• 제목/요약/키워드: inflation

검색결과 610건 처리시간 0.027초

도시문화와 공동체 의식의 영향 관계 (An Influential Relationship between Urban Culture and Community Spirit)

  • 김동윤
    • 한국디지털건축인테리어학회논문집
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 2013
  • With regard to urban culture this study aims to essential understanding and systematic approach to the culture. The "2012 Seoul Survey" report has been used to find out causality among the related variables. In the first place 'satisfaction of cultural condition' was operationally selected as a dependent variable for regression. For the purpose of controlling the third factors for ceteris paribus effect correlation analysis was previously done between the dependent variable and all other variables respectively, which resulted in two groups of variables: group (1) - 2 variables of very significant correlations(p-value<0.01) and (2) - the other 6 variables of significant correlations(p-value<0.05). Then hierarchical regression was adopted to these 2 groups to analyse statistical significance of independent variables, and multicollinearity(VIF; variance inflation factor). Additionally to OLS robust and bootstrapping regressions were done to confirm the validity of this model specification. At last a regression model specified by group (1) as independent variables(they are 'community spirit caring for women, the disabled, the poor and the old,' 'satisfaction of bicycle riding condition' shows that the variables have statistically significant and substantially strong effect on 'satisfaction of cultural condition.' This finding implies the following understanding; (1) urban festivals are regarded as the main of the urban culture as of now and this results from the low level of today's culture, (2) culture is telling and hearing stories but the influential relationship between urban culture and community spirit on the weak is negative, which says that the cultural perception among citizen is somewhat selfish and far from the essential understanding of the urban culture. In spite of restrictive external validity this finding can be used as a direction for promoting culture and a basis for related policy choice in cities.

연관성 규칙 수의 추정을 위한 일반적인 비선형 회귀모형에서의 표준화 향상도 활용 방안 (Generally non-linear regression model containing standardized lift for association number estimation)

  • 박희창
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.629-638
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    • 2016
  • 최근에 많이 활용되고 있는 데이터 분석을 위한 연관성 규칙 마이닝은 대용량 데이터베이스에 많이 활용되고 있는 서 두 항목간의 관계를 측도화 함으로써 두 개 이상의 항목간의 관련성을 표시하여 주는 기법이다. 연관성 규칙의 여부를 판단하기 위한 연관성 평가 기준에는 지지도, 신뢰도, 그리고 향상도 등이 있으며, 이들 세 가지 기준을 이용하여 연관성 규칙 생성 여부를 판단하게 된다. 이에 대한 기존의 연구 결과는 결정함수를 이용하는 방법과 회귀모형을 이용하는 방법으로 분류할 수 있다. 회귀모형을 이용하여 수행한 연구에는 지지도와 신뢰도에 의한 모형, 세 가지 평가 기준의 쌍에 의한 모형, 표준화 향상도를 포함한 세 가지 평가 기준의 쌍에 의한 모형, 그리고 세 가지 평가 기준 전부를 고려한 모형 등이 있다. 본 논문에서는 기존의 연구를 확장하는 의미에서 표준화 향상도를 포함한 세가지 평가 기준 전부를 고려한 비선형 회귀모형을 이용하여 연관성 규칙의 수를 추정하는 방안에 대해 강구하고자 한다. 또한 분산분석에서의 F 통계량과 수정 결정계수를 이용하여 각 모형의 유의한 정도를 비교하는 동시에 분산팽창계수에 의한 공선성 문제를 진단함으로써 가장 유용한 회귀 모형을 탐색하고자 한다.

전도시 근로자 가계의 소비구조 변동에 관한 연구 -1970년부터 1978년까지를 중심으로- (A Study on The consumption Pattern of Urban Salary and Wage Earners' Household in Korean from 1970 to 1978)

  • 김순옥
    • 대한가정학회지
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 1980
  • The purpose of this study is ti find out a desirable way to stability and improvement of household economy by studying the changes of consumption level and consumption pattern of urban salary and wage earners' households during the years from 1970 to 1978. For this study, "Annual Report on the Family Income and Expenditure survey" (Published by the Bureau of Statistics, Economics Planning Board) has been used as basic material, and the methods of analysis used here are the time series analysis. We have gained the results as follows: 1) From 1970 to 198, the total income level increased at the rate of 416.2% in nominal price, but only 74.4% in reql price, while the total expenditure level showed 338.5% increase in nominal price, but its real increased proved only 418.2% in consideration of inflation. APC decreased from 95.1%(in 1970) to 80.7%(in 1978). 2) As for the expenditure pattern for the above mentioned nine years, the rate of food expenditure increased until 1975 under the price influence, but it trended to decease there after on . The rate of housing expenditure showed a gradual increase while that of fuel and light expenditure was on the decrease. The rate of clothing expenditure had been on the decease until 1974 but it began to increase gradually thereafter on. The trend of miscellaneous expenditures was irregularly up and down, educational expences being the first rank among them, Non-living expenditure had been constant until 1974 but it decreased a little after that. From the results it was found that the consumption level of the salary and wage earners' household in all cities from 1970 to 1978 was not practically improved because of rise in prices, nor was the Engel's coefficient and the rate of miscellaneous expenditure changed distinctively. However, as the successive decrease of APC suggests the possibility of economic development, we must try to put stress on economy in consumption and on encouraging. This will help run our household economy in safety and stability.

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분계점 공적분 검정법을 사용한 한국의 비선형 테일러 통화정책 검증 (IV ECM Threshold Cointegration Tests and Nonlinear Monetary Policy in Korea)

  • 월터 엔더스;이준수;마크 스트래지시쉬
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.135-157
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    • 2007
  • 본고에서는 소위 '테일러 룰'이라고 일컫는 통화정책론이 한국의 통화정책에도 적용될 수 있는지를 검증하고자 하였다. '테일러 룰'이 적용된다면 이자율, 물가상승률 및 잠재성장률 간에 공적분이 성립해야 하는데, 본고에서는 선형관계를 전제로 하는 공적분은 성립하지 않는다는 결과를 산출하였고, 더 나아가 새로운 분계점 공적분 검정법(IV ECM Threshold Cointegration Tests)을 개발하고 이를 적용하고자 하였다. 이 방법론은 기존의 공적분 검정법과 달리 성가신 파라미터(nuisance parameters)에 의존하지 않는다는 장점이 있다. 이 장점을 사용하여 적용한 결과, 본고에서는 한국에 있어서도 비선형 테일러 통화정책에 대한 분계점 공적분이 성립하고 '비선형 테일러 룰'이 검증되었음을 보여주었다.

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치과기공물 원가계산의 비교분석 (Comparison Analysis of a Cost Price for Dental Prosthetic Restoration)

  • 박명호;이상락
    • 대한치과기공학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.153-178
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    • 2000
  • Dental prosthetic restoration shows a big difference of cost per itemized unit depending on the size of dental labs, facility standard, manpower, and performance. Even the same dental labs have distinctive cost according to manufacturing performance, inflation, and the number of workers. However, in apite of such a change of circumstances, it appears to be quite stable in the relative cost per itemized unit unless the manufacturing trend of particular item changes dramatically. Therefore, if the relative number of cost per itemized unit, which is produced by costing, is indicated, we are able to utilize it effectively as a standard wage estimate. If the wage of dental prosthetic restoration is determined on the basis of cost, it is desirable that the relative value of cost and that of wage are identical. But, by means of comparative analysis, since the relative value of wage reveals mostly lower than that of cost depending on an item, it is considered that the wage is not reflecting the cost approproately. Due to the subdivision and the profession of medical technology, the new development of wage items for dental prosthetic restoration is required. This means that the need for the establishment of new wage items should be presented as the general concept of dental prothetic restroation changes and the level of pathologic technology increases. The current wage structure has differences in the degree of difficulty accroding to unit items and in the cost factors. Nevertheless, the differences are not reflected enough to the wage, so there is potential to lower the medical quality through the use of low-proce materials to avoid the increase of cost and the work process which skips a manufacturing step. The new items of dental prosthetic restoration also increases, but the development of proper numerical value system is not supported. Thus, the right proce is set mostly by applying to the wage of a similar item. Since most wages are established by an individual agreement between the dental clinic institute and the dental labs, the propriety of wage level lacks. Therefore, it is urgent to provide and promote the system of a fair work charge by a standard cost which can be applied to all medical institute.

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Markov's Modeling for Screening Strategies for Colorectal Cancer

  • Barouni, Mohsen;Larizadeh, Mohammad Hassan;Sabermahani, Asma;Ghaderi, Hossien
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권10호
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    • pp.5125-5129
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    • 2012
  • Economic decision models are being increasingly used to assess medical interventions. Advances in this field are mainly due to enhanced processing capacity of computers, availability of specific software to perform the necessary tasks, and refined mathematical techniques. We here estimated the incremental cost-effectiveness of ten strategies for colon cancer screening, as well as no screening, incorporating quality of life, noncompliance and data on the costs and profit of chemotherapy in Iran. We used a Markov model to measure the costs and quality-adjusted life expectancy of a 50-year-old average-risk Iranian without screening and with screening by each test. In this paper, we tested the model with data from the Ministry of Health and published literature. We considered costs from the perspective of a health insurance organization, with inflation to 2011, the Iranian Rial being converted into US dollars. We focused on three tests for the 10 strategies considered currently being used for population screening in some Iranians provinces (Kerman, Golestan Mazandaran, Ardabil, and Tehran): low-sensitivity guaiac fecal occult blood test, performed annually; fecal immunochemical test, performed annually; and colonoscopy, performed every 10 years. These strategies reduced the incidence of colorectal cancer by 39%, 60% and 76%, and mortality by 50%, 69% and 78%, respectively, compared with no screening. These approaches generated ICER (incremental cost-effectiveness ratios) of $9067, $654 and $8700 per QALY (quality-adjusted life year), respectively. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the influence of various scales on the economic evaluation of screening. The results were sensitive to probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Colonoscopy every ten years yielded the greatest net health value. Screening for colon cancer is economical and cost-effective over conventional levels of WTP8.

통계적 방법에 근거한 AMSU-A 복사자료의 전처리 및 편향보정 (Pre-processing and Bias Correction for AMSU-A Radiance Data Based on Statistical Methods)

  • 이시혜;김상일;전형욱;김주혜;강전호
    • 대기
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.491-502
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    • 2014
  • As a part of the KIAPS (Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems) Package for Observation Processing (KPOP), we have developed the modules for Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A) pre-processing and its bias correction. The KPOP system calculates the airmass bias correction coefficients via the method of multiple linear regression in which the scan-corrected innovation and the thicknesses of 850~300, 200~50, 50~5, and 10~1 hPa are respectively used for dependent and independent variables. Among the four airmass predictors, the multicollinearity has been shown by the Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) that quantifies the severity of multicollinearity in a least square regression. To resolve the multicollinearity, we adopted simple linear regression and Principal Component Regression (PCR) to calculate the airmass bias correction coefficients and compared the results with those from the multiple linear regression. The analysis shows that the order of performances is multiple linear, principal component, and simple linear regressions. For bias correction for the AMSU-A channel 4 which is the most sensitive to the lower troposphere, the multiple linear regression with all four airmass predictors is superior to the simple linear regression with one airmass predictor of 850~300 hPa. The results of PCR with 95% accumulated variances accounted for eigenvalues showed the similar results of the multiple linear regression.

부동산 투자의사결정에 있어 투자자 선호특성이 투자만족도에 미치는 영향 분석 (Influence Analysis of Investor Preference for Investment Satisfaction Degree on Decision Making of Real Estate Investment)

  • 백준석;김구회;이주형
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.553-562
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구는 투자자가 부동산 투자의사결정에 있어 고려해야하는 투자선호특성을 규명하고 투자자 유형에 따른 선호특성의 차이를 비교 분석하였다. 투자만족도에 영향을 미치는 요인을 분석하기 위해 선행연구 고찰을 통하여 투자선호특성을 종합하고 PLS(Partial Least Squares)회귀분석을 활용하여 그 영향을 실증하였다. 또한 투자자 유형별 투자선호특성을 비교하기 위해 분석대상을 기관투자자와 일반투자자로 구분하여 설문을 진행하였다. 분석결과 기관투자자는 인플레이션 헤지, 조지자본회수, 재무적 안전성, 레버리지 위험 등의 투자선호특성을 중시하는 것으로 나타났으며 일반투자자의 경우 임대수익, 시설 및 설비, 상권 및 인구, 이용 편의성, 레버리지 위험, 조기자본회수 등의 투자선호특성이 중요한 것으로 도출되었다. 또한 공통적인 투자선호특성으로 레버리지 위험, 조기자본회수, 시설접근성이 도출되었다. 이러한 결과를 바탕으로 시사점을 도출하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 투자자들은 부동산 투자에 있어 투자 위험을 회피하거나 줄일 수 있는 요인을 중시 한다는 점이다. 둘째, 부동산 경기 침체 및 저금리 현상으로 나타나는 부동산 관련 규제 및 금융규제완화를 중요시하는 것으로 나타났다. 셋째, 부동산 투자의사결정에 있어 투자자 유형에 따른 차이를 고려해야 한다는 것이다.

비트코인의 자산성격에 관한 연구 (A Study on The Asset Characterization of Bitcoin)

  • 장성일;김정연
    • 한국전자거래학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.117-128
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    • 2017
  • 비트코인의 국내 활용 증가와 함께 비트코인을 둘러싼 다양한 문제들이 발생하고 있다. 이에 따라 제도적 차원에서 비트코인을 어떻게 다루어야 하는지가 지속적으로 논의되고 있으며 비트코인의 자산 성격을 분류하는 것은 이러한 논의에 중요한 기준점이 될 것이다. 본 연구는 비트코인의 자산성격에 관한 선행연구들을 기초로 하여 기능적 측면에서 비트코인의 자산성격을 분류하였다. 회귀분석을 통해 금과 미소비자물가지수(CPI), 미달러화가치(DXY), 주가지수(S&P500) 등과의 상관관계를 분석하고, 비트코인과 동일지표들 간의 상관관계를 분석하여, 금과 비트코인이 지표들과의 관계에서 유사하게 반응하는지 검증하였다. 분석 결과 비트코인은 금과 유사한 방향성으로 보이며 인플레이션과 통화가치에 대해 위험회피기능과 수익률측면에서 투자가치를 지닌 투자자산기능을 확인할 수 있었다. 이러한 기능성과 더불어 투자자산기능의 주된 요인인 가격변동성을 고려하면, 비트코인은 화폐로 분류하기 보다는 고위험 금융투자자산으로 분류하여 제도권에 편입하는 것이 관리적 측면에서 효율적일 것이다.

An Analysis of Factors Relating to Agricultural Machinery Farm-Work Accidents Using Logistic Regression

  • Kim, Byounggap;Yum, Sunghyun;Kim, Yu-Yong;Yun, Namkyu;Shin, Seung-Yeoub;You, Seokcheol
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.151-157
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: In order to develop strategies to prevent farm-work accidents relating to agricultural machinery, influential factors were examined in this paper. The effects of these factors were quantified using logistic regression. Methods: Based on the results of a survey on farm-work accidents conducted by the National Academy of Agricultural Science, 21 tentative independent variables were selected. To apply these variables to regression, the presence of multicollinearity was examined by comparing correlation coefficients, checking the statistical significance of the coefficients in a simple linear regression model, and calculating the variance inflation factor. A logistic regression model and determination method of its goodness of fit was defined. Results: Among 21 independent variables, 13 variables were not collinear each other. The results of a logistic regression analysis using these variables showed that the model was significant and acceptable, with deviance of 714.053. Parameter estimation results showed that four variables (age, power tiller ownership, cognizance of the government's safety policy, and consciousness of safety) were significant. The logistic regression model predicted that the former two increased accident odds by 1.027 and 8.506 times, respectively, while the latter two decreased the odds by 0.243 and 0.545 times, respectively. Conclusions: Prevention strategies against factors causing an accident, such as the age of farmers and the use of a power tiller, are necessary. In addition, more efficient trainings to elevate the farmer's consciousness about safety must be provided.