• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.55-62
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• 1992

교통수요는 교통정책 및 교통시설 계획의 수립 및 평가에 중요한 영향을 미치게 되므로 교통수요의 예측은 교통연구에서 중요한 부문을 차지하고 있다. 도로밑에 설치된 전자차량감지기(Electronic Vehicle Detector)로부터 자동 수집된 링크 교통량 자료(Traffic Counts)를 주요 입력자료로 이용하여 계획지역의 기종점 통행표(Origin Destination Trip Matrix)를 작성할 수 있는 기법 들이 최근 수년동안 많이 발달하게 되었다. 이러한 새로운 기법들은 가구조사(Home Inteview), 노변면접조사(Road-Side Interview)등을 토하여 조사된 자료를 기초로하는 전통적은 4단계 교통수요추정방법(Conventional 4-Stage Estimation Method)-통행발생(Generation), 통행분포(Distribution), 수단선택(Modal Split), 교통배분(Assignment)-과 비교하여 첫째로 정확도가 높은 링크 교통량 자료를 별도의 조사를 거치지 않고서도 수집이 가능하기 때문에 조사비용이 거의 들지 않아도 되어 경제적이고, 둘째로 전통적인 수요예측방법들에서 요구되어지는 복잡한 모형수립 및 계수조정(Parameter Calibration)이 필요하지 않아 간편하고 셋째로 오래전에 작성된 기종점 통행표를 단순히 링크 교통량 자료만을 이용하여 쉽게 보완할 수 있어 지속적인 자료의 축적(Data Age-ing)이 가능하며 더 나아 가서 소위 연속적인 교통 계획 및 교통시설관리(Continuous Transport Planning and Management)를 가능케 하는 등의 여러 장점 때문에 많은 주목을 받아 오고 최근 몇 년이 꾸준히 실무에 유용하게 적용이 되고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구는 링크 교통량자료를 이용하여 기종점 통행표를 작성하기 위하여 개발된 기존의 여러 기법들 가운데 특히 용량제약조건(Capacity-Restrained Condition)하에서 기존의 방법들을 상호 검토한 후 Wardrop의 교통망 평형원칙(Wardrop's First Network Equilibrium Principle)을 만족하는 새로운 추정기법을 제의하고 이의 시험결과를 논의하는 것을 주요내용으로 한다. 링크 교통량 자료를 이용하여 기종점 통행표를 작성하는 기법들의 근본 목표는 조사된 링크 교통량(Ob-served Traffic Counts)에 가장 근접한 교통망 통행 배정 링크 교통량(Assigned Link Volumes)을 재현(Re-producing)할 수 있는 기종점 통행표들 중에서 최적의 기종점 통행표를 발견하는 것이다. 따라서 교통망에서 통행자의 여행 경로 배정을 가장 잘 반영할 수 있는 현실적인(Realistic) 교통망 통행 배정 모형(Net-work Traffic Assignment Model)의 선택은 중요한 요소가 되며 특히 교통망에 교통체증(Traffic Conges-tion)이 심할 경우 교통망 통행자 평형조건(Network Traffic Equilibrium Condition)을 고려하기 위한 특별한 처리가 요구되어진다. 본 연구는 Whllumsen(Hall, Van Vliet and Willumsen, 1980)에 의하여 개발된 ME2(Maximum Entropy Matrix Estimation)기법에서 반복식 추정방법(Sequential Estimation Method)을 사용할 경우 Wardrop의 평형조건을 만족하는 기종점 통행표를 구할 수 없다는 단점을 극복하기 위한 방안으로서 엔트로피 극대화문제와 교통망 평형 조건(Entropy Maximisation and Network Equilibrium Condition)의 두 문제를 동시에 해결할 수 있는 새로운 수식모형과 이를 풀기 위한 알고리즘(Simultaneous Solution Algorithm)을 제의하였다. 제의된 수식모형과 알고리즘을 예제 교통망(Example Network)을 이용한 시험하고 그 결과를 ME2 의 반복식 추정 방법으로부터 구한 기종점 통행표와 비교 검토하였다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.18 no.5
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• pp.57-67
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• 2000

Two fuzzy travel time estimators for interrupted traffic flow were developed based on field survey data and simulation data 7hat is collected from DETSIM, which is microscopic traffic simulation model that car-following theory is applied. One is FETTOS(Fuzzy Estimator of Travel Time using Occupancy and Spot speed) and the other is FETTOS(Fuzzy Estimator of Travel Speed using Volume and Occupancy). Fuzzy logic controller was applied to the estimators to deal with non-linear relationship between traffic variables and travel time. According to results of simulation and field survey. estimation of travel time can be modeled by using percent occupancy better than any other traffic variables. Detector location from storyline and signal timing Plan of intersection are affected to estimate travel time. With a few findings, the estimator was constructed and its performance was tested for observed travel time data and simulated data. FETTOS which needs signal timing plan and detector location estimates travel time with accurate better than FETSVO does. However. FETSVO has excellent transferability because the estimator needs set of input data only; volume and time mean speed.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.78-88
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• 2014

Now, UTIS collects and provides traffic information by building RSE 1,150(unit) and OBE about 51,000(vehicle). it's inevitable to enlarge traffic information sources which use to improve quality of UTIS traffic information for Stabilizing UTIS's service. but there are missing data sections. And, In this study as a way to overcome these problems, based on BIS(Bus information system) installed and operating in the capital area to develop normal vehicle's link transit time estimation model which is used realtime collecting BMS data, we'll utilize the model to provide missing data section's information. For these problem, we selected partial section of suwon-city, anyang-city followed by drive only way or not and conducted model estimating and verification each of BMS data and UTIS traffic information. Consequently, Case2,4,6,8 presented highly credibility between UTIS communication data and estimated value but In the Case 3,5 we determined to replace communication data of UTIS' missing data section too hard for large error. So we need to apply high credibility model formula adjusting road managing condition and the situation of object section.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.24 no.5 s.91
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• pp.7-18
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• 2006

Data for travel information Provision are regularly aggregated to Provide travel time information in a reliable and convenient manner and to manage traffic data and information efficiently. In most of practices in Korea, the GPS based travel time data are mainly aggregated every 5 minutes As a result, some probes can't pass by a link within aggregation interval and thereby create uncompleted link passing data. But these data are mostly generated during the congested times and therefore a method that uses such uncompleted link passing data are required. This study estimated queue dissipation length, green time and cycle that use GPS spot speed and developed a link travel time estimation method using such uncompleted link passing data. It also presents method and the overall process of using such data to estimate link travel time in a more accurate manner. As a result, MAPE 1.98% and MAE 4.75 sec of link travel time accuracy improvement has been reported, which is not much different from the real link travel time. The method Proposed here would be an alternative to increase the amount of GPS probe data, especially in congested urban arterial case.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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• v.36 no.5
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• pp.335-341
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• 2018

The KDE (Kernel Density Estimation) technique in GIS (Geographic Information System) has been widely used as a method for determining whether a phenomenon occurring in space forms clusters. Most human-generated events such as traffic accidents and retail stores are distributed according to a road network. Even if events on forward and rear roads have short Euclidean distances, network distances may increase and the correlation between them may be low. Therefore, the NKDE (Network-based KDE) technique has been proposed and applied to the urban space where a road network has been developed. KDE is being studied in the field of business GIS, but there is a limit to the microscopic analysis of economic activity along a road. In this study, the NKDE technique is applied to the analysis of urban phenomena such as the density of shops rather than traffic accidents that occur on roads. The results of the NKDE technique are also compared to pedestrian networks and road centerline networks. The results show that applying NKDE to microscopic trade area analysis can yield relatively accurate results. In addition, it was found that pedestrian network data that can consider the movement of actual pedestrians are necessary for accurate trade area analysis using NKDE.

• Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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• v.19 no.8
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• pp.1377-1385
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• 2016

Conventional X-band marine radar has been used as one of the effective tools for collecting and retrieving ocean surface information parameters for three decades. Several wave information extracting algorithms have been designed in such a way that they can be utilized for efficiently estimating sea surface wave parameters such as current velocities, wave direction, significant wave heights in VTS (Vessel Traffic Service). However, their performances are still restricted. For the purpose of overcoming the performance limits, in this paper, first the conventional algorithms are analyzed and their performances are compared, and then a new control algorithm is proposed. Furthermore, we try to improve the estimation performances of typical wave parameters including wave directions and significant wave heights by introducing linear regression model in the process of computing wave information extraction. Through several simulations with the X-band radar images, it is shown that the proposed method is very effective in estimating the wave information compared to the real measured buoy data.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.80-93
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• 2018

Public transit services are generally analyzed based on the correlation of demand and supply. The computation of supply uses accessibility while demand uses travel demands estimation based on residential population. However, the traditional demand estimation has a limitation in analysing in micro-scale compared to the smartcard data traffic. This study analyzed potential improvement of public transit services using smartcard traffic data. The supply of transportation was defined using time distance accessibility. Also, time loss was calculated in those origin destination(OD) pairs where time distance accessibilities are relatively low. The proposed method was applied at Seoul. The results showed that the areas where OD pairs need improvement include Seodaemun-gu, Guro-gu and Nowon-gu.

• Land and Housing Review
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• v.2 no.3
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• pp.217-226
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• 2011

The Seoul Metropolitan Government is striving to minimize the amount of traffic according to the supply of apartment houses along with the solution of housing shortage for the low income people through high density development near the subway area. Therefore, a stronger policy is necessary to control the traffic of the passenger cars in a subway area for the successful high density development focusing on public transportation, and especially, the estimation of the demand of cars with high reliability is necessary to control the demand of parking such as the limited supply of parking lot. Accordingly, this study developed car ownership forecasting model using Look-up Table among category analyses which are easy to be applied and have high reliability. The estimation method using Look-up-Table is possible to be applied to both measurable and immeasurable types, easy to accumulate data, and features the flexible responding depending on the changes of conditions. This study established Look-up-Table model through the survey of geographical location, the scale of housing, the accessible distance to a subway station and to a bus station, the number of bus routes, and the number of car owned with data regarding 242 blocks in Seoul City as subjects.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.32 no.6
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• pp.567-578
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• 2014

The study suggested a method to improve analysis accuracy such that the interactive effects of transportation changes between outside and inside of sub-areas were sequentially considered in the analysis by linking a macroscopic network analysis and a microscopic traffic simulation. A dynamic O/D estimation method was developed for practical implement of sub-area microscopic simulation analysis by using the results of macroscopic network analysis, the results of selected link analysis at the cordon line of the sub-area, departure time data of household travel survey, timely observed traffic volume data at the cordon. This estimated dynamic O/D for the sub-area made it possible to analyze traffic phenomena in details. Various detailed phenomena such as traffic queues, delay at intersection, and conflicts between vehicles, which is impossible to be grasped through a macroscopic analysis, can be analyzed with the dynamic microscopic traffic analysis. Through implementing an empirical study and validation, the study provided a reference result about accuracy of a microscopic traffic simulation of a sub-area to help its application for real transportation policy analysis.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.26 no.3
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• pp.17-29
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• 2008

A volume-delay function(VDF) has been used to describe the relation between traffic volumes and delay experienced by travelers on the roads traveling from origin to destination, which has been usually adopted in traffic assignment. For the purpose of more precise description of traffic pattern, we have to estimate the parameters of VDF in advance. This paper presents a methodology for estimating the parameters, which combined with golden section method. By using the method we have estimated the parameters with real data based on KTDB(2006), and validated them. Compared to the existing values of the parameters, newly estimated values are found to be closer to real world.