• 제목/요약/키워드: land change modeling

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갑천 유역을 대상으로 토지이용예측모델 비교 분석 (Comparative Analysis of Land Use Change Model at Gapcheon Watershed)

  • 권필주;류지철;이동준;한정호;성윤수;임경재;김기성
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제32권6호
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    • pp.552-561
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    • 2016
  • For the prediction of hydrologic phenomenon, predicting future land use change is a very important task. This study aimed to compare and analyze the two land use change models, CLUE-S and SLEUTH3-R. The analysis of two models were performed based on the MSR value such that the model with more reliable MSR value can be recommended as an appropriate land use change prediction model. The model performance was examined by applying to the Gapcheon A watershed. Land use map of the study area of 2007 obtained from the Ministry of Environment was compared with the predicted land use map obtained from each of the two models. The result from both models showed somewhat similar results. The MSR value obtained from CLUE-S was 0.564, while that from SLEUTH3-R was 0.586. However, when land use map of 2010 was compared with predicted land use map obtained from the two models in same manner, the MSR value obtained from CLUE-S' was 0.500 while that from SLEUTH3-R was decreased to 0.397, an approximately 32.3% decrease from previous value of 2007. Moreover, SLEUTH3-R showed more sensitivity in conversion of urban areas, as compared to other land use types. Therefore, for the prediction of future land use change, CLUE-S model is more reliable than SLEUTH3-R.

수치지형모델을 이용한 가시권에 따른 경관모델링에 관한 연구 (A Study on Landscape Modeling based on Visibility using DTM)

  • 고제웅;정영동
    • 한국측량학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.153-160
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    • 1999
  • 본 연구에서는 수치지형모델을 이용한 지형분석기법을 산지개발에 적용하여 산지를 개발할 경우 유발되는 지형변화 모델링 방법의 일례를 제시하였으며, 또한, 산지에 대단위 시설물이 위치할 경우에 수치지형모델을 이용한 지리적으로 참조된 경관변화 모델링 방법의 일례를 제시하여 궁극적으로 자연경관 훼손을 최소화하는 미래지향적인, 환경친화적인 국토개발과 국토이용의 효율성 제고 방안의 일례를 제시하고자 하였다.

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경기만 갯벌의 지표면 토지피복 변화가 국지기상에 미치는 영향 평가 (Impacts of Land Cover Change of Tidal Flats on Local Meteorology in Gyeonggi Bay, West Sea of Korea)

  • 안혜연;김유근;정주희
    • 대기
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.399-409
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    • 2017
  • The impact of land cover changed by tidal flats on local meteorology in Gyeonggi Bay was quantitatively evaluated based on a numerical modeling approach during 18 days (21 June to 9 July 2013). The analysis was carried out using three sets of simulation scenarios and the land cover of tidal flats for each simulation was applied as follows: (1) the herbaceous wetland representing coastal wetlands (i.e., EXP-BASE case), (2) the barren or sparsely vegetated representing low tide (i.e., EXP-LOW case), (3) the water bodies representing high tide (i.e., EXP-HIGH case). The area of tidal flats was calculated as about $552km^2$ (the ratio of 4.7% for analysis domain). During the daytime, the change (e.g. wetlands to water) of land cover flooded by high tide indicated the decrease of temperature (average $3.3^{\circ}C$) and the increase of humidity (average 13%) and wind speed (maximum $2.9m\;s^{-1}$). The changes (e.g. wetlands to barren or sparsely vegetated) of land cover induced by low tide were smaller than those by high tide. On the other hands, the effects of changed land cover at night were not apparent both high tide and low tide. Also, during the high tide, the meteorological change in tidal flats affected the metropolitan area (about 40 km from the tidal flat).

젠트리피케이션 발생지역에서 상권 활성화에 따른 프랜차이즈 분포 및 특성에 관한 연구 - 서울시 삼청동지역을 대상으로 - (A Study on Locations and Characteristics of Franchise by Commercial Vitalizations in the Gentrification Area - Focused on Samcheongdong area, Seoul -)

  • 김창호;김환용;나인수
    • 한국BIM학회 논문집
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2018
  • Gentrification is appearing in various areas. Especially commercial gentrification, the value of property is rising and it means the change of commercial sphere in revitalizing the underdeveloped commercial. In this study, Identify the process of increasing the franchise rate, which is changing gradually in commercial areas. We analyze prior studies on gentrification and franchise. Identify changing of land use distribution in Samcheong-dong area and analyze franchise change process. As a result of analyzing the changing of land use in Samcheong-dong area, the number of houses and other uses has continued to decrease. In the case of franchises, it increased sharply and in the case of general commercial, it steadily decreased. Looking at analyzing the franchise change process in Samcheong-dong area, In the franchise change process, there is very little change in land use from residential and other uses to general commercial. Representative spaces that show the process of franchise change are around the three-way streets, around the community service center and around the police station.

잠재 산림분포 변화를 고려한 토지이용도가 장래 기후변화에 미치는 영향 모사 (A Simulation Study on Future Climate Change Considering Potential Forest Distribution Change in Landcover)

  • 김재철;이종범;최성호
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.105-117
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    • 2012
  • Future climate according to land-use change was simulated by regional climate model. The goal of study was to predict the distribution of meteorological elements using the Weather Research & Forecasting Model (WRF). The KME (Korea Ministry of Environment) medium-category land-use classification was used as dominant vegetation types. Meteorological modeling requires higher and more sophisticated land-use and initialization data. The WRF model simulations with HyTAG land-use indicated certain change in potential vegetation distribution in the future (2086-2088). Compared to the past (1986-1988) distribution, coniferous forest area was decreased in metropolitan and areas with complex terrain. The research shows a possibility to simulate regional climate with high resolution. As a result, the future climate was predicted to $4.5^{\circ}$ which was $0.5^{\circ}$ higher than prediction by Meteorological Administration. To improve future prediction of regional area, regional climate model with HyTAG as well as high resolution initial values such as urban growth and CO2 flux simulation would be desirable.

도시기후 평가와 방재를 위한 도시기상 수치모의 (Numerical Simulation for Urban Climate Assessment and Hazard)

  • 오성남
    • 한국방재학회지
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    • 제2권4호
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    • pp.40-47
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    • 2002
  • Since it is important to understand the bio-climatic change in Seoul for ecological city planning in the future, this paper gives an overview on bio-climate analysis of urban environments at Seoul. We analyzed its characteristics in recent years using the observations of 24 of Automatic Weather Station (AWS) by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). In urbanization, Seoul metropolitan area is densely populated and is concentrated with high buildings. This urban activity changes land covering, which modifies the local circulation of radiation, heat and moisture, precipitation and creating a specific climate. Urban climate is evidently manifested in the phenomena of the increase of the air temperature, called urban heat Island and in addition urban sqall line of heavy rain. Since a city has its different land cover and street structure, these form their own climate character such as climate comfort zone. The thermal fold in urban area such as the heat island is produced by the change of land use and the air pollution that provide the bio-climate change of urban eco-system. The urban wind flow is the most important climate element on dispersion of air pollution, thermal effects and heavy shower. Numerical modeling indicates that the bio-climatic transition of wind wake in urban area and the dispersion of the air pollution by the simulations of the wind variation depend on the urban land cover change. The winds are separately simulated on small and micro-scale at Seoul with two kinds of kinetic model, Witrak and MUKLIMO.

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Different Climate Regimes Over the Coastal Regions of the Eastern Antarctic Ice Sheet

  • Cunde, Xiao;Dahe, Qin;Zhongqin, Li;Jiawen, Ren;Allison, Ian
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.227-236
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    • 2002
  • For ten firn cores, from both the eastern and the western side of Lambert Glacier basin (LGB), snow accumulation rate and isotopic temperature were measured far the recent 50 years. Results show that snow accumulation for five cores over the eastern side of LGB (GC30, GD03, GD15, DT001, and DT085) at Wilks Land and Princess Elizabeth Land increases, whereas it decreases at the western side (Core E, DML05, W200, LGB 16, and MGA) at Dronning Maud Land, Mizuho Plateau and Kamp Land. For the past decades, the increasing rate was $0.34-2.36kg\;m^{-2}a^{-1}$ at the eastern side and the decreasing rate was $-0.01\;-\;-2.36kg\;m^{-2}\;a^{-1}$ at the western side. Temperatures at the eastern LGB were also increased with the rate of $0.02%o\;a^{-l}$. At the western LGB it was difficult to see clear trends, which were confirmed by Instrumental temperature records at coastal stations. Although statistic analysis and modeling results display that both surface temperature and accumulation rate has increased trends in Antarctic ice sheet during 1950-2000, the regional distributions were much more different for different geographic areas. We believe that ice-core records at Wilks Land and Princess Elizabeth Land reflect the real variations of SST and moisture change in the southern India Ocean. For the Kamp Land and Dronning Maud Land, however circulation pattern was different, by which the climate was more complicated. The International Trans-Antarctic Scientific Expedition (ITASE) aimed to reveal an overall spatial pattern of climate change over Antarctic ice sheet for the past 200 years. This study points the importance of continental to regional circulation to annual-decadal scale climate change in Antarctica.

임해지역의 개발이 기상장에 미치는 영향예측 (Numerical Simulation of Effect on Atmospheric Flow Field by Development of Coastal Area)

  • 이상득;문태룡
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제15권10호
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    • pp.919-928
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    • 2006
  • The present study applied an atmospheric flow field model in Gwangyang-Bay which can predict local sea/land breezes formed in a complex terrain lot the development of a model that can predict short term concentration of air pollution. Estimated values from the conduct of the atmospheric flow field were used to evaluate and compare with observation data of the meteorological stations in Yeosu and the Yeosu airport, and the effect of micrometeorology of surround region by the coastal area reclamation was predicted by using the estimated values, Simulation results, a nighttime is appeared plainly land breezes of the Gwangyang-bay direction according to a mountain wind that formed in the Mt. of Baekwooun, Mt. of Youngchui. Land winds is formed clockwise circulation in the north, clockwise reverse direction in the south with Gangyang-bay as the center. Compared with model and observation value, Temperature is tend to appeared some highly simulation value in the night, observation value in the daytime in two sites all, but it is veil accorded generally, the pattern of one period can know very the similarity. And also, wind speed and wind direction is some appeared the error of observation value and calculation results in crossing time of the land wind and sea land, it can see that reproducibility is generally good, is very appeared the change land wind in the nighttime, the change of sea wind in the daytime. And also, according to change of the utilization coefficient of soil before and after development with Gwangyang-Bay area as the center. Temperature after development was high $0.55\sim0.67^{\circ}C$ in the 14 hoots, also was tend to appear lowly $0.10\sim0.22^{\circ}C$ in the 02 hours, the change of u, v component is comparatively tend to reduced sea wind and land wind, it is affected ascending air current and frictional power of the earth surface according to inequality heating of the generation of earth surface.

공간적 토지피복 예측을 위한 모형에 관한 연구 (A Study on Modeling of Spatial Land-Cover Prediction)

  • 김의홍
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.47-51
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    • 1994
  • 본 연구의 목적은 토지자원의 유효한 개발과 관리를 위해 원격탐사 자료 및 지상자료를 이용하여 토지피복(이용)의 예측 모형을 정립하고 실제로 제주도 지역에 적용하여 그 실증을 거치는 것이었다. 본 모형은 계절분석(multi-date processing)및 다중 분석(multi-file proces-sing)기법을 채택하고 Markov의 확률 이전 계산법 및 판별 함수(discriminant function)계산법으로 부터 합성 출현시킨 공간적/시간적 토지 이용 투영방법을 채택하였다. 판별 함수 계산법은 토지피복(이용)변화상의 최다 경향치를 산출 하기 위해 제주도 경관 평면(Iandscape plane)전지역의 각 화소(pixel)에 적용되고, 확율 이전 계산법은 특정 미래 시간 간극상에서 상이한 토지피복(이용)으로 변화하는 이들 화소의 수량을 결정한다. 본합성 모형은 이렇게 토지피복 변화상(공간적)과 그 화소의 수량(정량적)을 결합하여 경관 평면상에서 미래의 토지피복 예측을 가능케 하는 것이다.

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RAMS의 실시간 기상장 예측 향상을 위한 최신 토지피복도 자료의 적용가능성 (Applicable Evaluation of the Latest Land-use Data for Developing a Real-time Atmospheric Field Prediction of RAMS)

  • 원경미;이화운;유정아;홍현수;황만식;천광수;최광수;이문순
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2008
  • Chemical Accident Response Information System (CARIS) which has been designed for the efficient emergency response of chemical accidents produces the real-time atmospheric fields through the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System, RAMS. The previous studies were emphasized that improving an initial input data had more effective results in developing prediction ability of atmospheric model. In a continuous effort to improve an initial input data, we replaced the land-use dataset using in the RAMS, which is a high resolution USGS digital data constructed in April, 1993, with the latest land-use data of the Korea Ministry of Environment over the South Korea and simulated atmospheric fields for developing a real-time prediction in dispersion of chemicals. The results showed that the new land-use data was written in a standard RAMS format and shown the modified surface characteristics and the landscape heterogeneity resulting from land-use change. In the results of sensitivity experiment we got the improved atmospheric fields and assured that it will give more reliable real-time atmospheric fields to all users of CARIS for the dispersion forecast in associated with hazardous chemical releases as well as general air pollutants.