• 제목/요약/키워드: inverse reliability method

검색결과 65건 처리시간 0.03초

표준기상데이터 작성 시 누락된 풍속 데이터의 보간 방법 제안 (A Proposal of an Interpolation Method of Missing Wind Velocity Data in Writing a Typical Weather Data)

  • 박소우;김주욱;송두삼
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제37권6호
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    • pp.79-91
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    • 2017
  • The meteorological data of 1 hour interval are required to write a typical weather data for building energy simulation. However, many meterological data are missing and the interpolation method to recover the missing data is required. Especially, lots of meterological data are replicated by linear interpolation method because the changes are not significant. While, the wind velocity fluctuates with the time or locations, so linear interpolation method is not appropriate in interpolation of the wind velocity data. In this study, three interpolation methods, using surrounding wind velocity data, Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW), Revised Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW-r), were analyzed considering the characteristics of wind velocity. The Revised Inverse Distance Weighting method, proposed in this study, showed the highest reliability in restoration of the wind velocity data among the analyzed methods.

지수분포 특성을 갖는 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형의 성능 비교 분석 (Comparative Analysis on the Performance of NHPP Software Reliability Model with Exponential Distribution Characteristics)

  • 박승규
    • 한국전자통신학회논문지
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.641-648
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구에서는 지수 형태의 분포(Exponential Basic, Inverse Exponential, Lindley, Rayleigh) 특성을 갖는 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형의 성능을 비교 분석하였고, 이를 근거로 최적의 신뢰성 모형도 함께 제시하였다. 소프트웨어 고장 현상을 분석하기 위하여 시스템 운영 중 수집된 고장 시간 데이터를 사용하였고, 모수 추정은 최우 추정 법을 적용하여 해결하였다. 다양한 비교 분석(평균제곱오차(MSE) 분석, 평균값 함수의 참값 예측력 분석, 강도 함수의 평가, 임무 시간을 적용한 신뢰도를 평가)을 통하여 Lindley 모형이 가장 우수한 성능을 가진 효율적인 모형임을 알 수 있었다. 본 연구를 통하여 기존 연구사례가 없는 지수 형태의 특성을 갖는 분포의 신뢰도 성능을 새롭게 파악하였고, 이를 통하여 소프트웨어 개발자들이 초기 단계에서 활용할 수 있는 기본적인 설계 데이터를 제시할 수 있었다.

효율적 유지보수를 위한 도시철도 전동차 브레이크의 시스템 신뢰도 최적화 (Reliability Optimization of Urban Transit Brake System For Efficient Maintenance)

  • 배철호;김현준;이정환;김세훈;이호용;서명원
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.26-35
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    • 2007
  • The vehicle of urban transit is a complex system that consists of various electric, electronic, and mechanical equipments, and the maintenance cost of this complex and large-scale system generally occupies sixty percent of the LCC (Life Cycle Cost). For reasonable establishing of maintenance strategies, safety security and cost limitation must be considered at the same time. The concept of system reliability has been introduced and optimized as the key of reasonable maintenance strategies. For optimization, three preceding studies were accomplished; standardizing a maintenance classification, constructing RBD (Reliability Block Diagram) of VVVF (Variable Voltage Variable Frequency) urban transit, and developing a web based reliability evaluation system. Historical maintenance data in terms of reliability index can be derived from the web based reliability evaluation system. In this paper, we propose applying inverse problem analysis method and hybrid neuro-genetic algorithm to system reliability optimization for using historical maintenance data in database of web based system. Feed-forward multi-layer neural networks trained by back propagation are used to find out the relationship between several component reliability (input) and system reliability (output) of structural system. The inverse problem can be formulated by using neural network. One of the neural network training algorithms, the back propagation algorithm, can attain stable and quick convergence during training process. Genetic algorithm is used to find the minimum square error.

New generalized inverse Weibull distribution for lifetime modeling

  • Khan, Muhammad Shuaib;King, Robert
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.147-161
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    • 2016
  • This paper introduces the four parameter new generalized inverse Weibull distribution and investigates the potential usefulness of this model with application to reliability data from engineering studies. The new extended model has upside-down hazard rate function and provides an alternative to existing lifetime distributions. Various structural properties of the new distribution are derived that include explicit expressions for the moments, moment generating function, quantile function and the moments of order statistics. The estimation of model parameters are performed by the method of maximum likelihood and evaluate the performance of maximum likelihood estimation using simulation.

수많은 모듈로 구성된 이진 매니플레이터 역기구 설계를 위한 연속변수공간 최적화 신기법 연구 (New Continuous Variable Space Optimization Methodology for the Inverse Kinematics of Binary Manipulators Consisting of Numerous Modules)

  • 장강원;남상준;김윤영
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제28권10호
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    • pp.1574-1582
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    • 2004
  • Binary manipulators have recently received much attention due to hyper-redundancy, light weight, good controllability and high reliability. The precise positioning of the manipulator end-effecter requires the use of many modules, which results in a high-dimensional workspace. When the workspace dimension is large, existing inverse kinematics methods such as the Ebert-Uphoff algorithm may require impractically large memory size in determining the binary positions of all actuators. To overcome this limitation, we propose a new inverse kinematics algorithm: the inverse kinematics problem is formulated as an optimization problem using real-valued design variables, The key procedure in this approach is to transform the integer-variable optimization problem to a real-variable optimization problem and to push the real-valued design variables as closely as possible to the permissible binary values. Since the actual optimization is performed in real-valued design variables, the design sensitivity becomes readily available, and the optimization method becomes extremely efficient. Because the proposed formulation is quite general, other design considerations such as operation power minimization can be easily considered.

Estimation of entropy of the inverse weibull distribution under generalized progressive hybrid censored data

  • Lee, Kyeongjun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.659-668
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    • 2017
  • The inverse Weibull distribution (IWD) can be readily applied to a wide range of situations including applications in medicines, reliability and ecology. It is generally known that the lifetimes of test items may not be recorded exactly. In this paper, therefore, we consider the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and Bayes estimation of the entropy of a IWD under generalized progressive hybrid censoring (GPHC) scheme. It is observed that the MLE of the entropy cannot be obtained in closed form, so we have to solve two non-linear equations simultaneously. Further, the Bayes estimators for the entropy of IWD based on squared error loss function (SELF), precautionary loss function (PLF), and linex loss function (LLF) are derived. Since the Bayes estimators cannot be obtained in closed form, we derive the Bayes estimates by revoking the Tierney and Kadane approximate method. We carried out Monte Carlo simulations to compare the classical and Bayes estimators. In addition, two real data sets based on GPHC scheme have been also analysed for illustrative purposes.

무역항 및 연안항 피복재의 파괴확률과 부분안전계수 해석 (Analysis of Probabilities of Failure and Partial Safety Factors of Armor Units on Tranding and Coastal Harbors)

  • 이철응;박동헌
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제28권B호
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    • pp.157-165
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    • 2008
  • Level II AFDA and Level III MCS reliability models are applied to analyze the stability of armor units on trading and coastal harbors in Korea. Hudson's formula and Van der Meer's formula are used in this reliability analysis. Also, probability density functions of reliability index and probability of failure are derived by the additional analysis. In addition, the partial safety factors of all harbors related to armor units can be straightforwardly evaluated by the inverse-reliability method. The upper and lower limits and average level of partial safety factors can be statistically investigated with the results of all cases applied in this paper. Therefore, it may be possible to design armor units of new breakwaters including the uncertainty of random variable and target level by using the present results.

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신뢰성과 유지보수를 위한 원자로보호계통 주기시험 방법 개발 (RPS Periodic Testing Method for Reliability and Availability)

  • 박주현;이동영;이성진;송덕용
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2005년도 심포지엄 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
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    • pp.84-86
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    • 2005
  • The digital systems such as PLC or DCS have been applied to non-safety systems of nuclear power plants because of many difficulties in using analog systems. Nowadays, digital systems have been applied to safety systems of the plants such as reactor protection system. One of the main advantages of digital systems is applicability of automatic testing methods to the systems. The protection system requires high-reliability and high-availability because it shall minimize the propagation of abnormal or accident conditions of nuclear power plants. The calculation of reliability and availability of systems depends on the maintenance period of the system. In general, the maintenance period of the protection system is one-month in case of the manual test. However, the cycle of test can be shortened in several hours by using automatic periodic testing. The reliability and availability of the system is better when test period is shortened because the reliability and availability is inverse proportion to the test period. In this research, we developed the automatic periodic testing method for KNICS Reactor Protection System, which can test the system automatically without an operator or a tester. The automatic testing contained all functions of reaction protection systems from analog-to-digital conversion function of the bistable Processor to the coincident trip function of the coincident processor. By applying the automatic periodic testing to reaction system, the maintenance cost can be cut down and the reliability can be increased.

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분위수의 점근적 분산을 이용한 신뢰성 설계 (Reliability Design using Asymptotic Variance of Inverse Cumulative Distribution Function)

  • 조형진;백석흠;홍순혁;조석수;주원식
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 2005년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1682-1685
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    • 2005
  • System algorithms estimated by deterministic input may occur the error between predicted and actual output. Especially, actual system can't predict the exact outputs due to uncertainty and tolerance of input parameters. A single output to a set of inputs has a limited value without the variation. Hence, we should consider various scatters caused by the load assessment, material characteristics, stress analysis and manufacturing methods in order to perform the robust design or estimate the reliability of structure. The system design with uncertainty should perform the probabilistic structural optimization with the statistical response and the reliability. This method calculated the probability distributions of the characteristics such as stress by combining stress analysis, response surface methodology and Monte-Carlo Method and got the probabilistic sensitivity. The sensitivity of structural response with respect to inconstant design variables was estimated by fracture probability. Therefore, this paper proposed the probabilistic reliability design method for fracture of uncorved freight end beam and the design criteria by fracture probability.

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Fault Diagnosis for Parameter Change Fault

  • Suzuki, Keita;Fujii, Takao
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2005년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.2183-2187
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    • 2005
  • In this paper we propose a new fault detection and isolation (FDI) method for those faults of parameter change type. First, we design a residual generator based on the ${\delta}$-operator model of the plant by using the stable pseudo inverse system. Second, the parameter change is estimated by using the property of the block Hankel operator. Third, reliability with respect to stability is quantified. Fourth, the limitations for the meaningful diagnosis in our method are given. The numerical examples demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

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