• Title/Summary/Keyword: empirical orthogonal function

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Interannual Variations of the Precipitation in Korea and the Comparison with Those in China and Japan (한국 강수량의 연 변동과 중국 및 일본 강수량과의 비교 연구)

  • Jo, Wan-Kuen;Weisel, C.P.
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.345-356
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    • 1995
  • Examining the precipitation data collected during the period from 1960 to 1993, we found that Taegu Station represents an optimum station for explaining the interannual variations of the precipitation in Korea. Using the variations derived from Taegu, the secular trends of the precipitation in Korea have been studied. It was 삽so found that the interannual variations of summer monsoon precipitation are consistent with those of the annual precipitation. To explore the interannual variations of the summer monsoon precipitation, comparisons of the summer precipitation in Korea with that in China and Japan were made. The results of the empirical orthogonal function analysis showed that Korea, the Yangtze River and Huaihe River valley, and the south Japan are all located in the same climate system during summer. The detailed analysis was carried out on the comparison of the summer precipitation in Korea with that in the eastern part of the the mainland China. We found that the correlation pattern is similar to the East Asia/pacific pattern. The probable effects of the sea surface temperature on the precipitation in Korea were also discussed. Key Words : Precipitation in Korea, rainy seasons in East Asia, monsoon precipitation, interannual variations.

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Temporal and Spatial Variations of SST and Ocean Fronts in the Korean Seas by Empirical Orthogonal Function Analysis

  • Yoon, Hong-Joo;Byun, Hye-Kyung;Park , Kwang-Soon
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.213-219
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    • 2005
  • In the Korean seas, Sea Surface Temperature (SST) and Thermal ronts (TF) were analyzed temporally and spatially during 8 years from 1993 to 2000 using NOAA/AVHRR MCSST. In the application of EOF analysis for SST, the variance of the 1st mode was 97.6%. Temporal components showed annual variations, and spatial components showed that where it is closer to continents, the SST variations are higher. Temporal components of the 2nd mode presented higher values of 1993, 94 and 95 than those of other years. Although these phenomena were not remarkable, they could be considered ELNI . NO effects to the Korean seas as the time was when ELNI . NO occurred. The Sobel Edge Detection Method (SEDM) delineated four fronts: the Subpolar Front (SPF) separating the northern and southern parts of the East Sea; the Kuroshio Front (KF) in the East China Sea, the South Sea Coastal Front (SSCF) in the South Sea, and the Tidal Front (TDF) in the West Sea. TF generally occurred over steep bathymetry slopes, and spatial components of the 1st mode in SST were bounded within these frontal areas. EOF analysis of SST gradient values revealed the temporal and spatial variations of the TF. The SPF and SSCF were most intense in March and October; the KF was most significant in March and May.

Satellite data analysis of the China Coastal Waters in the Seas surrounding Jeju Island, Korea

  • Cho, Han-Keun;Kang, Heung-Soon;Kim, Jung-Chang;Yoon, Hong-Joo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.397-402
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    • 2006
  • China Coastal Water (CCW) usually appears in the seas surrounding Jeju Island annually (June-October) and is very pronounced in August. The power spectrum density (PSD), sea level anomalies (SLAs), and sea surface temperatures (SSTs) were found to peak annually and semiannually. The peaks at intervals of 80-, 60-, and 43-days are considered to be influenced by CCW and the Kuroshio Current. Generally, low-salinity water appears to the west of Jeju Island from June through October and gradually propagates to the east, where CCW meets the Tsushima Current. Empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis of SLAs and SSTs indicated that the variance in SLAs and SSTs was 55.70 and 98.09% in the first mode, respectively. The PSD for the first mode of EOF analysis of SLAs was stronger in the western than in the eastern waters because of the influence of CCW. The PSD for the EOF analysis of SSTs was similar in all areas (the Yangtze Estuary and the waters to the west and east of Jeju Island), with a period of approximately 260 days.

Evaluation of Seasonal Characteristic of Precipitation Data in Korea by Applying CSEOF analysis (CSEOF 분석을 이용한 국내 강수의 계절적 순환 특성 평가)

  • Cho, Eunsaem;Song, Sung-uk;Na, Wooyoung;Yoo, Chulsang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.21-21
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구에서는 국내 주요 종관기상관측장비(Automated Surface Observing System; ASOS)의 강수 자료에 CSEOF 분석(Cyclo-stationary Empirical Orthogonal Function Analysis)을 적용하여 주요 성분(principle component)을 추출한 후 이를 분석하여 국내 강수의 계절적 순환 특성을 평가고자 하였다. ASOS 자료로는 전국 131개의 ASOS 중에 40년 이상의 월 강수량 자료가 구축되어 있는 47개 지점의 자료를 이용하였다. 수집한 자료의 기간은 1978년부터 2018년까지이다. 강수 자료의 월별 공간적인 강수 분포 특성을 파악하기 위해 시간적인 순환성을 고려한 CSEOF 분석을 수행하였다. 강수자료의 주성분을 추출해본 결과, CSEOF 분석의 경우 첫 번째 CSEOF 외의 다른 CSEOF들의 원자료 설명 비율 또한 작지 않게 나타나 다양한 강수 변동 특성을 평가할 수 있음을 확인하였다. 8월의 2nd CSEOF는 한반도 전체의 강수가 감소하는 것으로 나타났으며, 이는 라니냐가 7-8월 한반도 강수에 미치는 영향과 유사하다. 아울러 9월의 2nd CSEOF 결과 또한 남부를 중심으로 전체적으로 감소하는 경향이 나타남. 이는 엘리뇨 발생 시 9월의 강수 패턴과 비슷한 것으로 확인되었다. 뿐만 아니라, 우리나라에 영향을 미친 주요 태풍과 CSEOF의 상관관계도 검증할 수 있었으며, 장마와의 관계도 발견할 수 있었다. 향후, CSEOF 분석 결과에 해석방법이 개발된다면, 보다 다각적인 측면에서의 강수 계절적 순환 특성 평가가 이루어 질 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

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Long-term Forecast of Seasonal Precipitation in Korea using the Large-scale Predictors (광역규모 예측인자를 이용한 한반도 계절 강수량의 장기 예측)

  • Kim, Hwa-Su;Kwak, Chong-Heum;So, Seon-Sup;Suh, Myoung-Seok;Park, Chung-Kyu;Kim, Maeng-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.23 no.7
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    • pp.587-596
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    • 2002
  • A super ensemble model was developed for the seasonal prediction of regional precipitation in Korea using the lag correlated large scale predictors, based on the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis and multiple linear regression model. The predictability of this model was also evaluated by cross-validation. Correlation between the predicted and the observed value obtained from the super ensemble model showed 0.73 in spring, 0.61 in summer, 0.69 in autumn and 0.75 in winter. The predictability of categorical forecasting was also evaluated based on the three classes such as above normal, near normal and below normal that are clearly defined in terms of a priori specified by threshold values. Categorical forecasting by the super ensemble model has a hit rate with a range from 0.42 to 0.74 in seasonal precipitation.

A study on the influence of the China Coastal Waters nearby Jeju Island Using Satellite Data (위성 자료를 이용한 제주도 주변해역의 중국대륙연안수 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Cho Han-Keun;Yoon Hong-Joo
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2006.03a
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    • pp.91-94
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    • 2006
  • China Coastal Waters (CCW) usually appears in the seas surrounding Jeju Island annually(June to October) and is very pronounced in August. Generally, low-salinity water appears to the western seas of Jeiu Island from June through October and gradually propagates to the eastern seas, where CCW meets the Tsushima Current. Empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis of SLAs and SSTs indicated that the valiance in SLAs and SSTs was 95.05%(the first mode to third mode) and 98.09%(the first mode), respectively The PSD of the western waters for the first mode of EOF analysis of SLAs was stronger than that of the eastern waters because of the influence of CCW. The PSD for the EOF analysis of SSTs was similar in all areas (the Yangtze Estuary and the seas to the west and east of Jeju Island), with a period of approximately 260 days.

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Temporal and spatial analysis of SST and thermal fronts in the North East Asia Seas using NOAA/AVHRR data

  • Yoon, Hong-Joo
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • v.2
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    • pp.831-835
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    • 2006
  • NOAA/AVHRR data were used to analyze sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and thermal fronts (TFs) in the Korean seas. Temporal and spatial analyses were based on data from 1993 to 2000. Harmonic analysis revealed mean SST distributions of $10{\sim}25^{\circ}C$. Annual amplitudes and phases were $4{\sim}11^{\circ}C$ and $210{\sim}240^{\circ}$, respectively. Inverse distributions of annual amplitudes and phases were found for the study seas, with the exception of the East China Sea, which is affected by the Kuroshio Current. Areas with high amplitudes (large variations in SSTs) showed 'low phases' (early maximum SST); areas with low amplitudes (small variations in SSTs) had 'high phases' (late maximum SST). Empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analyses of SSTs revealed a first-mode variance of 97.6%. Annually, greater SST variations occurred closer to the continent. Temporal components of the second mode showed higher values in 1993, 1994, and 1995. These phenomena seemed to the effect of El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$. The Sobel edge detection method (SEDM) delineated four fronts: the Subpolar Front (SPF) separating the northern and southern parts of the East Sea; the Kuroshio Front (KF) in the East China Sea, the South Sea Coastal Front (SSCF) in the South Sea, and a tidal front (TDF) in the West Sea. Thermal fronts generally occurred over steep bathymetric slopes. Annual amplitudes and phases were bounded within these frontal areas. EOF analysis of SST gradient values revealed the temporal and spatial variations in the TFs. The SPF and SSCF were most intense in March and October; the KF was most significant in March and May.

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An Uncertainty Assessment of Temperature and Precipitation over East Asia (동아시아 기온과 강수의 불확실성 평가)

  • Shin, Jin-Ho;Kim, Min-Ji;Lee, Hyo-Shin;Kwon, Won-Tae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.299-303
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    • 2008
  • In this study, an uncertainty assessment for surface air temperature(T2m) and precipitation(PCP) over East Asia is carried out. The data simulated by the intergovermental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) Atmosphere-Ocean coupled general circulation Model (AOGCM) are used to assess the uncertainty. Examination of the seasonal uncertainty of T2m and PCP variabilities shows that spring-summer cold bias and fall warm bias of T2m are found over both East Asia and the Korea peninsula. In contrast, distinctly summer dry bias and winter-spring wet bias of PCP over the Korea peninsula is found. To investigate the PCP seasonal variability over East Asia, the cyclostationary empirical orthogonal function(CSEOF) analysis is employed. The CSEOF analysis can extract physical modes (spatio-temporal patterns) and their undulation (PC time series) of PCP, showing the evolution of PCP. A comparison between spatio-temporal patterns of observed and modeled PCP anomalies shows that positive PCP anomalies located in northeastern China (north of Korea) of the multi-model ensemble(MME) cannot explain properly the contribution to summer monsoon rainfalls across Korea and Japan. The uncertainty of modeled PCP indicates that there is disagreement between observed and MME anomalies. The spatio-temporal deviation of the PCP is significantly associated with lower- and upper-level circulations. In particular, lower-level moisture transports from the warm pool of the western Pacific and corresponding moisture convergence significantly contribute to summer rainfalls. These lower- and upper-level circulations physically consistent with PCP give a insight of the reason why differences between modeled and observed PCP occur.

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Volume Transport on the Texas-Louisiana Continental Shelf

  • Cho Kwang-Woo
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.48-62
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    • 1998
  • Seasonal volume transport on the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf is investigated in terms of objectively fitted transport streamfunction fields based on the current meter data of the Texas­Louisiana Shelf Circulation and Transport Processes Study. Adopted here for the objective mapping is a method employing a two-dimensional truncated Fourier representation of the streamfunction over a domain, with the amplitudes determined by least square fit of the observation. The fitting was done with depth-averaged flow rather than depth-integrated flow to reduce the root-mean-square error. The fitting process filters out $11\%$ of the kinetic energy in the monthly mean transport fields. The shelf-wide pattern of streamfunction fields is similar to that of near-surface velocity fields over the region. The nearshore transport, about 0.1 to 0.3 Sv $(1 Sv= 10^6\;m^3/sec)$, is well correlated with the seasonal signal of along-shelf wind stress. The spring transport is weak compared to other seasons in the inner shelf region. The transport along the shelf break is large and variable. In the southwestern shelf break, transport amounts up to 4.7 Sv, which is associated with the activities of the encroaching of energetic anticyclonic eddies originated in Loop Current of the eastern Gulf of Mexico. The first empirical orthogonal function (EOF) of streamfunction variability contains $67.3\%$ of the variance and shows a simple, shelf-wide, along-shelf pattern of transport. The amplitude evolution of the first EOF is highly correlated (correlation coefficient: 0.88) with the evolution of the along-shelf wind stress. This provides strong evidence that the large portion of seasonal variation of the shelf transport is wind-forced. The second EOF contains $23.7\%$ of the variance and shows eddy activities at the southwestern shelf break. The correlation coefficient between the amplitudes of the second EOF and wind stress is 0.42. We assume that this mode is coupled a periodic inner shelf process with a non-periodic eddy process on the shelf break. The third EOF (accounting for $7.2\% of the variance) shows several cell structures near the shelf break associated with the variability of the Loop Current Eddies. The amplitude time series of the third EOF show little correlation with the along-shelf wind.

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The 40~50Day Intraseasonal Oscillation of the Geostationary Meteorological Satellite High Cloud Amount (GMS 상층운량의 40~50일 계절만 진동)

  • 하경자;서애숙
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.5 no.5
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    • pp.619-633
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    • 1996
  • Intraseasonal variability of the tropical convection over the Indian/western Pacific is studied using the Geostationary Meteorological Satellite high cloud amount. This study is directed to find the tropical-extratropical interaction in the frequency range of intraseasonal and interannual variabilities of the summer monsoon occured over the domain of 90E-171W and 495-50N. Especially, in order to investigate the intraseasonal interaction of last Asia summer monsoon associated with the tropical convections in the high cloud amounts, the spatial and time structure of the intraseasonal oscillation for the movement-and the evolution of the large-scale connections are studied. To describe the spatial and the time evolution, the extended empirical orthogonal function analysis is applied. The first mode may be considered to a normal structure, indicating that the strong convection band over 90E-120E is extended to sastward but this mode was detected as the intraseasonal variability during summer monsoon. It is found that the dominant intraseasonal mode of the tropical convection consists of the spatial changes over a broad period range centered around 40~50days.

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