• Title/Summary/Keyword: investment decision

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The Analysis of Profit Adjustment and Business Performance Using Deferred Corporate Taxes Information (이연법인세 정보를 이용한 이익조정 및 사업성과 분석)

  • Yun, Han-Kuk;Kim, Jin-Seop
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.602-609
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    • 2021
  • Under accrual basic accounting, financial statements may be less reliable compared to cash basis accounting. The purpose of this study is to conduct an empirical analysis to determine the possibility of profit adjustment through the increase and decrease of deferred tax accounts. For our empirical analysis, a dummy variable of '1' was used as a dependent variable when the deferred tax net assets increased from the previous year and '0' when the deferred tax net assets decreased. Meanwhile, the variables of interest were discretionary accruals and ROA variation compared to the previous year. Logistic regression analysis was performed to establish the relevance between variables. Results found larger discretionary accruals related to lower net deferred tax assets compared to the previous year. In addition, there was a correlation between ROA and net deferred tax assets only if the ROA increased and net profit was greater than '0'. Study results will enable deferred tax information to be used in investment decision-making, and supervisory institutions can establish policies to prevent profit adjustments and enhance reporting standards.

Domain Knowledge Incorporated Counterfactual Example-Based Explanation for Bankruptcy Prediction Model (부도예측모형에서 도메인 지식을 통합한 반사실적 예시 기반 설명력 증진 방법)

  • Cho, Soo Hyun;Shin, Kyung-shik
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.307-332
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    • 2022
  • One of the most intensively conducted research areas in business application study is a bankruptcy prediction model, a representative classification problem related to loan lending, investment decision making, and profitability to financial institutions. Many research demonstrated outstanding performance for bankruptcy prediction models using artificial intelligence techniques. However, since most machine learning algorithms are "black-box," AI has been identified as a prominent research topic for providing users with an explanation. Although there are many different approaches for explanations, this study focuses on explaining a bankruptcy prediction model using a counterfactual example. Users can obtain desired output from the model by using a counterfactual-based explanation, which provides an alternative case. This study introduces a counterfactual generation technique based on a genetic algorithm (GA) that leverages both domain knowledge (i.e., causal feasibility) and feature importance from a black-box model along with other critical counterfactual variables, including proximity, distribution, and sparsity. The proposed method was evaluated quantitatively and qualitatively to measure the quality and the validity.

Trend Forecasting and Analysis of Quantum Computer Technology (양자 컴퓨터 기술 트렌드 예측과 분석)

  • Cha, Eunju;Chang, Byeong-Yun
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.35-44
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    • 2022
  • In this study, we analyze and forecast quantum computer technology trends. Previous research has been mainly focused on application fields centered on technology for quantum computer technology trends analysis. Therefore, this paper analyzes important quantum computer technologies and performs future signal detection and prediction, for a more market driven technical analysis and prediction. As analyzing words used in news articles to identify rapidly changing market changes and public interest. This paper extends conference presentation of Cha & Chang (2022). The research is conducted by collecting domestic news articles from 2019 to 2021. First, we organize the main keywords through text mining. Next, we explore future quantum computer technologies through analysis of Term Frequency - Inverse Document Frequency(TF-IDF), Key Issue Map(KIM), and Key Emergence Map (KEM). Finally, the relationship between future technologies and supply and demand is identified through random forests, decision trees, and correlation analysis. As results of the study, the interest in artificial intelligence was the highest in frequency analysis, keyword diffusion and visibility analysis. In terms of cyber-security, the rate of mention in news articles is getting overwhelmingly higher than that of other technologies. Quantum communication, resistant cryptography, and augmented reality also showed a high rate of increase in interest. These results show that the expectation is high for applying trend technology in the market. The results of this study can be applied to identifying areas of interest in the quantum computer market and establishing a response system related to technology investment.

Research Trend on ESG Management of Corporation (기업의 ESG 경영에 대한 국내·외 연구동향)

  • Byun, Youngjo;Woo, Seung Han
    • Clean Technology
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.193-200
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    • 2022
  • The term environmental, social and governance (ESG) was first used in the 2003 United Nations Environmental Programme Finance Initiative (UNEP FI). Among the three areas of ESG, environment refers to the impact of companies on the environment. Environmental factors address climate change policies and attempts to reduce emissions, waste and natural resource consumption. Social factors refer to the direction in which a company can improve the social impact of stakeholder includes employees, customers, communities, and governments involved in direct or indirect interaction with the organization itself and the company. Governance factors refer to stakeholders who make major decisions, the composition of the board of directors, their diversity and independence, and the internal policies that set limits and expectations for decision-making. Research related to ESG management is part of corporate social responsibility, sustainability, corporate or financial performance, and social responsibility investment. Through case studies and data-based empirical studies, it was confirmed that ESG management companies had positive results for most of the ESG related fields. Through literature analysis of domestic and international ESG history, introduction background, and management performance, this paper presents theoretical, practical implications by confirming that ESG's introduction and operation strategies are strong competitive strategies that directly affect corporate growth by creating attractive factors.

The Impact of SMEs' Financing Strategies on Firm Valuation: Choice Competition between Retained Earnings and Debt (중소기업의 자본조달 방식이 기업가치에 미치는 영향: 내부유보자금과 부채의 선택경쟁)

  • Lee, Juil;Kim, Sang-Joon
    • Korean small business review
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.29-51
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    • 2019
  • This study investigates how SMEs' (small and medium-sized enterprises) financing strategies affect firm valuation. Given that information asymmetry is engaged in firm valuation in the stock market, investors interpret the meanings of debt financing depending on how SMEs construct the portfolio of financing strategies (retained earnings vs debt financing), thereby making investment decision. Specifically, given that SMEs' debt financing has two meanings in the market signals, called "benefit" and "cost", this study postulates that firm valuation will be differently made by investors, depending on how they interpret the meanings of debt financing under choice competition between retained earnings and debt financing. In this study, we argue that under choice competition, as a SME's debt proportion increases, the "cost" signal outweighes the "benefit" signal, thereby decreasing firm valuation. Moreover, the effect of such signal can be contingent on the SME's characteristics-firm visibility. These ideas are examined using 363 U.S. SMEs ranging from 1971 to 2010. The fixed-effects models estimating Tobin's q show that under choice competition, a SME's debt proportion has a negative impact on firm valuation and that the firm's high visibility mitigates the effect of "cost" signal. In conclusion, this study sheds new light on how investors' interpretations of SMEs' financing strategies affect firm valuation.

A Study on the Effect of Government Support System and Obstacles to Innovation on R&D investment and Performance of Small and Medium-Sized Manufacturing Companies : Based on CDM Model (정부지원제도와 기술혁신 저해요인이 중소제조기업의 연구개발 투자와 성과에 미치는 영향: CDM 모형을 바탕으로)

  • Lee, Yun-Ha;Park, Jae-Min
    • Korean small business review
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.49-75
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    • 2019
  • Market instability offers opportunities as well as the need for careful innovation strategies and learning for a company's survival. Companies that find new opportunities decide to carry out innovation and decide on the size of their investments by considering their position in the market they are aiming for and the intensity of competition. This study was conducted to check whether obstacles to innovation face by SMEs in the manufacturing sector vary depending on the stage of corporate growth and to identify the impact of the government support system on the decision-making process on the performance of innovation. According to the analysis, there were differences in obstacles to innovation depending on the stage of corporate growth. It was found that more innovative SMEs are, more obstacles they face, and to overcome such obstacles, they try to access government support systems more. In addition, the use of a government support system eliminated obstacles to innovation, and the positive and significant effects of investing in innovation were identified. This study is meaningful in that it explicitly approached these hypotheses by applying a multistage model to the process of innovation carried out by SMEs in the manufacturing sector.

An Empirical Study of the Dispute Resolution for the Korean Companies in Shandong area of China (중국 산동지역 진출 한국기업의 무역분쟁해결 실증분석)

  • Kim, Jong-Hyuk;Dong, Deng;Kim, Suk-Chul
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.135-156
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    • 2016
  • This study, with reference to data on economic conditions in Shandong Province, China, looked into trade and investment activities in Korea and major cities of Shandong - Qingdao, Yantai, Weihai and Jinan - and investigated claim cases between the two countries by type. In addition, we investigated the matter empirically by conducting a survey administered to 300 Korean companies investing in Shandong Province and, based on the data, tested hypotheses for inferential analysis. The findings are as follows: i) while hypotheses in which the size of a firm, represented by import and export volume, has a positive relation with the frequency of trade claim filings (H1) and with the financial value of the trade claims (H2) were quoted, company size proved to have a significantly negative relation with the time required to obtain a claim decision, which rejects the third hypothesis (H3) in which the relation was thought to be positive: ii) while products, as represented by the type of business, showed a clearly significant difference with the frequency of trade claim filings (H4) and with methods of preventing and responding to claims (H6), they did not show a significant link to the type of trade claim (H5). This study is a theoretical and empirical overview of Korean companies based in Shandong Province of China, and can be used to address the practical needs of the Korean companies looking to start business in Shandong Province.

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The Prediction of Cryptocurrency Prices Using eXplainable Artificial Intelligence based on Deep Learning (설명 가능한 인공지능과 CNN을 활용한 암호화폐 가격 등락 예측모형)

  • Taeho Hong;Jonggwan Won;Eunmi Kim;Minsu Kim
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.129-148
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    • 2023
  • Bitcoin is a blockchain technology-based digital currency that has been recognized as a representative cryptocurrency and a financial investment asset. Due to its highly volatile nature, Bitcoin has gained a lot of attention from investors and the public. Based on this popularity, numerous studies have been conducted on price and trend prediction using machine learning and deep learning. This study employed LSTM (Long Short Term Memory) and CNN (Convolutional Neural Networks), which have shown potential for predictive performance in the finance domain, to enhance the classification accuracy in Bitcoin price trend prediction. XAI(eXplainable Artificial Intelligence) techniques were applied to the predictive model to enhance its explainability and interpretability by providing a comprehensive explanation of the model. In the empirical experiment, CNN was applied to technical indicators and Google trend data to build a Bitcoin price trend prediction model, and the CNN model using both technical indicators and Google trend data clearly outperformed the other models using neural networks, SVM, and LSTM. Then SHAP(Shapley Additive exPlanations) was applied to the predictive model to obtain explanations about the output values. Important prediction drivers in input variables were extracted through global interpretation, and the interpretation of the predictive model's decision process for each instance was suggested through local interpretation. The results show that our proposed research framework demonstrates both improved classification accuracy and explainability by using CNN, Google trend data, and SHAP.

A Case of Developing Performance Evaluation Model for Korean Defense Informatization (국방정보화 수준평가 모델 개발 사례)

  • Gyoo Gun Lim;Dae Chul Lee;Hyuk Jin Kwon;Sung Rim Cho
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.23-45
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    • 2017
  • The ROK military is making a great effort and investment in establishing network-centric warfare, a future battlefield concept, as a major step in the establishment of a basic plan for military innovation. In the military organization level, an advanced process is introduced to shorten the command control time of the military and the business process is improved to shorten the decision time. In the information system dimension, an efficient resource management is achieved by establishing an automated command control system and a resource management information system by using the battle management information system. However, despite these efforts, we must evaluate the present level of informatization in an objective manner and assess the current progress toward the future goal of the military by using objective indicators. In promoting informatization, we must systematically identify the correct areas of improvement and identify policy directions to supplement in the future. Therefore, by analyzing preliminary research, workshops, and expert discussions on the major informatization level evaluation models at home and abroad, this study develops an evaluation model and several indicators that systematically reflect the characteristics of military organizations. The developed informatization level evaluation model is verified by conducting a feasibility test for the troops of the operation class or higher. We expect that this model will be able to objectively diagnose the level of informatization of the ROK military by putting budget and resources into the right place at the right time and to rapidly improve the vulnerability of the information sector.

Risks and Network Effect upon Cloud ERP Investments: Real Options Approach (위험 및 네트워크 효과가 클라우드 ERP 투자에 미치는 효과에 대한 연구)

  • Seunghyeon Nam;Taeha Kim
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.43-57
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    • 2018
  • We propose network effects upon the investment decision of cloud-based ERP. Using the survey data collected from 82 companies in 2015, we examine whether IT managers have an intention to adopt real options in order to manage the risk of cloud-based ERP investments and how the network effects influence upon the intention to adopt real options. Based on prior literature, we propose a research model with 4 hypotheses. We find partial support of the hypotheses from the empirical analysis: technological risks has a positive impact upon the adoption of real options such as defer, contract, and abandon. In contrast, we find no significant impact of security risks upon real options. We validate positive network effects upon the adoption of real options such as defer, contract, and abandon. This work empirically find that IT managers in Korean middle and small sized firms have an intention to adopt real options when the managers realize economic, technological, and relationship risks and when they expect network effects.