• Title/Summary/Keyword: expected return

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The Effect of Stochastic Taxes on Asset Prices (세금 불확실성 하의 자산 가격 결정)

  • Kim, Chang-Soo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.207-219
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    • 1995
  • This paper develops an equilibrium asset pricing model with taxation in the economy. The expected excess rate of return on a risky asset is shown to be an increasing function of the covariance of asset return with aggregate consumption rate changes and the covariance of asset return with the tax rates as well. Thus, the expected execss rate of return can be decomposed as the consumption risk premium and the tax premium. The capital asset pricing model derived in the absence of taxes is shown to understate the expected excess rate of return and to have a misspecification error in the economy with taxation.

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A Study on the Relationship between expected stock return and volatility (기대수익률과 주가변동성의 관계 연구)

  • 고광수
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.153-167
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    • 1997
  • There have been many studies concerning the relationships between stock returns and volatilities. Their positive relationship is well known from the theoretical point of view, but not empirically shown. Franch, Schwert and Stambaugh [11] has empirically provided the indirect evidence of the positive relationship betwen expected stock return and expected volatility. However, their study lacks some statistical validity. This study reexamines the relationship using regression diagnostics and GARCH model from an international point of view. The empirical results fall to show the positive relationship between expected stock return and expected volaiility, which contradicts those of France, Schwert and Stambangh [1].

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A Study on the Changes of Return Period Considering Nonstationarity of Rainfall Data (강우자료의 비정상성을 고려한 재현기간 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Hongjoon;Ahn, Hyunjun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.447-457
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    • 2014
  • This research focuses on the changes of return period for nonstationary rainfall data in which exceedance or nonexceedance probability varies depending on time. We examined two definitions of return period under nonstationarity and also performed nonstationary frequency analysis using the nonstationary Gumbel model to investigate variations of return period in Korea. Seogwipo, Inje, Jecheon, Gumi, Mungyeong, and Geochang were selected as subject sites of application. These sites have a trend in rainfall data as well as having more than 30 years data. As the results of application, the return periods considering nonstationarity are different with those considering stationarity. The differences of return periods between nonstationarity and stationarity increase as growing return period increases. In addition, the return period using the expected waiting time method shows lower value than that using the expected number of event method.

An Efficient Algorithm to Find Portfolio Weights for the First Degree Stochastic Dominance with Maximum Expected Return (1차 확률적 지배를 하는 최대수익 포트폴리오 가중치의 탐색에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Choon-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.153-163
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    • 2009
  • Unlike the mean-variance approach, the stochastic dominance approach is to form a portfolio that stochastically dominates a predetermined benchmark portfolio such as KOSPI. This study is to search a set of portfolio weights for the first-order stochastic dominance with maximum expected return by managing the constraint set and the objective function separately. A nonlinear programming algorithm was developed and tested with promising results against Korean stock market data sets.

A Study on the Way to Improve Quality of Asset Portfolio Management Using Structural Time-Series Model (구조적 시계열모형을 이용한 자산포트폴리오 관리의 개선 방안)

  • 이창수
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.160-171
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    • 2003
  • Criteria for the comparison of quality of asset portfolio management are risk and return. In this paper a method to use structural time-series model to determine an optimal portfolio for the improvement of quality of asset portfolio management is suggested. In traditional mean variance analysis expected return is assumed to be time-invariant. However, it is more realistic to assume that expected return is temporally dynamic and structural time-series model can be used to reflect time-varying nature of return. A data set from an insurance company was used to show validity of suggested method.

A STUDY ON THE RATE OF RETURN OF PRIVATE INFRASTRUSTURE INVESTMENT PROJECT

  • Young-Min Park;Soo-Yong Kim;Hyo-Soo Hwang
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.1244-1249
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    • 2005
  • Present PII(Private Infrastructure Investment) in Korea has increased up to 11% compared to the year 2003 and is expected to increase in the future. In spite of its rapid increase, we don't have any definite standard or system which distinctly presents the rate of return for domestic PII yet, and practical and scientific research is not sufficient compared to its necessity and importance. Hence, in this study we suggests methods to estimate the rate of return of PII to promote SOC PII to last successfully and present the proper level of rate of return of PII which is appropriate for domestic situations through diverse analysis. Therefore, to present reasonable rate of return, we have used 5 methods: previous research analysis, case study, financial index analysis, analysis of investor's rate of return, and analysis of rate of return in a real estate market. After comparing and analyzing these methods, at the end, we have presented the appropriate level of rate of return of PII, which can be applied in the domestic market.

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Consumer Satisfaction and Dissatisfaction in Return Process (반품과정에서의 소비자만족.불만경험)

  • Park Kyung-Ae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.30 no.7 s.155
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    • pp.1116-1125
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    • 2006
  • This study investigated consumer satisfaction and dissatisfaction experiences in post-purchase product return process. As an exploratory research the study collected qualitative data of subjective consumer experiences using an open-ended questionnaire and identified and classified themes and patterns of satisfaction and dissatisfaction experiences. A total of 113 cases were categorized into satisfied experiences, unsatisfied experiences, and neutral experiences. Further, satisfied experiences were sub-categorized into kind sales associates, quick and easy return process, and services higher than expected based on sources of satisfaction in the return process while unsatisfied experiences were sub-classified into rejection of return, attitude of sales associates, and hassle of return process. In-store adaptive behaviors and intentions on future behaviors were also observed. The results indicated that service quality in the post-purchase service encounter and consumer expectation were important in determining satisfaction and dissatisfaction in the return process. Insights for research questions were proposed.

A Study on the Relations among Stock Return, Risk, and Book-to-Market Ratio (주식수익률, 위험, 장부가치 / 시장가치 비율의 관계에 관한 연구)

  • Kam, Hyung-Kyu;Shin, Yong-Jae
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.127-147
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    • 2004
  • This paper examines the time-series relations among expected return, risk, and book-to-market(B/M) at the portfolio level. The time-series analysis is a natural alternative to cross-sectional regressions. An alternative feature of the time-series regressions is that they focus on changes in expected returns, not on average returns. Using the time-series analysis, we can directly test whether the three-factor model explains time-varying expected returns better than the characteristic-based model. These results should help distinguish between the risk and mispricing stories. We find that B/M is strongly associated with changes in risk, as measured by the Fama and French(1993) three-factor model. After controlling for changes in risk, B/M contains little additional information about expected returns. The evidence suggests that the three-factor model explains time-varying expected returns better than the characteristic-based model.

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Predictability of Overnight Returns on the Cross-sectional Stock Returns (야간수익률의 횡단면 주식수익률에 대한 예측력)

  • Cheon, Yong-Ho
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.243-254
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This paper explores whether overnight returns measured from the last closing price to today's opening price explain the cross-section of stock returns. Design/methodology/approach - This study is conducted using the Korean stock market data from 1998 to 2018, obtained from DataGuide database. The analysis begins with portfolio-level tests, followed by firm-level cross-sectional regressions. Findings - First, when decile portfolios sorted on the daily average of overnight returns in the previous months, the highest decile portfolio exhibits a significant negative risk-adjusted return. This suggests that stocks with higher average overnight returns are temporarily overvalued due to buying pressure from investors. Second, at least 6 months of persistence exists in average overnight returns, which is in line with the results reported by Barber, Odean and Zhu (2009) that investor sentiment persists over several weeks. Finally, Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional regression of expected returns after controlling for a variety of firm characteristic variables such as firm size, book-to-market ratio, market beta, momentum, liquidity, short-term reversal, the slope coefficient for overnight returns remains negative and statistically significant. Research implications or Originality - Overall, the evidence consistently suggests that overnight return is considered as a new priced factor in the cross-section of expected returns. The findings of this paper not only adds to finance literature, but also could be useful to practitioners in making stock investment decision.

Optimizing Portfolio Weights for the First Degree Stochastic Dominance with Maximum Expected Return (1차 확률적 지배를 하는 최대수익 포트폴리오 가중치의 탐색에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Choon-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.134-137
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    • 2007
  • Unlike the mean-variance approach, the stochastic dominance approach is to form a portfolio that stochastically dominates a predetermined benchmark portfolio such as KOSPI. This study is to search a set of portfolio weights for the first degree stochastic dominance with maximum expected return by managing the constraint set and the objective function separately. An algorithm was developed and tested with promising results against Korean stock market data sets.

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