• 제목/요약/키워드: expected cost

검색결과 3,020건 처리시간 0.026초

초전도케이블 시장진입 가격 산정 방법론 고찰 (Methodology for Estimating the HTS Cable Market Price)

  • 김종율;이승렬;윤재영
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
    • /
    • 제53권10호
    • /
    • pp.536-541
    • /
    • 2004
  • As power demand increases gradually, the call for underground transmission system increases. But it is very difficult and high in cost to construct new ducts and/or tunnels for power cables in metropolitan areas. HTS (High Temperature Superconducting) cable has the several useful characteristics such as increased power density, stronger magnetic fields and/or reduced losses. Therefore HTS cable can allow more power to be moved in existing ducts, which means very large economical and environmental benefits. In these days, companies world-wide have conducted researches on HTS cable. A development project for a 22.9kV class HTS cable is proceeding at a research center and university in Korea. In this paper, we investigate the expected price of HTS cable to have a merit in viewpoint of economic aspect. First, life-cycle cost of conventional cable is calculated and based on this, the expected price of HTS cable is evaluated, which HTS cable is competitive against conventional cable.

Partially Observable Markov Decision Process with Lagged Information over Infinite Horizon

  • Jeong, Byong-Ho;Kim, Soung-Hie
    • 한국경영과학회지
    • /
    • 제16권1호
    • /
    • pp.135-146
    • /
    • 1991
  • This paper shows the infinite horizon model of Partially Observable Markov Decision Process with lagged information. The lagged information is uncertain delayed observation of the process under control. Even though the optimal policy of the model exists, finding the optimal policy is very time consuming. Thus, the aim of this study is to find an .eplison.-optimal stationary policy minimizing the expected discounted total cost of the model. .EPSILON.- optimal policy is found by using a modified version of the well known policy iteration algorithm. The modification focuses to the value determination routine of the algorithm. Some properties of the approximation functions for the expected discounted cost of a stationary policy are presented. The expected discounted cost of a stationary policy is approximated based on these properties. A numerical example is also shown.

  • PDF

고속철도 강교량의 총기대비용 최적설계 (Optimum Life Cycle Cost Design of High-Speed Railway Steel Bridges)

  • 조효남;민대홍;조준석
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국전산구조공학회 2000년도 가을 학술발표회논문집
    • /
    • pp.109-114
    • /
    • 2000
  • In this paper, an optimum design model for minimizing the life-cycle cost (LCC) of high-speed railway steel bridges is proposed The point is that it takes into account service life process as a whole, and thus the life-cycle costs include initial (design, testing, and construction) costs, maintenance costs, expected strength failure costs and expected serviceability failure costs. The problem is formulated as that of minimization of expected total life-cycle cost with respect to the design variables. By processing the optimum LCC design the effective and rational basis is proposed for calculating the total LCC and the sensitivity analysis of LCC is peformed. Based on a numerical example, it may be positively stated that the optimum LCC design of high-speed railway steel bridges proposed in this study provides a lot more rational and economical design, and thus the proposed approach will expedite the development of new concepts and design methodologies that may have important implications in the next generation performance-based design codes and standards.

  • PDF

시스템의 신뢰도와 수요 반응을 고려한 발전 운영 (Generator Scheduling Considering System's Reliability and Demand Response)

  • 곽형근;김진오
    • 전기학회논문지
    • /
    • 제60권5호
    • /
    • pp.929-935
    • /
    • 2011
  • Customers hardly change to electric prices in old days because electricity is essential commodity, while demand changes with price after deregulation. It's explained by price-based demand response with demand-elasticity matrix. Also all of the customers have had identical demand-price elasticity matrix till now. But in a practical power system, various customers are present with taking a variety of demand-price elasticity. Therefore this paper proposes demand-price sensitivity to represent different demand-price elasticity. Also as proposing demand-reliability sensitivity, it is modeling various customers' characteristics to reliability. And then this paper calculates total expected interruption cost of customer from the customer interruption cost and the demand-reliability sensitivity. A total expected interruption cost of system is shown as opportunity cost of a generation cost.

제품안전경영을 위한 사고비용분석의 이론적 접근 (A Theoretical Approach of Accident Cost Analyses for Product Safety Management)

  • 김사길;변승남
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국경영과학회/대한산업공학회 2003년도 춘계공동학술대회
    • /
    • pp.230-235
    • /
    • 2003
  • Accident analysis is special concern to researchers in traffic safety. Accident analysis in product safety, however, is not. The needs of product safety management alter it in the world by all manufacturers. The purpose of this study is to propose a theoretical principles for product safety management through the accident cost analyses. The accident cost is a important factor to prevent product accident and to treat some claims of customers. It is sure that this principles can help all making decisions of manufactures with expected accident cost per a product accident and with total expected accident cost.

  • PDF

Optimal Burn-In under Warranty

  • Kim, Kui-Nam J.;Park, Chi-Yeon;Hong, Chan-Geui
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한안전경영과학회 1999년도 추계학술대회
    • /
    • pp.147-155
    • /
    • 1999
  • This paper discusses an optimal burn-in procedure to minimize total costs based on the assumption that the failure rate pattern follows a bimodal mixed Weibull distribution. The procedure will consider warranty period as a factor of the total expected burn-in cost. A cost model is formulated to find the optimal burn-in time that minimizes the expected burn-in cost. Conditional reliability for warranty period will be discussed. An illustrative example is included to show how to use the cost model in practice.

  • PDF

연기옵션을 고려한 옵션가치의 일반적 기회비용 모델 (The Multi-Period Opportunity Cost Model to Evaluate an Option Value based on a Deferral Option)

  • 김규태
    • 산업공학
    • /
    • 제18권2호
    • /
    • pp.184-192
    • /
    • 2005
  • In recent research there has been intense interest in understanding how real option valuation (ROV) approaches might usefully complement conventional discounted cash flow (DCF) techniques. However, investment decision makers in a real world have been worried about adopting the ROV approaches mainly because of difficulty in technically understanding the theory of the ROV approaches as indicated by many researchers. With this difficulty in mind, we propose the opportunity cost model as another discrete-time model to value a deferral option. The main advantage of observing a real options value in terms of the opportunity cost concept is to provide a technique for practitioners to estimate a wide range of real options values without sticking to a financial option modelling. The fundamental ground for developing the opportunity cost model proposed in this paper lies in the work of dissecting the structure of the real options value into three categories: capital gain, expected opportunity loss, and expected opportunity gain. At the end of the paper, we will present a short illustrative example to demonstrate the applicability of the model.

주기적 예방보전의 최적정책에 관한 연구

  • 나명환;손영숙;김문주
    • 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국신뢰성학회 2005년도 학술발표대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.115-120
    • /
    • 2005
  • This paper introduces models for preventive maintenance policies and considers periodic preventive maintenance policy with minimal repair when the failure of system occurs. It is assumed that minimal repairs do not change the failure rate of the system. The failure rate under prevention maintenance received an effect by a previously prevention maintenance and the slope of failure rate increases the model where it considered. Also the start point of failure rate under prevention maintenance considers the degradation of system and that it increases quotient, it assumed. Per unit time it bought an expectation cost from under this prevention maintenance policy. We obtain the optimal period time and the number for the periodic preventive maintenance by using Nakagawa's Algorithm, which minimizes the expected cost rate per unit time. Finally, it suppose that the failure time of a system has a Weibull distribution as an example and we obtain an expected cost rate per unit time the optimal period time and the number when cost of replacement and cost of minimal repair change.

  • PDF

건축물 범죄예방 기준 확대적용에 따른 경제성 분석 (An Economic Analysis by Applying Extended Crime Prevention Standards for Buildings)

  • 현태환;조영진
    • 대한건축학회논문집:계획계
    • /
    • 제35권11호
    • /
    • pp.53-60
    • /
    • 2019
  • Multi-unit house, multi-household house, row house and apartments with less than 500 households were included in the list of anti-crime for buildings following the revision of the "notice of crime prevention building standards" on July 31, 2019. Strengthening the performance of crime prevention buildings is inevitable to increase the cost of building construction, including installation of preventive facilities and use of facilities that have secured performance. Thus an economic analysis on the costs and expected benefits of implementing the standards is required for social consensus. Economic analysis is divided into cost analysis and benefit analysis. This study aims to perform an economic analysis on the installation of crime prevention facilities in the buildings subject to expanded crime prevention obligations. Cost analysis is calculated as the sum of the cost of installation and the price of the crime prevention facilities installed for each target residential building. Benefit analysis is calculated as the social cost of targeted crimes that are expected to decrease due to the installation of crime prevention facilities. Economic analysis shows that the total cost of installing crime prevention facilities in residential buildings is estimated at 107.31 billion won per year, while the total benefit from enhanced crime prevention performance is estimated at 9.38 billion won per year. Considering inflation, benefits are expected to outpace costs in the 28th year since the system was implemented.

Design of a Life Test Sampling Plan Based on the Cost Model

  • Kwon, Young-Il
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
    • /
    • 제6권1호
    • /
    • pp.31-39
    • /
    • 2005
  • An economic life test sampling plan for products with exponential lifetime distribution is developed. To reduce test time, a test plan with curtailed Type II censoring is considered. A cost model is constructed which involves three cost components; test cost, accept cost, and reject cost. Determination of optimal plan minimizing the expected average cost per lot is discussed with a constraint related to consumer's risk. Some numerical examples are provided.

  • PDF