• 제목/요약/키워드: import inducement coefficient

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항공운송산업의 국민경제 파급효과 분석 (Estimating the Impacts of Air Transportation Industry on National Economy)

  • 배기형
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.30-39
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze how much Air Transportation Industry contribute to national economy by measuring economic spreading effects of Air Transportation Industry on national economy. To achieve the purpose of the study, the study uses an Air Transportation Input-Output Table of year 2000 of korea. The results shows that Air Transportation Industry induce 274,530.8 billion won of national production, import inducement 13,7073.7 billion won, value-added 110,994.9 billion won, especially Air Transportation Industry shows that production inducement coefficient is 1.36803, import inducement coefficient is 0.60581, value-added coefficient is 0.45189, income inducement coefficient is 0.18599 and employment inducement coefficient is 0.00841.

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산업연관분석을 적용한 국내 외식산업의 경제적 파급효과 분석 (The Effect of the Food Service Industry up on the National Economy of Korea)

  • 천희숙;한경수
    • 대한지역사회영양학회지
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    • 제8권5호
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    • pp.763-769
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    • 2003
  • The food-service industry in Korea has experienced remarkable growth during the past few decades. The objectives of this study were to analyze the influence of the food-service industry upon the national economy by using an input-output analysis and to find the industrial position of the food service industry. This paper analysed the economic effect of the food-service industry using 168 items arranged in a transaction table based on producer's prices in the 1995 input-output tables. The results of this study showed that the food-service industry had a major influence on the national economy of Korea. Based on the calculation of the following five coefficients; Korea's production inducement coefficient ranked as 50, its import inducement coefficient ranked as 28, its value added inducement coefficient ranked as 32, its worker inducement coefficient ranked as 2 and its employee inducement coefficient per final demand ranked as 5 in a total of 168 industries.

Economic Ripple Effect of the TKR on the Logistics Industry

  • KIM, Sun-Ju
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to analyze the economic ripple effect(ERE) of logistics industry by construction of Trans-Korea Railway (TKR) and present policy measures to minimize the economic loss of South Korea (SK). Research design, data and methodology: As the analysis method, exponential smoothing was used for demand forecasting, Input-Output analysis was used to estimate the economic ripple effect coefficient, and scenario analysis was used to an efficient way to invest in TKR to minimize SK's economic losses. Results: 1) the production(logistics fares) of TKR for 10 years after its completion is about 11.42 trillion won in positive relations, and 26.89 billion won in negative relations. 2) the ERE of SK in positive relations is 24.32 trillion won in production inducement effect, 8.1 trillion won in value-added inducement effect, 3.54 trillion won in import inducement effect, and 70,930 persons in employment inducement effect. But the ERE was insufficient in the negative relations. 3) SK's efficient investment method is providing materials and equipment by SK and building the TKR by North Korea in positive inter-Korea relations. Conclusions: For the successful operation of TKR, international cooperation, legalization and stable peace settlement on the Korean Peninsula are required.

항만산업의 경제적 파급효과 (Economic Effects of the Port Industries)

  • 김안호;기성래
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.141-160
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    • 2005
  • This paper estimate and analyze the economic effect of the port industries as well its production inducement coefficient, effect ratio and response ratio using above-mention input-output analysis. The results of analysis is that the production inducement effects and the forward and backward linkage effects of port industries sectors are evaluated low evaluations. This results is not the port industry doesn't have low effects and low contributions to Korea economy, port industries are more used in the field of export and import sectors than domestic demand and supply sectors. Accordingly, the import inducement coefficients of shipping industry is most high among the 404 detailed sectors.

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펄프, 종이 및 종이제품의 국민경제 기여도 분석 (Input-output Analysis for Pulp, Paper and Paper Product Industries)

  • 김철환;문지민;김의경;안병일
    • 펄프종이기술
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    • 제42권4호
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 2010
  • In order to investigate the structures and growth patterns of pulp and paper industries of Korea, the input-output tables of the year 1995, 2000, 2005 and 2007 were analyzed in this papers. The production inducement coefficients of these industries have grown during the designated period. In 2007, the value of production induced by pulp industry was estimated to be 343,8 billion won. Paper and paper product industries were estimated to induce the production of other industries by 7,281,6 and 8,515.9 billion won, respectively. The import inducement effect of pulp industry was estimated to be larger than that of paper and paper product industries. Analysis on the forward linkage effects indicated that paper and paper product industries were more sensitive to the change in demand of other industries than pulp industry.

동해북부선 철도의 경제적 효과 (Economic Analysis of the Donghae-Bukppuseon Railway)

  • 김선주
    • 토지주택연구
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzes the Domestic Economic Ripple Effect (DERE) of the Donghae-Bukpuseon Railway (DBR). Input-Output Analysis and Scenario Analysis are employed. First, the future demand is approximately 6.86 billion people, 1.4 billion tons of logistics, and future forecast production is 1.2 trillion won for passengers, and 0.15 trillion won for logistics. Second, the production inducement (PI) coefficient of the railway industry is 2.080, the value-added inducement (VAI) coefficient is 0.680, the import inducement (II) coefficient is 0.32 and the employment inducement (EI) coefficient is 6.45. Third, for the DERE, PI is 2.846 trillion won, VAI is 0.939 trillion won, II is 0.446 trillion won, and EI is 8,737 people/1 billion won. Fourth, PI is approximately 2.8 trillion won, and the payback period is 35 years. Scenario 1 (a 50% increase in the demand for tourism) takes approximately 27 years, Scenario 2 (an 100% increase), 20 years, and Scenario3 (an 150% increase), 16 years. The successful way of the DBR is to enlarge the linkage effect of trans-railways for which international cooperation and agreements are needed. Also, even if the DBR is isolated due to worsening inter-Korea relations, the development of tourism resources is important for public investment feasibility.

해운.항만산업의 경제적 파급효과 분석 (An Analysis of the Economic Effects of Marine Transport and Port Industry)

  • 정분도;심재희
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.311-329
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    • 2011
  • 해운 항만산업은 수출입의 최전선이자 무한한 부가가치를 창출하는 국가적 산업이다. 최근의 세계 경제위기로 인해 항만물동량이 둔화되는 등 우리의 해운 항만산업의 어려움을 겪고 있다. 이러한 어려움은 이를 어떻게 준비하고 대응하느냐에 따라서 새로운 도약을 위한 기회가 될 수 있다. 해운 항만 업체 스스로 끊임없는 노력을 통해 경쟁력을 강화한다면 머지않아 국내에도 외국 해운 항만업체와 당당하게 경쟁할 수 있는 대표적인 업체가 생겨날 것이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 국내 해운 항만 산업의 경제적 파급효과를 산업연관표를 이용하여 살펴보고자 한다. 산업연관표를 이용하여 해운 항만산업의 경제적 효과를 요약하면, 첫째, 2005년 생산유발계수는 항만시설이 1.958로 가장 높고 다음으로 연안 및 내륙수상운송 1.857, 하역 1.842, 기타 운수관련서비스 1.768, 보관 및 창고 1.676, 수상운수보조서비스 1.422, 외항운송이 1.283 순으로 나타났다. 둘째, 부가가치유발계수를 살펴보면, 수상운수보조서비스 0.924, 하역, 보관 및 창고 0.902, 기타 운수관련서비스 0.885, 항만시설 0.832, 연안 및 내륙수상운송 0.752, 외항운송이 0.258로 가장 낮게 나타났다. 셋째, 2005년 중 수입유발계수를 보면, 외항운송 0.742, 연안 및 내륙수상운송 0.248, 항만시설 0.168, 기타 운수관련서비스 0.115, 하역, 보관 및 창고 0.098, 수상운수보조서비스가 0.076으로 가장 낮게 나타났다. 넷째, 기타 운수 관련서비스(1.125)와 하역(0.882)의 감응도계수가 높고, 항만시설과 외항운송이 0.514로 감응도계수가 낮다. 항만시설(1.006)과 연안 및 내륙수상운송(0.954), 하역(0.946), 기타 운수관련 서비스(0.908)의 영향력계수가 높고, 반면 외항운송(0.659)의 영향력계수가 낮다.

한국과 RCEP 참여국가와의 무역구조에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Trade Structure between Korea and RCEP Participating Countries)

  • 김민수
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) among 16 countries including South Korea, the largest free trade agreement in the Asia-Pacific region, will be concluded next year. The participating countries decided to pursue a comprehensive and high -quality agreement, while ensuring flexibility considering development level of each country. In this study, trade structures between nations from 2005 through 2016 were examined to see the impact that this agreement will have on Korea and to come up with effective countermeasures. Research design, data, and methodology - The method of analysis includes the analysis of the trade matrix, which is useful for identifying the dependency of the individual countries on the market in the region and the reciprocal dependency of the member countries on the market, and the index of intensity of trade, which is useful for figuring out the share of trade between the parties in total trade. Results - The results showed that first, the international trade coefficients of Vietnam and Philippines are higher than those of China and Japan. Secondly, the international inducement coefficients between China and Japan were high, and that between Indonesia and Burma were low, indicating that Korea's exports did not have much effect on export increase of these countries. Third, as a result of analyzing Korea's trade intensity, it was found that export intensity and import intensity were greater than 1 in Vietnam and Philippines, which shows that there is a high degree of relational bond with these countries. India and Laos countries still have a low level of relational bond, which indicates that there is room for improvement in economic relations when the agreement is concluded. After the signing of the agreement in the future, more diverse industrial structures should be continuously studied. Conclusions - The analysis of trade matrix, trade structure, trade inducement coefficient and trade intensity between Korea and RCEP participating countries shows that the majority of the countries have the high level of economic relationship with Korea. Korea should drive a harder bargain when negotiating the terms of the RCEP, in comparison with the level of the existing FTA agreement excluding Japan.

물류서비스 산업의 국민경제적 파급효과 분석 (A Study on the Ripple Effect of Physical Distribution Service Industry on National Economy)

  • 정분도;홍금우
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.193-208
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    • 2008
  • 본 논문의 연구목적은 산업연관표를 이용하여 물류서비스산업의 국민경제적 파급효과를 분석함으로써 물류서비스부문의 정책개선의 자료로 활용하고자 한다. 분석을 위하여 한국은행에서 작성 발표된 산업연관표를 사용하였는데, 1998년, 2000년, 2003년의 산업연관표를 이용하여 분석하였다. 분석결과를 요약하면, 생산유발계수는 철도운송 1757단위, 도로운송 1688단위, 하역 1617단위로 높게 나타나고, 수입유발계수를 보면, 운수보조서비스, 하역, 보관 및 창고, 기타 운수관련서비스 등은 낮게 나타나는 반면 수상운송 0.679단위, 항공운송 0.558단위로 수입유발계수가 높게 나타나고 있다. 다음으로 부가가치유발계수는, 철도운송 0.841단위, 도로운송 0.828단위, 운수보조서비스 0.962단위, 하역 0.939단위, 보관 및 창고 0.938단위, 기타 운수관련서비스 0.942단위로 부가가치유발계수가 높게 나타나고 있다. 감응도계수는 도로운송이 높고, 수상운송과 보관 및 창고업의 감응도계수가 낮다. 그리고 영향력계수는 철도운송, 도로운송이 높고, 반면에 수상운송과 항공운송의 영향력계수가 낮게 나타났다. 물류서비스산업의 취업구조를 살펴보면, 도로운송부문이 74만 4천명으로 가장 많이 종사하고 있으며, 항공운송 1만 9천명, 운수보조서비스업이 2만명으로 물류서비스업에서 종사자가 가장 적은 것으로 나타났다.

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산업관련표(産業關聯表)에 의(依)한 임업구조분석(林業構造分析)과 유발생산액(誘發生産額) -임업(林業)이 한국경제(韓國經濟)에 미치는 영향(影響)- (Analysis of Forestry Structure and Induced Output Based on Input - output Table - Influences of Forestry Production on Korean Economy -)

  • 이승윤
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • 제2권4호
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    • pp.4-14
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    • 1974
  • The total forest land area in Korea accounts for some 67 percent of the nation's land total. Its productivity, however, is very low. Consequently, forest production accounts for only about 2 percent of the gross national product and a minor proportion of no more than about 5 percent versus primary industry. In this case, however, only the direct income from forestry is taken into account, making no reference to the forestry output induced by other industrial sectors. The value added Or the induced forestry output in manufacturing the primary wood products into higher quality products, makes a larger contribution to the economy than direct contribution. So, this author has tried to analyze the structure of forestry and compute the repercussion effect and the induced output of primary forest products when utilized by other industries for their raw materials, Hsing the input-output table and attached tables for 1963 and 1966 issued by the Bank of Korea. 1. Analysis of forestry structure A. Changes in total output Durng the nine-year period, 1961-1969, the real gross national product in Korea increased 2.1 times, while that of primary industries went up about 1. 4 times. Forestry which was valued at 9,380 million won in 1961, was picked up about 2. 1 times to 20, 120 million won in 1969. The rate of the forestry income in the GNP, accordingly, was no more than 1.5 percent both in 1961 and 1962, whereas its rate in primary industries increased 3.5 to 5.4 percent. Such increase in forestry income is attributable to increased forest production and rise in timber prices. The rate of forestry income, nonetheless, was on the decrease on a gradual basis. B. Changes in input coefficient The input coefficient which indicates the inputs of the forest products into other sectors were up in general in 1966 over 1963. It is noted that the input coefficient indicating the amount of forest products supplied to such industries closely related with forestry as lumber and plywood, and wood products and furniture, showed a downward trend for the period 1963-1966. On the other hand, the forest input into other sectors was generally on the increase. Meanwhile, the input coefficient representing the yolume of the forest products supplied to the forestry sector itself showed an upward tendency, which meant more and more decrease in input from other sectors. Generally speaking, in direct proportion to the higher input coefficient in any industrial sector, the reinput coefficient which denotes the use of its products by the same sector becomes higher and higher. C. Changes in ratio of intermediate input The intermediate input ratio showing the dependency on raw materials went up to 15.43 percent m 1966 from 11. 37 percent in 1963. The dependency of forestry on raw materials was no more than 15.43 percent, accounting for a high 83.57 percent of value added. If the intermediate input ratio increases in any given sector, the input coefficient which represents the fe-use of its products by the same sector becomes large. D. Changes in the ratio of intermediate demand The ratio of the intermediate demand represents the characteristics of the intermediary production in each industry, the intermediate demand ratio in forestry which accunted for 69.7 percent in 1963 went up to 75.2 percent in 1966. In other words, forestry is a remarkable industry in that there is characteristics of the intermediary production. E. Changes in import coefficient The import coefficient which denotes the relation between the production activities and imports, recorded at 4.4 percent in 1963, decreased to 2.4 percent in 1966. The ratio of import to total output is not so high. F. Changes in market composition of imported goods One of the major imported goods in the forestry sector is lumber. The import value increased by 60 percent to 667 million won in 1966 from 407 million won in 1963. The sales of imported forest products to two major outlets-lumber and plywood, and wood products and furniture-increased to 343 million won and 31 million won in 1966 from 240million won and 30 million won in 1963 respectively. On the other hand, imported goods valued at 66 million won were sold to the paper products sector in 1963; however, no supply to this sector was recorded in 1963. Besides these major markets, primary industries such as the fishery, coal and agriculture sectors purchase materials from forestry. 2. Analysis of repercussion effect on production The repercussion effect of final demand in any given sector upon the expansion of the production of other sectors was analyzed, using the inverse matrix coefficient tables attached to the the I.O. Table. A. Changes in intra-sector transaction value of inverse matrix coefficient. The intra-sector transaction value of an inverse matrix coefficient represents the extent of an induced increase in the production of self-support products of the same sector, when it is generated directly and indirectly by one unit of final demand in any given sector. The intra-sector transaction value of the forestry sector rose from 1.04 in 1963 to 1, 11 in 1966. It may well be said, therefore, that forestry induces much more self-supporting products in the production of one unit of final demand for forest products. B. Changes in column total of inverse matrix coefficient It should be noted that the column total indicates the degree of effect of the output of the corresponding and related sectors generated by one unit of final demand in each sector. No changes in the column total of the forestry sector were recorded between the 1963 and 1966 figures, both being the same 1. 19. C. Changes in difference between column total and intra-sector transaction amount. The difference between the column total and intra-sector transaction amount by sector reveals the extent of effect of output of related industrial sector induced indirectly by one unit of final demand in corresponding sector. This change in forestry dropped remarkable to 0.08 in 1966 from 0.15 in 1963. Accordingly, the effect of inducement of indirect output of other forestry-related sectors has decreased; this is a really natural phenomenon, as compared with an increasing input coefficient generated by the re-use of forest products by the forestry sector. 3. Induced output of forestry A. Forest products, wood in particular, are supplied to other industries as their raw materials, increasng their value added. In this connection the primary dependency rate on forestry for 1963 and 1966 was compared, i. e., an increase or decrease in each sector, from 7.71 percent in 1963 to 11.91 percent in 1966 in agriculture, 10.32 to 6.11 in fishery, 16.24 to 19.90 in mining, 0.76 to 0.70 in the manufacturing sector and 2.79 to 4.77 percent in the construction sector. Generally speaking, on the average the dependency on forestry during the period 1963-1966 increased from 5.92 percent to 8.03 percent. Accordingly, it may easily be known that the primary forestry output induced by primary and secondary industries increased from 16, 109 million won in 1963 to 48, 842 million won in 1966. B. The forest products are supplied to other industries as their raw materials. The products are processed further into higher quality products. thus indirectly increasing the value of the forest products. The ratio of the increased value added or the secondary dependency on forestry for 1963 and 1966 showed an increase or decrease, from 5.98 percent to 7.87 percent in agriculture, 9.06 to 5.74 in fishery, 13.56 to 15.81 in mining, 0.68 to 0.61 in the manufacturing sector and 2.71 to 4.54 in the construction sector. The average ratio in this connection increased from 4.69 percent to 5.60 percent. In the meantime, the secondary forestry output induced by primary and secondary industries rose from 12,779 million Wall in 1963 to 34,084 million won in 1966. C. The dependency of tertiary industries on forestry showed very minor ratios of 0.46 percent and 0.04 percent in 1963 and 1966 respectively. The forestry output induced by tertiary industry also decreased from 685 million won to 123 million won during the same period. D. Generally speaking, the ratio of dependency on forestry increased from 17.68 percent in 1963 to 24.28 percent in 1966 in primary industries, from 4.69 percent to 5.70 percent in secondary industries, while, as mentioned above, the ratio in the case of tertiary industry decreased from 0.46 to 0.04 percent during the period 1963-66. The mining industry reveals the heaviest rate of dependency on forestry with 29.80 percent in 1963 and 35.71 percent in 1966. As it result, the direct forestry income, valued at 8,172 million won in 1963, shot up to 22,724 million won in 1966. Its composition ratio lo the national income rose from 1.9 percent in 1963 to 2.3 per cent in 1966. If the induced outcome is taken into account, the total forestry production which was estimated at 37,744 million won in 1963 picked up to 105,773 million won in 1966, about 4.5 times its direct income. It is further noted that the ratio of the gross forestry product to the gross national product. rose significantly from 8.8 percent in 1963 to 10.7 percent in 1966. E. In computing the above mentioned ratio not taken into consideration were such intangible, indirect effects as the drought and flood prevention, check of soil run-off, watershed and land conservation, improvement of the people's recreational and emotional living, and maintenance and increase in the national health and sanitation. F. In conclusion, I would like to emphasize that the forestry sector exercices an important effect upon the national economy and that the effect of induced forestry output is greater than its direct income.

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