• Title/Summary/Keyword: future climate change

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The Strategies of Transport Demand Management to Decrease the Greenhouse Gases in Transportation Part (교통부문 온실가스 배출량 저감을 위한 교통수요관리 방안 전략 연구)

  • Jeong, Do-Yeong;Yun, Jang-Ho;Park, Sang-U;Kim, Ju-Yeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2011
  • The growing amount of using the fossil fuel is bringing about environmentally, economically serious problems like as global warming. To solve the problems, the international society has begun to decrease greenhouse gases through the international agreement like as the climate change convention. In South of Korea, it was presented practical goal of Green Development try to decrease greenhouse, which is the future 60 years vision. And, it contains the strategies of Green Development and 5th Plan of Green Development. Nowadays, the government accepted the active alternative scenario 3, which is the goal of 4% decrease in greenhouse gases until 2020's, presented by Presidential Committee on Green Growth. This study established the strategies of Transport Demand Management to decrease the greenhouse gases in transportation part, and then we measured the effect of them. As a result, if it takes effect the aggressive strategies annually, it will cut greenhouse gas pollution by 3.1%, which is 7,590,000t$CO_2eq$, in transportation part. So, we can expect that it would be the effective policy tool to achieve the goal of government, which is the Green Development, if it controls the strategies of TDM effectively by the political needs.

Landslide Susceptibility Mapping by Comparing GIS-based Spatial Models in the Java, Indonesia (GIS 기반 공간예측모델 비교를 통한 인도네시아 자바지역 산사태 취약지도 제작)

  • Kim, Mi-Kyeong;Kim, Sangpil;Nho, Hyunju;Sohn, Hong-Gyoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.927-940
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    • 2017
  • Landslide has been a major disaster in Indonesia, and recent climate change and indiscriminate urban development around the mountains have increased landslide risks. Java Island, Indonesia, where more than half of Indonesia's population lives, is experiencing a great deal of damage due to frequent landslides. However, even in such a dangerous situation, the number of inhabitants residing in the landslide-prone area increases year by year, and it is necessary to develop a technique for analyzing landslide-hazardous and vulnerable areas. In this regard, this study aims to evaluate landslide susceptibility of Java, an island of Indonesia, by using GIS-based spatial prediction models. We constructed the geospatial database such as landslide locations, topography, hydrology, soil type, and land cover over the study area and created spatial prediction models by applying Weight of Evidence (WoE), decision trees algorithm and artificial neural network. The three models showed prediction accuracy of 66.95%, 67.04%, and 69.67%, respectively. The results of the study are expected to be useful for prevention of landslide damage for the future and landslide disaster management policies in Indonesia.

A Study on the Application of Generalized Extreme Value Distribution to the Variation of Annual Maximum Surge Heights (연간 최대해일고 변동의 일반화 극치분포 적용 연구)

  • Kwon, Seok-Jae;Park, Jeong-Soo;Lee, Eun-Il
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.241-253
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    • 2009
  • This study performs the investigation of a long-term variation of annual maximum surge heights(AMSH) and main characteristics of high surge events, and the statistical evaluation of the AMSH using sea level data at Yeosu and Tongyeong tidal stations over more than 30 years. It is found that the long-term uptrends based on the linear regression in the AMSH are 34.5 cm/34 yr at Yeosu and 33.6 cm/31 yr at Tongyeong, which are relatively much higher than those at Sokcho and Mukho in the Eastern Coast. 71% and 68% of the AMSH occur during typhoon's event in Yeosu and Tongyeong tidal stations, respectively, and the highest surge records are mostly produced by the typhoon. The generalized extreme value distribution taking into account of the time variable is applied to detect time trend in annual maximum surge heights. In addition, Gumbel distribution is checked to find which one is best fitted to the data using likelihood ratio test. The return level and its 90% confidence interval are obtained for the statistical prediction of the future trend. The prevention of the growing storm surge damage by the intensified typhoon requires the steady analysis and prediction of the surge events associated with the climate change.

Identification of Dynamic Characteristics Using Vibration Measurement Data of Saemangeum Mangyeong Offshore Observation Tower and Numerical Model Updating by Pattern Search Method (새만금 만경해상관측타워의 진동계측자료를 이용한 동특성 분석과 패턴서치 방법에 의한 수치해석모델 개선)

  • Park, Sangmin;Yi, Jin-Hak;Cho, Cheol-Ho;Park, Jin-Soon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.285-295
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    • 2020
  • In the case of small observation towers located at sea, it is necessary to confirm the change in dynamic characteristics due to the influence of environmental loads. In this study, the dynamic characteristics were analyzed and the numerical analysis model was designed through field dynamic response measurement on the Mangyeong Offshore Observation Tower (Mangyeong Tower) located near the Saemangeum Embankment. As a result of the measurement, the natural frequency was found to increase slowly as the tide level is lowered. In addition, it was confirmed that the same mode has two frequencies, which was judged to be a phenomenon in which the natural frequency was partially increased when the pile and the ground contacted by scouring. For numerical analysis, the upper mass, artificial fixity point, scour depth and fluid influences are reflected in the structural characteristics of the Mangyeong Tower. In addition, the model updating from the estimated natural frequency and pattern search algorithm was performed. From the model updating, it is expected that it can be applied to future studies on stability of Mangyeong Tower.

Uncertainty-based Decision on Mitigation of Nitrous Oxide Emissions in Upland Soil (불확도 기반 밭토양 아산화질소 배출 저감 여부 판정)

  • Ju, Okjung;Kang, Namgoo;Lim, Gapjune
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.307-316
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    • 2019
  • In the agricultural sector, greenhouse gas emissions vary depending on the interaction of all ecosystem changes such as soil environment, weather environment, crop growth, and anthropogenic farming activities. Agricultural sector greenhouse gas emissions resulting from many of these interactions are highly variable. Uncertainty-based evaluation that defines the interval with confidence level of greenhouse gas emission and absorption is necessary to take account of the variance characteristics of individual emissions, but research on uncertainty evaluation method is insufficient. This study aims to decide on the effect of reducing N2O emissions from upland soils using an uncertainty-based approach. An uncertainty-based approach confirmed whether there was a difference between confidence intervals in the 5 different fertilizer treatment groups to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Unlike the statistically significant test with three repetition averages, the uncertainty-based approach method estimated in this study is able to estimate the confidence interval considering the distribution characteristics of the emissions, such as the dispersion characteristics of individual emissions. Therefore, it is considered that the reliability of emissions can be improved by statistically testing the variance characteristics of emissions such as the uncertainty-based approach. It is hoped that the direction of the uncertainty-based approach for the effect of reducing greenhouse gas emissions in agriculture will be helpful in the future development of agricultural greenhouse gas emission reduction technology, adaptation to climate change, and further development of sustainable eco-social system.

Analysis of Water Cycle Effect according to Application of LID Techniques (LID 기법 적용에 따른 물순환 효과분석)

  • Lee, Jungmin;Lee, Yun;Choi, Jongsoo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.411-421
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    • 2014
  • At present, the development in rainwater management approach is still insufficient due to the numerous adverse effects of urbanization. Storm water management is being developed to restore the natural state of water cycle undergoing several processes which were hindered such as infiltration and evapotranspiration. Low Impact Development (LID) was established in order to reduce the negative effects of urbanization to our environment. These developments can be used to respond to the effects of climate change such as heat island phenomenon. The effects of the development of new town in the district plan with application of LID facilities were studied and reported. Typically, LID facilities were applied in small scale development and were rarely used in large-scale development. Most of studies, however, did not assessment the effects of large-scale development projects with LID application to the natural water cycle. This study was conducted to simulate the urban hydrologic cycle simulation on Asan-Tangjeong in Korea. This study may be used in urban hydrologic cycle simulation and establishment of an urban water management plan in the future. Lastly, this study generated a model using the recently updated SWMM5 which determined the hydrologic cycle simulation after installation of LID facilities.

Regression models on flood damage records by rainfall characteristics for regional flood damage estimates (지역별 홍수피해추정을 위한 강우특성에 대한 홍수피해자료의 회귀모형)

  • Lim, Yeon Taek;Choi, Hyun Il
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.302-311
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    • 2020
  • There are limitations to cope with flood damage by structural strategies alone because both frequency and intensity of floods are increasing due to climate change. Therefore, it is one of the necessary factors in the nonstructural countermeasures to collect and analyze historical flood damage records for the future flood damage assessments. In order to estimate flood damage costs in Gyeongsangbuk-do where severe flood damage occurs frequently due to geographical and climatic effects, this paper has performed the regression analysis on flood damage records over the past 20 years (1999-2018) by rainfall characteristics, which is one of the major causes of flood damage. This paper has then examined the relationship between the terrain features and rainfall characteristics in the regional regression functions, and also estimated the flood damage risk for 100-year rainfall by using the regional regression functions presented for the 22 administrative districts in Gyeongsangbuk-do excluding Ulleung-gun. The flood damage assessment shows that the relatively high damage risk is estimated for county areas adjacent to the eastern coast in Gyeongsangbuk-do. The regional damage estimate functions in this paper are expected to be used as one of the nonstructural countermeasures to estimate flood damage risk for the design or forecasting rainfall data.

A Sustainability Study Based on Farm Management Value-Chain Structure (농업경영의 가치사슬 구조에 근거한 지속가능성 연구)

  • Cheong, Hoon-Hui;Kim, Sa-Gyun;Heo, Seoung-Wook
    • Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.363-384
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    • 2009
  • This study aimed at finding directions for Korean agriculture to establish a new paradigm of sustainable development. Various problematic issues and concerns in the environment necessitate the transformation of Korea's development paradigm from unconditional growth to "Green Growth" through new policies on green value and review of various advanced researches. In this research, the environment-friendly agriculture's problems, particularly in agribusiness were analyzed. Drawing from Michael Porter's Value Chain Analysis, this research developed a value chain model in agriculture that reflects the environment and the present situations. Future directions in the agriculture sector were also discussed. Korea realized food self-sufficiency through the green revolution in the early 1970s. However, a lot of problems have also occurred, including ground and water pollution and the destruction of ecosystems as a result of the overuse of pesticides and chemical fertilizers. In the late 1970s, the growing interest on environment-friendly agriculture led to the introduction of sustainable methods and techniques. Unfortunately however, these were not innovative enough to foster environment-friendly agriculture. Thereafter, the consumers' distrust on agricultural products has worsened and concerns about health have increased. In view of this, the Ministry of Food, Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries introduced in December 1993 a system of Quality-Certified Products for organic and pesticide-free agri-foods. Although a fundamental step toward the sustainability of the global environment, this system was not enough to promote environment-friendly agriculture. In 2008, Korea's vision is for "Low Carbon Green Growth" to move forward while also coping with climate change. But primary sectors in a typical value chain do not consider the green value of their operations nor look at production from an environmental perspective. In order to attain sustainable development, there is a need to use less resources and energy than what is presently used in Korean agricultural and value production. The typical value chain should be transformed into a "closed-loop" such that the beginning and the end of the chain are linked together. Such structure allows the flow of materials, products and even wastes among participants in the chain in a sustained cycle. This may result in a zero-waste sustainable production without destroying the ecosystem.

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Analysis on the Water Footprint of Crystalline Silicon PV System (결정질 실리콘 태양광시스템의 물 발자국 산정에 대한 연구)

  • Na, Won-Cheol;Kim, Younghwan;Kim, Kyung Nam;Lee, Kwan-Young
    • Clean Technology
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.449-456
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    • 2014
  • There has been increasing concerns for the problems of water security in countries, caused by the frequent occurrence of localized drought due to the climate change and uncertainty of water balance. The importance of fresh water is emphasized as considerable amount of usable fresh water is utilized for power generation sector producing electricity. PV power system, the source of renewable energy, consumes water for the every steps of life cycle: manufacturing, installation, and operation. However, it uses relatively less water than the traditional energy sources such as thermal power and nuclear power sources. In this study, to find out the use of water for the entire process of PV power system from extracting raw materials to operating the system, the footprint of water in the whole process is measured to be analyzed. Measuring the result, the PV water footprint of value chain was $0.989m^3/MWh$ and the water footprint appeared higher specially in poly-Si and solar cell process. The following two reasons explain it: poly-Si process is energy-intensive process and it consumes lots of cooling water. In solar cell process, deionized water is used considerably for washing a high-efficiency crystalline silicon. It is identified that PV system is the source using less water than traditional ones, which has a critical value in saving water. In discussing the future energy policy, it is vital to introduce the concept of water footprint as a supplementary value of renewable energy.

An Overview on China's Recent Air Pollution Regulation and Management Policy (중국의 최근 대기오염 규제 및 관리 정책에 대한 고찰)

  • Choi, Min Uk
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.569-611
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    • 2018
  • Rapid economic growth, urbanization, and industrialization of China have tremendously degraded the overall quality of living environments, especially the air quality, not only negatively affecting Chinese people but also impacting citizens of neighboring countries, namely Korea. The Chinese government has invested much effort to regulate the air pollution due to burning coal through introducing strict environmental monitoring policies and aggressive implementation. This paper presents an overview of Chinese air pollution prevention policy due to burning coal, and the associated trends and specifics of institutional arrangements regarding air pollutant emission regulations. It turns out that the policies have become stricter than before; some polices are geared towards enforcing extra regulation at the regional level. It is expected that the regulation will become stricter in the future. However, the actual contribution and feasibility of such policies must be analyzed based on sound science. The policies seem to care little about influencing the air quality of Korea, and this has to be improved. In order to do so, it is important to strengthen environmental cooperation between Korea and China, and better yet to research on not only the air quality but also the associated fields, such as energy, industrial technology, and global environmental governance.