• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.23 no.3
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• pp.535-542
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• 2012

The consumer price index (CPI) data is one of the important economic measurement of the country. In this article, the Autoregressive Error (ARE) model has been considered for analyzing the monthly CPI data at Seoul, Pusan, Daegu, and Gwangju Cities in Korea, In the ARE model, nine economic variables are used as the explanatory variables for the CPI data set. The nine explanatory variables are CCI (coincident composite index), won-dollar rate, producer price index, oil import price, oil import volume, international current account, import price index, unemployment rate, and amount of currency. The result showed that the monthly ARE models explained about 46-52% for describing the CPI.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.43 no.6
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• pp.583-595
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• 2010

Virtual water is defined as the volume of water to produce commodities and provide services, which has been developed by Tony Allan since the early 1990s. This research aims to evaluate a volume of virtual water trade in Korea from 1998 to 2007 by applying the evaluation method of unit virtual water volume to agricultural, live stock and industrial products, which is developed by Chapagain and Hoekstra (2004). Also, the concept of water footprint is deployed to quantify the volume of virtual water trade between countries. The study attempts to assess the appropriateness of the evaluation method of unit virtual water volume by employing the method to calculate the total amount of agricultural products in Korea and comparing this with the amount of agricultural water demand in the Korea Water Vision 2006. The research outcome shows that Korea has a net virtual water import of 32 billion $m^3$ on average in the form of agricultural, live stock and industrial commodities whose volume gradually increases. The gap between the volume of virtual water import of agricultural and live stock commodities and the total volume of agricultural water use reaches approximately 600 million $m^3$. This figure can be negligible considering the total volume of water demand in Korea, around 16 billion $m^3$, which demonstrates the validity of the evaluation method in terms of analyzing water balance.

• The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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• v.39 no.1
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• pp.17-42
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• 2008

This study tried to build a structure model for the Korean flatfish aquaculture market by a system dynamics approach. A pool of several factors to influence the market structure was built. In addition, several reasonable factors related to the flatfish aquaculture market were selected to construct the causal loop diagram (CLD). Then the related stock/flow diagrams of the causal loop diagrams were constructed. This study had been forecasting a production price and supply, demand, and consumption volume for the flatfish market by a monthly basis, and then made some validation to the forecasting. Finally, four governmental policies such as import, storage, reduction of input, and demand control were tentatively evaluated by the created model. As a result, the facts that the demand control policy is most effective, and import and storage policies are moderately effective were found.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.183-195
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• 2022

Purpose - The study attempted to analyze how the U.S.-China trade dispute affects a highly trade-dependent South Korea. Currently, major domestic and international institutions have issued a number of conflicting predictions that the trade dispute between China and the United States will have a positive and negative impact on South Korea. Accordingly, the present study attempted to analyze using actual data. Design/methodology/approach - The analysis was conducted using actual import and export data from the United States and China and actual import and export data from the United States and China from South Korea. The analysis measured the number and amount of imports and exports by year and month, and the rate of increase and decrease. We also looked at trade dispute days, import and export outcomes and what the impact was. In addition, as a result of the US-China trade dispute, the amount of change in Korea's imports and exports was analyzed. Findings - Empirical analysis shows that South Korea's exports to the United States and China have increased. The analysis results are as follows. First, exports to the United States increased by 5.65% in 2018 and 6.45% in 2019 compared to 2017. Second, exports to China surged 12.34% in 2018 compared to 2017. This increase in South Korea's exports to the United States and its mass exports to the United States shows that South Korea has benefited from the trade dispute between the United States and China. Research implications or Originality - South Korea, which is highly trade-dependent, has been heavily affected by the U.S.-China trade dispute. Various predictions are made about this. The analysis showed that South Korea's export volume has increased. In the end, the effect of the trade transition to the 3rd country did not occur. Rather, the U.S.-China trade dispute appears to have helped South Korea.

• Korea Trade Review
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• v.48 no.4
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• pp.47-66
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• 2023

Our study aims to explore the impact of China's foreign trade policy measures on the real exchange rate movement. We seek to provide specific references for the formulation of exchange rate and trade-related strategies. Our results indicate that China's bilateral trade is significantly influenced by movements in the Real Effective Exchange Rate (RER). When analyzing the relationship between aggregated trade flow and exchange rate movements, this paper finds that the depreciation of the real exchange rate leads to an increase in China's export volume and a slight decrease in its import volume. Moreover, China's export volume exhibits higher sensitivity to exchange rate volatility compared to the exchange rate level. Furthermore, the empirical findings regarding disaggregated trade flow suggest that different goods are affected differently by exchange rate movements. Capital goods and consumer goods, being in different stages of processing, show no negative impact on their import and export due to exchange rate depreciation. Consequently, we recommend deepening the industry's reform by improving production efficiency and transitioning the industrial structure to a higher processing stage. This approach can effectively reduce the negative impact of exchange rate depreciation.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.34 no.3
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• pp.229-234
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• 2010

The aim of this study is to select the import and export goods which contribute to activate the operation of port hinterland. The spatial ranges of this study are A-am 1 logistics complex and 4dock hinterland. The Factor Analysis(FA) and Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) are used as the methodologies. Eleven low evaluation factors including 'creation of traffic cargo volume' are selected by precedent studies and four high evaluation factors including 'effective management' are grouped through factor analysis. As the result of priority among low evaluation factors through AHP, 'creation of traffic cargo volume' is the most important factor. Moreover using the AHP, 'electronic component' is the most important item which activate the Port of Incheon and its hinterland. So cargos which have the potential to create traffic cargo volume such as 'electronic component' must be managed strategically and this study can be used as important index when people concerned attract items.

• Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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• 2011.05a
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• pp.1031-1042
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• 2011

The direct investment and export of Korean companies has increased to Russia. Korea and China have mostly accounted for the Russian far eastern port of import and export cargo since 2000, and the share of container volume from Vostochny port in 2009 was Korea(71%), China(26%) and Japan(3%) each countries. Like above mentioned, The development in TSR transportation has a huge significance in the position of Korea because Korea is actively utilizing TSR(Trans Siberian Railway) transportation. Therefore, this paper is to examine the development and prospects in Trans Siberian Railway transportation.

• THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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• v.53
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• pp.315-336
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• 2012

In year 2011 export volume of South Korea surpassed 500billion USD and overall trade volume has exceeded one trillion USD. South Korea is ranked at 7th in the world by its export volume. Such an expansion of the trade volume leads to growth in customs clearance service demand. However, there are only handfuls of studies on the efficiency of customs clearance service which customs broker provide. If the efficiency in this study is not absolute, it shows relative efficiency to decision making unit. In this research survey was conducted targeting members of Korea Customs Brokers Association. Based on the survey improvement plans to enhance efficiency of customs clearances are as follows. First, rationalize the customs broker fee. Second, setup batch processing system to improve efficiency of the work process. Third, develop new area of task such as FTA and AEO certification. Forth, raise service quality by improving professionalism of customs brokers. Fifth, work efficiency of the office in the capital area will increase. Sixth, when inspecting import export cargo, customs broker should attend at the scene by their choice. Meanwhile, difference analysis on competent customs, type of office, and duration of the business was done but all the aspects were rejected. Such aspects does not influence on its effectiveness.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.23-48
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• 2021

The Korean economy has achieved continuous economic growth for the past several decades thanks to the government's export strategy policy. This increase in exports is playing a leading role in driving Korea's economic growth by improving economic efficiency, creating jobs, and promoting technology development. Traditionally, the main factors affecting Korea's exports can be found from two perspectives: economic factors and industrial structural factors. First, economic factors are related to exchange rates and global economic fluctuations. The impact of the exchange rate on Korea's exports depends on the exchange rate level and exchange rate volatility. Global economic fluctuations affect global import demand, which is an absolute factor influencing Korea's exports. Second, industrial structural factors are unique characteristics that occur depending on industries or products, such as slow international division of labor, increased domestic substitution of certain imported goods by China, and changes in overseas production patterns of major export industries. Looking at the most recent studies related to global exchanges, several literatures show the importance of cultural aspects as well as economic and industrial structural factors. Therefore, this study attempted to develop a forecasting model by considering cultural factors along with economic and industrial structural factors in calculating the import volume of each country from Korea. In particular, this study approaches the influence of cultural factors on imports of Korean products from the perspective of PUSH-PULL framework. The PUSH dimension is a perspective that Korea develops and actively promotes its own brand and can be defined as the degree of interest in each country for Korean brands represented by K-POP, K-FOOD, and K-CULTURE. In addition, the PULL dimension is a perspective centered on the cultural and psychological characteristics of the people of each country. This can be defined as how much they are inclined to accept Korean Flow as each country's cultural code represented by the country's governance system, masculinity, risk avoidance, and short-term/long-term orientation. The unique feature of this study is that the proposed final prediction model can be selected based on Design Principles. The design principles we presented are as follows. 1) A model was developed to reflect interest in Korea and cultural characteristics through newly added data sources. 2) It was designed in a practical and convenient way so that the forecast value can be immediately recalled by inputting changes in economic factors, item code and country code. 3) In order to derive theoretically meaningful results, an algorithm was selected that can interpret the relationship between the input and the target variable. This study can suggest meaningful implications from the technical, economic and policy aspects, and is expected to make a meaningful contribution to the export support strategies of small and medium-sized enterprises by using the import forecasting model.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.58-74
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• 2021

Purpose - This paper research on the embodied carbon emission in Sino-Korea trade. It calculates and analyzes the carbon emission coefficient and specific carbon emissions in Sino-Korea trade from 2005 to 2014. Design/methodology - This paper conducted an empirical analysis for embodied carbon emission in Sino-Korea trade during the years 2005-2014, using a multi-region input-output model. First, direct and complete CO2 emission coefficient of the two countries were calculated and compared. On this basis, combined with the world input-output table, the annual import and export volume and sector volume of embodied carbon emission are determined. Then through the comparative analysis of the empirical results, the reasons for the carbon imbalance in Sino-Korea trade are clarified, and the corresponding suggestions are put forward according to the environmental protection policies being implemented by the two countries. Findings - The results show that South Korea is in the state of net trade export and net embodied carbon import. The carbon emission coefficient of most sectors in South Korea is lower than that of China. However, the reduction of carbon emission coefficient in China is significantly faster than that in South Korea in this decade. The change of Korea's complete CO2 emission coefficient shows that policy factors have a great impact on environmental protection. The proportion of intra industry trade between China and South Korea is relatively large and concentrated in mechanical and electrical products, chemical products, etc. These sectors generally have large carbon emissions, which need to be noticed by both countries. Originality/value - To the best knowledge of the authors, this study is the first attempt to research the embodied carbon emission of ten consecutive years in Sino-Korea Trade. In addition, In this paper, some mathematical methods are used to overcome the error problem caused by different statistical caliber in different databases. Finally, the accurate measurement of carbon level in bilateral trade will provide some reference for trade development and environmental protection.