• 제목/요약/키워드: errors in variables

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Statistical Effective Interval Determination and Reliability Assessment of Input Variables Under Aleatory Uncertainties (물리적 불확실성을 내재한 입력변수의 확률 통계 기반 유효 범위 결정 방법 및 신뢰성 평가)

  • Joo, Minho;Doh, Jaehyeok;Choi, Sukyo;Lee, Jongsoo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • 제41권11호
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    • pp.1099-1108
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    • 2017
  • Data points obtained by conducting repetitive experiments under identical environmental conditions are, theoretically, required to correspond. However, experimental data often display variations due to generated errors or noise resulting from various factors and inherent uncertainties. In this study, an algorithm aiming to determine valid bounds of input variables, representing uncertainties, was developed using probabilistic and statistical methods. Furthermore, a reliability assessment was performed to verify and validate applications of this algorithm using bolt-fastening friction coefficient data in a sample application.

Input Variables Selection of Artificial Neural Network Using Mutual Information (상호정보량 기법을 적용한 인공신경망 입력자료의 선정)

  • Han, Kwang-Hee;Ryu, Yong-Jun;Kim, Tae-Soon;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • 제43권1호
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    • pp.81-94
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    • 2010
  • Input variable selection is one of the various techniques for improving the performance of artificial neural network. In this study, mutual information is applied for input variable selection technique instead of correlation coefficient that is widely used. Among 152 variables of RDAPS (Regional Data Assimilation and Prediction System) output results, input variables for artificial neural network are chosen by computing mutual information between rainfall records and RDAPS' variables. At first the rainfall forecast variable of RDAPS result, namely APCP, is included as input variable and the other input variables are selected according to the rank of mutual information and correlation coefficient. The input variables using mutual information are usually those variables about wind velocity such as D300, U925, etc. Several statistical error estimates show that the result from mutual information is generally more accurate than those from the previous research and correlation coefficient. In addition, the artificial neural network using input variables computed by mutual information can effectively reduce the relative errors corresponding to the high rainfall events.

Estimation of Smoking Prevalence among Adolescents in a Community by Design-based Analysis (설계기준 분석 방법에 의한 지역사회 청소년 흡연율 추정)

  • Park, Soon-Woo;Lee, Sang-Won;Park, Jung Han;Yun, Yeon-Ok;Lee, Won-Kee;Kim, Jong-Yeon
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제39권4호
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    • pp.317-324
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    • 2006
  • Objectives: This study was conducted to estimate the unbiased smoking prevalence and its standard errors among adolescents in a large city in Korea, by design-based analysis. Methods: All the students in Daegu city were stratified by grade, gender and region, and then schools as primary sampling units (PSU) were selected by probability proportional to size (PPS) sampling. One or two classes were sampled randomly from each grade, from 5th grade in elementary schools to the 3rd grade in high schools. The students anonymously completed a standardized self-administered questionnaire from October to December 2004. The total number of respondents was 8,480 in the final analysis, excluding the third graders in the general high schools because of incomplete sampling. The sampling weight was calculated for each student after post-stratification adjustment, with adjustment being made for the missing cases. The data were analyzed with Stata 8.0 with consideration of PSU, weighting and the strata variables. Results: The smoking prevalence (%) and standard errors for male students from the fifth grade in elementary schools to the second grade in high schools were $0.93{\pm}0.47,\;1.83{\pm}0.74,\;3.16{\pm}1.00,\;5.12{\pm}1.02,\;10.86{\pm}1.13,\;15.63{\pm}2.44\;and\;17.96{\pm}2.67$, and those for the female students were $0.28{\pm}0.28,\;1.17{\pm}0.73,\;3.13{\pm}0.60,\;1.45{\pm}0.58,\;3.94{\pm}0.92,\;8.75{\pm}1.86\;and\;10.04{\pm}1.70$, sequentially. Conclusions: The smoking prevalence from this study was much higher than those from the other conventional studies conducted in Korea. The point estimates and standard errors from the design-based analysis were different from those of the model-based analysis. These findings suggest the importance of design-based analysis to estimate unbiased prevalence and standard errors in complex survey data and this method is recommended to apply to future surveys for determining the smoking prevalence for specific population.

Status of Korean Idiom Understanding for Chinese Learners of Korean according to Tasks (과제 유형에 따른 중국인 한국어 학습자의 관용어 이해 실태 양상)

  • Lee, Mi-Kyung;Kang, An-Young;Kim, Youn-Joo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • 제15권10호
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    • pp.658-668
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of present study tested the effects of context, transparency, familiarity and related variables on comprehension of 32 idioms in 87 Chinese learners of Korean who were attending the S university in Jeonnam providence. In the first assessment, idiomatic phrases were presented out of context. In another assessment, idiomatic phrases were embedded in supportive story contexts. To examine the difference based on task types, paired t-test or one-way ANOVA was used to test differences on related variables such as TOPIK, years of residence in Korea, major and etc. on idiom comprehension. The results of this study are summarized as follows. First, task type, familiarity and transparency were found to have no significant effect on idiom comprehension for Chinese learners of Korean. Second, the related variables such as TOPIK, and major had a significant effect on idiom comprehension. Third, percentage of context related interpretation error in context task was the highest. Literal interpretation errors were followed by it. It means they have a tendency to use contextual cues and semantic analysis of the phrase to comprehend Korean idioms. The results of study will be used to make a plan for teaching Chinese learners of Korean.

Development of Management Guidelines and Procedure for Anthropometric Suitability Assessment: Control Room Design Factors in Nuclear Power Plants

  • Lee, Kyung-Sun;Lee, Yong-Hee
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.29-43
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    • 2015
  • Objective: The aim of this study is to develop management guidelines and a procedure for an anthropometric suitability assessment of the main control room (MCR) in nuclear power plants (NPPs). Background: The condition of the MCR should be suitable for the work crews in NPPs. The suitability of the MCR depends closely on the anthropometric dimensions and ergonomic factors of the users. In particular, the MCR workspace design in NPPs is important due to the close relationship with operating crews and their work failures. Many documents and criteria have recommended that anthropometry dimensions and their studies are one of the foremost processes of the MCR design in NPPs. If these factors are not properly considered, users can feel burdened about their work and the human errors that might occur. Method: The procedure for the anthropometric suitability assessment consists of 5 phases: 1) selection of the anthropometric suitability evaluation dimensions, 2) establishment of a measurement method according to the evaluation dimensions, 3) establishment of criteria for suitability evaluation dimensions, 4) establishment of rating scale and improvement methods according to the evaluation dimensions, and 5) assessment of the final grade for evaluation dimensions. The management guidelines for an anthropometric suitability assessment were completed using 10 factors: 1) director, 2) subject, 3) evaluation period, 4) measurement method and criteria, 5) selection of equipment, 6) measurement and evaluation, 7) suitability evaluation, 8) data sharing, 9) data storage, and 10) management according to the suitability grade. Results: We propose a set of 17 anthropometric dimensions for the size, cognition/perception action/behavior, and their relationships with human errors regarding the MCR design variables through a case study. The 17 selected dimensions are height, sitting height, eye height from floor, eye height above seat, arm length, functional reach, extended functional reach, radius reach, visual field, peripheral perception, hyperopia/myopia/astigmatism, color blindness, auditory acuity, finger dexterity, hand function, body angle, and manual muscle test. We proposed criteria on these 17 anthropometric dimensions for a suitability evaluation and suggested an improvement method according to the evaluation dimensions. Conclusion: The results of this study can improve the human performance of the crew in an MCR. These management guidelines and a procedure for an anthropometric suitability assessment will be able to prevent human errors due to inadequate anthropometric dimensions. Application: The proposed set of anthropometric dimensions can be integrated into a managerial index for the anthropometric suitability of the operating crews for more careful countermeasures to human errors in NPPs.

Error Analysis of Satellite Imagery for Sea Surface Temperature in the High School Science Textbooks and Responses of Pre-service Teachers (고등학교 과학 교과서 인공위성 해수면온도 영상 오류 분석과 예비교사들의 반응)

  • Park, Kyung-Ae;Choi, Won-Moon
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • 제32권7호
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    • pp.809-831
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    • 2011
  • Sea Surface Temperature (SST) is one of the most important oceanic variables to understand rapidly-changing climate, so that accurate and error-free SST images should be presented in school science textbooks. However, satelliteobserved SST images in the high-school textbooks presented some errors caused by various reasons. This study analyzed 36 satellite images for SST presented in 24 kinds of high-school textbooks (earth science I and II textbooks on the basis of the 7th National Curriculum) for 17 items. This study investigated errors in image processing such as cloud removal, land masking, color bar, geological and time information, and some erroneous expressions related to the fundamental information of satellites. Twenty five pre-service teachers filled out a survey about several problematic satellite images, and their responses were analyzed. As a result, most of the pre-service teachers did not recognize the errors associated with image processing and tended to comprehend the SST errors as real oceanographic phenomena such as sea ice, river outflow, or cold current. Therefore, satellite SST images in the textbooks should be accurately presented by including detailed items suggested in this study.

Approximation of the smooth functions by using fuzzy systems: A review of the advantages (퍼지 시스템을 이용한 함수표현의 장점; A REVIEW)

  • Moon B. S.;Lee J. S.;Lee D. Y.;Kwon K. C.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 2005년도 추계학술대회 학술발표 논문집 제15권 제2호
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    • pp.276-279
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    • 2005
  • A review of how the functions of two or more independent variables can be approximated by using fuzzy systems is provided in this paper. We start with an exact represention of a linear interpolation function of two independent variables by using a fuzzy system. Next, we describe how this function can be approximated by another fuzzy system with a lesser number or with a desired number of output fuzzy sets. Thus, a reduction of the storage needed is achieved by storing the fuzzy rules or equivalently the output fuzzy set numbers instead of storing the whole discrete function values. A description on how the cubic spl me interpolation function can be represented exactly by using the fuzzy system method is provided, along with a few examples where fuzzy rule tables with a size of 7$\times$7 provide a representation of the functions with relative errors of the order of $10^{2}$ or less.

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Comparison of time series predictions for maximum electric power demand (최대 전력수요 예측을 위한 시계열모형 비교)

  • Kwon, Sukhui;Kim, Jaehoon;Sohn, SeokMan;Lee, SungDuck
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.623-632
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    • 2021
  • Through this study, we studied how to consider environment variables (such as temperatures, weekend, holiday) closely related to electricity demand, and how to consider the characteristics of Korea electricity demand. In order to conduct this study, Smoothing method, Seasonal ARIMA model and regression model with AR-GARCH errors are compared with mean absolute error criteria. The performance comparison results of the model showed that the predictive method using AR-GARCH error regression model with environment variables had the best predictive power.

Reanalysis of 2002 Donation Frequency Data: Corrections and Supplements (2002년 기부횟수 자료의 재분석: 수정 및 보완)

  • Kim, Byung Soo;Lee, Juhyung;Kim, Inyoung;Park, Su-Bum;Park, Tae-Kyu
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.743-753
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    • 2014
  • Kim et al. (2006) and Kim et al. (2009) reported a set of explanatory variables affecting donation frequency when they analyzed nationwide survey data on donations collected in 2002 by Volunteer 21, a nonprofit organization in Korea. The primary purpose of this paper is to correct computational errors found in Kim et al. (2006) and Kim et al. (2009), to rectify major results in the Tables and Figures and to supplement Kim et al. (2009) by providing new results. We add two logistic regressions to the ZIP and a mixture of two Poisson regressions of Kim et al. (2009). Through these two logistic regressions we could detect a set of explanatory variables affecting donation activity (0 or 1) and another set of explanatory variables, in which the volunteer (0, 1) variable is common, discriminating the infrequent donor group from the frequent donor group.

The Influence of Security and Risk Perception on the Reuse of Internet Banking (보안과 위험의 지각이 인터넷 뱅킹 재사용 의도에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Woong-Kyu
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.77-93
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    • 2007
  • Risk has been considered as one of very important topics in traditional consumer behavior theoretically and practically since its tendency of minimizing errors rather than maximizing utilization in addition to its intuitive appealing with very high explaining power. In addition to a traditional view of risk, importance of risk in online transactions such as Internet banking is due to technical instability in security of the Internet as well as temporal and spatial separation of transaction partners. Therefore, risk in online transactions should be analyzed by a very comprehensive way since it is very inherent in the Internet. The objective of this study is to suggest a research model for explaining the use of online transactions in some risk related variables including risk results, security result, perceived security, and social influence and show its validity by applying it to Internet banking users. In result, hypotheses suggested by our research model are shown to be valid ones.