• Title/Summary/Keyword: infinite slope model

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Stability Analysis of Landslides using a Probabilistic Analysis Method in the Boeun Area (확률론적 해석기법을 이용한 보은지역의 사면재해 안정성분석)

  • Jeong, Nam-Soo;You, Kwang-ho;Park, Hyuck-Jin
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.247-257
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    • 2011
  • In this study the infinite slope model, one of the physical landslide models has been suggested to evaluate the susceptibility of the landslide. However, applying the infinite slope model in regional study area can be difficult or impossible because of the difficulties in obtaining and processing of large spatial data sets. With limited site investigation data, uncertainties were inevitably involved with. Therefore, the probabilistic analysis method such as Monte Carlo simulation and the GIS based infinite slope stability model have been used to evaluate the probability of failure. The proposed approach has been applied to practical example. The study area in Boeun area been selected since the area has been experienced tremendous amount of landslide occurrence. The geometric characteristics of the slope and the mechanical properties of soils like to friction angle and cohesion were obtained. In addition, coefficient of variation (COV) values in the uncertain parameters were varied from 10% to 30% in order to evaluate the effect of the uncertainty. The analysis results showed that the probabilistic analysis method can reduce the effect of uncertainty involved in input parameters.

Real-time unsaturated slope reliability assessment considering variations in monitored matric suction

  • Choi, Jung Chan;Lee, Seung Rae;Kim, Yunki;Song, Young Hoon
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.263-274
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    • 2011
  • A reliability-based slope stability assessment method considering fluctuations in the monitored matric suction was proposed for real-time identification of slope risk. The assessment model was based on the limit equilibrium model for infinite slope failure. The first-order reliability method (FORM) was adopted to calculate the probability of slope failure, and results of the model were compared with Monte-Carlo Simulation (MCS) results to validate the accuracy and efficiency of the model. The analysis shows that a model based on Advanced First-Order Reliability Method (AFORM) generates results that are in relatively good agreement with those of the MCS, using a relatively small number of function calls. The contribution of random variables to the slope reliability index was also examined using sensitivity analysis. The results of sensitivity analysis indicate that the effective cohesion c' is a significant variable at low values of mean matric suction, whereas matric suction ($u_a-u_w$) is the most influential factor at high mean suction values. Finally, the reliability indices of an unsaturated model soil slope, which was monitored by a wireless matric suction measurement system, were illustrated as 2D images using the suggested probabilistic model.

Infinite Slope Stability Analysis based on Rainfall Pattern in Ulleung-do (울릉도지역 강우패턴을 고려한 무한사면 안정성 해석)

  • Lee, Chung-Ki;Moon, Seong-Woo;Yun, Hyun-Seok;Seo, Yong-Seok
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.11-24
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of slope stability analysis is to predict the location and occurrence time considering the rainfall, topographic and soil characteristics, etc. In this study, infinite slope stability analysis considering the time distribution characteristics of the daily maximum rainfall was conducted using a model that combines a digital terrain model and a groundwater flow model. As the results of slope stability analysis, 69.1~70.0% of Fs < 1 cells are in the range of slope angle $20{\sim}50^{\circ}$ and Fs < 1 starts to appear in 2 hours for $Q_1$ model, 5 hours for $Q_2$, 7 hours for $Q_3$ and 6 hours for $Q_4$. Furthermore, the maximum number of Fs < 1 cells appear in 6 hours for $Q_1$ model, 12 hours for $Q_2$, 16 hours for $Q_3$ and 20 hours for $Q_4$, and the area of Fs < 1 is 14.3% for $Q_1$ model, 15.0% for $Q_2$, 15.6% for $Q_3$, and 16.3% for $Q_4$.

Hybrid finite element model for wave transformation analysis (파랑 변형 해석을 위한 복합 유한요소 모형)

  • Jung Tae Hwa;Park Woo Sun;Suh Kyung Duck
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2002.08a
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    • pp.209-212
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    • 2002
  • Since Berkhoff proposed the mild-slope equation in 1972, it has widely been used for calculation of shallow water wave transformation. Recently, it was extended to give an extended mild-slope equation, which includes the bottom slope squared term and bottom curvature term so as to be capable of modeling wave transformation on rapidly varying topography. These equations were derived by integrating the Laplace equation vertically. In the present study, we develop a finite element model to solve the Laplace equation directly while keeping the same computational efficiency as the mild-slope equation. This model assumes the vertical variation of wave potential as a cosine hyperbolic function as done in the derivation of the mild-slope equation, and the Galerkin method is used to discretize . The computational domain was discretized with proper finite elements, while the radiation condition at infinity was treated by introducing the concept of an infinite element. The upper boundary condition can be either free surface or a solid structure. The applicability of the developed model was verified through example analyses of two-dimensional wave reflection and transmission. .

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Prediction of Potential Landslide Sites Using Deterministic model (결정론적 모형을 이용한 산사태 위험지 예측)

  • Cha, Kyung-Seob;Chang, Pyoung-Wuck;Lee, Haeng-Woo;Nho, Soo-Kack
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.655-662
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    • 2005
  • The objective of this thesis is to develop a prediction system of potential landslide sites to apply to the prevention of landslide disaster which occurred during the heavy rainfall in the rainy season. The system was developed by combining a modified slope stability analysis model and a hydrological model. The modified slope stability analysis model, which was improved from 1-D infinite slope stability analysis model, has been taken into consideration of the flexion of the hill slopes. To evaluate its applicability to the prediction of landslides, the data of actual landslides were plotted on the predicted areas on the GIS map. The matching rate of this model to the actual data was 92.4%. And the relations between wetness index and landform factors and potential landslide were analyzed.

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Study on Slope Prevention Effect of Eco-environmental Riprap Structure (친환경 호안구조물의 사면보호 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Khi-Woong
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.47-51
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    • 2009
  • The slope failure in the country is caused by mainly rainfall and its type is reported shallow slope failures in general. To investigate the cause of slope failure, the unsaturated soil slope behavior in accordance with rainfall amount studies actively, but there are little studies related the slope erosion and scour by rainfall. The slope erosion and scour by rainfall cause environmental pollution and slope instability, however there are few methods to effectively control them. This research analyzed experimentally how infinite gradients are infiltrated according to the changes of amount of rainfall and the slope of gradients by manufacturing the model of gradient in order to investigate how rainfall infiltrates regarding homogeneous gradients and slope protection method. For this, this experiment measured and analyzed discharge, storage rate occurring in gradients by going on changing amount of rainfall, slope of gradients.

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Prediction of Potential Landslide Sites Using Determinitstic Model (결정론적 기법을 이용한 산사태 위험지 예측)

  • Cha, Kyung-Seob;Chang, Pyoung-Wuck;Woo, Chull-Woong;Kim, Seong-Pil
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2005
  • Almost every year, Korea has been suffered from serious damages of lives and properties, due to landslides that are triggered by heavy rains in monsoon season. In this paper, we systematized the physically based landslide prediction model which consisted of 3 parts, infinite slope stability analysis model, groundwater flow model and soil depth model. To evaluate its applicability to the prediction of landslides, the data of actual landslides were plotted on the predicted areas on the GIS map. The matching rate of this model to the actual data was $84.8\%$. And the relation between hydrological and land form factors and potential landslide were analyzed.

Study on Risk Analysis of Debris Flow Occurrence Basin Using GIS (GIS를 이용한 토석류 발생유역 위험성분석에 관한 연구)

  • Jun, Kye-Won;Oh, Chae-Yeon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.83-88
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    • 2011
  • Annually, many parts of the Korea have been damaged from the localized heavy rain and/or typhoons which peak between June and September, which result in extensive financial and human loss. Especially, because the most area of Gangwon province is composed of the steep slope mountains, the damages by the debris flow or land-sliding are more frequent and the frequency has been increased. To analyze the characteristics and causes of these debris flow disasters, lots of study are recently being conducted through database of weather, hydrologic, soil etc using a GIS or remote sensing. In this study, we applied GIS method to analyze the risk of the debris flow area. With the statistical analysis and infinite slope stability model(SINMAP), the debris flow risk level of the mountain slope was generated. As a result, the GIS statistical analysis showed high correlation that former model of SINMAP in determining the debris flow risk area.

Suggestion and Evaluation for Prediction Method of Landslide Occurrence using SWAT Model and Climate Change Data: Case Study of Jungsan-ri Region in Mt. Jiri National Park (SWAT model과 기후변화 자료를 이용한 산사태 예측 기법 제안과 평가: 지리산 국립공원 중산리 일대 사례연구)

  • Kim, Jisu;Kim, Minseok;Cho, Youngchan;Oh, Hyunjoo;Lee, Choonoh
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.106-117
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is prediction of landslide occurrence reflecting the subsurface flow characteristics within the soil layer in the future due to climate change in a large scale watershed. To do this, we considered the infinite slope stability theory to evaluate the landslide occurrence with predicted soil moisture content by SWAT model based on monitored data (rainfall-soil moisture-discharge). The correlation between the SWAT model and the monitoring data was performed using the coefficient of determination (R2) and the model's efficiency index (Nash and Sutcliffe model efficiency; NSE) and, an accuracy analysis of landslide prediction was performed using auROC (area under Receiver Operating Curve) analysis. In results comparing with the calculated discharge-soil moisture content by SWAT model vs. actual observation data, R2 was 0.9 and NSE was 0.91 in discharge and, R2 was 0.7 and NSE was 0.79 in soil moisture, respectively. As a result of performing infinite slope stability analysis in the area where landslides occurred in the past based on simulated data (SWAT analysis result of 0.7~0.8), AuROC showed 0.98, indicating that the suggested prediction method was resonable. Based on this, as a result of predicting the characteristics of landslide occurrence by 2050 using climate change scenario (RCP 8.5) data, it was calculated that four landslides could occur with a soil moisture content of more than 75% and rainfall over 250 mm/day during simulation. Although this study needs to be evaluated in various regions because of a case study, it was possible to determine the possibility of prediction through modeling of subsurface flow mechanism, one of the most important attributes in landslide occurrence.

A Study on the Infinite Slope Safty Factor Applied to the Roots Cohesion (뿌리 점착력을 적용한 무한사면 안전률에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Won-Il;Choi, Eun-Hwa;Suh, Jin-Won;Jeon, Seong-Kon
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2016
  • The safety factor of an infinite slope tends to be analyzed as lower when the effects of root cohesion are not considered into the equation. Thus, it is essential to consider regional characteristics such as root cohesion and crown density in order to obtain a reasonable safety factor value. In this study, The safety factor of the landslide model, both before and after considering crown density and root cohesion, was calculated and a comparative analysis was carried out. The safety factor is increased by the effect of roots cohesion of the analysis results, the amount of increase in safety factor along the inclination of the slope angle has been analyzed with various things, the effect of reinforcing the roots cohesion, slope of the lower angle it was found that the higher the safety factor increase.