• Title/Summary/Keyword: graphical model

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A Comparative Study of Consumer's Hype Cycles Using Web Search Traffic of Naver and Google (웹 검색트래픽을 활용한 소비자의 기대주기 비교 연구: 네이버와 구글 검색을 중심으로)

  • Jun, Seung-Pyo;Kim, You Eil;Yoo, Hyoung Sun
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.1109-1133
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    • 2013
  • In an effort to discover new technologies and to forecast social changes of technologies, a number of technology life-cycle models have been developed and employed. The hype cycle, a graphical tool developed by a consulting firm, Gartner, is one of the most widely used models for the purpose and it is recognised as a practical one. However, more research is needed on theoretical frames, relations and empirical practices of the model. In this study, hype cycle comparisons in Korean and global search websites were performed by means of web-search traffic which is proposed as an empirical measurement of public expectation, analysed in a specific product or country in previous researches. First, search traffic and market share for new cars were compared in Korea and the U.S. with a view to identifying differences between the hype cycles in the two countries about the same product. The results show the similarity between the two countries with the statistical significance. Next, comparative analysis between search traffic and supply rate for several products in Korea was conducted to check out their patterns. According to the analysis, all the products seem to be at the "Peak of inflated expectations" in the hype cycles and they are similar to one another in the hype cycle. This study is of significance in aspects of expanding the scope of hype cycle analysis with web-search traffic because it introduced domestic web-search traffic analysis from Naver to analyse consumers' expectations in Korea by comparison with that from Google in other countries. In addition, this research can help to explain social phenomina more persuasively with search traffic and to give scientific objectivity to the hype cycle model. Furthermore, it can contribute to developing strategies of companies, such as marketing strategy.

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Reliability Analysis and Fatigue Models of Concrete under Flexural or Split Tensional Cyclic Loadings (휨 또는 쪼갬인장 반복하중을 받는 콘크리트의 신뢰성 해석과 피로모델 제안)

  • Kim Dong-Ho;Sim Do-Sik;Kim Sung-Hwan;Yun Kyong-Ku
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.16 no.5 s.83
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    • pp.581-589
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    • 2004
  • This paper compares the fatigue behaviors of concretes subjected to flexural and split-tensional loadings, and proposes the fatigue reliability models based on experimental results and reliability analysis. The fatigue tests were performed for the specimens of $150 mm{\times}75 mm$ split tensional cylinders and $150 mm{\times}150 mm{\times}550 mm$ flexural beams under constant loadings at three levels (70, 80 and $90\%$) with 0.1 stress ratio, 20 Hz loading speed and sine wave. The reliability analysis on fatigue data was based on Weibull distribution of two-parameters. From fatigue test results, two criteria were proposed to reject the experimental fatigue data because of statistical variation of concrete fatigue data. Two parameters ($\alpha$and u) of Weibull distribution were obtained using graphical method, moment method and maximum likelihood method. The probability density function(P.D.F) and cumulative distribution function(C.D.F) of the Weibull distribution for fatigue life of pavement concrete were derived for various stress levels using parameters, $\alpha$ and u. The goodness-of-fit test by Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was acceptable at $5\%$ level of significance. Based on reliability analysis, a fatigue model for pavement concrete was proposed and compared from existing models.

Optimization of Ingredient Mixing Ratio for Preparation of Chinese Radish (Raphanus sativus L.) Jam (무 잼 재료 혼합비율의 최적화)

  • Park, Jung-Eun;Kim, Mi-Jung;Jang, Myung-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Science and Nutrition
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.235-243
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    • 2009
  • This study was performed to find the optimum ratio of ingredients in the Chinese radish jam. The experiment was designed according to the RSM (response surface methodology), which included 18 experimental points with 4 replicates for three independent variables (sugar $45{\sim}70%$, pectin $0.5{\sim}2.0.%$, citric acid $0.2{\sim}0.5%$). The compositional and functional properties of the prepared products were measured, and these values were applied to the mathematical models. By use of F-test, sweetness, color values (L, a, b), and firmness were expressed by a linear model, while the sensory characteristics (color, smell, taste, texture and overall acceptance) were by a quadratic model. In the numeric optimization, the optimal ingredient amounts were 53.7% sugar, 1.0% pectin, and 0.3% citric acid. And in the graphical optimization, 53.9% sugar, 1.0% pectin, and 0.3% citric acid; these data were equivalent to 0.6985 desirability, indicating that the values were almost equivalent to the numerical optimization points. The above results demonstrate the feasibility of Chinese radish jam, and therefore, the commercialization of a Chinese radish jam marketed as a functional food is deemed possible.

An Object-Based Verification Method for Microscale Weather Analysis Module: Application to a Wind Speed Forecasting Model for the Korean Peninsula (미기상해석모듈 출력물의 정확성에 대한 객체기반 검증법: 한반도 풍속예측모형의 정확성 검증에의 응용)

  • Kim, Hea-Jung;Kwak, Hwa-Ryun;Kim, Sang-il;Choi, Young-Jean
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1275-1288
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    • 2015
  • A microscale weather analysis module (about 1km or less) is a microscale numerical weather prediction model designed for operational forecasting and atmospheric research needs such as radiant energy, thermal energy, and humidity. The accuracy of the module is directly related to the usefulness and quality of real-time microscale weather information service in the metropolitan area. This paper suggests an object based verification method useful for spatio-temporal evaluation of the accuracy of the microscale weather analysis module. The method is a graphical method comprised of three steps that constructs a lattice field of evaluation statistics, merges and identifies objects, and evaluates the accuracy of the module. We develop lattice fields using various evaluation spatio-temporal statistics as well as an efficient object identification algorithm that conducts convolution, masking, and merging operations to the lattice fields. A real data application demonstrates the utility of the verification method.

Optimization of Electro-UV-Ultrasonic Complex Process for E. coli Disinfection using Box-Behnken Experiment (Box-Behnken법을 이용한 E. coli 소독에서 전기-UV-초음파 복합 공정의 최적화)

  • Kim, Dong-Seog;Park, Young-Seek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.149-156
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    • 2011
  • This experimental design and response surface methodology (RSM) have been applied to the investigation of the electro-UV-ultrasonic complex process for the disinfection of E. coli in the water. The disinfection reactions of electro-UV-ultrasonic process were mathematically described as a function of parameters power of electrolysis ($X_1$), UV ($X_2$), and ultrasonic process ($X_3$) being modeled by use of the Box-Behnken technique, which was used for fitting 2nd order response surface model. The application of RSM yielded the following regression equation, which is empirical relationship between the residual E. coli number (Ln CFU) in water and test variables in coded unit: residual E. coli number (Ln CFU) = 23.69 - 3.75 Electrolysis - 0.67 UV - 0.26 Ultrasonic - 0.16 Electrolysis UV + 0.05 Electrolysis Ultrasonic + 0.27 $Electrolysis^2$ + 0.14 $UV^2$ - 0.01 $Ultrasonic^2$). The model predictions agreed well with the experimentally observed result ($R^2$ = 0.983). Graphical 2D contour and 3D response surface plots were used to locate the optimum range. The estimated ridge of maximum response and optimal conditions for residual E. coli number (Ln CFU) using 'numerical optimization' of Design-Expert software were 1.47 Ln CFU/L and 6.94 W of electrolysis, 6.72 W of UV and 14.23 W of ultrasonic process. This study clearly showed that response surface methodology was one of the suitable methods to optimize the operating conditions and minimize the residual E. coli number of the complex disinfection.

Optimal Design of Batch-Storage Network Including Uncertainty and Waste Treatment Processes (불확실한 공정과 불량품 처리체계를 포함하는 공정-저장조 망 최적설계)

  • Yi, Gyeongbeom;Lee, Euy-Soo
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.585-597
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    • 2008
  • The aim of this study was to find an analytic solution to the problem of determining the optimal capacity (lot-size) of a batch-storage network to meet demand for a finished product in a system undergoing random failures of operating time and/or batch material. The superstructure of the plant considered here consists of a network of serially and/or parallel interlinked batch processes and storage units. The production processes transform a set of feedstock materials into another set of products with constant conversion factors. The final product demand flow is susceptible to short-term random variations in the cycle time and batch size as well as long-term variations in the average trend. Some of the production processes have random variations in product quantity. The spoiled materials are treated through regeneration or waste disposal processes. All other processes have random variations only in the cycle time. The objective function of the optimization is minimizing the total cost, which is composed of setup and inventory holding costs as well as the capital costs of constructing processes and storage units. A novel production and inventory analysis, the PSW (Periodic Square Wave) model, provides a judicious graphical method to find the upper and lower bounds of random flows. The advantage of this model is that it provides a set of simple analytic solutions while also maintaining a realistic description of the random material flows between processes and storage units; as a consequence of these analytic solutions, the computation burden is significantly reduced.

The Quality Characteristics of Cookies Prepared with Agaricus blazei Murill (아가리쿠스 버섯 가루를 첨가한 쿠키의 최적화 연구)

  • Lee, Heejeong;Jeong, Hee Sun;Joo, Nami
    • Korean journal of food and cookery science
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.175-184
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study was to determine the optimal mixing ratio of Agaricus blazei Murill powder and butter in the preparation of cookies. The experimental design utilized herein was based on central composite design for response surface methodology, which included 10 experimental points, including 2 replicates for Agaricus blazei Murill and butter. The physical, mechanical, and sensory properties of the test were measured, and these values were applied to the mathematical models. A canonical form and perturbation plot showed the influence of each ingredient on the final mixed product. The spread ratio increased significantly with an increase in Agaricus blazei Murill powder and butter (p<0.05). The response surface methodology was applied to evaluate the effect of Agaricus blazei Murill powder and butter on cookie moisture and color (L, a) (p<0.001). Sensory evaluation showed significant values for color (p<0.05), flavor (p<0.05), texture (p<0.05) and overall quality (p<0.01) in the predicted model. The optimum formulation by numerical and graphical methods was calculated as follows: Agaricus blazei Murill powder 3.63 g, butter 55.37 g.

Holographic Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationship (HQSAR) Analyses for the Herbicidal Activities of New Novel 2-(4-chloro-5-(2-chloroallyloxy)-2-fluorophenyl)-3-thioalkoxy-2,3,4,5,6,7-hexahydroisoindol-1-one Derivatives (새로운 2-(4-chloro-5-(2-chloroallyloxy)-2-fluorophenyl)-3-thioalkoxy-2,3,4,5,6,7-hexahydroisoindol-1-one 유도체들의 제초활성에 관한 분자 홀로그램(H) QSAR)

  • Sung, Nack-Do;Song, Jong-Hwan;Kang, Eun-Kyu;Jung, Hoon-Sung
    • The Korean Journal of Pesticide Science
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.199-204
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    • 2005
  • The herbicidal activities against barnyardgrass (Echinochloa crus-galli) by R-groups on the hexahydroisoindol-1-one ring of new 2-(4-chloro-5-(2-chloroallyloxy)-2-fluorophenyl) -3-thioalkoxy-2,3,4,5,6,7-hexahydroisoindol-1-one derivatives were studied using molecular holographic quantitative structure-activity relationships (HQSAR) methodology. Based on the results, the statistical results of the optimised HQSAR model (I-2) exhibited the best predictability and fitness for the herbicidal activities based on the cross-validated value ($r^2_{cv.}$ or $q^2=0.714$) and non-cross-validated value ($r^2_{ncv.}=0.922$), respectively. From the based graphical analyses of atomic contribution maps, herbicidal activities against barnyardgrass were confirmed depends upon the C4-C6 atoms of hexahydroisoindoline-l-one ring, carbon atom of ortho-position and meta-methyl group of 3-tolylthio substituent (8).

On the Use of SysML Models in the Conceptual Design of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (무인항공기체계의 개념설계에서 SysML 모델의 활용에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Min;Lee, Jae-Chon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.37 no.2C
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    • pp.206-216
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    • 2012
  • Today's war fields can be characterized by net-centric wars where a variety of independent weapon systems are operated in connection with each other via networks. As such, weapon systems become dramatically advanced in terms of complexity, functionality, precision and so on. It is then obvious that the defense R&D of those requires systematic and efficient development tools enabling the effective management of the complexity, budget/cost, development time, and risk all together. One viable approach is known to be the development methods based on systems engineering, which is already proved to successful in U.S. In this paper, a systems engineering approach is studied to be used in the conceptual design of advanced weapon systems. The approach is utilizing some graphical models in the design phase. As a target system, an unmanned aerial vehicle system is considered and the standard SysML is also used as a modeling language to create models. The generated models have several known merits such as ease of understanding and communication. The interrelationships between the models and the design artifacts are identified, which should be useful in the generation of some design documents that are required in the defense R&D. The result reported here could be utilized in the further study that can eventually lead to a full-scale model-based systems engineering method.

Development of Qual2E Interface System Coupled with HyGIS (HyGIS와 Qual2E의 연계 시스템 개발)

  • Park, In-Hyeok;Kim, Kyung-Tak;Ha, Seong-Ryong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.96-108
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    • 2011
  • Going abreast of high public concerns on the environment, the need of environmental modeling has been increased to assess the impact of space exploitation of environment. GIS offers potential solutions to the many problems encountered during water-quality modeling. But there are also many problems associated with the modeling. The preparation of necessary parameters for the modeling can be complicated. Also, the results from one model can be different from each other even the same area is analyzed. This paper aims to develop the data processing system to couple the Qual2E and HyGIS in which Qual2E input and output data files can be created, modified and processed using HyGIS and assess the performance of the system. A structural analysis and standardization of modeling are conducted to identify data flow and processing of Qual2E. Algorithms of the defined processors are designed and developed as component modules. The data model of HyGIS-Qual2E is designed, and GUI(Graphical User Interface) is developed using Visual Basic 6.0 and GDK.