that could cause reactor vessel failure. The results from the proposed method are more realistic (i.e., not conservative) than other existing methods in evaluating SAM strategies involving the use of portable equipment.