• The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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• v.9 no.10
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• pp.83-89
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• 2018

Purpose - The purpose of this study examines when the optimism impact on financial asset price forecasting and the boundary condition of optimism in the financial asset price forecasting. People generally tend to optimistically forecast their future. Optimism is a nature of human beings and optimistic forecasting observed in daily life. But is it always observed in financial asset price forecasting? In this study, two factors were focused on considering whether the optimism that people have applied to predicting future performance of financial investment products (e.g., mutual fund). First, this study examined whether the degree of optimism varied depending on the direction of the prior price trend. Second, this study examined whether the degree of optimism varied according to the forecast period by dividing the future forecasted by people into three time horizon based on forecast period. Research design, data, and methodology - 2 (prior price trend: rising-up trend vs falling-down trend) × 3 (forecast time horizon: short term vs medium term vs long term) experimental design was used. Prior price trend was used between subject and forecast time horizon was used within subject design. 169 undergraduate students participated in the experiment. χ² analysis was used. In this study, prior price trend divided into two types: rising-up trend versus falling-down trend. Forecast time horizon divided into three types: short term (after one month), medium term (after one year), and long term (after five years). Results - Optimistic price forecasting and boundary condition was found. Participants who were exposed to falling-down trend did not make optimistic predictions in the short term, but over time they tended to be more optimistic about the future in the medium term and long term. However, participants who were exposed to rising-up trend were over-optimistic in the short term, but over time, less optimistic in the medium and long term. Optimistic price forecasting was found when participants forecasted in the long term. Exposure to prior price trends (rising-up trend vs falling-down trend) was a boundary condition of optimistic price forecasting. Conclusions - The results indicated that individuals were more likely to be impacted by prior price tends in the short term time horizon, while being optimistic in the long term time horizon.

• Proceeding of Spring/Autumn Annual Conference of KHA
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• 2008.11a
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• pp.193-196
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• 2008

A purpose of this research is to suggest a housing planning on a high-rise apartment by searching a residence lifestyle based on a trend. In this rapid changing age, this will be a based data for regulating the future social housing lifestyle by understanding a whole of social fields. In addition, residence who will be lived in a high-rise apartment will be likely to get a better life environment. By researching a trend with politics, social culture, economy, scientific technique from 1970 to 2008, it is came out the most important three trend is feminism, naturalism and digital. And these three main trend continuously affect people‘ lifestyle. The flow of trend, lifestyle and the complex apartment has been related each other. There are relation between housing flow and trend. This researching data can be used for the future high-rise apartment market introducing trend and lifestyle concept.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.16 no.3
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• pp.1626-1629
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• 2015

In this paper, the development trend of Army force power in Korea is observed and analyzed. It can be checked that unmanned technology has been actively researched and many diverse defense Acquisition system are under development in Future Combat System. Some of such examples are enough worth to be benchmarked for Korea's related research and development activities for future unmanned combat systems. The result of survey and analysis on development trend on Army force power the further establishment of domestic technology research direction as well as viable benchmarks for the future unmanned combat systems.

• Journal of the Korea Fashion and Costume Design Association
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• v.2 no.1
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• pp.5-20
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• 2000

This study classified the new fabrics of apparel Which was published in the domestic magazines newspapers since late nineteen-nineties and analyzed the characteristics of each new fabrics. We propose the recent trend of the development of new fabrics and therefore, predict the new fabric trend of the future. The new fabrics of apparel were classified as, 1. Sanitation and health promoting new fabric. 2. Aesthetic promoting new ones. 3. High functional new ones. 4. Natural fabric oriented new ones. 5. Pro-environmental new ones. The developmental trend of future new fabrics were predicted as followings 1. The pursuit of development of Pro-environmental textile materials 2. The pursuit of development of health enhancing textile materials 3. The pursuit of development of easy-controlling textile materials 4. The pursuit of development of long lasting-comfortable textile materials 5. The pursuit of development of high-aesthetic textile materials 6. The pursuit of development of textile materials Which have the advantages of the natural fabrics Conclusively, the new fabrics of apparel will be developed as the one which has above complicated multi-function and chaotic ability to fitting to environmental change.

• 한국정보디스플레이학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2006.08a
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• pp.521-523
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• 2006

It is said that first year of e-Paper was 2004, when "sigma-Book" (LCD) by Panasonic and e-Book "Librie" (EPD) by Sony were introduced in the market. After that, many prototypes of e-Paper have followed in 2005. And also the related technologies have been evolved. I summarize the present status of e-Paper technologies and then propose the future trend.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.47 no.3
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• pp.223-235
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• 2014

In recent, the various methods to predict the hydrological impacts due to climate change have been developed and applied. Especially the trend analysis using observed and future hydrological data has been performed than ever. Parametric or non-parametric tests can be applied for a trend analysis. However, the non-parametric tests have been commonly used in the case of trend analysis using hydrological data. Therefore, the two types of non-parametric tests, Mann-Kendall (MK) test and Spearman Rho (SR) test, were used to detect the trend in the observed and future rainfall data that were collected from the Nakdong River basin. Also, the Pre-Whitening (PW) and the Trend Free Pre-Whitening (TFPW) as the pre-process of the trend analysis were performed. Also, the result of trend analysis suggest that those pre-processes have a statistically significant effect. Additionally, the Sequential Mann-Kendall (SMK) was used to reveal the beginning point of a trend in the observed and future rainfall data in the Nakdong River basin. The rainfall patterns in most rainfall gauges using the observed rainfall show the increasing trend and the abrupt changes in the specific months (from April to May and September to October). Also, the beginning point of the trend is brought forward by several months when climate change is accelerated. Finally, the results of this study can provide the useful background for the research related to climate change and water resources planning in the Nakdong River basin.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.19 no.8
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• pp.1811-1817
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• 2015

This paper analyzes domestic research trend on information security, compares its results with international trends, and studies future directions we should have on national level. This research is a successor of the work for analysis of global research trend on information security. Therefore we select the same analysis method to compare domestic and international research trends exactly. To do this, we use domestic papers presented or published from 2001 to 2014, measure temporal relationship between technologies related to information security, analyze domestic research trends, and compare the results. Finally we will suggest our future direction through considering international future markets of technologies.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Costume
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• v.53 no.1
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• pp.35-48
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• 2003

The primary goal of this study is to define the future image of modern fashion. By review of many references, this study has examined predictable future in common, various researches on future, and futurism that appeared from art history. This study has also identified the trend of future image and the properties of the image in terms of fashion as well. The purpose of this study is defined as future image of modern fashion. First of all. through a large literature, this study is to examine general future and the study of future, to investigate futurism appears from art history. and to identify the trend of future image and the properties of the image in terms of fashion. The main results of this study include : 1) General future means forthcoming sometime or a state of life at that time, and future is not drawing near naturally in accordance with the passage of time. The future is developed according as which the owners of time have independent meaning and what they select. 2) The futurism had started with the background based on Darwins and Einsteins scientific theories and Bergsons and Nietzsches philosophical thoughts, which was then established by Marinettis Futurism Statement and Dynamism Theory of Umberto Boccionio, Giaomo Balla, Luigi Russolo and Gino Severini. As the purpose of futurism is to represent the dynamism of machinery and the beauty of speed, it has been developed toward op art and kinetic art including video art, laser art, and holography. 3) Fashion style and trend of futurism from the beginning of 20th century up to now can be defined as follows : Firstly futurism fashion represented by loud colors and geometric pattern appeared from 1910s to 1930s in the first place. Secondly, or art fashion and kinetic fashion appeared in 1960s due to the influence of op art and kinetic art which were developmental arts of futurism paintings. Space Look and Cosmo Corps Look that were designed by Andre Courreges, Pierre Cardin, Rudi Gernreich and Paco Rabanne, were also the trend of future image fashion. Thirdly, various materials and techniques developed this future image fashion in 1980s, and Glitter Look and Collage Look were its representative style. Fourthly, in 1990s, human beings dreamed the freedom of mind by human-oriented thought. and created the ecology of new concept mixed with technology due to anxiety on environmental destruction. which influenced on the advent of Zen style.

• Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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• v.10 no.4
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• pp.511-521
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• 2007

It is very important that design based on preference of consumers who continuously change. Therefore, the method that can decide on the design concept which a consumer can prefer in future points of time that a design is released is necessary. There may be various ways to decide a design concept, but trend analysis is one of the best ways to be able to satisfy consumer preference. The purpose of this study is to provide a process that can give a direction of MP3 player design oriented consumer emotion. For the purpose, we considered about trend analysis as the ways that can present the design direction that can grasp a change of continuous preference, and a consumer can prefer with early bases in future points of time of a consumer. In this empirical research, we decided on design elements and levels of the elements after collecting 228 MP3 players released from 2000 to 2007, and carried out trend analysis through homogeneity analysis by SPSS program. In the result, we knew that future consumers also will regard emotional experience consumption as important. So, MP3 player design will be developed into consumer emotion-oriented design. We predict 4 trends for a future MP3 player design. 1. Development of high-priced MP3 player with various multimedia functions. 2. Development of MP3 player with basic functions. 3. Development of new convergence products with MP3 function. 4. Development of new MP3 player based on flash memory. If designers can infer a future MP3 player design from this design trend results, the probability that can occupy competitive advantage in their competitions will be high. Therefore this study can be useful.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
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• v.38 no.4
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• pp.105-123
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• 2004

This study was to predict through the trend analysis, one of the forecast technique, the future of library End Information center. In order to do that literature reviews, analysis of library's home page and specialist interview were conducted. As a result, It appeared that based on the trend analysis to predict the middle future(after 5-10 years) of library and information center. The results of this study are as follows. The first, the future information environment is represented by mobile and ubiquitous. Through this, anytime, anywhere, any device, we can be taken any media. The second, the problems of future library are technical, economic, social, ethical and legal problem. The third, unreliable factors come out in time lag, the supply speed of terminals, library services, copyrights and so on. The fourth, the future library is expanded through wireless terminal information access and use, development of mobile technique, universal ubiquitous environment and electronic information's use are extended.