• Title/Summary/Keyword: expected life time

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A Study on Time Series Cross-Validation Techniques for Enhancing the Accuracy of Reservoir Water Level Prediction Using Automated Machine Learning TPOT (자동기계학습 TPOT 기반 저수위 예측 정확도 향상을 위한 시계열 교차검증 기법 연구)

  • Bae, Joo-Hyun;Park, Woon-Ji;Lee, Seoro;Park, Tae-Seon;Park, Sang-Bin;Kim, Jonggun;Lim, Kyoung-Jae
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.66 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2024
  • This study assessed the efficacy of improving the accuracy of reservoir water level prediction models by employing automated machine learning models and efficient cross-validation methods for time-series data. Considering the inherent complexity and non-linearity of time-series data related to reservoir water levels, we proposed an optimized approach for model selection and training. The performance of twelve models was evaluated for the Obong Reservoir in Gangneung, Gangwon Province, using the TPOT (Tree-based Pipeline Optimization Tool) and four cross-validation methods, which led to the determination of the optimal pipeline model. The pipeline model consisting of Extra Tree, Stacking Ridge Regression, and Simple Ridge Regression showed outstanding predictive performance for both training and test data, with an R2 (Coefficient of determination) and NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency) exceeding 0.93. On the other hand, for predictions of water levels 12 hours later, the pipeline model selected through time-series split cross-validation accurately captured the change pattern of time-series water level data during the test period, with an NSE exceeding 0.99. The methodology proposed in this study is expected to greatly contribute to the efficient generation of reservoir water level predictions in regions with high rainfall variability.

Reliability Analysis of MLCC Degradation Data based on Eyring Model (아이링 모델에 기초한 MLCC 열화데이터의 신뢰성 해석)

  • 김종철;김광섭;차종범
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2004.07a
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    • pp.239-246
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    • 2004
  • Accelerated degradation test (ADT) can be a useful tool for assessing the reliability when few or even no failure are expected in an accelerated life test. In this paper, MLCC (Multilayer Ceramic Capacitors), a sort of passive components which have large capacitance(X7R -55$^{\circ}C$~1$25^{\circ}C$) have been tested, and least-square analyses are used to illustrate our approach in which amount of degradation of a DUT following log-normal distribution. We assumed a simple and useful linear model to describe the amount of degradation over time subjected to different voltage levels applied. Tests for linearity of the performance-time relationship, and provide tests for how well the assumptions hold. Also, by using Eyring Model, MLCC's mean life time is assessed.

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Optimal replacement policy after extended warranty for a system with minimal repair warranty (최소수리 보증을 갖는 시스템에 대한 연장된 보증 이후의 최적의 교체정책)

  • Jung, Ki Mun
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2013
  • Recently, an extended warranty of a system following the expiration of the basic warranty is becoming increasingly popular to the user. In this respect, we suggest a replacement model following the expiration of extended warranty with minimal repair warranty from the user's point of view in this paper. Under extended warranty, the failed system is minimally repaired by the manufacturer at no cost to the user during the original extended warranty period. As a criterion of the optimality, we utilize the expected cost rate per unit time during the life cycle from the user's perspective and suggest the optimal replacement period after extended warranty. Finally, a few numerical examples are given for illustrative purpose.

MRI with Continuously Flowing Laser-Polarized $^3He$

  • Lee, Hyeong-Ju;Kim, Chul;Kim, Byung-Soo;Kim, Do-Hun;Lee, Hee-Cheon
    • Journal of the Korean Magnetic Resonance Society
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.62-67
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    • 2003
  • MRI of laser-polarized $^{129}$ Xe under continuous flow conditions has recently been used for imaging of porous materials, however, any attempts at using a continuously circulating flow of laser-polarized $^3$He have not been made until now, presumably due to its extremely long spin exchange time (5-10 hrs). Since the inherent NMR sensitivity of $^3$He is 80 times greater than that of $^{129}$ Xe when considering the natural abundance, $^3$He can be expected to be a better nucleus for imaging than $^{129}$ Xe even under continuous flow conditions. In this report, the first MRI with continuously flowing laser-polarized $^3$He is shown for a phantom of Teflon tubing, demonstrating the feasibility of $^3$He imaging under continuous flow.

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A study on the economic feasibility and the LCCO2 of Main floor covering materials in day care centers (어린이집 주요 바닥마감재의 경제성 및 LCCO2 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dong-Pil;Cho, Kyu-Man
    • The Journal of Sustainable Design and Educational Environment Research
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2013
  • As the construction industry develops, environmental pollution gets increasingly serious, giving damage including the increase of incidence of respiratory diseases and skin diseases among children with weakened immune systems, rather than adults. In daycare centers, infants and children spending much of their time, have high frequency of contact with the interior floor finish material. However, the majority of the child care centers don not use eco-friendly flooring but ordinary monorium flooring, because the initial investment cost of the eco-friendly flooring is higher than ordinary monorium flooring. Therefore, in this study, life cycle costs including the initial investment cost of the eco-friendly flooring and ordinary monorium flooring were calculated, demonstrating that the eco-friendly flooring is more economical than ordinary monorium flooring in terms of life-cycle cost. In addition, the analysis of the environmental performance also showed the excellence of the eco-friendly floor finishes. It is expected that the use of the eco-friendly floor finishes will increase due to their excellence in the aspect of life cycle cost and eco-friendly performance, through this study.

Distributional Characteristics by Habitat Type of Alien Plants - For Gyeongsang Area in Korea - (외래식물의 서식처 유형에 따른 분포특성 - 한국 경상권을 대상으로 -)

  • Lee, Jung-Min;Kim, Eui-Joo;Lee, Hyo-Hye-Mi;Cho, Kuy-Tae
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.142-150
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    • 2021
  • To analyze the distribution characteristics of alien plants in various habitat types, 249 sites were selected from four administrative districts in the Gyeongsang region of Korea. The survey was conducted across nine different habitat types. A total of 115 species of alien plants were collected; comprising 23 families, 73 genera, 112 species, and 3 varieties. Species from the family Compositae were the most common at 33.0%. Raunkiaer's life forms had the highest occurrence rate with 70 species(60.9%) of therophytes(Th) followed by 30 species (26.1%) of hemicryptophytes (H) and 8 species (7.0%) of geophytes (G). The distributions of alien plant species per habitat type were: 81 species on the roadside; 80 species on vacant lots and artificial habitats; 67 species in streams; 53 species in grasslands; 47 species in cultivated lands; and 39 species on the coast. Since 2017, the number of alien plants has increased in Gyeongju-si, Cheongdo-gun, and Pohang-si, and decreased in Ulsan Metropolitan-si. In each region, 614 taxa were observed. The invasive alien species, Sicyos angulatus, Hypocaeris radicata, and Solanum carolinense, were observed for the first time and are expected to further increase the disturbance of the ecosystem.

Analysis on Coring Earth Electrode in Progress of Time (코아링 접지전극의 경년변화 해석)

  • Oh, Seong-Bo;Kim, Se-Ho;Kim, Ho-Chan;Boo, Chang-Jin;Ahan, Jae-Hyun;Ko, Seoung-Min;Ko, Young-Soo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2006.07e
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    • pp.89-90
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    • 2006
  • Recent earth systems not only make earth resistance decreased by installing earth electrode but also are demanded by earth construction for the protection of human life and equipments through total investigation about circumstances. Layer constructions in Jeju island consist of multi-layer of scoria, rocks and shale except clay layers on the surface, which needs the construction of the coring earth electrode suitable in the condition of the area. For this reason, we've used the coring earth electrode. But the coring earth electrode is expected to slow down the performance of this equipment according to the progress of time changing the effects. It is also applied for the stability of earth system construction and management after the construction work analyzing the condition of the earth system. Therefore, this is actually focused on the analysis on measuring the earth resistance and the soil resistivity that cover the range where the remarkable contrast can be expected to be seen in the layer structures.

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Implementation of Real-time Logistics Services using Smart Phones (스마트 폰을 활용한 실시간 물류서비스 구현 방안)

  • Park, Doo-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.807-808
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    • 2012
  • Today, the development of logistics and timing of the development of civilization is like. Recently developed the most rapidly is the field of IT. Especially in the field of IT as a key technology being evaluated, as well as real-life development of smart phones to the development of logistics is expected to bring many changes. Accordingly, a combination of smart phones and logistics development of new business models have been increasingly applied. In this paper, smart phones-based implementation of real-time logistics services is proposed.

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An Evolutionary Algorithm for Minimizing the Assembly Time of surface Mounting Machines (표면실장기의 조립시간 최소화를 위한 진화 알고리즘)

  • Lee, Sung-Han;Lee, Young-Dae;Lee, Won-Sik;Lee, Beom-Hee
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.6 no.8
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    • pp.697-702
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    • 2000
  • The paper considers the problem of improving the productivity of surface mounting in the printed circuit board(PCB) assembly line. This problem is generally divided into two problems ; real assignment problem and pick-and -place sequencing problem which are known to have no polynomial time algorithms. In the last ten years algorithm designers have been trying to solve them separately. However they need to be solved jointly because they are highly interrelated. This paper proposes an evolutionary algorithm which can consider the two problems jointly and thus yield a better solution. In order to evaluate the proposed algorithm computer simulation is performed on real-life surface mounting machines. The proposed algorithm is expected to reduce the assembly time of surface mounting machines and thus improve the productivity.

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A Study on the Impact Factor of Bridges (교량의 충격계수에 관한 연구)

  • Youn, IIro;Ryu, Taek-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.161-166
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    • 2004
  • The impact factor of bridges is analyzed based on experimental data to examine the characteristics of the dynamic responses of bridges. The experimental impact factors are compared with the impact factor of Korean Highway Design Specification and Japan T-load in terms of the span length. According to the superstructural types of bridges, the variation of the impact factor is analyzed. When vehicles are passing on a bridge, the dynamic effect acts on the bridge impact factor more than at the time of design because of the velocity of vehicles, the surface roughness reduction due to the deterioration of the bridge deck pavement, and the disconnection of the bridge entrance and the expansion joint. Because the actual value is greater than the expected value at the time of design, the dynamic response of the bridge accelerates the deterioration of the bridge due to the accumulation of fatigue, and the bridge's life-time is shortened and can have an influence on the serviceability and safety of the bridge.

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