• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2008년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.2116-2120
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• 2008

Recently, in the national railway industry there has been interested in the methodology of hazard analysis and risk assessment. The need of safety management system based on the technology of hazard analysis and risk assessment is being extended to identify in advance the weakness and threat factors causing the accident and cope with the accident actively. It is important to manage the risk of railway casualty accidents having a majority of railway accident. Especially, a hazard event of people struck takes the highest proportion of the railway casualty accidents. This paper describes the result of analysis for environment properties such as an age of casualty, time happened, day, month and weather conditions being concerned in the hazard event of people struck.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제8권3호
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• pp.681-697
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• 2015

Iran as one of the countries located on the Alpine-Himalayan seismic belt has recently experienced a few number of catastrophic earthquakes. A well-known index of how buildings are affected by earthquakes is through assessment of probable Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) and structures' response spectra. In this research, active faults around Kerman and Birjand, two major cities in eastern parts of Iran, have been considered. Seismic catalogues are gathered to categorize effects of surrounding faults on seismicity of the region. These catalogues were further refined with respect to time and space based on Knopoff-Gardner algorithm in order to increase statistical independency of events. Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) has been estimated for each of cities regarding 50, 100, 200 and 500 years of structures' effective life-span. These results subsequently have been compared with Deterministic Seismic Hazard Analysis (DSHA). It has been observed that DSHA not necessarily suggests upper bound of PSHA results. Furthermore, based on spectral Ground Motion Prediction Equations (GMPEs), Uniform Hazard Spectra (UHS) and spectral acceleration were provided for 2% and 10% levels of probability of exceedance. The results show that increasing source-to-site distance leads to spectral acceleration reduction regarding each fault. In addition, the spectral acceleration rate of variation would increase if the source-to-site distance decreases.

• 자원환경지질
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• 제51권2호
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• pp.203-211
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• 2018

국내 원전부지 지진재해도 평가 경험을 바탕으로 향후 지진재해도 평가 시 보다 정량적인 평가를 위하여 고려하여야 할 사항에 대하여 점검하였다. 지진재해도 평가 방법을 양분하는 것으로 알려진 결정론적 방법과 확률론적 방법에 대하여 간단히 소개하였으며, 대부분의 후속 논의는 확률론적 지진재해도 평가에 집중하였다. 이 평가를 국내 원전부지에 적용한 과거 사례를 토대로 제기된 불확실성의 원인을 추적하였다. 확률론적 지진재해도 평가의 고려사항으로 전문가의 역할, 대표지진목록 작성, 지진원 설정, 지진-지반운동 관계식 개발 및 지진재해도 평가 절차에 대하여 토의하였다. 각 주제별로 불확실성을 증가시키는 요인을 분석하고 국내 환경에 적합한 해결 방안을 토의하였다.

• 한국지진공학회논문집
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.151-160
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• 2014

Probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis (PTHA) is based on the approach of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) which is performed using various seismotectonic models and ground-motion prediction equations. The major difference between PTHA and PSHA is that PTHA requires the wave parameters of tsunami. The wave parameters can be estimated from tsunami propagation analysis. Therefore, a tsunami simulation analysis was conducted for the purpose of evaluating the wave parameters required for the PTHA of Uljin nuclear power plant (NPP) site. The tsunamigenic fault sources in the western part of Japan were chosen for the analysis. The wave heights for 80 rupture scenarios were numerically simulated. The synthetic tsunami waveforms were obtained around the Uljin NPP site. The results show that the wave heights are closely related with the location of the fault sources and the associated potential earthquake magnitudes. These wave parameters can be used as input data for the future PTHA study of the Uljin NPP site.

• 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.96-109
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• 2011

본 연구에서는 지하공간 안전체계 확립을 위하여 위험상황별 5 가지 안전관리요소(시설 구조, 피난, 인명구조 소화활동, 성능기반의 화재 안전계획 운영 관리)를 분류해 보았다. 분류된 안전관리 요소로 화재위험성 평가를 수행하기 위하여 평가항목을 분류하고, 평가항목에 대한 점수를 계산하여 최종적으로 화재위험성 평가방안을 제시하였다. 평가항목에 대한 배점은 중요도에 따라 3 단계로 분류하여 단계별로 차등 부여하였고, 평가항목별 점수 평가기준은 소분류의 평가항목 점검결과를 통해 4단계로 구분하여 평가할 수 있게 하였다.

• 지질공학
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.353-363
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• 2012

울릉도는 강도가 약한 화산암과 강도는 높으나 수직절리가 잘 발달하는 조면암질암으로 구성되어 있으며, 이러한 지질학적 특성으로 인해 낙석이 빈번하게 발생하고 있어 일주도로의 이용에 큰 위험요소로 작용하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 낙석 재해위험도가 높은 울릉도 북동부의 약 3 km 구간을 대상으로 3종류의 낙석재해 위험도 평가법을 이용하여 낙석재해 위험도 평가를 수행하고 재해도를 작성하였다. 사용된 평가표는 일본 도로방재 총점검에서 적용된 낙석위험도 조사표, 일본 고속도로조사회의 낙석위험도 평가표, 그리고 미국연방도로국의 RHRS (Rockfall Hazard Rating System)이다. 도로사면의 지형 지질학적 조건을 고려하여 27개 구간을 설정하여 평가한 결과, 20개 사면(약 74%)에서 낙석재해 위험도가 높음과 보통으로 평가되었다. 이러한 조사결과를 바탕으로 낙석재해 위험도를 작성하였다.

• 방재저널
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.118-119
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• 2012

• 방재저널
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.70-71
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• 2013

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국방재학회 2009년도 정기 학술발표대회
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• pp.25-25
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• 2009

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제29권8호
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• pp.1188-1196
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• 2016

This study evaluated the risk of Clostridium perfringens (C. perfringens) foodborne illness from natural and processed cheeses. Microbial risk assessment in this study was conducted according to four steps: hazard identification, hazard characterization, exposure assessment, and risk characterization. The hazard identification of C. perfringens on cheese was identified through literature, and dose response models were utilized for hazard characterization of the pathogen. For exposure assessment, the prevalence of C. perfringens, storage temperatures, storage time, and annual amounts of cheese consumption were surveyed. Eventually, a simulation model was developed using the collected data and the simulation result was used to estimate the probability of C. perfringens foodborne illness by cheese consumption with @RISK. C. perfringens was determined to be low risk on cheese based on hazard identification, and the exponential model ($r=1.82{\times}10^{-11}$) was deemed appropriate for hazard characterization. Annual amounts of natural and processed cheese consumption were $12.40{\pm}19.43g$ and $19.46{\pm}14.39g$, respectively. Since the contamination levels of C. perfringens on natural (0.30 Log CFU/g) and processed cheeses (0.45 Log CFU/g) were below the detection limit, the initial contamination levels of natural and processed cheeses were estimated by beta distribution (${\alpha}1=1$, ${\alpha}2=91$; ${\alpha}1=1$, ${\alpha}2=309$)${\times}$uniform distribution (a = 0, b = 2; a = 0, b = 2.8) to be -2.35 and -2.73 Log CFU/g, respectively. Moreover, no growth of C. perfringens was observed for exposure assessment to simulated conditions of distribution and storage. These data were used for risk characterization by a simulation model, and the mean values of the probability of C. perfringens foodborne illness by cheese consumption per person per day for natural and processed cheeses were $9.57{\times}10^{-14}$ and $3.58{\times}10^{-14}$, respectively. These results indicate that probability of C. perfringens foodborne illness by consumption cheese is low, and it can be used to establish microbial criteria for C. perfringens on natural and processed cheeses.