• 제목/요약/키워드: expected return

검색결과 352건 처리시간 0.02초

세금 불확실성 하의 자산 가격 결정 (The Effect of Stochastic Taxes on Asset Prices)

  • 김창수
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.207-219
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    • 1995
  • This paper develops an equilibrium asset pricing model with taxation in the economy. The expected excess rate of return on a risky asset is shown to be an increasing function of the covariance of asset return with aggregate consumption rate changes and the covariance of asset return with the tax rates as well. Thus, the expected execss rate of return can be decomposed as the consumption risk premium and the tax premium. The capital asset pricing model derived in the absence of taxes is shown to understate the expected excess rate of return and to have a misspecification error in the economy with taxation.

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기대수익률과 주가변동성의 관계 연구 (A Study on the Relationship between expected stock return and volatility)

  • 고광수
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.153-167
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    • 1997
  • There have been many studies concerning the relationships between stock returns and volatilities. Their positive relationship is well known from the theoretical point of view, but not empirically shown. Franch, Schwert and Stambaugh [11] has empirically provided the indirect evidence of the positive relationship betwen expected stock return and expected volatility. However, their study lacks some statistical validity. This study reexamines the relationship using regression diagnostics and GARCH model from an international point of view. The empirical results fall to show the positive relationship between expected stock return and expected volaiility, which contradicts those of France, Schwert and Stambangh [1].

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강우자료의 비정상성을 고려한 재현기간 변화에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Changes of Return Period Considering Nonstationarity of Rainfall Data)

  • 신홍준;안현준;허준행
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제47권5호
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    • pp.447-457
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구에서는 초과확률 또는 비초과확률이 시간에 따라 변화한다는 비정상성을 가정하여 재현기간 산정에 대한 연구를 수행하였다. 비정상성을 고려한 2가지 재현기간 산정 방법에 대해 검토하고 비정상성 Gumbel 모형을 이용한 빈도해석을 수행하여 초과확률및 비초과확률을 구한 뒤비정상성을 고려한 재현기간 정의에따른 우리나라 재현기간의 변화에 대해서 살펴보았다. 적용 대상으로는 자료기간 30년 이상을 보유하면서 일 강우 자료의 경향성이 나타나는 서귀포, 인제, 제천, 구미, 문경, 거창 등 6개 지점을 선정하였다. 적용결과 비정상성을 고려한 재현기간 산정 시 기존의 재현기간 산정방법과는 재현기간이 다르게 산정됨을 알 수 있었고, 재현기간이 커질수록 정상성 가정하의 재현기간과 비정상성 가정하의 재현기간 값의 차이가 더 커지는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 비정상성을 고려한 재현기간의 2가지 정의 중 기대 대기시간(expected waiting time) 정의에 의한 방법이 기대 초과사상 수(expected number of exceedance event) 정의에 의한 방법보다 작은 재현기간이 산정 되었다.

1차 확률적 지배를 하는 최대수익 포트폴리오 가중치의 탐색에 관한 연구 (An Efficient Algorithm to Find Portfolio Weights for the First Degree Stochastic Dominance with Maximum Expected Return)

  • 류춘호
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.153-163
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    • 2009
  • Unlike the mean-variance approach, the stochastic dominance approach is to form a portfolio that stochastically dominates a predetermined benchmark portfolio such as KOSPI. This study is to search a set of portfolio weights for the first-order stochastic dominance with maximum expected return by managing the constraint set and the objective function separately. A nonlinear programming algorithm was developed and tested with promising results against Korean stock market data sets.

구조적 시계열모형을 이용한 자산포트폴리오 관리의 개선 방안 (A Study on the Way to Improve Quality of Asset Portfolio Management Using Structural Time-Series Model)

  • 이창수
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.160-171
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    • 2003
  • Criteria for the comparison of quality of asset portfolio management are risk and return. In this paper a method to use structural time-series model to determine an optimal portfolio for the improvement of quality of asset portfolio management is suggested. In traditional mean variance analysis expected return is assumed to be time-invariant. However, it is more realistic to assume that expected return is temporally dynamic and structural time-series model can be used to reflect time-varying nature of return. A data set from an insurance company was used to show validity of suggested method.

A STUDY ON THE RATE OF RETURN OF PRIVATE INFRASTRUSTURE INVESTMENT PROJECT

  • Young-Min Park;Soo-Yong Kim;Hyo-Soo Hwang
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 1th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.1244-1249
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    • 2005
  • Present PII(Private Infrastructure Investment) in Korea has increased up to 11% compared to the year 2003 and is expected to increase in the future. In spite of its rapid increase, we don't have any definite standard or system which distinctly presents the rate of return for domestic PII yet, and practical and scientific research is not sufficient compared to its necessity and importance. Hence, in this study we suggests methods to estimate the rate of return of PII to promote SOC PII to last successfully and present the proper level of rate of return of PII which is appropriate for domestic situations through diverse analysis. Therefore, to present reasonable rate of return, we have used 5 methods: previous research analysis, case study, financial index analysis, analysis of investor's rate of return, and analysis of rate of return in a real estate market. After comparing and analyzing these methods, at the end, we have presented the appropriate level of rate of return of PII, which can be applied in the domestic market.

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반품과정에서의 소비자만족.불만경험 (Consumer Satisfaction and Dissatisfaction in Return Process)

  • 박경애
    • 한국의류학회지
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    • 제30권7호
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    • pp.1116-1125
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    • 2006
  • This study investigated consumer satisfaction and dissatisfaction experiences in post-purchase product return process. As an exploratory research the study collected qualitative data of subjective consumer experiences using an open-ended questionnaire and identified and classified themes and patterns of satisfaction and dissatisfaction experiences. A total of 113 cases were categorized into satisfied experiences, unsatisfied experiences, and neutral experiences. Further, satisfied experiences were sub-categorized into kind sales associates, quick and easy return process, and services higher than expected based on sources of satisfaction in the return process while unsatisfied experiences were sub-classified into rejection of return, attitude of sales associates, and hassle of return process. In-store adaptive behaviors and intentions on future behaviors were also observed. The results indicated that service quality in the post-purchase service encounter and consumer expectation were important in determining satisfaction and dissatisfaction in the return process. Insights for research questions were proposed.

주식수익률, 위험, 장부가치 / 시장가치 비율의 관계에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Relations among Stock Return, Risk, and Book-to-Market Ratio)

  • 감형규;신용재
    • 산업융합연구
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.127-147
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    • 2004
  • This paper examines the time-series relations among expected return, risk, and book-to-market(B/M) at the portfolio level. The time-series analysis is a natural alternative to cross-sectional regressions. An alternative feature of the time-series regressions is that they focus on changes in expected returns, not on average returns. Using the time-series analysis, we can directly test whether the three-factor model explains time-varying expected returns better than the characteristic-based model. These results should help distinguish between the risk and mispricing stories. We find that B/M is strongly associated with changes in risk, as measured by the Fama and French(1993) three-factor model. After controlling for changes in risk, B/M contains little additional information about expected returns. The evidence suggests that the three-factor model explains time-varying expected returns better than the characteristic-based model.

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야간수익률의 횡단면 주식수익률에 대한 예측력 (Predictability of Overnight Returns on the Cross-sectional Stock Returns)

  • 전용호
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.243-254
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This paper explores whether overnight returns measured from the last closing price to today's opening price explain the cross-section of stock returns. Design/methodology/approach - This study is conducted using the Korean stock market data from 1998 to 2018, obtained from DataGuide database. The analysis begins with portfolio-level tests, followed by firm-level cross-sectional regressions. Findings - First, when decile portfolios sorted on the daily average of overnight returns in the previous months, the highest decile portfolio exhibits a significant negative risk-adjusted return. This suggests that stocks with higher average overnight returns are temporarily overvalued due to buying pressure from investors. Second, at least 6 months of persistence exists in average overnight returns, which is in line with the results reported by Barber, Odean and Zhu (2009) that investor sentiment persists over several weeks. Finally, Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional regression of expected returns after controlling for a variety of firm characteristic variables such as firm size, book-to-market ratio, market beta, momentum, liquidity, short-term reversal, the slope coefficient for overnight returns remains negative and statistically significant. Research implications or Originality - Overall, the evidence consistently suggests that overnight return is considered as a new priced factor in the cross-section of expected returns. The findings of this paper not only adds to finance literature, but also could be useful to practitioners in making stock investment decision.

1차 확률적 지배를 하는 최대수익 포트폴리오 가중치의 탐색에 관한 연구 (Optimizing Portfolio Weights for the First Degree Stochastic Dominance with Maximum Expected Return)

  • 류춘호
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 2007년도 추계학술대회 및 정기총회
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    • pp.134-137
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    • 2007
  • Unlike the mean-variance approach, the stochastic dominance approach is to form a portfolio that stochastically dominates a predetermined benchmark portfolio such as KOSPI. This study is to search a set of portfolio weights for the first degree stochastic dominance with maximum expected return by managing the constraint set and the objective function separately. An algorithm was developed and tested with promising results against Korean stock market data sets.

  • PDF