• Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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• 1999.11a
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• pp.147-155
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• 1999

This paper discusses an optimal burn-in procedure to minimize total costs based on the assumption that the failure rate pattern follows a bimodal mixed Weibull distribution. The procedure will consider warranty period as a factor of the total expected burn-in cost. A cost model is formulated to find the optimal burn-in time that minimizes the expected burn-in cost. Conditional reliability for warranty period will be discussed. An illustrative example is included to show how to use the cost model in practice.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 1996.04a
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• pp.213-216
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• 1996

R'||'&'||'D project management is a process of decisions concerned with the achievement of goals of objectives. Especially, defense R'||'&'||'D project planning is the key in the successfull management of defense development. The defense project managers are constantly having to perform "what if\ulcorner" exercise, such as what if the project is extended out for an additional cost\ulcorner In this reserch, we developed a schedule-cost analysis model based upon Critical Path Method(CPM) and Venture Evaluation and Review Technique(VERT) for schedule-cost trade off analysis defense R'||'&'||'D projects. In the first step, a deterministic model is developed as a heuristic which deterministic model is developed as a heuristic which determines the schedule extension and reduction cost as a function desired schedule. In the second step, a stochastic network simulation model is developed to analyse the project risk (sucess and failure). The expected time and cost can be determined for desired schedule under the assumptions of stochastic arc data (time and cost) with a various precedence relationships. This model provides the defense R'||'&'||'D managers with an estimated and expected cost for curtailing or extending a project a given amount of time. The effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed methods, a heuristic and stochastic networks simulations, have been demonstrated through examples.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.466-475
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• 1999

A backward Dynamic Programming(DP) model for the optimal facility replacement decision problem during a finite planning horizon is presented. Multiple alternative challengers to a current defender are considered. All facilities are assumed to have finite service lives. The objective of the DP model is to maximize the profit over a finite planning horizon. As for the cost elements, purchasing cost, maintenance costs and repair costs as well as salvage value are considered. The time to failure is assumed to follow a weibull distribution and the maximum likelihood estimation of Weibull parameters is used to evaluate the expected cost of repair. To evaluate the revenue, the rate of operation during a specified period is employed. The cash flow component of each challenger can vary independently according to the time of occurrence and the item can be extended easily. The effects of inflation and the time value of money are considered. The algorithm is illustrated with a numerical example. A MATLAB implementation of the model is used to identify the optimal sequence and timing of the replacement.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.23 no.3
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• pp.215-225
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• 2011

During the past decade, the performance-based design method of caisson breakwaters has been developed, which allows a certain damage while maintaining the function of the structure. However, the existing method does not consider the changing coastal environment due to climate change impacts so that the stability of the structure is not guaranteed over the lifetime of the structure. In this paper, a time-dependent performance-based design method is developed, which is able to estimate the expected sliding distance and the probability of failure of a caisson breakwater considering the influence of sea level rise and wave height increase due to climate change. Especially, time-dependent probability of failure is calculated by considering the sea level rise and wave height increase as a function of time. The developed method was applied to the East Breakwater of the Hitachinaka Port which is located on the east coast of Japan. It was shown that the influence of wave height increase is much greater than that of sea level rise, because the magnitude of sea level rise is negligibly small compared with the water depth at the breakwater site. Moreover, investigation was made for the change of caisson width due to climate change impacts, which is the main concern of harbor engineers. The longer the structure lifetime, the greater was the increase of caisson width. The required increase of caisson width of the Hitachinaka breakwater whose width is 22 m at present was about 0.5 m and 1.5 m respectively for parabolic and linear wave height increase due to climate change.

• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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• v.39 no.4
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• pp.480-485
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• 2011

This paper presents a spare ordering policy for preventive replacement with minimal repair. To analyze the ordering policy, the failure process is modeled by a non-homogeneous Poisson process. Introducing the ordering, repair, downtime, replacement costs and salvage value, we derive the expected cost effectiveness as a criterion of optimality when the lifetime and lead times for the regular and expedited orders are generally distributed random variables. It is shown that, under certain conditions, there exists a finite and unique optimum ordering time which maximizes the expected cost effectiveness. A numerical example is also included to explain the proposed model.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.21 no.47
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• pp.47-55
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• 1998

This paper proposes a maintenance model considering the Inherent availability of certain requirement and two types of failures, repairable or irrepairable. In this model, the system is replaced in time when it doesn't meet the inherent availability requirement despite of all repairable failures; Otherwise it is replaced by the first irrepairable failure. Assuming that the j-th failure is repairable with probability ${\alpha}_j$, minimal repairs are performed for repairable failures between replacements. We drive the expected cost rate through the application of NHPP(Non-Homogeneous Poisson Process) in order to determine the optimal number $n^*$. The model includes some previous studies as special cases.

• The Journal of the Korean dental association
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• v.49 no.4
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• pp.211-218
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• 2011

Purpose: An impacted tooth is defined as a tooth that shows delayed eruption and is expected to erupt incompletely by clinical and radiograph examination despite it reaching its expected time of eruption. The aims of this study were to investigate the clinical and radiological characteristics and treatment duration and method of impacted teeth in Korean patients. Materials and Methods: For this study we used clinical records, study models, panoramic radiographs and intraoral photographs of patients who attended Gachon University Gil Hospital Orthodontic Department between 2005 and 2008. There were 164 patients with a total number of 202 impacted teeth. Results: Male patients shows a little more prevalence than female patients (1.13:1). The under 12 age group had the highest prevalence of tooth impaction, and the over 19 age group showed the least prevalence of tooth impaction. The ratio of tooth impaction between the left to right ratio was 1.73:1 and maxilla and mandible was 1.84:1. The impacted teeth were most commonly positioned buccally (76 cases, 41.5%). Full nap closure technique (108 cases, 81.2%)was most frequently used for attachment of surgical traction hooks. Maxillary canine impaction was most commonly encountered both in male and female patients. The mean treatment period was 12.2 months and the success rate of treatment was 90.3%. The canine tooth shows the longest treatment time and highest failure rate. The ankylosis was the major cause of failure. Conclusion: Impacted teeth most commonly show in left side maxilla in the under 12 age group. And it is most commonly positioned buccally. The mean treatment period was 12.2 months, and the success rate of treatment was 90.3%.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.36 no.6
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• pp.1059-1068
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• 2016

The current operation method for the AVC (Automatic Vehicle Classification) equipment does not generate vehicle speed, traffic volume and vehicle type information when part of the sensors has failed. Inefficiency of current methods would not use the collected data from the normal sensor. In this study was conducted research on the calculating method at the traffic volume and vehicle speed in the sensor failure AVC equipment. The failure situation of the sensor was classified into 4 types. Calculating the traffic volume and vehicle speed information for each type, and accuracy of these informations were analyzed. Analysis results, traffic volume was possible to calculate a highly accurate value (accuracy: 100%, 98%, 97%). In the case of speed, the accuracy of the calculated speed value reaches a level that can be accepted sufficiently (RMSE value is less than 16.8). So, using the methodology proposed in this study are expected to be able to increase the operational efficiency of the AVC equipment.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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• v.7 no.2 s.19
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• pp.48-53
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• 2003

This study is to look at the effect for deformation of carbon steel for high-presure pipe, on the AE signals produced by tensile test. Acoustic emission(AE) has been widely used in various fields because of its extreme sensitivity, dynamic detection ability and location of growing defects. We investigated a relationship failure mode and AE signals by tensile test, From the tensile test, we could divide into four ranges of the failure modes of elastic range, yield range, plastic range before $\sigma$u, plastic range after $\sigma$u. And failure behaviors of elastic range, yield range, plastic range before $\sigma$u, plastic range after $\sigma$u could be evaluated in tensile test by AE counts, accumulation counts and time frequency analysis. It is expected to be basic data that can protect a risk according to tensile test and bending of pipe material for pressure vessel, as a real time test of AE.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.34 no.6
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• pp.781-787
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• 2010

Forecasting possible failure characteristics is very important in maintenance planning because it helps in predicting any future failures and determining the optimum replacement interval. This paper examines the time.to-failure distribution of the transfer gearbox of a J79 engine by using a probability plotting technique which is one of the most convenient techniques for reliability analysis. Various probability distributions are evaluated for determining the suitable probability distribution of the failure data of the transfer gearbox, and the resulting correlation coefficient indicates that failure data have a lognormal distribution. The expected number of unscheduled maintenance actions and the optimum replacement interval for various values of cost ratios are determined.