• 제목/요약/키워드: expected time to failure

검색결과 295건 처리시간 0.025초

Preventing cascading failure of electric power protection systems in nuclear power plant

  • Moustafa, Moustafa Abdelrahman Mohamed Mohamed;Chang, Choong-koo
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제53권1호
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    • pp.121-130
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    • 2021
  • Cascading failure is the main cause of large blackouts in electrical power systems; this paper analyzes a cascading failure in Hanbit nuclear power plant unit two (2) caused by a circuit breaker (CB) operation failure. This malfunction has been expanded to the loss of offsite power (LOOP). In this study, current practices are reviewed and then the methodologies of how to prevent cascading failures in protection power systems are introduced. An overview on the implementation of IEC61850 GOOSE messaging-based zone selective interlocking (ZSI) scheme as key solution is proposed. In consideration of ZSI blocking time, all influencing factors such as circuit breaker opening time, relay I/O response time and messages travelling time in the communication network should be taken into account. The purpose of this paper is to elaborate on the effect of cascading failure in NPP electrical power protection system and propose preventive actions for this failures. Finally, the expected advantages and challenges are elaborated.

와이블과정을 응용한 신뢰성 성장 모형에서의 MTBF 추정$^+$ (MTBF Estimator in Reliability Growth Model with Application to Weibull Process)

  • 이현우;김재주;박성현
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.71-81
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    • 1998
  • In reliability analysis, the time difference between the expected next failure time and the current failure time or the Mean Time Between Failure(MTBF) is of significant interest. Until recently, in reliability growth studies, the reciprocal of the intensity function at current failure time has been used as being equal to MTBE($t_n$)at the n-th failure time $t_n$. That is MTBF($t_n$)=l/$\lambda (t_n)$. However, such a relationship is only true for Homogeneous Poisson Process(HPP). Tsokos(1995) obtained the upper bound and lower bound for the MTBF($t_n$) and proposed an estimator for the MTBF($t_n$) as the mean of the two bounds. In this paper, we provide the estimator for the MTBF($t_n$) which does not depend on the value of the shape parameter. The result of the Monte Carlo simulation shows that the proposed estimator has better efficiency than Tsokos's estimator.

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Optimal Schedules of Periodic Preventive Maintenance Model with Different PM Effect

  • Lim, Jae-Hak
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we consider a periodic preventive maintenance policy in which each preventive maintenance reduces the hazard rate of amount proportional to the failure intensity, which increases since the system started to operate. And the effect of preventive maintenance at each preventive maintenance epoch is different. The expected cost rate per unit time for the proposed model is obtained. We discuss the optimal number N of the periodic preventive maintenance and the optimal period x, which minimize the expected cost rate per unit time and obtain the optimal preventive maintenance schedule for given cost structures of the model. A numerical example is given for the purpose of illustrating our results when the failure time distribution is Weibull distribution.

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Prediction of Dynamic Expected Time to System Failure

  • Oh, Deog-Yeon;Lee, Chong-Chul
    • 한국원자력학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국원자력학회 1997년도 추계학술발표회논문집(1)
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    • pp.244-250
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    • 1997
  • The mean time to failure (MTTF) expressing the mean value of the system life is a measure of system effectiveness. To estimate the remaining life of component and/or system, the dynamic mean time to failure concept is suggested. It is the time-dependent Property depending on the status of components. The Kalman filter is used to estimate the reliability of components using the on-line information (directly measured sensor output or device-specific diagnostics in the intelligent sensor) in form of the numerical value (state factor). This factor considers the persistency of the fault condition and confidence level in measurement. If there is a complex system with many components, each calculated reliability's or components are combined, which results in the dynamic MTTF or system. The illustrative examples are discussed. The results show that the dynamic MTTF can well express the component and system failure behaviour whether any kinds of failure are occurred or not.

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무상수리 정책에서 응급수리 적용의 비용분석 모델 (Cost Analysis Model for Minimal Repair in Free-Replacement Policy)

  • 김재중;김원중
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제20권43호
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    • pp.241-247
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    • 1997
  • This paper is concerned with cost analysis model in free-replacement policy. The free-replacement policy with minimal repair is considered as follows; in a manufacturer's view point operating unit is periodically replaced, if a failure occurs between minimal repair and periodic maintenance time, unit is remained in a failure condition. Also unit undergoes minimal repair at failures in minimal-repair interval. Then total expected cost is calculated according to the parameter of failure distribution in a view of consumer's. The expected costs are included repair cost and usage cost: operating, fixed, minimal repair and loss cost. Numerical example is shown in which failure time of item has weibull distribution.

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응급수리를 고려한 정기보전정책의 비용분석 (Cost Analysis for Periodic Maintenance Policy with Minimal Repair)

  • 김재중;김원중
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제18권34호
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    • pp.139-146
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    • 1995
  • This study is concerned with cost analysis in periodic maintenance policy. Generally periodic maintenance policy in which item is repaired periodic interval times. And in the article minimal repair is considered. Minimal repair means that if a unit fails, unit is instantaneously restored to same hazard rate curve as before failure. In the paper periodic maintenance policy with minimal repair is as follows; Operating unit is periodically replaced in periodic maintenance time, if a failure occurs between minimal repair and periodic maintenance time, unit is replaced by a spate until the periodic time comes. Also unit undergoes minimal repair at failures in minimal-repair-for-failure interval. Then total expected cost per unit time is calculated according to maintenance period and scale parameter of failure distribution. Total cost factors ate included operating, fixed, minimal repair, periodic maintenance and replacement cost Numerical example is shown in which failure time of system has erlang distribution.

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보전비용요소를 고려한 정기보전정책의 비용분석모델 (Cost Analysis Model for Periodic Maintenance Policy with Maintenance Cost Factor)

  • 김재중;김원중
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제18권36호
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    • pp.287-295
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    • 1995
  • This paper is concerned with cost analysis model in periodic maintenance policy. Generally periodic maintenance policy in which item is repaired periodic interval times. And in the article minimal repair is considered. Mimimal repair means that if a unit fails, unit is instantaneously restored to same hazard rate curve as before failure. In the paper periodic maintenance policy with minimal repair is as follows; Operating unit is periodically replaced in periodic maintenance time, if a failure occurs between minimal repair and periodic maintenance time, unit is replaced by a new item until tile periodic maintenance time comes. Also unit undergoes minimal repair at failures in minimal-repair-for-failure interval. Then total expected cost per unit time is calculated according to scale parameter of failure distribution. Maintenance cost factors are included operating, fixed, minimal repair, periodic maintenance and new item replacement cost. Numerical example is shown in which failure time of system has weibull distribution.

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정기보전제도에서 응급수리제품에 대한 무상수리 적용의 비용분석 모델 (A Cost Analysis Model of Minimal-Repairable Items in Free Replacement under the Periodic Maintenance Policy)

  • 김재중;김원중;조남호
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제19권39호
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    • pp.89-98
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    • 1996
  • This paper is concerned with cost analysis model in free -replacement policy under the periodic maintenance policy The free-replacement policy with minimal repairable item is considered as follows; in a manufacturer's view point operating unit is periodically replaced, if a failure occurs between minimal repair and periodic maintenance time, unit is remained in a failure condition. Also unit undergoes minimal repair at failures in minimal-repair interval. Then total expected cost per unit time is calculated according to maintenance period Tin a viewpoint of consumer's. The expected costs are included repair cost and usage cost: operating, fixed, minimal repair and loss cost. Numerical example is shown in which failure time of item has beta distribution.

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시험 장비의 용량제한을 고려한 무고장 신뢰성 시험의 경제적 설계 (Economic Design of A Zero-Failure Reliability Demonstration Test Considering Capacity Limitation of Test Equipment)

  • 한숙현;윤원영;서순근
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제49권3호
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    • pp.341-358
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: After product development, a Reliability Demonstration Test(RDT) is performed to confirm that the target life has been achieved. In the RDT, there are cases where the test equipment cannot accommodate all samples. Therefore, this study considers a test method to most economically demonstrate the target life of the product at a certain confidence level when the sample size is larger than the capacity of the test equipment. Methods: If the sample size is larger than the capacity of the test equipment, test equipments may be added or the test time of individual samples may be increased. So the test method is designed to cover this situation with limited capacity. A zero-failure test method is applied as a test method to RDT. To minimize the cost, the test cost is defined and the cost function is obtained. Finally, we obtain the optimal test plan. Results: A zero-failure test method is designed when the sample size is larger than the capacity of the test equipment, and the expected total cost is derived. In addition, the process of calculating the appropriate sample size, test time, and number of test equipment is illustrated through an example, and the effects of model parameters to the optimal solutions are investigated numerically. Conclusion: In this paper, we study a zero-failure RDT with test equipment that has limited capacity. The expected total cost is derived and the optimal sample size, test time, and number of test equipment are determined to minimize the expected total cost. We also studied numerical examples and for further studies, we can relax some restrictions in the test model and optimize the test method.

결함유형에 따른 소프트웨어 신뢰도와 소프트웨어 상품화 최적 시기 전략 (A Cost-Reliability Model for the Optimal Release Time of a Software System)

  • 김영휘;이완형
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.135-150
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    • 1990
  • This paper classifies faults into three types : simple, degenerated, and regenerated faults. This paper also deals with the characteristics of each type of fault to determine the software reliability based on the assumption; i. e., a system consisting of several subsystems (modules) which may be debugged simultaneously. For each type of fault, several formulas are developed to obtain the failure rate and the expected number of failures found during debugging. A model is developed based on the formulas of the failure rate and the expected number of failures to decide the optimal release time of a new software: minimizing the total cost with constraints restricting to the failure rate of each module in the software. By using this model, optimal release times are found for some cases; the eliminated faults are assumed simple faults only, regenerated faults only, simple and degenerated faults, and so on.

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